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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 9-7 | 50-32 | 248-231 | 5-3 | 33-43 | 157-193 | 15-1 | 70-21 | 352-169 | | in all lined games | 9-7 | 50-32 | 248-231 | 5-3 | 33-43 | 157-193 | 15-1 | 64-21 | 318-168 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 4-2 | 23-15 | 75-65 | 5-1 | 21-19 | 73-71 | 5-1 | 25-15 | 88-56 | | as a favorite | 9-7 | 38-26 | 183-173 | 5-3 | 23-34 | 121-143 | 15-1 | 56-10 | 277-84 | | as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-0 | 3-1 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 12-4 | | in road games | 3-0 | 15-9 | 95-68 | 1-2 | 12-12 | 49-70 | 3-0 | 13-11 | 87-79 | | in road lined games | 3-0 | 15-9 | 95-68 | 1-2 | 12-12 | 49-70 | 3-0 | 13-11 | 85-79 | | in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 16-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 14-11 | | against conference opponents | 2-1 | 28-18 | 152-130 | 0-1 | 19-25 | 94-113 | 3-0 | 31-15 | 181-104 | | in January games | 2-1 | 12-8 | 73-60 | 0-1 | 9-9 | 40-50 | 3-0 | 14-6 | 83-52 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 1-1 | 12-3 | 50-55 | 2-0 | 8-7 | 34-34 | 1-1 | 11-5 | 75-39 | | after a conference game | 2-0 | 28-17 | 149-130 | 0-1 | 18-26 | 97-118 | 2-0 | 29-16 | 179-105 | | off a win against a conference rival | 2-0 | 21-9 | 95-82 | 0-1 | 14-15 | 67-76 | 2-0 | 18-12 | 114-66 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 6-3 | 28-12 | 92-75 | 4-1 | 23-14 | 72-71 | 9-0 | 38-7 | 118-58 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 6-5 | 33-27 | 178-186 | 5-3 | 23-36 | 128-153 | 10-1 | 42-21 | 220-154 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 0-0 | 22-15 | 114-102 | 0-0 | 14-24 | 85-98 | 0-0 | 22-16 | 123-98 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-0 | 12-6 | 48-46 | 0-1 | 4-15 | 32-47 | 1-0 | 10-9 | 47-49 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 5-4 | 20-14 | 82-92 | 4-3 | 10-23 | 56-75 | 8-1 | 21-14 | 95-84 |
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| in all games | 4-6 | 39-34 | 227-231 | 3-4 | 32-39 | 173-191 | 12-3 | 64-26 | 401-134 | | in all lined games | 4-6 | 39-34 | 227-231 | 3-4 | 32-39 | 173-191 | 8-3 | 50-26 | 333-134 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 2-4 | 19-21 | 74-78 | 3-3 | 21-20 | 81-73 | 4-2 | 23-19 | 96-60 | | as an underdog | 2-2 | 15-8 | 48-39 | 1-3 | 11-12 | 34-48 | 2-3 | 12-12 | 37-54 | | as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | | in all home games | 2-2 | 14-13 | 96-95 | 0-1 | 9-15 | 65-75 | 8-0 | 34-8 | 223-35 | | in home lined games | 2-2 | 14-13 | 96-95 | 0-1 | 9-15 | 65-75 | 4-0 | 20-8 | 157-35 | | in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 11-4 | | against conference opponents | 2-1 | 24-22 | 143-143 | 1-0 | 23-22 | 111-118 | 2-1 | 27-21 | 195-96 | | in January games | 2-1 | 10-8 | 66-65 | 1-0 | 6-10 | 44-50 | 2-1 | 10-8 | 87-46 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 0-2 | 13-7 | 67-49 | 1-1 | 9-12 | 45-52 | 1-1 | 16-5 | 95-33 | | after a conference game | 2-0 | 25-20 | 143-142 | 0-0 | 24-20 | 112-124 | 2-0 | 27-20 | 199-91 | | off a win against a conference rival | 1-0 | 16-9 | 101-90 | 0-0 | 16-9 | 76-77 | 1-0 | 15-11 | 138-56 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 0-3 | 8-13 | 65-83 | 2-1 | 12-10 | 64-52 | 3-2 | 19-11 | 137-47 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 3-5 | 33-26 | 183-182 | 3-3 | 26-31 | 145-161 | 8-3 | 45-23 | 262-124 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 0-0 | 20-15 | 119-121 | 0-0 | 14-20 | 95-119 | 0-0 | 20-15 | 157-87 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-0 | 11-6 | 42-41 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 34-46 | 1-0 | 10-7 | 48-35 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 1-1 | 17-12 | 73-71 | 1-0 | 15-13 | 61-65 | 3-1 | 21-11 | 95-58 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 2-4 | 34-31 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 27-32 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 44-24 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 0-0 | 7-6 | 51-54 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 43-48 | 0-1 | 8-6 | 77-38 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 15-1 | +5.8 | 9-7 | 5-3 | 77.1 | 35.7 | 45.5% | 38.8 | 56.3 | 25.3 | 39.1% | 32.5 | | Road Games | 6-1 | +3.8 | 5-2 | 4-3 | 74.9 | 33.3 | 43.6% | 36.0 | 58.9 | 27.7 | 41.0% | 32.9 | | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +2 | 3-2 | 2-1 | 75.0 | 37.4 | 46.3% | 37.6 | 58.0 | 26.0 | 39.3% | 32.8 | | Conference Games | 3-0 | +1 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 72.3 | 37.0 | 44.2% | 39.7 | 52.7 | 26.7 | 36.0% | 31.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 77.1 | 35.7 | 27-60 | 45.5% | 6-19 | 32.7% | 16-22 | 71.3% | 39 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 11 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.6 | 30.5 | 23-56 | 41.8% | 6-18 | 33.5% | 13-19 | 69.1% | 34 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 74.9 | 33.3 | 26-59 | 43.6% | 5-15 | 33.3% | 18-24 | 77.6% | 36 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 56.3 | 25.3 | 20-50 | 39.1% | 5-18 | 29.5% | 12-18 | 63.4% | 32 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 6 | 20 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.9 | 32.2 | 24-55 | 44.5% | 7-19 | 35.1% | 13-20 | 67.9% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 58.9 | 27.7 | 21-50 | 41.0% | 5-17 | 27.1% | 13-20 | 66.7% | 33 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 6 | 21 | 4 |
