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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 19-9 | 49-39 | 217-247 | 10-15 | 39-43 | 160-168 | 21-11 | 50-48 | 280-233 | | in all lined games | 19-9 | 49-39 | 217-247 | 10-15 | 39-43 | 160-168 | 17-11 | 41-47 | 240-232 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 5-0 | 10-3 | 48-39 | 4-0 | 8-4 | 44-41 | 4-1 | 8-5 | 39-48 | | as an underdog | 7-5 | 26-24 | 112-120 | 5-7 | 22-27 | 95-99 | 2-10 | 14-36 | 65-169 | | in all neutral court games | 3-1 | 6-5 | 36-33 | 3-1 | 5-5 | 28-27 | 3-1 | 5-6 | 36-34 | | as a neutral court underdog of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4-10 | | in a neutral court game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 6-3 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 5-3 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 5-4 | | against conference opponents | 13-6 | 33-25 | 143-147 | 7-10 | 26-30 | 107-109 | 10-9 | 23-35 | 130-166 | | in March games | 4-0 | 8-4 | 36-33 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 29-32 | 3-1 | 6-6 | 34-36 | | on Friday nights | 1-0 | 1-4 | 18-22 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 16-13 | 2-0 | 4-4 | 32-19 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 0-1 | 2-4 | 27-37 | 1-0 | 4-2 | 21-22 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 47-26 | | after a conference game | 12-6 | 32-25 | 136-151 | 7-9 | 25-29 | 105-111 | 10-8 | 25-33 | 130-165 | | when playing on a neutral court | 3-1 | 6-5 | 36-33 | 3-1 | 5-5 | 28-27 | 3-1 | 5-6 | 36-34 | | revenging a home loss vs opponent | 3-0 | 9-4 | 34-30 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 22-28 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 18-47 | | off a win against a conference rival | 7-2 | 14-8 | 60-66 | 4-4 | 9-12 | 48-52 | 5-4 | 9-13 | 49-80 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 8-4 | 13-12 | 75-78 | 5-6 | 12-10 | 54-58 | 9-4 | 14-13 | 95-74 | | in all tournament games | 2-1 | 6-5 | 39-39 | 2-1 | 6-4 | 33-31 | 2-1 | 5-6 | 45-36 | | in conference tournament games | 1-0 | 3-1 | 17-10 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 12-13 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 15-13 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 13-5 | 37-29 | 161-180 | 6-10 | 30-32 | 121-133 | 8-10 | 27-42 | 158-198 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 9-2 | 25-17 | 97-99 | 2-8 | 16-25 | 74-84 | 5-6 | 16-26 | 74-125 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 10-3 | 17-11 | 72-64 | 4-7 | 11-15 | 54-61 | 6-7 | 11-17 | 51-87 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 12-5 | 25-17 | 110-110 | 7-8 | 20-20 | 84-89 | 8-10 | 17-26 | 97-130 |
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| in all games | 13-14 | 46-46 | 261-234 | 13-14 | 41-51 | 185-224 | 24-7 | 71-31 | 401-149 | | in all lined games | 13-14 | 46-46 | 261-234 | 13-14 | 41-51 | 185-224 | 21-7 | 63-31 | 355-149 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 5-7 | 14-18 | 49-48 | 7-6 | 15-18 | 38-61 | 11-2 | 24-9 | 66-34 | | as a favorite | 8-10 | 31-37 | 198-178 | 9-9 | 31-38 | 143-161 | 18-1 | 53-17 | 311-74 | | in all neutral court games | 1-1 | 8-10 | 64-52 | 1-1 | 7-11 | 45-58 | 1-1 | 9-9 | 77-43 | | as a neutral court favorite of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10-8 | | in a neutral court game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14-9 | | against conference opponents | 10-7 | 32-26 | 156-136 | 10-8 | 27-33 | 108-138 | 13-5 | 40-20 | 210-89 | | in March games | 2-1 | 8-8 | 59-42 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 41-49 | 2-1 | 10-6 | 72-31 | | on Friday nights | 1-1 | 6-2 | 23-25 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 18-23 | 1-1 | 7-2 | 41-17 | | after a conference game | 10-6 | 31-26 | 158-132 | 9-8 | 27-32 | 110-138 | 13-4 | 39-20 | 212-86 | | when playing on a neutral court | 1-1 | 8-10 | 64-52 | 1-1 | 7-11 | 45-58 | 1-1 | 9-9 | 77-43 | | off a win against a conference rival | 7-4 | 23-15 | 116-88 | 7-5 | 15-24 | 76-96 | 10-2 | 27-12 | 150-58 | | in all tournament games | 0-0 | 6-6 | 56-49 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 43-52 | 0-0 | 9-4 | 72-37 | | in conference tournament games | 0-0 | 4-2 | 14-16 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 5-1 | 18-12 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 11-10 | 38-37 | 199-185 | 10-11 | 35-40 | 153-179 | 15-6 | 49-28 | 259-139 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 9-4 | 24-23 | 127-105 | 5-8 | 22-26 | 100-113 | 9-4 | 29-19 | 156-82 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 9-4 | 19-16 | 81-74 | 6-8 | 16-20 | 61-81 | 10-4 | 21-15 | 104-55 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 10-8 | 26-23 | 113-118 | 9-10 | 22-28 | 88-113 | 14-5 | 31-19 | 149-89 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 21-11 | +2.8 | 19-9 | 10-15 | 70.8 | 32.4 | 42.1% | 39.7 | 63.0 | 27.0 | 38.7% | 34.8 | | Road Games | 5-9 | -3.2 | 8-6 | 7-6 | 67.4 | 30.5 | 