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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 13-17 | 40-52 | 243-240 | 11-17 | 44-45 | 175-206 | 22-11 | 58-41 | 369-175 | | in all lined games | 13-17 | 40-52 | 243-240 | 11-17 | 44-45 | 175-206 | 19-11 | 53-41 | 322-174 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 4-10 | 18-23 | 65-78 | 4-10 | 17-25 | 65-78 | 7-7 | 23-19 | 85-61 | | as an underdog | 7-8 | 15-18 | 67-73 | 6-9 | 21-14 | 60-57 | 6-9 | 11-24 | 40-103 | | in all neutral court games | 3-2 | 6-11 | 59-62 | 4-1 | 9-8 | 52-48 | 4-1 | 7-10 | 76-47 | | as a neutral court underdog of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | | in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8-6 | | against conference opponents | 8-11 | 23-32 | 149-145 | 5-14 | 27-30 | 106-133 | 9-10 | 24-33 | 183-122 | | in March games | 1-3 | 4-8 | 44-46 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 39-46 | 2-2 | 4-8 | 55-37 | | on Friday nights | 0-1 | 2-3 | 26-16 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 12-21 | 2-0 | 5-1 | 41-8 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 2-0 | 4-4 | 45-42 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 30-35 | 2-0 | 6-2 | 69-34 | | after a conference game | 8-10 | 22-31 | 147-145 | 5-13 | 26-29 | 103-136 | 10-9 | 24-32 | 183-121 | | when playing on a neutral court | 3-2 | 6-11 | 59-62 | 4-1 | 9-8 | 52-48 | 4-1 | 7-10 | 76-47 | | off a win against a conference rival | 3-5 | 8-14 | 83-91 | 2-6 | 12-11 | 59-87 | 4-4 | 8-15 | 113-69 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 2-6 | 10-15 | 87-106 | 3-5 | 15-11 | 79-85 | 5-4 | 15-13 | 143-76 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 4-3 | 8-12 | 50-54 | 3-4 | 11-11 | 43-48 | 4-3 | 12-11 | 62-52 | | in all tournament games | 4-0 | 7-7 | 47-43 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 39-40 | 4-0 | 9-5 | 63-30 | | in conference tournament games | 1-0 | 1-2 | 18-18 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 17-17 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 24-13 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 12-12 | 32-36 | 193-182 | 8-15 | 34-35 | 141-162 | 16-10 | 38-34 | 235-159 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 6-8 | 15-23 | 112-106 | 3-11 | 17-23 | 78-109 | 5-9 | 13-27 | 121-104 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 7-9 | 12-20 | 71-74 | 5-11 | 18-15 | 61-73 | 7-9 | 12-21 | 79-71 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 10-15 | 21-30 | 108-118 | 9-15 | 29-22 | 97-103 | 14-11 | 26-26 | 133-102 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games | 1-1 | 2-3 | 20-16 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 10-18 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 18-18 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 3-2 | 8-8 | 57-51 | 2-3 | 7-9 | 39-49 | 3-2 | 10-7 | 68-47 |
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| in all games | 16-13 | 44-39 | 236-240 | 11-14 | 39-42 | 174-185 | 26-5 | 65-34 | 304-210 | | in all lined games | 16-13 | 44-39 | 236-240 | 11-14 | 39-42 | 174-185 | 24-5 | 51-34 | 274-209 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 8-6 | 22-17 | 84-78 | 7-7 | 19-21 | 80-82 | 12-2 | 24-16 | 91-73 | | as a favorite | 13-13 | 29-25 | 154-140 | 9-13 | 24-27 | 94-102 | 21-5 | 41-14 | 228-70 | | in all neutral court games | 1-2 | 4-8 | 39-45 | 2-1 | 5-7 | 31-40 | 2-1 | 6-6 | 43-45 | | as a neutral court favorite of 9.5 to 12 points | 1-1 | 2-1 | 3-2 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 4-1 | | in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-8 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 8-4 | | against conference opponents | 8-10 | 25-30 | 134-154 | 7-11 | 26-31 | 115-122 | 14-4 | 29-28 | 150-143 | | in March games | 1-2 | 4-8 | 34-37 | 0-3 | 4-8 | 25-38 | 2-1 | 6-6 | 35-37 | | on Friday nights | 2-1 | 2-4 | 16-23 | 1-1 | 4-1 | 11-13 | 3-0 | 7-3 | 29-18 | | after a conference game | 8-9 | 25-27 | 138-146 | 7-10 | 25-29 | 117-121 | 13-4 | 31-26 | 155-137 | | when playing on a neutral court | 1-2 | 4-8 | 39-45 | 2-1 | 5-7 | 31-40 | 2-1 | 6-6 | 43-45 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 3-2 | 11-11 | 52-55 | 2-3 | 12-12 | 48-49 | 4-1 | 13-11 | 58-52 | | off a win against a conference rival | 6-7 | 13-14 | 72-75 | 6-7 | 14-14 | 61-58 | 9-4 | 16-12 | 82-67 | | in all tournament games | 3-1 | 5-7 | 32-38 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 24-32 | 4-0 | 7-5 | 34-37 | | in conference tournament games | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9-15 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 10-10 | 30-33 | 172-186 | 10-9 | 34-30 | 139-148 | 16-5 | 39-31 | 189-184 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 