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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 6-8 | 33-43 | 236-231 | 7-5 | 40-33 | 171-194 | 14-3 | 50-33 | 361-167 | | in all lined games | 6-8 | 33-43 | 236-231 | 7-5 | 40-33 | 171-194 | 11-3 | 45-33 | 314-166 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 2-0 | 8-10 | 54-48 | 2-0 | 14-5 | 52-53 | 2-0 | 9-10 | 67-38 | | as an underdog | 3-2 | 11-12 | 63-67 | 4-1 | 19-6 | 58-49 | 3-2 | 8-17 | 37-96 | | as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-0 | 0-4 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 6-13 | | in road games | 2-2 | 10-13 | 76-74 | 1-2 | 15-9 | 54-72 | 3-1 | 9-16 | 80-80 | | in road lined games | 2-2 | 10-13 | 76-74 | 1-2 | 15-9 | 54-72 | 3-1 | 9-16 | 79-79 | | in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 14-21 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 18-19 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 15-22 | | against conference opponents | 1-2 | 16-23 | 142-136 | 1-2 | 23-18 | 102-121 | 1-2 | 16-25 | 175-114 | | in January games | 1-2 | 7-10 | 55-63 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 41-47 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 68-55 | | on Saturday games | 2-2 | 9-10 | 73-78 | 3-1 | 13-7 | 59-53 | 3-1 | 10-10 | 105-60 | | after a conference game | 1-1 | 15-22 | 140-136 | 1-1 | 22-17 | 99-124 | 2-1 | 16-24 | 175-113 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-0 | 10-12 | 60-48 | 0-1 | 11-12 | 41-42 | 1-0 | 11-12 | 63-47 | | after allowing 80 points or more | 0-1 | 2-4 | 14-16 | 1-0 | 5-2 | 16-6 | 1-0 | 5-2 | 22-11 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 6-5 | 26-29 | 187-175 | 6-4 | 32-24 | 139-151 | 11-2 | 33-26 | 230-151 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 0-1 | 9-16 | 106-99 | 1-0 | 15-12 | 76-98 | 0-1 | 8-19 | 116-96 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-1 | 5-12 | 64-66 | 1-0 | 14-4 | 57-62 | 0-1 | 5-13 | 72-63 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 3-7 | 14-22 | 101-110 | 5-4 | 25-11 | 93-92 | 7-3 | 19-18 | 126-94 |
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| in all games | 4-9 | 40-36 | 250-217 | 4-5 | 37-33 | 146-181 | 11-4 | 62-23 | 353-159 | | in all lined games | 4-9 | 40-36 | 250-217 | 4-5 | 37-33 | 146-181 | 9-4 | 53-23 | 320-157 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-5 | 21-18 | 84-78 | 4-2 | 23-14 | 74-87 | 4-2 | 28-11 | 114-50 | | as a favorite | 4-7 | 31-28 | 180-151 | 2-5 | 24-29 | 101-136 | 9-2 | 48-11 | 273-62 | | as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-0 | 2-0 | 22-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 26-2 | | in all home games | 4-4 | 20-15 | 121-93 | 2-3 | 15-15 | 66-75 | 9-1 | 39-5 | 218-31 | | in home lined games | 4-4 | 20-15 | 121-93 | 2-3 | 15-15 | 66-75 | 7-1 | 30-5 | 189-30 | | in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-3 | 12-8 | 38-34 | 2-2 | 10-8 | 32-39 | 4-0 | 18-2 | 64-9 | | against conference opponents | 0-2 | 18-23 | 144-131 | 0-2 | 24-17 | 87-113 | 2-0 | 28-13 | 179-103 | | in January games | 0-2 | 7-10 | 59-59 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 34-42 | 2-0 | 12-5 | 77-44 | | on Saturday games | 1-3 | 10-8 | 85-72 | 1-1 | 8-8 | 41-56 | 3-1 | 13-7 | 122-53 | | when playing with 5 or 6 days rest | 1-0 | 3-2 | 32-25 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 16-24 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 45-16 | | after a conference game | 0-1 | 18-22 | 139-133 | 0-1 | 25-15 | 90-111 | 1-0 | 27-13 | 178-103 | | off a win against a conference rival | 0-1 | 10-17 | 88-87 | 0-1 | 16-11 | 58-80 | 1-0 | 17-10 | 116-62 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 3-7 | 32-18 | 146-129 | 4-4 | 26-21 | 94-102 | 8-3 | 42-14 | 206-87 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 2-2 | 15-7 | 69-71 | 1-2 | 11-10 | 46-48 | 4-0 | 18-4 | 100-49 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-7 | 30-29 | 177-166 | 3-4 | 33-25 | 115-142 | 4-4 | 39-22 | 224-138 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 0-0 | 18-16 | 96-96 | 0-0 | 22-12 | 71-87 | 0-0 | 22-12 | 114-87 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 14-3 | +7 | 6-8 | 7-5 | 75.2 | 36.5 | 43.6% | 36.1 | 65.8 | 29.9 | 41.3% | 35.4 | | Road Games | 6-2 | +5.6 | 4-4 | 5-2 | 79.2 | 39.6 | 44.6% | 34.2 | 70.7 | 33.9 | 41.7% | 39.2 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -2.2 | 1-4 | 3-2 | 71.2 | 36.4 | 39.6% | 34.8 | 73.6 | 34.6 | 42.6% | 41.8 | | Conference Games | 1-2 | -1.2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 67.3 | 33.3 | 39.6% | 36.0 | 69.0 | 30.0 | 41.9% | 37.3 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 