39.1% | 38.2 | 70.3 | 29.6 | 42.6% | 36.2 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +4 | 5-0 | 2-3 | 65.6 | 27.2 | 40.2% | 41.4 | 59.0 | 23.0 | 35.4% | 33.2 | | Conference Games | 10-9 | +1.8 | 13-6 | 7-10 | 66.6 | 29.2 | 40.0% | 38.5 | 64.3 | 26.5 | 40.0% | 35.6 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 70.8 | 32.4 | 24-57 | 42.1% | 5-17 | 30.1% | 18-24 | 72.3% | 40 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.5 | 29.4 | 23-54 | 42.0% | 6-18 | 33.2% | 13-19 | 68.4% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 67.4 | 30.5 | 23-58 | 39.1% | 6-18 | 31.1% | 16-23 | 69.8% | 38 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 63.0 | 27.0 | 22-58 | 38.7% | 6-19 | 29.2% | 12-18 | 70.2% | 35 | 10 | 11 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.4 | 30.6 | 23-55 | 42.6% | 6-19 | 33.7% | 13-19 | 69.4% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 70.3 | 29.6 | 25-58 | 42.6% | 5-18 | 29.5% | 16-22 | 70.9% | 36 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
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| All Games | 24-7 | +5.5 | 13-14 | 13-14 | 68.9 | 31.9 | 46.4% | 37.4 | 59.3 | 27.7 | 39.2% | 30.6 | | Road Games | 7-6 | -0.4 | 6-6 | 6-7 | 65.0 | 31.4 | 44.0% | 35.9 | 64.2 | 30.4 | 44.0% | 30.2 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -2.1 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 62.8 | 30.0 | 43.6% | 35.8 | 60.4 | 26.6 | 40.8% | 31.0 | | Conference Games | 13-5 | +6.6 | 10-7 | 10-8 | 67.5 | 30.4 | 45.4% | 35.3 | 61.7 | 28.5 | 42.0% | 31.1 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 68.9 | 31.9 | 25-53 | 46.4% | 5-15 | 34.4% | 14-20 | 71.4% | 37 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.7 | 29.1 | 23-55 | 41.3% | 6-18 | 32.4% | 13-19 | 70.0% | 35 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 65.0 | 31.4 | 24-55 | 44.0% | 5-14 | 35.2% | 12-17 | 71.2% | 36 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 59.3 | 27.7 | 21-54 | 39.2% | 5-18 | 30.2% | 12-18 | 65.6% | 31 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.2 | 31.7 | 24-56 | 43.2% | 6-18 | 34.0% | 13-20 | 68.8% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 64.2 | 30.4 | 23-52 | 44.0% | 5-16 | 32.4% | 13-19 | 68.5% | 30 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 4 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: IOWA 75.2, MICHIGAN ST 77.8 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| MICHIGAN ST is 19-12 against the spread versus IOWA since 1997 | | MICHIGAN ST is 23-8 straight up against IOWA since 1997 | | 15 of 25 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MICHIGAN ST is 4-2 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons | | MICHIGAN ST is 5-1 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/10/2013 | MICHIGAN ST | 62 | -2 | SU ATS | 24 | 23-57 | 40.4% | 3-11 | 27.3% | 13-21 | 61.9% | 36 | 9 | 12 | | | IOWA | 59 | 136 | Under | 28 | 23-51 | 45.1% | 4-16 | 25.0% | 9-15 | 60.0% | 35 | 6 | 18 | 3/9/2012 | IOWA | 75 | 134.5 | Over | 39 | 23-53 | 43.4% | 10-20 | 50.0% | 19-26 | 73.1% | 24 | 5 | 9 | | N | MICHIGAN ST | 92 | -11.5 | SU ATS | 55 | 32-55 | 58.2% | 8-18 | 44.4% | 20-27 | 74.1% | 36 | 9 | 12 | 1/10/2012 | IOWA | 61 | 143.5 | Over | 24 | 23-63 | 36.5% | 4-14 | 28.6% | 11-19 | 57.9% | 33 | 16 | 21 | | | MICHIGAN ST | 95 | -13.5 | SU ATS | 46 | 37-60 | 61.7% | 10-18 | 55.6% | 11-15 | 73.3% | 37 | 10 | 15 | 3/10/2011 | IOWA | 61 | 131 | ATS | 31 | 22-56 | 39.3% | 4-9 | 44.4% | 13-17 | 76.5% | 31 | 13 | 13 | | N | MICHIGAN ST | 66 | -7 | SU Under | 33 | 22-54 | 40.7% | 4-14 | 28.6% | 18-23 | 78.3% | 39 | 15 | 15 | 3/2/2011 | IOWA | 66 | 131.5 | Over | 32 | 23-56 | 41.1% | 0-12 | 0.0% | 20-33 | 60.6% | 32 | 9 | 11 | | | MICHIGAN ST | 85 | -11 | SU ATS | 36 | 30-55 | 54.5% | 7-14 | 50.0% | 18-27 | 66.7% | 37 | 7 | 13 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in IOWA games 53.8% of the time since 1997. (197-169) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in IOWA games 53.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-31) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.4% of the time since 1997. (187-216) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-42) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in IOWA games 54.9% of the time since 1997. (156-128) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in IOWA games 50.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-36) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54.2% of the time since 1997. (195-165) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 52.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (45-41) | |
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| [G] 03/15/2013 - Mike Gesell probable Friday vs. Michigan State ( Foot ) | | [F] 11/11/2012 - Kyle Meyer expected to redshirt ( Personal ) | |
| [G] 12/28/2012 - Brandan Kearney expected to transfer ( Personal ) | | [F] 11/19/2012 - Kenny Kaminski out for season ( Shoulder ) |
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