5-8 | 17-22 | 93-115 | 7-6 | 20-21 | 88-92 | 9-4 | 21-21 | 91-121 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 22-11 | +4.3 | 13-17 | 11-17 | 69.2 | 33.0 | 41.8% | 33.8 | 64.8 | 29.6 | 42.4% | 34.8 | | Road Games | 10-7 | +7.2 | 9-8 | 6-10 | 68.8 | 33.9 | 41.3% | 32.2 | 65.6 | 30.2 | 42.0% | 37.5 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -1.6 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 58.2 | 28.6 | 35.8% | 31.0 | 63.2 | 28.0 | 44.5% | 34.8 | | Conference Games | 9-10 | -3.9 | 8-11 | 5-14 | 63.6 | 29.8 | 39.6% | 32.1 | 64.6 | 29.4 | 43.5% | 34.6 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 69.2 | 33.0 | 24-58 | 41.8% | 8-24 | 32.6% | 13-18 | 71.9% | 34 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.6 | 29.7 | 23-55 | 41.7% | 6-18 | 33.1% | 13-19 | 68.7% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 68.8 | 33.9 | 24-57 | 41.3% | 8-25 | 34.1% | 13-18 | 73.8% | 32 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 64.8 | 29.6 | 23-53 | 42.4% | 6-19 | 34.5% | 13-19 | 69.5% | 35 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.5 | 31.9 | 24-56 | 43.6% | 6-18 | 34.2% | 13-19 | 69.4% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 65.6 | 30.2 | 23-54 | 42.0% | 6-19 | 31.5% | 14-21 | 69.8% | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 3 |
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| All Games | 26-5 | -9.8 | 16-13 | 11-14 | 80.8 | 39.6 | 48.8% | 38.9 | 62.2 | 27.8 | 38.8% | 30.9 | | Road Games | 9-3 | -4.5 | 6-6 | 6-6 | 75.9 | 36.6 | 46.0% | 36.9 | 67.2 | 28.8 | 40.7% | 32.2 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -3.3 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 69.6 | 30.2 | 41.7% | 37.4 | 68.6 | 27.0 | 42.3% | 37.0 | | Conference Games | 14-4 | -5.3 | 8-10 | 7-11 | 74.6 | 36.3 | 46.3% | 36.5 | 64.4 | 27.2 | 40.6% | 32.2 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 80.8 | 39.6 | 27-55 | 48.8% | 7-18 | 41.8% | 19-26 | 74.3% | 39 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.2 | 29.2 | 23-55 | 41.5% | 6-18 | 32.8% | 13-19 | 68.9% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 75.9 | 36.6 | 25-55 | 46.0% | 7-17 | 43.8% | 18-24 | 74.6% | 37 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 62.2 | 27.8 | 23-58 | 38.8% | 6-19 | 30.4% | 11-16 | 69.9% | 31 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 6 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.7 | 31.5 | 24-55 | 43.3% | 6-18 | 33.9% | 14-20 | 69.2% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 67.2 | 28.8 | 24-59 | 40.7% | 6-19 | 33.3% | 13-18 | 73.1% | 32 | 10 | 12 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: ILLINOIS 77.3, INDIANA 77.3 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| ILLINOIS is 18-12 against the spread versus INDIANA since 1997 | | ILLINOIS is 21-11 straight up against INDIANA since 1997 | | 20 of 29 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| INDIANA is 2-2 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | INDIANA is 2-2 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/7/2013 | INDIANA | 72 | -7 | Under | 41 | 25-50 | 50.0% | 9-17 | 52.9% | 13-14 | 92.9% | 30 | 8 | 14 | | | ILLINOIS | 74 | 149.5 | SU ATS | 29 | 26-58 | 44.8% | 9-24 | 37.5% | 13-15 | 86.7% | 26 | 8 | 10 | 2/9/2012 | ILLINOIS | 71 | 135.5 | Over | 36 | 26-50 | 52.0% | 7-21 | 33.3% | 12-15 | 80.0% | 23 | 3 | 15 | | | INDIANA | 84 | -6 | SU ATS | 38 | 21-42 | 50.0% | 7-12 | 58.3% | 35-42 | 83.3% | 27 | 5 | 10 | 3/5/2011 | INDIANA | 48 | 138 | Under | 27 | 18-57 | 31.6% | 3-17 | 17.6% | 9-11 | 81.8% | 28 | 7 | 10 | | | ILLINOIS | 72 | -10.5 | SU ATS | 46 | 28-57 | 49.1% | 6-17 | 35.3% | 10-13 | 76.9% | 41 | 7 | 10 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 52.9% of the time since 1997. (210-187) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 57.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (43-32) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in INDIANA games 48.6% of the time since 1997. (191-202) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in INDIANA games 53% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-31) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 50% of the time since 1997. (159-159) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 52.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-35) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in INDIANA games 50.6% of the time since 1997. (161-157) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in INDIANA games 43.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-41) | |
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| No significant injuries. | |
| No significant injuries. |
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