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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 7:30 PM
ILLINOIS (18-8) AT NORTHWESTERN (13-12) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
819: ILLINOIS
820: NORTHWESTERN
129.0
+3.0
71.8 / 66.3
63.4 / 62.4
18-8
13-12
11-12
12-10
10-11
9-7
42.8
41.7
72.8
66.0
33.3
35.5
42.6
41.6
68.8
64.4
35.0
33.6
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
ILLINOIS-2 
NORTHWESTERN  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ILLINOIS - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games11-1238-47241-23510-1143-39174-20018-854-38365-172
in all lined games11-1238-47241-23510-1143-39174-20015-849-38318-171
when the total is 120 to 129.53-29-1255-503-215-753-553-210-1268-40
as a favorite5-724-32172-1644-622-29112-14510-239-17276-70
as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points1-03-312-110-13-37-121-03-316-8
in road games5-313-1479-752-516-1255-755-311-1882-82
in road lined games5-313-1479-752-516-1255-755-311-1881-81
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.51-12-615-220-26-318-211-12-716-23
against conference opponents6-621-27147-1404-826-24105-1275-720-30179-119
in February games3-18-962-432-211-832-493-18-1174-36
after a conference game6-520-26145-1404-725-23102-1306-620-29179-118
revenging a home loss vs opponent1-45-726-221-45-717-231-43-919-30
off a win against a conference rival2-27-1182-882-212-759-832-26-13111-67
after allowing 60 points or less1-49-1386-1043-215-879-823-313-12141-75
when playing against a team with a winning record10-930-33191-1798-1034-30141-15714-736-31233-156
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games4-513-20110-1033-617-1878-1043-611-24119-101
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games5-510-1669-704-617-1060-684-69-1876-68
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game8-1119-26106-1148-1028-1796-9811-823-23130-99
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-01-316-170-12-28-151-01-331-3
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game2-02-522-281-13-416-212-04-450-9

NORTHWESTERN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games12-1040-37200-2049-742-30136-12113-1252-40221-259
in all lined games12-1040-37200-2049-742-30136-12110-1238-40152-255
when the total is 120 to 129.54-46-850-576-112-259-472-66-940-69
as an underdog8-521-20135-1416-621-1980-845-811-3060-218
as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points0-01-010-110-01-08-50-01-08-14
in all home games6-618-1890-975-316-1661-548-733-16160-98
in home lined games6-618-1890-975-316-1661-545-720-1694-94
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.52-23-326-234-05-127-211-32-424-25
against conference opponents6-625-25138-1424-725-2596-894-820-3185-198
in February games2-19-967-492-012-639-321-29-1046-75
after a conference game6-525-23132-1343-723-2589-854-723-27100-182
off a loss against a conference rival5-216-1393-863-414-1659-554-317-1371-116
after scoring 60 points or less7-310-1091-885-412-852-516-413-996-113
when playing against a team with a winning record10-832-33140-1419-634-2896-948-1130-3994-203
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games5-319-1984-762-515-2254-603-513-2541-124
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ILLINOIS - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games18-8+511-1210-1171.834.142.8%34.466.330.842.6%34.8
Road Games8-4+7.97-56-574.036.643.4%32.368.732.542.5%38.1
Last 5 Games3-2+4.44-13-270.632.842.8%30.467.632.045.1%34.8
Conference Games5-7-3.26-64-865.930.540.8%32.567.731.944.5%34.7
ILLINOIS Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)71.834.125-5942.8%8-2433.3%13-1872.8%341111187124
vs opponents surrendering64.729.923-5541.7%6-1833.2%13-1968.1%33912187133
Team Stats (Road Games)74.036.625-5843.4%9-2536.1%15-2075.8%32911208104
Stats Against (All Games)66.330.823-5442.6%7-1935.0%14-2068.7%351012176153
vs opponents averaging69.632.725-5644.0%6-1934.9%14-2069.0%361014177134
Stats Against (Road Games)68.732.524-5642.5%6-1933.2%14-2167.6%381212175143

NORTHWESTERN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games13-12-1.412-109-763.429.241.7%31.862.427.141.6%37.0
Home Games8-7-106-65-365.731.142.9%32.762.728.741.4%37.4
Last 5 Games1-4-1.22-32-257.228.240.3%29.066.429.643.8%39.0
Conference Games4-8+3.46-64-758.725.840.3%27.965.728.243.6%39.5
NORTHWESTERN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)63.429.222-5241.7%8-2235.5%12-1966.0%32715166113
vs opponents surrendering6530.123-5641.6%6-1833.0%13-1868.6%34912187133
Team Stats (Home Games)65.731.123-5342.9%8-2237.0%12-2062.4%33717155105
Stats Against (All Games)62.427.122-5441.6%5-1633.6%12-1964.4%371113186124
vs opponents averaging68.731.924-5643.4%6-1933.8%14-2068.8%361013176134
Stats Against (Home Games)62.728.723-5541.4%6-1635.8%11-1864.6%371014186123
Average power rating of opponents played: ILLINOIS 75.5,  NORTHWESTERN 74.6
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
ILLINOIS is 16-13 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1997
ILLINOIS is 23-6 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997
9 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 3-2 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 3-2 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NORTHWESTERN since 1997
ILLINOIS is 9-4 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1997
ILLINOIS is 10-3 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 2-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/17/2013NORTHWESTERN68131SU ATS3617-3647.2%8-1553.3%26-3183.9%24315
 ILLINOIS54-10 Under2119-4938.8%3-2015.0%13-2065.0%301318
2/5/2012NORTHWESTERN74129SU ATS3629-4860.4%8-2040.0%8-1553.3%24510
 ILLINOIS70-6 Over3326-4854.2%11-2445.8%7-1163.6%22612
1/4/2012ILLINOIS57133.5SU ATS3121-4942.9%4-1040.0%11-2055.0%36711
 NORTHWESTERN56-2 Under3620-5536.4%5-1827.8%11-1861.1%3499
2/5/2011ILLINOIS70136.5 ATS2925-5149.0%8-1457.1%12-1675.0%32514
 NORTHWESTERN71-2SU Over3523-4847.9%9-2142.9%16-2272.7%25510
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ILLINOIS in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 52.8% of the time since 1997. (206-184)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 57.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-29)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 53.3% of the time since 1997. (171-150)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 54.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-27)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (155-159)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-35)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 49.1% of the time since 1997. (111-115)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 53.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-32)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ILLINOIS
No significant injuries.
NORTHWESTERN
[G] 02/16/2013 - Reggie Hearn injured last game, probable Sunday vs. Illinois ( Ankle )
[F] 02/12/2013 - Jared Swopshire out for season ( Knee )
[C] 02/11/2013 - Alex Olah expected to miss Sunday vs. Illinois ( Head )
[C] 02/04/2013 - Chier Ajou out for season ( Knee )
[G/F] 12/31/2012 - Sanjay Lumpkin expected to redshirt ( Wrist )
[G/F] 12/14/2012 - Drew Crawford out for season ( Shoulder )
[G] 10/26/2012 - JerShon Cobb out for season ( Academics )
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