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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| INDIANA | -12 |  | | ILLINOIS | | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 11-9 | 39-35 | 231-236 | 8-8 | 36-36 | 171-179 | 20-2 | 59-31 | 298-207 | | in all lined games | 11-9 | 39-35 | 231-236 | 8-8 | 36-36 | 171-179 | 18-2 | 45-31 | 268-206 | | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 4-2 | 11-10 | 36-45 | 4-1 | 11-9 | 32-48 | 5-1 | 14-7 | 42-40 | | as a favorite | 11-9 | 27-21 | 152-136 | 8-8 | 23-22 | 93-97 | 18-2 | 38-11 | 225-67 | | as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points | 1-1 | 2-1 | 9-7 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 7-4 | 2-0 | 3-0 | 12-4 | | in road games | 2-2 | 11-13 | 73-88 | 1-3 | 14-12 | 66-61 | 4-0 | 9-17 | 60-105 | | in road lined games | 2-2 | 11-13 | 73-88 | 1-3 | 14-12 | 66-61 | 4-0 | 9-17 | 59-105 | | in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 2-3 | | against conference opponents | 3-6 | 20-26 | 129-150 | 4-5 | 23-25 | 112-116 | 8-1 | 23-25 | 144-140 | | in February games | 1-0 | 7-7 | 44-66 | 1-0 | 4-11 | 44-44 | 1-0 | 8-8 | 52-61 | | after a conference game | 3-5 | 20-23 | 133-142 | 4-4 | 22-23 | 114-115 | 7-1 | 25-23 | 149-134 | | off a win against a conference rival | 3-4 | 10-11 | 69-72 | 4-3 | 12-10 | 59-54 | 6-1 | 13-9 | 79-64 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 7-5 | 14-11 | 61-49 | 3-5 | 9-12 | 37-37 | 12-2 | 24-8 | 91-34 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 7-6 | 27-29 | 169-182 | 7-5 | 31-26 | 136-144 | 12-2 | 35-28 | 185-181 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 2-4 | 14-18 | 90-111 | 4-2 | 17-17 | 85-88 | 5-1 | 17-18 | 87-118 |
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| in all games | 8-12 | 35-47 | 238-235 | 9-9 | 42-37 | 173-198 | 15-8 | 51-38 | 362-172 | | in all lined games | 8-12 | 35-47 | 238-235 | 9-9 | 42-37 | 173-198 | 12-8 | 46-38 | 315-171 | | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 2-2 | 7-8 | 41-39 | 3-1 | 8-7 | 34-48 | 2-2 | 8-7 | 59-24 | | as an underdog | 4-5 | 12-15 | 64-70 | 6-3 | 21-8 | 60-51 | 3-6 | 8-21 | 37-100 | | as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-0 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 | | in all home games | 2-7 | 18-22 | 102-98 | 3-5 | 17-19 | 66-77 | 8-4 | 35-10 | 206-43 | | in home lined games | 2-7 | 18-22 | 102-98 | 3-5 | 17-19 | 66-77 | 5-4 | 30-10 | 161-43 | | in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 6-0 | | against conference opponents | 3-6 | 18-27 | 144-140 | 3-6 | 25-22 | 104-125 | 2-7 | 17-30 | 176-119 | | in February games | 0-1 | 5-9 | 59-43 | 1-0 | 10-6 | 31-47 | 0-1 | 5-11 | 71-36 | | after a conference game | 3-5 | 17-26 | 142-140 | 3-5 | 24-21 | 101-128 | 3-6 | 17-29 | 176-118 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 3-3 | 12-15 | 62-51 | 2-4 | 13-15 | 43-45 | 2-4 | 12-16 | 64-51 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 1-0 | 3-2 | 13-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 1-0 | 3-3 | 12-9 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 8-9 | 28-33 | 189-179 | 8-8 | 34-28 | 141-155 | 12-7 | 34-31 | 231-156 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 2-5 | 11-20 | 108-103 | 3-4 | 17-16 | 78-102 | 1-6 | 9-24 | 117-101 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 2-5 | 7-16 | 66-70 | 3-4 | 16-8 | 59-66 | 1-6 | 6-18 | 73-68 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 5-11 | 16-26 | 103-114 | 7-8 | 27-15 | 95-96 | 8-8 | 20-23 | 127-99 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games | 0-1 | 1-3 | 19-16 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 17-18 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 2-2 | 7-8 | 56-51 | 2-2 | 7-8 | 39-48 | 2-2 | 9-7 | 67-47 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 20-2 | -4.5 | 11-9 | 8-8 | 83.8 | 42.1 | 50.1% | 40.2 | 61.0 | 28.1 | 37.7% | 30.0 | | Road Games | 6-1 | -2.5 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 77.3 | 36.7 | 45.9% | 37.9 | 64.0 | 27.3 | 39.0% | 31.1 | | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +4 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 78.4 | 38.2 | 49.2% | 36.6 | 62.2 | 26.6 | 40.7% | 29.2 | | Conference Games | 8-1 | 0 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 75.8 | 39.1 | 47.0% | 37.2 | 63.6 | 27.2 | 39.6% | 31.3 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 83.8 | 42.1 | 28-56 | 50.1% | 