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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 3-2 | 44-27 | 242-226 | 1-1 | 29-41 | 153-191 | 5-0 | 60-20 | 342-168 | | in all lined games | 3-2 | 44-27 | 242-226 | 1-1 | 29-41 | 153-191 | 5-0 | 54-20 | 308-167 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 1-0 | 20-13 | 72-63 | 1-0 | 17-18 | 69-70 | 1-0 | 21-14 | 84-55 | | as a favorite | 3-2 | 32-21 | 177-168 | 1-1 | 19-32 | 117-141 | 5-0 | 46-9 | 267-83 | | in all neutral court games | 1-1 | 11-3 | 34-44 | 1-1 | 4-11 | 28-36 | 2-0 | 12-3 | 43-37 | | as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 2-1 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 5-7 | | in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5 | 1-0 | 4-1 | 10-9 | 1-0 | 3-3 | 10-10 | 1-0 | 4-2 | 10-10 | | against ACC opponents | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-6 | | in November games | 3-2 | 9-4 | 24-19 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 11-13 | 5-0 | 15-0 | 39-14 | | on Saturday games | 0-0 | 15-8 | 83-90 | 0-0 | 12-13 | 57-73 | 0-0 | 21-7 | 123-66 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 1-0 | 12-2 | 50-54 | 1-0 | 7-7 | 33-34 | 1-0 | 11-4 | 75-38 | | after a non-conference game | 3-2 | 18-10 | 95-96 | 1-1 | 11-16 | 56-74 | 5-0 | 33-4 | 164-63 | | when playing on a neutral court | 1-1 | 11-3 | 34-44 | 1-1 | 4-11 | 28-36 | 2-0 | 12-3 | 43-37 | | in non-conference games | 3-2 | 18-10 | 92-97 | 1-1 | 10-17 | 59-79 | 5-0 | 32-5 | 164-64 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 1-1 | 8-8 | 66-74 | 0-1 | 6-11 | 42-60 | 2-0 | 16-6 | 111-48 | | in all tournament games | 1-2 | 11-4 | 42-41 | 1-1 | 4-11 | 33-41 | 3-0 | 13-3 | 57-27 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-1 | 28-23 | 173-182 | 1-1 | 19-34 | 124-151 | 2-0 | 34-20 | 212-153 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 1-1 | 16-11 | 78-89 | 1-1 | 7-21 | 53-73 | 2-0 | 15-13 | 89-83 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 1-1 | 5-6 | 62-65 | 1-1 | 4-9 | 37-62 | 2-0 | 7-6 | 75-56 |
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| in all games | 3-2 | 36-39 | 264-237 | 2-2 | 39-34 | 217-219 | 5-0 | 64-12 | 459-83 | | in all lined games | 3-2 | 36-39 | 264-237 | 2-2 | 39-34 | 217-219 | 5-0 | 63-12 | 431-83 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 2-1 | 13-10 | 36-42 | 1-2 | 11-12 | 47-33 | 3-0 | 21-2 | 68-13 | | as an underdog | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8-16 | | in all neutral court games | 3-0 | 10-10 | 66-75 | 1-1 | 10-9 | 57-65 | 3-0 | 17-3 | 124-24 | | as a neutral court underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | | in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5 | 2-0 | 3-4 | 7-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 9-6 | 2-0 | 6-1 | 14-1 | | against Big East conference opponents | 0-0 | 0-3 | 12-25 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 21-13 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 29-12 | | in November games | 3-2 | 10-8 | 44-35 | 2-2 | 11-6 | 29-33 | 5-0 | 18-1 | 85-6 | | on Saturday games | 0-0 | 7-11 | 73-64 | 0-0 | 10-8 | 70-49 | 0-0 | 13-5 | 128-21 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 1-0 | 9-4 | 55-45 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 44-44 | 1-0 | 11-2 | 92-13 | | after a non-conference game | 3-2 | 18-20 | 121-108 | 2-2 | 21-15 | 94-100 | 5-0 | 35-4 | 228-31 | | when playing on a neutral court | 3-0 | 10-10 | 66-75 | 1-1 | 10-9 | 57-65 | 3-0 | 17-3 | 124-24 | | in non-conference games | 3-2 | 19-19 | 116-108 | 2-2 | 23-13 | 94-97 | 5-0 | 34-5 | 230-30 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 1-0 | 9-11 | 84-75 | 1-0 | 11-8 | 69-64 | 1-0 | 17-4 | 147-23 | | in all tournament games | 2-1 | 9-8 | 54-65 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 46-62 | 3-0 | 