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| All Games | 12-3 | +7.8 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 72.5 | 33.8 | 46.6% | 32.5 | 63.9 | 28.3 | 40.1% | 35.8 | | Home Games | 8-0 | +3 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 73.7 | 36.4 | 48.8% | 34.1 | 58.4 | 26.4 | 38.0% | 34.9 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +4 | 3-2 | 1-1 | 77.8 | 39.6 | 48.6% | 36.4 | 68.8 | 29.8 | 41.0% | 34.8 | | Conference Games | 2-1 | +3 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 80.0 | 36.7 | 48.4% | 38.0 | 72.7 | 31.7 | 43.5% | 32.7 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 72.5 | 33.8 | 26-56 | 46.6% | 6-17 | 32.5% | 15-20 | 73.5% | 32 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.6 | 30.8 | 23-56 | 41.6% | 6-19 | 32.6% | 13-18 | 68.5% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 73.7 | 36.4 | 27-55 | 48.8% | 5-17 | 32.6% | 14-20 | 70.4% | 34 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 63.9 | 28.3 | 23-57 | 40.1% | 5-17 | 31.5% | 13-18 | 69.9% | 36 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 69 | 32.4 | 24-55 | 44.4% | 5-16 | 33.9% | 15-22 | 68.9% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 58.4 | 26.4 | 22-58 | 38.0% | 5-17 | 29.3% | 9-14 | 67.9% | 35 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 4 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: LOUISVILLE 74.7, CONNECTICUT 73.3 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| LOUISVILLE is 8-5 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT since 1997 | | LOUISVILLE is 7-6 straight up against CONNECTICUT since 1997 | | 6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| LOUISVILLE is 3-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons | | LOUISVILLE is 3-1 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| LOUISVILLE is 4-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT since 1997 | | LOUISVILLE is 3-2 straight up against CONNECTICUT since 1997 | | 4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| LOUISVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons | | LOUISVILLE is 1-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/6/2012 | CONNECTICUT | 59 | 130.5 | Over | 24 | 20-57 | 35.1% | 3-14 | 21.4% | 16-22 | 72.7% | 36 | 10 | 15 | | | LOUISVILLE | 80 | -4 | SU ATS | 29 | 32-72 | 44.4% | 11-25 | 44.0% | 5-8 | 62.5% | 45 | 14 | 13 | 3/12/2011 | CONNECTICUT | 69 | 137 | SU ATS | 38 | 23-55 | 41.8% | 3-11 | 27.3% | 20-23 | 87.0% | 35 | 13 | 14 | | N | LOUISVILLE | 66 | -3 | Under | 32 | 26-58 | 44.8% | 7-25 | 28.0% | 7-10 | 70.0% | 33 | 13 | 16 | 2/18/2011 | CONNECTICUT | 58 | 137.5 | Under | 23 | 17-46 | 37.0% | 5-13 | 38.5% | 19-27 | 70.4% | 36 | 10 | 16 | | | LOUISVILLE | 71 | -3.5 | SU ATS | 31 | 27-65 | 41.5% | 5-16 | 31.2% | 12-20 | 60.0% | 40 | 17 | 8 | 1/29/2011 | LOUISVILLE | 79 | 142 | SU ATS | 23 | 30-62 | 48.4% | 8-24 | 33.3% | 11-20 | 55.0% | 36 | 7 | 15 | | | CONNECTICUT | 78 | -5.5 | Over | 28 | 29-77 | 37.7% | 8-30 | 26.7% | 12-19 | 63.2% | 51 | 14 | 12 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 50.9% of the time since 1997. (204-197) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 52.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-35) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CONNECTICUT games 45.2% of the time since 1997. (169-205) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CONNECTICUT games 42.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-30) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 45.8% of the time since 1997. (137-162) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 52.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-32) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CONNECTICUT games 48.6% of the time since 1997. (156-165) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CONNECTICUT games 43.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-37) | |
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| [F] 12/29/2012 - Angel Nunez has transferred ( Undisclosed ) | | [C] 11/09/2012 - Mangok Mathiang out for season ( Eligibility ) | | [G] 11/02/2012 - Mike Marra out for season ( Knee ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
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