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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| KENTUCKY | -2 |  | | ARKANSAS | | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 10-15 | 44-51 | 260-244 | 10-9 | 36-51 | 196-215 | 20-8 | 87-19 | 424-132 | | in all lined games | 10-15 | 44-51 | 260-244 | 10-9 | 36-51 | 196-215 | 17-8 | 78-19 | 384-131 | | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 4-1 | 20-17 | 81-75 | 2-3 | 18-18 | 64-92 | 4-1 | 30-7 | 112-47 | | as an underdog | 2-3 | 5-3 | 43-38 | 3-2 | 3-5 | 36-40 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 30-52 | | as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-13 | | in road games | 3-6 | 12-17 | 90-76 | 4-5 | 10-18 | 63-77 | 4-5 | 16-13 | 101-67 | | in road lined games | 3-6 | 12-17 | 90-76 | 4-5 | 10-18 | 63-77 | 4-5 | 16-13 | 101-67 | | in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4-9 | | against conference opponents | 5-10 | 22-30 | 147-139 | 5-5 | 19-28 | 106-120 | 11-4 | 42-11 | 220-72 | | in March games | 0-0 | 12-6 | 65-43 | 0-0 | 6-12 | 54-44 | 0-0 | 18-1 | 83-27 | | on Saturday games | 5-6 | 16-23 | 104-98 | 4-4 | 21-16 | 83-83 | 8-4 | 33-10 | 156-58 | | after a conference game | 5-9 | 22-29 | 149-135 | 5-4 | 18-28 | 110-120 | 10-4 | 42-10 | 220-71 | | off a win against a conference rival | 5-5 | 20-21 | 115-99 | 3-4 | 12-25 | 81-94 | 7-3 | 33-8 | 166-52 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 3-6 | 17-20 | 81-84 | 1-4 | 9-21 | 65-73 | 7-3 | 34-7 | 142-43 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 4-4 | 14-16 | 74-93 | 2-4 | 13-15 | 61-67 | 7-2 | 29-6 | 139-46 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 6-11 | 34-40 | 210-202 | 8-6 | 29-41 | 162-186 | 9-8 | 58-19 | 306-124 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 3-5 | 23-23 | 134-121 | 4-3 | 18-27 | 106-112 | 5-3 | 38-10 | 189-72 |
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| in all games | 10-10 | 28-40 | 181-217 | 3-8 | 25-32 | 128-130 | 17-11 | 53-38 | 286-216 | | in all lined games | 10-10 | 28-40 | 181-217 | 3-8 | 25-32 | 128-130 | 9-11 | 30-38 | 199-209 | | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 2-0 | 8-14 | 46-57 | 1-1 | 11-11 | 49-56 | 1-1 | 9-13 | 48-57 | | as a favorite | 4-7 | 12-20 | 97-108 | 1-3 | 12-12 | 64-66 | 7-4 | 21-11 | 146-64 | | as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points | 1-1 | 3-2 | 18-17 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 15-12 | 2-0 | 4-1 | 22-13 | | in all home games | 5-4 | 18-14 | 98-86 | 3-4 | 17-13 | 57-63 | 16-1 | 48-7 | 215-61 | | in home lined games | 5-4 | 18-14 | 98-86 | 3-4 | 17-13 | 57-63 | 8-1 | 25-7 | 130-58 | | in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 15-10 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 12-13 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 17-8 | | against conference opponents | 8-7 | 21-28 | 125-152 | 1-7 | 19-23 | 92-88 | 8-7 | 21-28 | 127-156 | | in March games | 0-0 | 1-4 | 25-37 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 32-18 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 27-36 | | on Saturday games | 6-3 | 16-15 | 77-88 | 0-5 | 9-17 | 58-45 | 7-6 | 20-17 | 102-95 | | after a conference game | 8-6 | 20-25 | 124-146 | 1-6 | 18-20 | 92-85 | 9-6 | 23-26 | 130-152 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 5-1 | 14-11 | 69-75 | 0-3 | 12-10 | 46-43 | 4-2 | 13-12 | 66-81 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 4-2 | 10-8 | 31-33 | 0-3 | 8-7 | 23-16 | 4-2 | 10-8 | 33-39 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 7-8 | 21-32 | 145-174 | 3-6 | 20-25 | 106-100 | 7-10 | 23-35 | 161-192 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 5-4 | 15-20 | 98-112 | 1-4 | 14-17 | 78-64 | 4-5 | 12-23 | 88-126 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 20-8 | -1.3 | 10-15 | 10-9 | 75.3 | 36.2 | 48.6% | 38.3 | 64.4 | 30.1 | 39.0% | 33.6 | | Road Games | 5-6 | -1.8 | 3-8 | 6-5 | 66.0 | 31.7 | 45.1% | 35.5 | 68.8 | 32.8 | 40.7% | 37.1 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -0.2 | 2-3 | 2-1 | 71.8 | 33.2 | 47.5% | 34.2 | 73.0 | 35.2 | 44.9% | 32.8 | | Conference Games | 11-4 | +3.2 | 5-10 | 5-5 | 71.9 | 34.7 | 48.0% | 37.0 | 67.5 | 30.7 | 40.4% | 33.1 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 75.3 | 36.2 | 27-56 | 48.6% | 6-16 | 36.6% | 15-23 | 64.8% | 38 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 7 