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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| ILLINOIS ST | | | | LOUISVILLE | -13 | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 3-1 | 29-34 | 196-211 | 2-0 | 29-31 | 112-118 | 5-1 | 39-33 | 258-216 | | in all lined games | 3-1 | 29-34 | 196-211 | 2-0 | 29-31 | 112-118 | 3-1 | 32-33 | 213-211 | | as an underdog | 1-0 | 16-16 | 93-99 | 1-0 | 21-10 | 61-48 | 1-0 | 8-25 | 47-154 | | as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-20 | | in road games | 1-0 | 11-13 | 86-85 | 1-0 | 19-5 | 60-40 | 1-0 | 7-19 | 62-128 | | in road lined games | 1-0 | 11-13 | 86-85 | 1-0 | 19-5 | 60-40 | 1-0 | 7-19 | 57-126 | | against Big East conference opponents | 0-0 | 1-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 6-2 | | in December games | 0-0 | 3-6 | 28-38 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 18-23 | 0-0 | 7-4 | 60-34 | | on Saturday games | 0-1 | 6-12 | 79-72 | 1-0 | 9-10 | 45-41 | 0-1 | 10-10 | 93-80 | | when playing with 5 or 6 days rest | 0-0 | 2-0 | 16-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 27-10 | | after a non-conference game | 3-1 | 11-13 | 57-67 | 2-0 | 7-15 | 37-37 | 5-1 | 24-8 | 109-65 | | in non-conference games | 3-1 | 12-12 | 58-61 | 2-0 | 8-13 | 33-38 | 5-1 | 24-8 | 116-59 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-1 | 19-18 | 115-117 | 1-0 | 19-17 | 70-74 | 2-1 | 17-23 | 104-152 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 0-1 | 12-11 | 66-58 | 1-0 | 10-12 | 43-46 | 1-1 | 11-15 | 62-72 |
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| in all games | 3-3 | 44-28 | 242-227 | 2-1 | 30-41 | 154-191 | 5-1 | 60-21 | 342-169 | | in all lined games | 3-3 | 44-28 | 242-227 | 2-1 | 30-41 | 154-191 | 5-1 | 54-21 | 308-168 | | as a favorite | 3-3 | 32-22 | 177-169 | 2-1 | 20-32 | 118-141 | 5-1 | 46-10 | 267-84 | | as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-0 | 4-1 | 17-13 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 12-6 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 26-4 | | in all home games | 2-1 | 21-15 | 116-114 | 0-0 | 14-20 | 77-87 | 3-0 | 38-6 | 215-52 | | in home lined games | 2-1 | 21-15 | 116-114 | 0-0 | 14-20 | 77-87 | 3-0 | 32-6 | 184-51 | | in December games | 0-0 | 5-6 | 43-53 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 26-42 | 0-0 | 13-4 | 93-29 | | on Saturday games | 0-1 | 15-9 | 83-91 | 1-0 | 13-13 | 58-73 | 0-1 | 21-8 | 123-67 | | when playing with 5 or 6 days rest | 0-0 | 2-0 | 21-23 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 16-19 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 28-19 | | after a non-conference game | 3-3 | 18-11 | 95-97 | 2-1 | 12-16 | 57-74 | 5-1 | 33-5 | 164-64 | | in non-conference games | 3-3 | 18-11 | 92-98 | 2-1 | 11-17 | 60-79 | 5-1 | 32-6 | 164-65 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-2 | 28-24 | 173-183 | 2-1 | 20-34 | 125-151 | 2-1 | 34-21 | 212-154 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 1-2 | 5-7 | 62-66 | 2-1 | 5-9 | 38-62 | 2-1 | 7-7 | 75-57 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 5-1 | +2.4 | 3-1 | 2-0 | 85.0 | 39.3 | 50.5% | 38.5 | 66.5 | 30.0 | 39.5% | 34.7 | | Road Games | 2-1 | +1.4 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 77.3 | 32.3 | 44.1% | 37.3 | 73.7 | 32.0 | 39.9% | 43.3 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +1.4 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 82.0 | 37.4 | 48.1% | 38.8 | 65.4 | 30.2 | 39.1% | 36.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 85.0 | 39.3 | 32-63 | 50.5% | 8-22 | 37.1% | 13-19 | 67.0% | 38 | 10 | 18 | 18 | 10 | 14 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 68.1 | 32.3 | 25-57 | 44.0% | 6-18 | 33.8% | 12-18 | 67.1% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 77.3 | 32.3 | 27-62 | 44.1% | 8-23 | 35.3% | 15-23 | 62.9% | 37 | 10 | 15 | 22 | 10 | 17 | 6 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 66.5 | 30.0 | 23-59 | 39.5% | 7-21 | 32.0% | 13-18 | 75.0% | 35 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 18 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.2 | 31.3 | 24-56 | 43.0% | 7-20 | 34.3% | 12-18 | 69.2% | 35 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 73.7 | 32.0 | 25-63 | 39.9% | 7-22 | 33.3% | 16-22 | 75.4% | 43 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 3 |
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| All Games | 5-1 | +0.8 | 3-3 | 2-1 | 74.2 | 33.7 | 42.8% | 40.8 | 54.5 | 22.7 | 38.5% | 31.5 | | Home Games | 3-0 | 0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 79.7 | 36.3 | 43.7% | 43.0 | 48.0 | 16.3 | 34.8% | 30.3 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +0.8 | 2-3 | 2-1 | 73.2 | 34.8 | 42.4% | 42.4 | 55.2 | 23.4 | 38.9% | 30.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 74.2 | 33.7 | 27-64 | 42.8% | 7-23 | 31.2% | 12-18 | 67.3% | 41 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 11 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.1 | 29.9 | 23-56 | 41.8% | 6-19 | 33.2% | 13-20 | 67.5% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 79.7 | 36.3 | 28-64 | 43.7% | 9-29 | 31.0% | 15-22 | 67.7% | 43 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 12 | 12 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 54.5 | 22.7 | 18-48 | 38.5% | 5-17 | 30.8% | 12-18 | 70.1% | 31 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 6 | 21 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.2 | 29.6 | 23-54 | 42.3% | 7-20 | 34.0% | 15-21 | 71.7% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 48.0 | 16.3 | 16-45 | 34.8% | 5-17 | 32.0% | 11-17 | 65.4% | 30 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 6 | 22 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: ILLINOIS ST 70.5, LOUISVILLE 75.5 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS ST games 43.5% of the time since 1997. (136-177) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS ST games 38.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (20-32) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 51.2% of the time since 1997. (200-191) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 54% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-29) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [G] 12/01/2012 - Kaza Keane "?" Saturday vs. Louisville ( Ankle ) | |
| [C] 11/26/2012 - Gorgui Dieng out 4-6 weeks ( Wrist ) | | [C] 11/09/2012 - Mangok Mathiang out for season ( Eligibility ) | | [G] 11/02/2012 - Mike Marra out for season ( Knee ) |
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