75.2 | 36.5 | 26-60 | 43.6% | 9-26 | 35.2% | 14-19 | 71.8% | 36 | 11 | 12 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.4 | 30.7 | 23-56 | 41.7% | 6-19 | 33.2% | 13-19 | 68.0% | 34 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 79.2 | 39.6 | 27-60 | 44.6% | 10-26 | 36.8% | 16-21 | 77.1% | 34 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 65.8 | 29.9 | 24-57 | 41.3% | 7-20 | 33.7% | 12-18 | 66.7% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 71.2 | 33.3 | 26-58 | 44.2% | 7-19 | 34.4% | 14-20 | 69.2% | 37 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 70.7 | 33.9 | 25-60 | 41.7% | 6-20 | 32.9% | 14-21 | 66.3% | 39 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 2 |
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| All Games | 11-4 | -5.9 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 70.6 | 33.9 | 44.3% | 37.3 | 54.9 | 24.6 | 40.4% | 31.3 | | Home Games | 9-1 | -4.5 | 4-4 | 2-3 | 75.5 | 37.0 | 47.0% | 39.3 | 49.5 | 19.5 | 37.5% | 28.2 | | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +1 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 66.6 | 32.6 | 44.8% | 36.2 | 50.0 | 19.4 | 39.9% | 30.2 | | Conference Games | 2-0 | +1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 53.5 | 24.0 | 38.2% | 35.0 | 46.0 | 18.5 | 41.6% | 36.5 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 70.6 | 33.9 | 26-59 | 44.3% | 8-22 | 34.8% | 11-18 | 61.4% | 37 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.7 | 30.5 | 23-55 | 42.3% | 6-19 | 33.7% | 13-18 | 69.5% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 75.5 | 37.0 | 28-60 | 47.0% | 8-22 | 37.0% | 11-17 | 66.1% | 39 | 12 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 54.9 | 24.6 | 21-52 | 40.4% | 4-13 | 32.5% | 9-13 | 68.2% | 31 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.7 | 31.8 | 24-55 | 44.0% | 6-17 | 33.6% | 13-18 | 69.9% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 49.5 | 19.5 | 19-51 | 37.5% | 4-13 | 31.1% | 7-11 | 66.0% | 28 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 2 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: ILLINOIS 71.6, WISCONSIN 72.3 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| WISCONSIN is 17-13 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1997 | | WISCONSIN is 16-16 straight up against ILLINOIS since 1997 | | 12 of 23 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| WISCONSIN is 3-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | WISCONSIN is 3-1 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| WISCONSIN is 7-6 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1997 | | WISCONSIN is 9-4 straight up against ILLINOIS since 1997 | | 5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| WISCONSIN is 2-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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3/4/2012 | ILLINOIS | 56 | 116 | Over | 18 | 21-53 | 39.6% | 4-17 | 23.5% | 10-14 | 71.4% | 32 | 6 | 10 | | | WISCONSIN | 70 | -9.5 | SU ATS | 31 | 21-47 | 44.7% | 7-19 | 36.8% | 21-27 | 77.8% | 32 | 6 | 7 | 1/22/2012 | WISCONSIN | 67 | -1 | SU ATS | 26 | 24-54 | 44.4% | 9-22 | 40.9% | 10-18 | 55.6% | 33 | 7 | 10 | | | ILLINOIS | 63 | 112.5 | Over | 26 | 24-55 | 43.6% | 3-12 | 25.0% | 12-15 | 80.0% | 31 | 4 | 9 | 1/15/2011 | ILLINOIS | 66 | 124 | Over | 25 | 16-53 | 30.2% | 4-16 | 25.0% | 30-36 | 83.3% | 35 | 14 | 7 | | | WISCONSIN | 76 | -6 | SU ATS | 27 | 18-46 | 39.1% | 6-20 | 30.0% | 34-41 | 82.9% | 35 | 11 | 7 | 1/2/2011 | WISCONSIN | 61 | 124.5 | Over | 34 | 21-60 | 35.0% | 10-35 | 28.6% | 9-12 | 75.0% | 25 | 11 | 3 | | | ILLINOIS | 69 | -2.5 | SU ATS | 37 | 23-41 | 56.1% | 6-12 | 50.0% | 17-22 | 77.3% | 34 | 5 | 12 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (199-183) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 53.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-28) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 50.8% of the time since 1997. (194-188) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 56.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-28) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (151-155) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-31) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 47.9% of the time since 1997. (138-150) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 47.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-34) | |
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| No significant injuries. | |
| [F] 12/08/2012 - Duje Dukan redshirt ( None ) | | [G] 10/28/2012 - Josh Gasser out for season ( Knee ) |
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