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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| ILLINOIS ST | -3 | | | NORTHWESTERN | | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 3-0 | 29-33 | 196-210 | 1-0 | 28-31 | 111-118 | 5-0 | 39-32 | 258-215 | | in all lined games | 3-0 | 29-33 | 196-210 | 1-0 | 28-31 | 111-118 | 3-0 | 32-32 | 213-210 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 1-0 | 11-8 | 50-45 | 1-0 | 6-13 | 43-54 | 1-0 | 11-8 | 54-44 | | as a favorite | 2-0 | 12-17 | 94-107 | 0-0 | 6-21 | 48-68 | 2-0 | 23-7 | 157-52 | | in all neutral court games | 1-0 | 6-1 | 23-22 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6-14 | 1-0 | 5-2 | 30-23 | | as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4-6 | | in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | | in November games | 3-0 | 7-5 | 29-23 | 1-0 | 2-6 | 12-14 | 5-0 | 16-2 | 57-23 | | on Saturday games | 0-0 | 6-11 | 79-71 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 44-41 | 0-0 | 10-9 | 93-79 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 0-0 | 4-4 | 30-29 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10-17 | 1-0 | 7-3 | 38-31 | | after a non-conference game | 3-0 | 11-12 | 57-66 | 1-0 | 6-15 | 36-37 | 5-0 | 24-7 | 109-64 | | when playing on a neutral court | 1-0 | 6-1 | 23-22 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6-14 | 1-0 | 5-2 | 30-23 | | in non-conference games | 3-0 | 12-11 | 58-60 | 1-0 | 7-13 | 32-38 | 5-0 | 24-7 | 116-58 | | in all tournament games | 1-0 | 9-3 | 26-28 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 11-20 | 1-0 | 9-3 | 30-25 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-0 | 19-17 | 115-116 | 0-0 | 18-17 | 69-74 | 2-0 | 17-22 | 104-151 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 0-0 | 12-10 | 66-57 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 42-46 | 1-0 | 11-14 | 62-71 |
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| in all games | 2-0 | 30-27 | 190-194 | 0-0 | 33-23 | 127-114 | 5-0 | 44-28 | 213-247 | | in all lined games | 2-0 | 30-27 | 190-194 | 0-0 | 33-23 | 127-114 | 2-0 | 30-28 | 144-243 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 0-0 | 16-15 | 37-26 | 0-0 | 19-12 | 38-25 | 0-0 | 16-15 | 31-32 | | as an underdog | 0-0 | 13-15 | 127-136 | 0-0 | 15-13 | 74-78 | 0-0 | 6-22 | 55-210 | | in all neutral court games | 1-0 | 6-2 | 25-20 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 17-15 | 1-0 | 6-2 | 22-24 | | as a neutral court underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | | in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2-1 | | in November games | 2-0 | 8-1 | 23-24 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 16-15 | 5-0 | 16-0 | 50-25 | | on Saturday games | 0-0 | 7-2 | 68-67 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 34-36 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 62-92 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 0-0 | 5-3 | 20-17 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 15-9 | 2-0 | 11-3 | 26-26 | | after a non-conference game | 2-0 | 11-9 | 64-64 | 0-0 | 13-5 | 41-36 | 5-0 | 25-8 | 117-71 | | when playing on a neutral court | 1-0 | 6-2 | 25-20 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 17-15 | 1-0 | 6-2 | 22-24 | | in non-conference games | 2-0 | 11-8 | 58-58 | 0-0 | 12-5 | 35-32 | 5-0 | 28-5 | 132-57 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 1-0 | 7-6 | 79-72 | 0-0 | 7-5 | 47-43 | 3-0 | 13-5 | 97-92 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 0-0 | 3-7 | 84-85 | 0-0 | 7-4 | 47-47 | 0-0 | 7-5 | 90-109 | | in all tournament games | 1-0 | 8-6 | 23-26 | 0-0 | 9-4 | 21-19 | 1-0 | 9-5 | 24-27 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-0 | 23-25 | 131-133 | 0-0 | 25-22 | 87-88 | 2-0 | 24-28 | 88-192 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 0-0 | 3-3 | 27-32 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 16-15 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 17-48 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 5-0 | +3.8 | 3-0 | 1-0 | 88.2 | 42.0 | 52.0% | 38.4 | 65.4 | 31.4 | 40.6% | 33.2 | | Road Games | 2-0 | +2.8 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 81.5 | 35.5 | 45.0% | 36.5 | 74.5 | 36.5 | 42.6% | 44.0 | | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +3.8 | 3-0 | 1-0 | 88.2 | 42.0 | 52.0% | 38.4 | 65.4 | 31.4 | 40.6% | 33.2 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 88.2 | 42.0 | 34-65 | 52.0% | 8-21 | 35.8% | 13-19 | 70.5% | 38 | 10 | 19 | 18 | 10 | 13 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 72.4 | 34.9 | 27-59 | 45.2% | 6-19 | 32.9% | 13-18 | 69.8% | 37 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 81.5 | 35.5 | 29-64 | 45.0% | 6-21 | 31.0% | 17-25 | 68.0% | 36 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 6 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 65.4 | 31.4 | 24-59 | 40.6% | 6-20 | 30.7% | 12-16 | 71.6% | 33 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 6 | 18 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.4 | 32.2 | 25-58 | 42.7% | 6-20 | 32.6% | 12-18 | 68.3% | 35 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 74.5 | 36.5 | 27-64 | 42.6% | 6-21 | 31.0% | 13-19 | 68.4% | 44 | 10 | 17 | 20 | 4 | 21 | 4 |
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| All Games | 5-0 | +1 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 72.8 | 36.6 | 47.3% | 39.8 | 50.2 | 20.4 | 35.7% | 32.2 | | Road Games | 1-0 | +1 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 55.0 | 24.0 | 38.3% | 33.0 | 31.0 | 14.0 | 26.5% | 38.0 | | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +1 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 72.8 | 36.6 | 47.3% | 39.8 | 50.2 | 20.4 | 35.7% | 32.2 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 72.8 | 36.6 | 27-56 | 47.3% | 9-22 | 41.4% | 10-15 | 68.4% | 40 | 8 | 21 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 73.6 | 35.7 | 27-59 | 45.9% | 7-19 | 34.8% | 13-19 | 65.9% | 40 | 11 | 16 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 55.0 | 24.0 | 18-47 | 38.3% | 6-19 | 31.6% | 13-14 | 92.9% | 33 | 2 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 50.2 | 20.4 | 19-53 | 35.7% | 5-16 | 31.2% | 7-15 | 48.6% | 32 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 60.4 | 26.6 | 22-55 | 39.5% | 6-19 | 30.8% | 11-19 | 58.5% | 32 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 31.0 | 14.0 | 13-49 | 26.5% | 0-6 | 0.0% | 5-12 | 41.7% | 38 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 14 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: ILLINOIS ST 69.2, NORTHWESTERN 63 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS ST games 43.5% of the time since 1997. (136-177) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS ST games 38.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (20-32) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 53.6% of the time since 1997. (163-141) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 57.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (24-18) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS ST games 51.1% of the time since 1997. (97-93) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS ST games 49.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-27) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 49.1% of the time since 1997. (104-108) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 54.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-25) | |
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| No significant injuries. | |
| [F] 11/23/2012 - Nikola Cerina expected to miss 2-4 weeks ( Ankle ) | | [G/F] 11/23/2012 - Sanjay Lumpkin out indefinitely ( Mononucleosis ) | | [G] 10/26/2012 - JerShon Cobb out for season ( Academics ) |
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