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The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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in all games | 14-10 | 42-36 | 234-237 | 9-11 | 37-39 | 172-182 | 23-3 | 62-32 | 301-208 | in all lined games | 14-10 | 42-36 | 234-237 | 9-11 | 37-39 | 172-182 | 21-3 | 48-32 | 271-207 | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 4-3 | 11-11 | 36-46 | 4-2 | 11-10 | 32-49 | 5-2 | 14-8 | 42-41 | as an underdog | 1-0 | 13-14 | 80-97 | 1-0 | 14-14 | 78-81 | 1-0 | 8-20 | 44-136 | as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 1-0 | 2-1 | 8-13 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 10-4 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 8-14 | in road games | 3-3 | 12-14 | 74-89 | 2-4 | 15-13 | 67-62 | 5-1 | 10-18 | 61-106 | in road lined games | 3-3 | 12-14 | 74-89 | 2-4 | 15-13 | 67-62 | 5-1 | 10-18 | 60-106 | in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11-9 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8-12 | against conference opponents | 6-7 | 23-27 | 132-151 | 5-8 | 24-28 | 113-119 | 11-2 | 26-26 | 147-141 | in February games | 4-1 | 10-8 | 47-67 | 2-3 | 5-14 | 45-47 | 4-1 | 11-9 | 55-62 | on Tuesday nights | 2-1 | 4-1 | 37-34 | 1-2 | 1-5 | 30-32 | 2-1 | 5-3 | 42-34 | after a conference game | 6-6 | 23-24 | 136-143 | 5-7 | 23-26 | 115-118 | 10-2 | 28-24 | 152-135 | off a win against a conference rival | 5-5 | 12-12 | 71-73 | 4-6 | 12-13 | 59-57 | 8-2 | 15-10 | 81-65 | after allowing 60 points or less | 6-6 | 19-11 | 72-74 | 4-6 | 15-13 | 55-59 | 14-0 | 30-7 | 103-59 | after scoring 80 points or more | 8-6 | 15-12 | 62-50 | 3-7 | 9-14 | 37-39 | 13-3 | 25-9 | 92-35 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 8-7 | 28-30 | 170-183 | 8-6 | 32-27 | 137-145 | 13-3 | 36-29 | 186-182 | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 3-5 | 15-19 | 91-112 | 5-3 | 18-18 | 86-89 | 6-2 | 18-19 | 88-119 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 4-4 | 10-15 | 63-75 | 5-3 | 15-12 | 66-57 | 7-1 | 12-15 | 60-81 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 7-6 | 17-23 | 105-116 | 7-6 | 25-17 | 97-87 | 12-1 | 23-20 | 116-112 |
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in all games | 11-11 | 44-43 | 259-231 | 11-11 | 39-48 | 183-221 | 22-4 | 69-28 | 399-146 | in all lined games | 11-11 | 44-43 | 259-231 | 11-11 | 39-48 | 183-221 | 19-4 | 61-28 | 353-146 | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 1-0 | 5-6 | 52-38 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 35-52 | 1-0 | 8-3 | 63-27 | as a favorite | 7-9 | 30-36 | 197-177 | 8-8 | 30-37 | 142-160 | 16-1 | 51-17 | 309-74 | as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 3-12 | in all home games | 6-6 | 22-18 | 116-98 | 5-6 | 20-20 | 81-85 | 15-0 | 44-4 | 232-24 | in home lined games | 6-6 | 22-18 | 116-98 | 5-6 | 20-20 | 81-85 | 12-0 | 37-4 | 194-24 | in a home game where the total is 140 to 144.5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 14-11 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 13-12 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 22-3 | against conference opponents | 8-4 | 30-23 | 154-133 | 8-5 | 25-30 | 106-135 | 11-2 | 38-17 | 208-86 | in February games | 3-0 | 12-5 | 62-47 | 2-2 | 7-12 | 42-57 | 4-0 | 14-5 | 80-34 | on Tuesday nights | 3-2 | 8-10 | 32-44 | 2-3 | 7-11 | 29-43 | 5-0 | 10-8 | 50-32 | after a conference game | 8-3 | 29-23 | 156-129 | 7-5 | 25-29 | 108-135 | 11-1 | 37-17 | 210-83 | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 2-1 | 9-7 | 41-34 | 2-1 | 8-9 | 31-39 | 2-1 | 10-7 | 51-26 | off a win against a conference rival | 7-2 | 23-13 | 116-86 | 5-5 | 13-24 | 74-96 | 9-1 | 26-11 | 149-57 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 9-8 | 36-35 | 197-183 | 9-8 | 34-37 | 152-176 | 14-3 | 48-25 | 258-136 | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 7-2 | 22-21 | 125-103 | 4-5 | 21-23 | 99-110 | 8-1 | 28-16 | 155-79 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 7-1 | 17-13 | 79-71 | 4-5 | 14-17 | 59-78 | 8-1 | 19-12 | 102-52 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 8-5 | 24-20 | 111-115 | 7-7 | 20-25 | 86-110 | 12-2 | 29-16 | 147-86 | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games | 2-0 | 4-2 | 25-20 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 19-19 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 24-21 | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 3-1 | 10-7 | 59-49 | 2-2 | 7-9 | 44-49 | 3-1 | 11-7 | 64-46 |
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Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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All Games | 23-3 | -6.5 | 14-10 | 9-11 | 82.9 | 41.4 | 50.2% | 39.2 | 61.0 | 28.0 | 38.1% | 29.7 | Road Games | 7-2 | -4.5 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 77.1 | 37.7 | 47.1% | 36.1 | 65.6 | 28.1 | 40.0% | 30.8 | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | -1 | 4-1 | 2-3 | 78.6 | 37.2 | 51.4% | 34.6 | 63.4 | 28.2 | 41.0% | 28.4 | Conference Games | 11-2 | -2 | 6-7 | 5-8 | 76.5 | 38.6 | 48.3% | 36.2 | 62.8 | 27.2 | 39.9% | 30.4 |
