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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 2:15 PM
ILLINOIS (14-3) AT WISCONSIN (11-4) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
565: ILLINOIS
566: WISCONSIN
128.0
-6.5
75.2 / 65.8
70.6 / 54.9
14-3
11-4
6-8
4-9
7-5
4-5
43.6
44.3
71.8
61.4
35.2
34.8
41.3
40.4
66.7
68.2
33.7
32.5
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
ILLINOIS  
WISCONSIN-8 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ILLINOIS - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games6-833-43236-2317-540-33171-19414-350-33361-167
in all lined games6-833-43236-2317-540-33171-19411-345-33314-166
when the total is 120 to 129.52-08-1054-482-014-552-532-09-1067-38
as an underdog3-211-1263-674-119-658-493-28-1737-96
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points0-00-49-90-04-18-70-00-56-13
in road games2-210-1376-741-215-954-723-19-1680-80
in road lined games2-210-1376-741-215-954-723-19-1679-79
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.50-01-514-210-06-118-190-01-615-22
against conference opponents1-216-23142-1361-223-18102-1211-216-25175-114
in January games1-27-1055-631-28-941-471-28-968-55
on Saturday games2-29-1073-783-113-759-533-110-10105-60
after a conference game1-115-22140-1361-122-1799-1242-116-24175-113
off a loss against a conference rival1-010-1260-480-111-1241-421-011-1263-47
after allowing 80 points or more0-12-414-161-05-216-61-05-222-11
when playing against a team with a winning record6-526-29187-1756-432-24139-15111-233-26230-151
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games0-19-16106-991-015-1276-980-18-19116-96
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-15-1264-661-014-457-620-15-1372-63
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game3-714-22101-1105-425-1193-927-319-18126-94

WISCONSIN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games4-940-36250-2174-537-33146-18111-462-23353-159
in all lined games4-940-36250-2174-537-33146-1819-453-23320-157
when the total is 120 to 129.51-521-1884-784-223-1474-874-228-11114-50
as a favorite4-731-28180-1512-524-29101-1369-248-11273-62
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points0-02-022-60-01-18-140-02-026-2
in all home games4-420-15121-932-315-1566-759-139-5218-31
in home lined games4-420-15121-932-315-1566-757-130-5189-30
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.51-312-838-342-210-832-394-018-264-9
against conference opponents0-218-23144-1310-224-1787-1132-028-13179-103
in January games0-27-1059-590-28-934-422-012-577-44
on Saturday games1-310-885-721-18-841-563-113-7122-53
when playing with 5 or 6 days rest1-03-232-250-03-116-241-02-345-16
after a conference game0-118-22139-1330-125-1590-1111-027-13178-103
off a win against a conference rival0-110-1788-870-116-1158-801-017-10116-62
after allowing 60 points or less3-732-18146-1294-426-2194-1028-342-14206-87
after scoring 60 points or less2-215-769-711-211-1046-484-018-4100-49
when playing against a team with a winning record1-730-29177-1663-433-25115-1424-439-22224-138
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games0-018-1696-960-022-1271-870-022-12114-87
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ILLINOIS - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games14-3+76-87-575.236.543.6%36.165.829.941.3%35.4
Road Games6-2+5.64-45-279.239.644.6%34.270.733.941.7%39.2
Last 5 Games2-3-2.21-43-271.236.439.6%34.873.634.642.6%41.8
Conference Games1-2-1.21-21-267.333.339.6%36.069.030.041.9%37.3
ILLINOIS Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)75.236.526-6043.6%9-2635.2%14-1971.8%361112178125
vs opponents surrendering66.430.723-5641.7%6-1933.2%13-1968.0%341012187144
Team Stats (Road Games)79.239.627-6044.6%10-2636.8%16-2177.1%34911208115
Stats Against (All Games)65.829.924-5741.3%7-2033.7%12-1866.7%351013176153
vs opponents averaging71.233.326-5844.2%7-1934.4%14-2069.2%371114187133
Stats Against (Road Games)70.733.925-6041.7%6-2032.9%14-2166.3%391213174142

WISCONSIN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games11-4-5.94-94-570.633.944.3%37.354.924.640.4%31.3
Home Games9-1-4.54-42-375.537.047.0%39.349.519.537.5%28.2
Last 5 Games5-0+11-41-366.632.644.8%36.250.019.439.9%30.2
Conference Games2-0+10-20-253.524.038.2%35.046.018.541.6%36.5
WISCONSIN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)70.633.926-5944.3%8-2234.8%11-1861.4%37121513795
vs opponents surrendering65.730.523-5542.3%6-1933.7%13-1869.5%34912176133
Team Stats (Home Games)75.537.028-6047.0%8-2237.0%11-1766.1%39121611885
Stats Against (All Games)54.924.621-5240.4%4-1332.5%9-1368.2%3168185133
vs opponents averaging66.731.824-5544.0%6-1733.6%13-1869.9%34913176133
Stats Against (Home Games)49.519.519-5137.5%4-1331.1%7-1166.0%2858175142
Average power rating of opponents played: ILLINOIS 71.6,  WISCONSIN 72.3
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
WISCONSIN is 17-13 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1997
WISCONSIN is 16-16 straight up against ILLINOIS since 1997
12 of 23 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 3-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 3-1 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at WISCONSIN since 1997
WISCONSIN is 7-6 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1997
WISCONSIN is 9-4 straight up against ILLINOIS since 1997
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 2-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
3/4/2012ILLINOIS56116 Over1821-5339.6%4-1723.5%10-1471.4%32610
 WISCONSIN70-9.5SU ATS3121-4744.7%7-1936.8%21-2777.8%3267
1/22/2012WISCONSIN67-1SU ATS2624-5444.4%9-2240.9%10-1855.6%33710
 ILLINOIS63112.5 Over2624-5543.6%3-1225.0%12-1580.0%3149
1/15/2011ILLINOIS66124 Over2516-5330.2%4-1625.0%30-3683.3%35147
 WISCONSIN76-6SU ATS2718-4639.1%6-2030.0%34-4182.9%35117
1/2/2011WISCONSIN61124.5 Over3421-6035.0%10-3528.6%9-1275.0%25113
 ILLINOIS69-2.5SU ATS3723-4156.1%6-1250.0%17-2277.3%34512
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ILLINOIS in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (199-183)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 53.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-28)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 50.8% of the time since 1997. (194-188)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 56.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-28)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (151-155)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-31)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 47.9% of the time since 1997. (138-150)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 47.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-34)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ILLINOIS
No significant injuries.
WISCONSIN
[F] 12/08/2012 - Duje Dukan redshirt ( None )
[G] 10/28/2012 - Josh Gasser out for season ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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