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Matchup Reports

Friday at 8:55 PM
IOWA (21-11) AT MICHIGAN ST (24-7) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
835: IOWA
836: MICHIGAN ST
129.0
-5.5
70.8 / 63.0
68.9 / 59.3
21-11
24-7
19-9
13-14
10-15
13-14
42.1
46.4
72.3
71.4
30.1
34.4
38.7
39.2
70.2
65.6
29.2
30.2
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
IOWA  
MICHIGAN ST-7 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
IOWA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games19-949-39217-24710-1539-43160-16821-1150-48280-233
in all lined games19-949-39217-24710-1539-43160-16817-1141-47240-232
when the total is 120 to 129.55-010-348-394-08-444-414-18-539-48
as an underdog7-526-24112-1205-722-2795-992-1014-3665-169
in all neutral court games3-16-536-333-15-528-273-15-636-34
as a neutral court underdog of 3.5 to 6 points0-00-15-90-00-03-80-00-14-10
in a neutral court game where the total is 120 to 129.51-01-06-31-01-05-31-01-05-4
against conference opponents13-633-25143-1477-1026-30107-10910-923-35130-166
in March games4-08-436-332-26-629-323-16-634-36
on Friday nights1-01-418-220-03-016-132-04-432-19
when playing with one or less days rest0-12-427-371-04-221-221-14-447-26
after a conference game12-632-25136-1517-925-29105-11110-825-33130-165
when playing on a neutral court3-16-536-333-15-528-273-15-636-34
revenging a home loss vs opponent3-09-434-300-36-722-281-25-818-47
off a win against a conference rival7-214-860-664-49-1248-525-49-1349-80
after allowing 60 points or less8-413-1275-785-612-1054-589-414-1395-74
in all tournament games2-16-539-392-16-433-312-15-645-36
in conference tournament games1-03-117-101-02-212-131-02-215-13
when playing against a team with a winning record13-537-29161-1806-1030-32121-1338-1027-42158-198
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games9-225-1797-992-816-2574-845-616-2674-125
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games10-317-1172-644-711-1554-616-711-1751-87
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game12-525-17110-1107-820-2084-898-1017-2697-130

MICHIGAN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games13-1446-46261-23413-1441-51185-22424-771-31401-149
in all lined games13-1446-46261-23413-1441-51185-22421-763-31355-149
when the total is 120 to 129.55-714-1849-487-615-1838-6111-224-966-34
as a favorite8-1031-37198-1789-931-38143-16118-153-17311-74
in all neutral court games1-18-1064-521-17-1145-581-19-977-43
as a neutral court favorite of 3.5 to 6 points0-01-410-80-00-59-60-01-410-8
in a neutral court game where the total is 120 to 129.50-00-312-110-01-28-150-01-214-9
against conference opponents10-732-26156-13610-827-33108-13813-540-20210-89
in March games2-18-859-421-28-841-492-110-672-31
on Friday nights1-16-223-250-23-518-231-17-241-17
after a conference game10-631-26158-1329-827-32110-13813-439-20212-86
when playing on a neutral court1-18-1064-521-17-1145-581-19-977-43
off a win against a conference rival7-423-15116-887-515-2476-9610-227-12150-58
in all tournament games0-06-656-490-04-843-520-09-472-37
in conference tournament games0-04-214-160-01-511-170-05-118-12
when playing against a team with a winning record11-1038-37199-18510-1135-40153-17915-649-28259-139
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games9-424-23127-1055-822-26100-1139-429-19156-82
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games9-419-1681-746-816-2061-8110-421-15104-55
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game10-826-23113-1189-1022-2888-11314-531-19149-89
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
IOWA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games21-11+2.819-910-1570.832.442.1%39.763.027.038.7%34.8
Road Games5-9-3.28-67-667.430.539.1%38.270.329.642.6%36.2
Last 5 Games4-1+45-02-365.627.240.2%41.459.023.035.4%33.2
Conference Games10-9+1.813-67-1066.629.240.0%38.564.326.540.0%35.6
IOWA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)70.832.424-5742.1%5-1730.1%18-2472.3%401115177135
vs opponents surrendering64.529.423-5442.0%6-1833.2%13-1968.4%34912186133
Team Stats (Road Games)67.430.523-5839.1%6-1831.1%16-2369.8%381114205124
Stats Against (All Games)63.027.022-5838.7%6-1929.2%12-1870.2%351011207134
vs opponents averaging66.430.623-5542.6%6-1933.7%13-1969.4%351013176124
Stats Against (Road Games)70.329.625-5842.6%5-1829.5%16-2270.9%36913207106

MICHIGAN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games24-7+5.513-1413-1468.931.946.4%37.459.327.739.2%30.6
Road Games7-6-0.46-66-765.031.444.0%35.964.230.444.0%30.2
Last 5 Games2-3-2.12-32-362.830.043.6%35.860.426.640.8%31.0
Conference Games13-5+6.610-710-867.530.445.4%35.361.728.542.0%31.1
MICHIGAN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)68.931.925-5346.4%5-1534.4%14-2071.4%371014168134
vs opponents surrendering64.729.123-5541.3%6-1832.4%13-1970.0%35912186134
Team Stats (Road Games)65.031.424-5544.0%5-1435.2%12-1771.2%361012177144
Stats Against (All Games)59.327.721-5439.2%5-1830.2%12-1865.6%31811177133
vs opponents averaging68.231.724-5643.2%6-1834.0%13-2068.8%361013177124
Stats Against (Road Games)64.230.423-5244.0%5-1632.4%13-1968.5%30811157124
Average power rating of opponents played: IOWA 75.2,  MICHIGAN ST 77.8
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 19-12 against the spread versus IOWA since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 23-8 straight up against IOWA since 1997
15 of 25 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 4-2 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 5-1 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/10/2013MICHIGAN ST62-2SU ATS2423-5740.4%3-1127.3%13-2161.9%36912
 IOWA59136 Under2823-5145.1%4-1625.0%9-1560.0%35618
3/9/2012IOWA75134.5 Over3923-5343.4%10-2050.0%19-2673.1%2459
NMICHIGAN ST92-11.5SU ATS5532-5558.2%8-1844.4%20-2774.1%36912
1/10/2012IOWA61143.5 Over2423-6336.5%4-1428.6%11-1957.9%331621
 MICHIGAN ST95-13.5SU ATS4637-6061.7%10-1855.6%11-1573.3%371015
3/10/2011IOWA61131 ATS3122-5639.3%4-944.4%13-1776.5%311313
NMICHIGAN ST66-7SU Under3322-5440.7%4-1428.6%18-2378.3%391515
3/2/2011IOWA66131.5 Over3223-5641.1%0-120.0%20-3360.6%32911
 MICHIGAN ST85-11SU ATS3630-5554.5%7-1450.0%18-2766.7%37713
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MICHIGAN ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in IOWA games 53.8% of the time since 1997. (197-169)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in IOWA games 53.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-31)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.4% of the time since 1997. (187-216)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-42)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in IOWA games 54.9% of the time since 1997. (156-128)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in IOWA games 50.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-36)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54.2% of the time since 1997. (195-165)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 52.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (45-41)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
IOWA
[G] 03/15/2013 - Mike Gesell probable Friday vs. Michigan State ( Foot )
[F] 11/11/2012 - Kyle Meyer expected to redshirt ( Personal )
MICHIGAN ST
[G] 12/28/2012 - Brandan Kearney expected to transfer ( Personal )
[F] 11/19/2012 - Kenny Kaminski out for season ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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