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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| FRESNO ST | | | | SAN DIEGO ST | -13 | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 11-8 | 39-33 | 201-235 | 0-0 | 25-28 | 115-129 | 8-13 | 35-50 | 275-225 | | in all lined games | 11-8 | 39-33 | 201-235 | 0-0 | 25-28 | 115-129 | 6-13 | 26-48 | 228-215 | | when the total is 119.5 or less | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | | as an underdog | 9-4 | 22-20 | 91-92 | 0-0 | 14-16 | 54-67 | 4-9 | 8-36 | 50-138 | | as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points | 2-0 | 2-1 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 0-4 | 1-9 | | as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points | 2-1 | 2-3 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-7 | 2-16 | | in road games | 7-3 | 21-13 | 93-96 | 0-0 | 12-13 | 46-57 | 3-7 | 9-30 | 74-128 | | in road lined games | 7-3 | 21-13 | 93-96 | 0-0 | 12-13 | 46-57 | 3-7 | 8-28 | 70-123 | | in a road game where the total is 119.5 or less | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | | against conference opponents | 4-4 | 18-20 | 112-148 | 0-0 | 16-15 | 73-76 | 2-6 | 11-29 | 137-132 | | in February games | 1-0 | 8-4 | 47-60 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 25-33 | 1-0 | 10-6 | 61-53 | | on Saturday games | 1-4 | 13-13 | 82-90 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 46-55 | 0-5 | 9-20 | 96-90 | | after a conference game | 4-4 | 18-16 | 107-142 | 0-0 | 13-12 | 72-73 | 2-6 | 16-24 | 138-130 | | revenging a home loss vs opponent | 2-1 | 6-6 | 24-29 | 0-0 | 1-8 | 17-23 | 2-1 | 3-10 | 17-38 | | off a win against a conference rival | 0-1 | 4-4 | 48-79 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 36-29 | 0-1 | 6-4 | 70-64 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 4-4 | 13-14 | 47-59 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 29-34 | 4-5 | 11-18 | 58-58 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 7-6 | 19-23 | 122-151 | 0-0 | 14-17 | 70-76 | 3-10 | 9-37 | 116-174 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 3-3 | 8-12 | 57-82 | 0-0 | 8-7 | 40-43 | 2-4 | 4-18 | 50-98 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-2 | 1-4 | 18-24 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10-15 | 1-2 | 1-5 | 19-25 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 3-3 | 4-11 | 38-55 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 18-28 | 1-5 | 1-16 | 35-65 |
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| in all games | 9-8 | 46-36 | 225-204 | 6-3 | 36-37 | 134-138 | 17-5 | 77-16 | 291-202 | | in all lined games | 9-8 | 46-36 | 225-204 | 6-3 | 36-37 | 134-138 | 12-5 | 67-16 | 242-193 | | when the total is 119.5 or less | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8-5 | | as a favorite | 7-7 | 36-30 | 124-106 | 5-2 | 29-29 | 81-87 | 11-3 | 59-8 | 186-46 | | as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points | 1-0 | 2-0 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-6 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 16-0 | | as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points | 1-1 | 8-6 | 21-21 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11-20 | 2-0 | 14-0 | 41-1 | | in all home games | 3-3 | 18-16 | 104-92 | 2-1 | 15-16 | 50-65 | 10-1 | 41-4 | 177-68 | | in home lined games | 3-3 | 18-16 | 104-92 | 2-1 | 15-16 | 50-65 | 5-1 | 31-4 | 132-65 | | in a home game where the total is 119.5 or less | 0-0 | 1-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 4-2 | | against conference opponents | 3-5 | 23-20 | 128-124 | 3-1 | 17-23 | 84-80 | 5-3 | 34-10 | 137-125 | | in February games | 0-2 | 6-10 | 54-54 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 35-29 | 1-1 | 12-5 | 53-57 | | on Saturday games | 6-2 | 24-10 | 114-83 | 3-1 | 16-14 | 60-58 | 6-2 | 28-7 | 118-95 | | after a conference game | 3-4 | 22-20 | 122-125 | 3-1 | 18-22 | 87-78 | 4-3 | 32-11 | 134-127 | | off a win against a conference rival | 2-2 | 18-14 | 69-61 | 2-1 | 12-20 | 52-57 | 2-2 | 26-7 | 81-54 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 0-2 | 7-10 | 46-45 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 25-25 | 6-0 | 25-0 | 103-23 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 0-0 | 4-4 | 28-22 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 17-14 | 0-0 | 9-0 | 42-11 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 2-2 | 11-6 | 41-35 | 2-1 | 8-8 | 24-26 | 2-2 | 12-5 | 38-39 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 5-3 | 19-9 | 70-48 | 3-1 | 13-11 | 34-38 | 5-3 | 22-6 | 65-56 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 1-1 | 14-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 21-9 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 0-1 | 3-3 | 25-21 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 10-11 | 3-0 | 9-1 | 45-10 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 