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.4 | 30.3 | 23-55 | 42.2% | 6-18 | 32.8% | 13-19 | 68.6% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 66.0 | 31.7 | 24-53 | 45.1% | 6-15 | 37.8% | 13-21 | 62.3% | 35 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 5 | 14 | 7 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 64.4 | 30.1 | 23-60 | 39.0% | 5-17 | 31.8% | 12-17 | 70.2% | 34 | 10 | 11 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.1 | 31.2 | 24-55 | 43.8% | 6-18 | 34.2% | 14-20 | 68.0% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 68.8 | 32.8 | 25-62 | 40.7% | 5-15 | 30.5% | 14-18 | 73.4% | 37 | 12 | 13 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
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| All Games | 17-11 | -1.7 | 10-10 | 3-8 | 74.2 | 35.7 | 44.0% | 35.2 | 68.3 | 31.6 | 42.6% | 37.8 | | Home Games | 16-1 | +9 | 5-4 | 3-4 | 82.4 | 39.4 | 46.9% | 36.9 | 65.6 | 28.6 | 40.6% | 36.1 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | +1.8 | 3-2 | 0-3 | 66.4 | 30.0 | 40.0% | 35.6 | 68.4 | 32.6 | 42.1% | 39.0 | | Conference Games | 8-7 | +2.3 | 8-7 | 1-7 | 66.6 | 29.9 | 41.5% | 33.3 | 66.7 | 30.4 | 42.6% | 38.8 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 74.2 | 35.7 | 27-62 | 44.0% | 6-20 | 30.7% | 14-21 | 67.8% | 35 | 10 | 15 | 20 | 9 | 12 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.6 | 29.8 | 23-55 | 41.8% | 6-18 | 32.4% | 13-19 | 68.1% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 82.4 | 39.4 | 30-64 | 46.9% | 7-20 | 32.4% | 16-23 | 70.9% | 37 | 11 | 18 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 68.3 | 31.6 | 23-55 | 42.6% | 6-18 | 35.1% | 15-23 | 66.3% | 38 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 5 | 18 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.8 | 31.4 | 24-56 | 43.1% | 6-19 | 33.6% | 13-20 | 67.5% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 65.6 | 28.6 | 22-55 | 40.6% | 6-18 | 33.2% | 15-22 | 66.3% | 36 | 10 | 11 | 20 | 5 | 20 | 4 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: KENTUCKY 76.1, ARKANSAS 74.2 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| KENTUCKY is 11-8 against the spread versus ARKANSAS since 1997 | | KENTUCKY is 15-4 straight up against ARKANSAS since 1997 | | 9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ARKANSAS is 1-1 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons | | ARKANSAS is 1-1 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| ARKANSAS is 4-3 against the spread versus KENTUCKY since 1997 | | KENTUCKY is 4-3 straight up against ARKANSAS since 1997 | | 5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ARKANSAS is 1-0 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons | | ARKANSAS is 1-0 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/17/2012 | ARKANSAS | 63 | 149.5 | Under | 21 | 23-57 | 40.4% | 5-15 | 33.3% | 12-18 | 66.7% | 26 | 5 | 11 | | | KENTUCKY | 86 | -16.5 | SU ATS | 37 | 32-56 | 57.1% | 3-11 | 27.3% | 19-25 | 76.0% | 38 | 9 | 12 | 2/23/2011 | KENTUCKY | 76 | -7 | Over | 32 | 30-71 | 42.3% | 3-19 | 15.8% | 13-15 | 86.7% | 46 | 17 | 8 | | | ARKANSAS | 77 | 141.5 | SU ATS | 34 | 28-73 | 38.4% | 7-21 | 33.3% | 14-18 | 77.8% | 43 | 14 | 8 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KENTUCKY games 51.3% of the time since 1997. (210-199) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KENTUCKY games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (42-42) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS games 50.8% of the time since 1997. (156-151) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS games 51.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-27) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in KENTUCKY games 49% of the time since 1997. (175-182) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in KENTUCKY games 55.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (43-34) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARKANSAS games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (109-112) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARKANSAS games 62% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-19) | |
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| [F] 02/15/2013 - Nerlens Noel out for season ( Knee ) | | [G] 01/18/2013 - Twany Beckham out indefinitely ( Back ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
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