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Team Stats (All Games) | 82.9 | 41.4 | 28-55 | 50.2% | 8-18 | 42.7% | 20-27 | 74.6% | 39 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 4 | vs opponents surrendering | 64.7 | 29.5 | 23-54 | 41.9% | 6-18 | 33.1% | 13-19 | 68.7% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 4 | Team Stats (Road Games) | 77.1 | 37.7 | 25-53 | 47.1% | 7-16 | 44.4% | 20-27 | 74.9% | 36 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 3 | Stats Against (All Games) | 61.0 | 28.0 | 22-58 | 38.1% | 6-20 | 30.9% | 11-15 | 70.4% | 30 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 3 | vs opponents averaging | 67.3 | 31.6 | 24-56 | 42.9% | 6-19 | 33.6% | 13-19 | 68.4% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | Stats Against (Road Games) | 65.6 | 28.1 | 23-58 | 40.0% | 7-19 | 33.9% | 13-17 | 75.8% | 31 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 6 | 14 | 4 |
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All Games | 22-4 | +7.6 | 11-11 | 11-11 | 70.0 | 32.2 | 47.0% | 37.7 | 59.1 | 27.9 | 38.9% | 30.5 | Home Games | 15-0 | +6 | 6-6 | 5-6 | 72.9 | 32.8 | 48.8% | 39.3 | 55.3 | 25.6 | 35.3% | 30.4 | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +5 | 3-1 | 3-2 | 73.4 | 28.6 | 50.0% | 35.0 | 61.2 | 25.6 | 40.7% | 28.6 | Conference Games | 11-2 | +8.8 | 8-4 | 8-5 | 69.3 | 30.5 | 46.1% | 35.2 | 62.2 | 29.2 | 42.4% | 31.1 |
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Team Stats (All Games) | 70.0 | 32.2 | 25-53 | 47.0% | 5-15 | 35.4% | 15-21 | 71.1% | 38 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 4 | vs opponents surrendering | 65.3 | 29.3 | 23-56 | 41.3% | 6-18 | 32.3% | 14-19 | 69.9% | 35 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | Team Stats (Home Games) | 72.9 | 32.8 | 25-52 | 48.8% | 5-15 | 34.1% | 17-23 | 71.2% | 39 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 4 | Stats Against (All Games) | 59.1 | 27.9 | 21-54 | 38.9% | 6-18 | 31.4% | 12-18 | 64.8% | 31 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | vs opponents averaging | 67.8 | 31.5 | 24-56 | 42.9% | 6-18 | 33.4% | 13-20 | 68.4% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 4 | Stats Against (Home Games) | 55.3 | 25.6 | 19-55 | 35.3% | 6-19 | 29.2% | 11-17 | 63.1% | 30 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 2 |
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Average power rating of opponents played: INDIANA 74.9, MICHIGAN ST 75 |
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Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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MICHIGAN ST is 13-13 against the spread versus INDIANA since 1997 | MICHIGAN ST is 16-10 straight up against INDIANA since 1997 | 13 of 24 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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MICHIGAN ST is 2-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons | MICHIGAN ST is 2-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons | 3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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MICHIGAN ST is 9-3 against the spread versus INDIANA since 1997 | MICHIGAN ST is 12-0 straight up against INDIANA since 1997 | 7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons | MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/27/2013 | MICHIGAN ST | 70 | 135.5 | ATS | 38 | 27-60 | 45.0% | 11-23 | 47.8% | 5-6 | 83.3% | 32 | 11 | 19 | | INDIANA | 75 | -10 | SU Over | 44 | 27-53 | 50.9% | 8-21 | 38.1% | 13-20 | 65.0% | 31 | 8 | 16 | 2/28/2012 | MICHIGAN ST | 55 | -2.5 | Under | 27 | 20-51 | 39.2% | 5-13 | 38.5% | 10-17 | 58.8% | 30 | 12 | 13 | | INDIANA | 70 | 137 | SU ATS | 41 | 23-48 | 47.9% | 5-11 | 45.5% | 19-22 | 86.4% | 31 | 9 | 9 | 12/28/2011 | INDIANA | 65 | 141 | Over | 29 | 27-64 | 42.2% | 6-17 | 35.3% | 5-9 | 55.6% | 31 | 12 | 13 | | MICHIGAN ST | 80 | -6 | SU ATS | 36 | 29-53 | 54.7% | 5-13 | 38.5% | 17-22 | 77.3% | 33 | 8 | 9 |
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Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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The betting public is correct when moving the money line in INDIANA games 48.2% of the time since 1997. (187-201) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in INDIANA games 50.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-30) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.2% of the time since 1997. (184-214) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 45.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-40) | |
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The betting public is correct when moving the total in INDIANA games 51% of the time since 1997. (160-154) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in INDIANA games 44.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-38) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54.9% of the time since 1997. (195-160) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 55.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (45-36) | |
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No significant injuries. | |
[G] 02/15/2013 - Travis Trice out indefinitely ( Concussion ) | [G] 12/28/2012 - Brandan Kearney expected to transfer ( Personal ) | [F] 11/19/2012 - Kenny Kaminski out for season ( Shoulder ) |
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