|
|
| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
|---|
|
|
|
| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 13-14 | 39-47 | 206-224 | 2-3 | 29-34 | 112-121 | 17-13 | 51-45 | 270-228 | | in all lined games | 13-14 | 39-47 | 206-224 | 2-3 | 29-34 | 112-121 | 14-13 | 43-45 | 224-223 | | as an underdog | 4-2 | 19-18 | 96-101 | 1-1 | 21-11 | 61-49 | 3-3 | 10-28 | 49-157 | | as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 1-4 | 19-21 | 0-0 | 4-0 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 18-22 | | in road games | 6-6 | 16-19 | 91-91 | 1-2 | 19-7 | 60-42 | 5-7 | 11-26 | 66-135 | | in road lined games | 6-6 | 16-19 | 91-91 | 1-2 | 19-7 | 60-42 | 5-7 | 11-26 | 61-133 | | against conference opponents | 6-11 | 23-33 | 144-161 | 0-3 | 21-21 | 79-83 | 8-9 | 23-34 | 150-166 | | in March games | 0-0 | 5-1 | 19-19 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 19-20 | | on Saturday games | 5-5 | 11-16 | 84-76 | 1-1 | 9-11 | 45-42 | 5-5 | 15-14 | 98-84 | | after a conference game | 5-11 | 23-32 | 144-155 | 0-3 | 22-19 | 75-84 | 7-9 | 22-34 | 155-160 | | revenging a home loss vs opponent | 2-0 | 6-3 | 27-25 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 14-14 | 2-0 | 5-5 | 15-43 | | off a win against a conference rival | 3-4 | 11-10 | 73-67 | 0-2 | 9-8 | 32-42 | 5-2 | 12-10 | 78-69 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 2-4 | 7-18 | 64-69 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 40-44 | 5-2 | 17-14 | 80-72 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 5-1 | 6-4 | 30-33 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 11-14 | 8-1 | 10-3 | 53-30 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 6-11 | 24-28 | 120-127 | 1-2 | 19-19 | 70-76 | 8-10 | 23-32 | 110-161 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 2-7 | 15-17 | 70-71 | 0-2 | 14-11 | 50-43 | 4-5 | 11-21 | 59-88 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-4 | 8-9 | 37-34 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 27-27 | 1-4 | 4-13 | 27-45 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 4-7 | 16-17 | 70-64 | 1-2 | 10-14 | 43-48 | 4-8 | 14-22 | 65-79 |
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 13-15 | 41-49 | 225-218 | 3-3 | 33-34 | 109-129 | 17-13 | 57-41 | 276-220 | | in all lined games | 13-15 | 41-49 | 225-218 | 3-3 | 33-34 | 109-129 | 16-13 | 51-41 | 236-214 | | as a favorite | 7-9 | 24-31 | 102-120 | 1-0 | 20-19 | 74-73 | 11-5 | 37-18 | 158-68 | | as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 1-1 | 22-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 23-10 | | in all home games | 8-6 | 21-21 | 89-100 | 1-1 | 15-15 | 52-52 | 12-3 | 38-11 | 164-62 | | in home lined games | 8-6 | 21-21 | 89-100 | 1-1 | 15-15 | 52-52 | 11-3 | 32-11 | 132-62 | | against conference opponents | 8-8 | 21-32 | 147-159 | 1-1 | 18-21 | 68-89 | 10-7 | 30-26 | 159-154 | | in March games | 0-0 | 3-3 | 23-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 20-18 | | on Saturday games | 6-5 | 17-13 | 79-79 | 2-1 | 13-9 | 46-39 | 8-4 | 21-11 | 101-74 | | after a conference game | 8-7 | 23-30 | 152-152 | 1-1 | 20-20 | 72-87 | 10-6 | 30-25 | 157-155 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 4-2 | 11-13 | 65-78 | 1-1 | 10-10 | 28-31 | 4-2 | 14-11 | 63-82 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 3-9 | 13-19 | 66-69 | 0-2 | 9-12 | 30-41 | 6-6 | 22-11 | 84-64 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 7-10 | 29-29 | 146-136 | 2-3 | 24-22 | 76-91 | 7-11 | 30-30 | 135-156 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 3-5 | 12-18 | 76-76 | 0-1 | 12-12 | 44-56 | 4-5 | 13-19 | 68-87 |
|
|
|
| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 17-13 | -19.4 | 13-14 | 2-3 | 75.5 | 36.3 | 45.9% | 35.5 | 68.5 | 31.2 | 42.5% | 35.6 | | Road Games | 6-8 | -6 | 7-7 | 2-2 | 72.4 | 33.4 | 43.2% | 35.0 | 73.7 | 34.1 | 44.0% | 38.8 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -2.7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 73.0 | 33.4 | 42.7% | 35.4 | 67.2 | 30.8 | 41.8% | 36.8 | | Conference Games | 8-9 | -17.1 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 71.8 | 33.5 | 42.9% | 35.2 | 68.5 | 31.4 | 42.6% | 36.