8-13 | -3.9 | 11-8 | 0-0 | 60.4 | 27.0 | 39.7% | 30.9 | 60.7 | 28.8 | 41.5% | 36.1 | | Road Games | 3-7 | -0.2 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 57.6 | 25.3 | 39.3% | 29.2 | 62.6 | 28.6 | 43.7% | 36.9 | | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | -1.5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 61.0 | 24.0 | 39.6% | 28.4 | 66.6 | 30.2 | 40.5% | 37.6 | | Conference Games | 2-6 | -1.2 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 57.6 | 24.2 | 39.3% | 28.9 | 63.2 | 29.9 | 40.7% | 37.2 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 60.4 | 27.0 | 20-51 | 39.7% | 6-17 | 36.0% | 14-20 | 67.5% | 31 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.3 | 31.5 | 24-56 | 42.7% | 7-20 | 34.5% | 13-19 | 68.0% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 57.6 | 25.3 | 20-51 | 39.3% | 6-17 | 36.8% | 11-18 | 65.3% | 29 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 60.7 | 28.8 | 21-50 | 41.5% | 4-14 | 29.4% | 15-22 | 69.1% | 36 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 68 | 31.8 | 24-55 | 43.4% | 6-18 | 34.6% | 14-20 | 68.6% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 62.6 | 28.6 | 22-51 | 43.7% | 3-13 | 26.8% | 15-22 | 67.6% | 37 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
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| All Games | 17-5 | +3.6 | 9-8 | 6-3 | 69.9 | 34.0 | 44.1% | 37.0 | 59.4 | 26.7 | 38.7% | 33.4 | | Home Games | 10-1 | +1.4 | 3-3 | 2-1 | 74.5 | 39.1 | 46.0% | 36.6 | 58.5 | 25.2 | 38.5% | 33.9 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 61.6 | 29.8 | 42.6% | 37.2 | 56.2 | 28.0 | 38.5% | 29.8 | | Conference Games | 5-3 | +0.4 | 3-5 | 3-1 | 65.9 | 33.1 | 42.2% | 36.6 | 62.1 | 29.6 | 39.6% | 34.6 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 69.9 | 34.0 | 25-56 | 44.1% | 6-18 | 32.1% | 14-21 | 67.3% | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.7 | 31.5 | 23-55 | 43.0% | 6-19 | 33.5% | 13-20 | 68.3% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 74.5 | 39.1 | 26-57 | 46.0% | 7-18 | 37.2% | 16-24 | 66.5% | 37 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 6 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 59.4 | 26.7 | 22-57 | 38.7% | 6-18 | 31.4% | 9-14 | 66.0% | 33 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.1 | 31.4 | 23-55 | 42.6% | 7-19 | 34.8% | 14-19 | 69.4% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 58.5 | 25.2 | 23-59 | 38.5% | 6-19 | 31.9% | 7-11 | 63.7% | 34 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 4 | 14 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: FRESNO ST 71.8, SAN DIEGO ST 70.7 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| SAN DIEGO ST is 7-2 against the spread versus FRESNO ST since 1997 | | FRESNO ST is 6-5 straight up against SAN DIEGO ST since 1997 | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| FRESNO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons | | SAN DIEGO ST is 1-0 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons |
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| SAN DIEGO ST is 4-0 against the spread versus FRESNO ST since 1997 | | SAN DIEGO ST is 2-2 straight up against FRESNO ST since 1997 | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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1/9/2013 | SAN DIEGO ST | 65 | -7.5 | SU | 33 | 26-54 | 48.1% | 6-18 | 33.3% | 7-12 | 58.3% | 38 | 11 | 11 | | | FRESNO ST | 62 | | ATS | 26 | 21-58 | 36.2% | 6-18 | 33.3% | 14-17 | 82.4% | 31 | 9 | 5 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FRESNO ST games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (173-177) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FRESNO ST games 45.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-36) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN DIEGO ST games 51.3% of the time since 1997. (178-169) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN DIEGO ST games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-31) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in FRESNO ST games 53.1% of the time since 1997. (110-97) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in FRESNO ST games 58.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-20) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN DIEGO ST games 50% of the time since 1997. (116-116) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN DIEGO ST games 53% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-31) | |
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| [C] 02/08/2013 - Robert Upshaw expected to miss Saturday vs. San Diego State & Wednesday vs. New Mexico ( Disciplinary ) | | [F] 11/02/2012 - Braeden Anderson out indefinitely ( Eligibility ) | |
| [G] 02/08/2013 - Xavier Thames probable Saturday vs. Fresno State ( Back ) | | [G] 12/20/2012 - LaBradford Franklin out indefinitely ( Personal ) |
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