8-18 | 42.2% | 20-27 | 74.1% | 40 | 11 | 16 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.6 | 29.4 | 23-54 | 41.9% | 6-18 | 33.0% | 13-19 | 68.6% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 77.3 | 36.7 | 25-54 | 45.9% | 7-16 | 44.0% | 21-29 | 73.1% | 38 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 61.0 | 28.1 | 22-59 | 37.7% | 6-21 | 30.9% | 10-15 | 69.3% | 30 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 7 | 15 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.7 | 31.8 | 24-56 | 43.0% | 6-19 | 33.9% | 13-20 | 68.1% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 64.0 | 27.3 | 23-58 | 39.0% | 7-20 | 34.3% | 12-16 | 74.6% | 31 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 6 | 14 | 4 |
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| All Games | 15-8 | -1.5 | 8-12 | 9-9 | 72.1 | 34.1 | 43.0% | 34.7 | 67.0 | 30.5 | 42.7% | 34.9 | | Home Games | 8-4 | -6.2 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 68.9 | 31.3 | 42.1% | 36.4 | 64.1 | 28.5 | 42.4% | 32.1 | | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | -7.5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 65.6 | 28.8 | 42.0% | 32.4 | 69.4 | 30.8 | 47.0% | 31.6 | | Conference Games | 2-7 | -9.7 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 64.6 | 29.2 | 40.5% | 32.7 | 69.8 | 31.4 | 45.3% | 34.8 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 72.1 | 34.1 | 25-59 | 43.0% | 8-24 | 32.8% | 13-19 | 71.8% | 35 | 11 | 11 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.8 | 30 | 23-55 | 41.9% | 6-18 | 33.3% | 13-19 | 67.5% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 68.9 | 31.3 | 25-60 | 42.1% | 7-23 | 30.5% | 11-17 | 67.2% | 36 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 67.0 | 30.5 | 23-55 | 42.7% | 7-19 | 34.4% | 14-20 | 67.8% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 2 | | vs opponents averaging | 69.4 | 32.5 | 25-56 | 44.0% | 7-19 | 34.8% | 13-19 | 68.6% | 36 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 64.1 | 28.5 | 22-52 | 42.4% | 7-19 | 35.2% | 13-19 | 68.6% | 32 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 2 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: INDIANA 73.8, ILLINOIS 74.4 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| ILLINOIS is 17-12 against the spread versus INDIANA since 1997 | | ILLINOIS is 20-11 straight up against INDIANA since 1997 | | 19 of 28 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| INDIANA is 2-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | INDIANA is 2-1 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| ILLINOIS is 7-4 against the spread versus INDIANA since 1997 | | ILLINOIS is 10-2 straight up against INDIANA since 1997 | | 7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons | | ILLINOIS is 1-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/9/2012 | ILLINOIS | 71 | 135.5 | Over | 36 | 26-50 | 52.0% | 7-21 | 33.3% | 12-15 | 80.0% | 23 | 3 | 15 | | | INDIANA | 84 | -6 | SU ATS | 38 | 21-42 | 50.0% | 7-12 | 58.3% | 35-42 | 83.3% | 27 | 5 | 10 | 3/5/2011 | INDIANA | 48 | 138 | Under | 27 | 18-57 | 31.6% | 3-17 | 17.6% | 9-11 | 81.8% | 28 | 7 | 10 | | | ILLINOIS | 72 | -10.5 | SU ATS | 46 | 28-57 | 49.1% | 6-17 | 35.3% | 10-13 | 76.9% | 41 | 7 | 10 | 1/27/2011 | ILLINOIS | 49 | -4 | Under | 32 | 19-59 | 32.2% | 5-20 | 25.0% | 6-8 | 75.0% | 38 | 13 | 13 | | | INDIANA | 52 | 144.5 | SU ATS | 30 | 18-48 | 37.5% | 5-15 | 33.3% | 11-11 | 100.0% | 34 | 8 | 14 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in INDIANA games 48.4% of the time since 1997. (186-198) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in INDIANA games 52.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-27) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 52.5% of the time since 1997. (203-184) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 55.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-29) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in INDIANA games 51.1% of the time since 1997. (159-152) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in INDIANA games 45.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-36) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.5% of the time since 1997. (154-157) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-33) | |
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| No significant injuries. | |
| No significant injuries. |
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