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 75.5 | 36.3 | 27-58 | 45.9% | 7-21 | 34.8% | 14-20 | 72.1% | 35 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.7 | 30.3 | 23-54 | 43.0% | 6-18 | 34.0% | 13-19 | 70.3% | 33 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 72.4 | 33.4 | 25-59 | 43.2% | 8-23 | 34.9% | 14-19 | 71.4% | 35 | 10 | 15 | 20 | 6 | 15 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 68.5 | 31.2 | 24-57 | 42.5% | 7-20 | 33.0% | 13-19 | 69.9% | 36 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 15 | 2 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.3 | 30.8 | 24-54 | 44.0% | 6-18 | 34.7% | 13-19 | 69.8% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 73.7 | 34.1 | 26-59 | 44.0% | 6-19 | 32.5% | 15-22 | 69.8% | 39 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 17-13 | -3.6 | 13-15 | 3-3 | 65.6 | 30.2 | 44.3% | 31.8 | 61.0 | 28.3 | 42.4% | 31.7 | | Home Games | 12-3 | -0.4 | 8-6 | 1-1 | 70.6 | 32.7 | 47.9% | 33.8 | 57.1 | 26.9 | 40.4% | 29.5 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -0.4 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 63.0 | 28.8 | 42.1% | 30.8 | 61.4 | 31.0 | 46.3% | 28.2 | | Conference Games | 10-7 | +1.3 | 8-8 | 1-1 | 62.7 | 28.6 | 44.3% | 30.5 | 58.6 | 26.3 | 43.3% | 30.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 65.6 | 30.2 | 23-51 | 44.3% | 8-21 | 36.1% | 13-16 | 77.0% | 32 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.6 | 30.4 | 23-54 | 43.4% | 6-18 | 34.6% | 13-19 | 70.4% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 70.6 | 32.7 | 24-51 | 47.9% | 8-20 | 40.3% | 14-19 | 73.7% | 34 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 61.0 | 28.3 | 23-53 | 42.4% | 6-19 | 33.8% | 9-14 | 69.0% | 32 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 2 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.4 | 31.8 | 24-55 | 43.8% | 6-19 | 34.6% | 13-19 | 70.0% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 57.1 | 26.9 | 22-53 | 40.4% | 6-19 | 32.5% | 8-12 | 63.7% | 29 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 1 |
|
|
| Average power rating of opponents played: ILLINOIS ST 72.5, N IOWA 73.6 |
|
|
| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
|---|
|
|
| ILLINOIS ST is 18-17 against the spread versus N IOWA since 1997 | | N IOWA is 21-14 straight up against ILLINOIS ST since 1997 | | 12 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| ILLINOIS ST is 4-2 against the spread versus N IOWA over the last 3 seasons | | N IOWA is 4-2 straight up against ILLINOIS ST over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
| ILLINOIS ST is 9-5 against the spread versus N IOWA since 1997 | | N IOWA is 10-4 straight up against ILLINOIS ST since 1997 | | 5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| N IOWA is 1-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS ST over the last 3 seasons | | N IOWA is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS ST over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1/5/2013 | N IOWA | 70 | | SU ATS | 29 | 23-47 | 48.9% | 7-22 | 31.8% | 17-21 | 81.0% | 29 | 5 | 15 | | | ILLINOIS ST | 60 | -9 | | 24 | 27-59 | 45.8% | 2-18 | 11.1% | 4-5 | 80.0% | 30 | 9 | 16 | 3/2/2012 | N IOWA | 42 | -2.5 | Under | 25 | 14-55 | 25.5% | 7-23 | 30.4% | 7-10 | 70.0% | 33 | 5 | 7 | | N | ILLINOIS ST | 54 | 122 | SU ATS | 21 | 20-58 | 34.5% | 3-20 | 15.0% | 11-13 | 84.6% | 48 | 7 | 8 | 2/11/2012 | ILLINOIS ST | 63 | 123 | Over | 34 | 25-55 | 45.5% | 9-26 | 34.6% | 4-8 | 50.0% | 28 | 3 | 12 | | | N IOWA | 78 | -5.5 | SU ATS | 40 | 25-50 | 50.0% | 12-21 | 57.1% | 16-21 | 76.2% | 34 | 7 | 14 | 12/29/2011 | N IOWA | 61 | 121 | Over | 28 | 25-67 | 37.3% | 9-28 | 32.1% | 2-2 | 100.0% | 30 | 9 | 7 | | | ILLINOIS ST | 65 | 0 | SU ATS | 28 | 24-47 | 51.1% | 7-14 | 50.0% | 10-16 | 62.5% | 38 | 6 | 16 |
|
|
|
| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
|---|
|
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS ST games 43.5% of the time since 1997. (145-188) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS ST games 40.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-43) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N IOWA games 46.1% of the time since 1997. (159-186) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N IOWA games 48.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-35) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
|
|
|
|
| [G] 02/16/2013 - Nick Zeisloft out indefinitely ( Knee ) | | [G] 12/13/2012 - Geoffrey Allen dismissed from team ( Legal problems ) | |
| [G] 03/02/2013 - Anthony James is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Illinois State ( Thigh ) | | [F] 12/29/2012 - Chris Olivier expected to transfer ( Personal ) | | [F] 11/02/2012 - Tyler Lange out indefinitely ( Concussion ) |
|
|