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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 7:00 PM
FLORIDA (17-2) AT MISSISSIPPI ST (13-6) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
515: FLORIDA
516: MISSISSIPPI ST
131.0
+13.0
71.8 / 58.8
70.9 / 69.3
17-2
13-6
7-6
4-7
3-9
8-2
46.3
45.4
66.7
65.3
35.8
30.9
38.8
43.8
69.0
73.5
33.3
32.1
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
FLORIDA-15 
MISSISSIPPI ST  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
FLORIDA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games7-641-38259-2163-932-38181-18617-272-21419-151
in all lined games7-641-38259-2163-932-38181-18613-260-21332-150
when the total is 130 to 139.52-313-1870-670-611-2165-695-224-9100-40
as a favorite5-635-35204-1762-728-32141-14712-058-13296-87
as a road favorite of 12.5 to 15 points0-01-02-20-00-01-20-01-04-0
as a road favorite of 12.5 or more points0-04-06-30-02-03-20-04-08-1
in road games2-214-1384-782-311-1562-634-216-1491-80
in road lined games2-214-1384-782-311-1562-633-214-1485-80
in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.51-12-28-70-20-45-91-12-211-4
against conference opponents3-321-24155-1412-316-23113-1136-033-12198-102
in January games3-415-770-552-47-1144-447-021-198-32
after a conference game3-222-22156-1382-316-24112-1205-033-11197-102
off a win against a conference rival3-217-15106-882-311-1776-815-024-8132-65
after allowing 60 points or less3-424-1883-691-314-1753-6610-036-10141-41
when playing against a team with a winning record6-531-30213-1832-922-35151-17211-248-17278-138
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games1-015-18136-1140-111-2197-1211-023-10162-93

MISSISSIPPI ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games4-730-41232-2138-231-20155-14113-644-40332-209
in all lined games4-730-41232-2138-231-20155-1415-632-39259-200
when the total is 130 to 139.52-210-1474-733-116-880-653-116-892-57
as an underdog4-520-21102-907-114-1262-664-512-2962-136
as a home underdog of 12.5 to 15 points0-00-10-10-00-00-00-00-10-1
as a home underdog of 12.5 to 18 points0-00-10-10-00-00-00-00-10-1
in all home games3-217-18106-934-116-1075-5211-134-12213-60
in home lined games3-217-18106-934-116-1075-524-124-11150-55
in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.50-11-411-180-14-118-111-04-124-6
against conference opponents3-316-27152-1345-118-1196-873-316-27150-145
in January games3-36-1461-585-110-435-364-311-1165-62
after a conference game3-216-26145-1364-117-1198-874-217-26151-143
off a loss against a conference rival2-09-1671-642-011-539-392-08-1773-66
after allowing 80 points or more2-06-640-412-05-428-224-07-751-39
when playing against a team with a winning record4-519-28181-1597-120-15119-1124-517-31196-175
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games2-110-18116-1042-110-1081-722-18-20105-121
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-05-1241-361-08-430-211-03-1436-43
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game1-210-1968-672-013-850-442-27-2373-76
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
FLORIDA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games17-2+7.47-63-971.832.846.3%36.758.825.338.8%31.9
Road Games6-2+2.42-33-470.733.546.7%37.564.129.940.3%30.9
Last 5 Games5-0+5.43-22-371.832.644.9%37.259.225.835.8%36.2
Conference Games6-0+5.43-32-372.232.846.8%35.259.025.036.9%34.8
FLORIDA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)71.832.825-5446.3%6-1735.8%16-2466.7%371113167123
vs opponents surrendering68.931.923-5641.9%6-1833.6%16-2468.4%351012206133
Team Stats (Road Games)70.733.524-5246.7%6-1637.9%15-2366.3%371112176133
Stats Against (All Games)58.825.321-5338.8%5-1633.3%12-1869.0%32910206143
vs opponents averaging73.234.325-5645.1%6-1734.5%17-2469.1%361013207135
Stats Against (Road Games)64.129.922-5540.3%7-1838.0%13-1967.3%311011196113

MISSISSIPPI ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games13-6-1.54-78-270.932.345.4%33.869.331.643.8%35.2
Home Games11-1+13-24-173.933.245.6%36.264.428.141.9%33.9
Last 5 Games3-2+23-24-172.631.444.7%32.476.032.645.5%37.6
Conference Games3-3+23-35-171.032.844.0%31.777.533.346.2%38.7
MISSISSIPPI ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)70.932.325-5545.4%5-1530.9%16-2565.3%34913179133
vs opponents surrendering70.933.224-5643.3%6-1834.1%16-2368.7%361013196134
Team Stats (Home Games)73.933.225-5545.6%5-1630.2%19-2965.6%3610131610134
Stats Against (All Games)69.331.625-5743.8%7-2032.1%13-1873.5%35912216163
vs opponents averaging70.432.824-5643.4%6-1833.4%16-2368.6%351012206134
Stats Against (Home Games)64.428.123-5641.9%6-1929.7%12-1673.6%34910226172
Average power rating of opponents played: FLORIDA 75.5,  MISSISSIPPI ST 70.2
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MISSISSIPPI ST is 12-8 against the spread versus FLORIDA since 1997
FLORIDA is 12-8 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST since 1997
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 2-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 3-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MISSISSIPPI ST since 1997
MISSISSIPPI ST is 5-3 against the spread versus FLORIDA since 1997
MISSISSIPPI ST is 4-4 straight up against FLORIDA since 1997
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/9/2013MISSISSIPPI ST58128.5 ATS2623-5442.6%6-1637.5%6-1250.0%31716
 FLORIDA83-28SU Over4231-5853.4%9-2536.0%12-1963.2%3698
1/26/2013FLORIDA82-20.5SU ATS4131-5655.4%14-3145.2%6-966.7%441014
 MISSISSIPPI ST47127 Over1917-5232.7%3-1520.0%10-1566.7%20510
1/28/2012MISSISSIPPI ST57143.5 Under2721-4843.7%7-1643.7%8-1457.1%34614
 FLORIDA69-8.5SU ATS3027-5648.2%11-2445.8%4-757.1%2655
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MISSISSIPPI ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA games 51.2% of the time since 1997. (197-188)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA games 50.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-36)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MISSISSIPPI ST games 48.9% of the time since 1997. (174-182)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MISSISSIPPI ST games 47.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-33)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA games 43.8% of the time since 1997. (142-182)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-31)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MISSISSIPPI ST games 50.6% of the time since 1997. (131-128)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MISSISSIPPI ST games 47.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-21)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
FLORIDA
[F] 01/29/2014 - Chris Walker eligible to return Tuesday vs Missouri ( Academics )
[F] 12/21/2013 - Damontre Harris out for season ( Dismissed )
[G] 12/03/2013 - Eli Carter redshirt ( Leg )
[G] 11/20/2013 - Dillon Graham out for season ( Hip )
MISSISSIPPI ST
[F] 01/18/2014 - Fallou Ndoye redshirt ( None )
[G] 01/07/2014 - Andre Applewhite expected to transfer ( Personal )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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