14-3 | 104-20 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 3-1 | 24-29 | 212-196 | 2-1 | 28-23 | 191-171 | 4-0 | 42-11 | 346-79 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 2-1 | 15-14 | 77-63 | 1-1 | 11-17 | 66-63 | 3-0 | 24-5 | 124-23 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 5-0 | +2 | 3-2 | 1-1 | 74.8 | 34.8 | 42.3% | 41.4 | 50.2 | 20.0 | 37.2% | 31.2 | | Road Games | 2-0 | +2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 67.5 | 32.5 | 40.0% | 39.0 | 53.5 | 25.5 | 40.6% | 32.5 | | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +2 | 3-2 | 1-1 | 74.8 | 34.8 | 42.3% | 41.4 | 50.2 | 20.0 | 37.2% | 31.2 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 74.8 | 34.8 | 27-63 | 42.3% | 8-26 | 31.5% | 13-19 | 67.7% | 41 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 13 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.5 | 30.8 | 24-56 | 42.3% | 7-20 | 33.5% | 13-20 | 67.4% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 8 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 67.5 | 32.5 | 25-62 | 40.0% | 7-21 | 32.6% | 10-15 | 67.7% | 39 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 50.2 | 20.0 | 17-46 | 37.2% | 5-17 | 32.1% | 10-16 | 65.0% | 31 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 65.2 | 28.1 | 22-55 | 40.6% | 7-20 | 32.6% | 14-21 | 68.2% | 36 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 16 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 53.5 | 25.5 | 19-48 | 40.6% | 5-17 | 32.4% | 9-14 | 64.3% | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 6 | 22 | 3 |
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| All Games | 5-0 | +3 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 78.6 | 37.2 | 48.1% | 33.0 | 63.8 | 28.8 | 39.7% | 34.4 | | Road Games | 3-0 | +3 | 3-0 | 1-1 | 77.0 | 34.0 | 47.5% | 32.3 | 65.7 | 30.7 | 40.2% | 35.3 | | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +3 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 78.6 | 37.2 | 48.1% | 33.0 | 63.8 | 28.8 | 39.7% | 34.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 78.6 | 37.2 | 26-54 | 48.1% | 8-20 | 39.8% | 19-24 | 77.7% | 33 | 8 | 16 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 6 | | vs opponents surrendering | 63.4 | 30.7 | 23-57 | 39.8% | 5-19 | 28.9% | 13-18 | 70.5% | 34 | 11 | 12 | 19 | 8 | 16 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 77.0 | 34.0 | 25-53 | 47.5% | 6-14 | 44.2% | 20-25 | 80.0% | 32 | 7 | 14 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 6 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 63.8 | 28.8 | 22-56 | 39.7% | 6-17 | 33.7% | 13-19 | 72.0% | 34 | 12 | 9 | 21 | 6 | 16 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 72.1 | 35.9 | 26-54 | 47.0% | 6-17 | 36.9% | 15-22 | 68.3% | 36 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 5 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 65.7 | 30.7 | 23-58 | 40.2% | 4-15 | 27.3% | 15-22 | 69.2% | 35 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: LOUISVILLE 73.6, DUKE 80 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 51.3% of the time since 1997. (200-190) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 54.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-28) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 48.2% of the time since 1997. (196-211) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 55.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-31) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 45.1% of the time since 1997. (132-161) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-31) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 47.2% of the time since 1997. (185-207) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 40.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-38) | |
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| [C] 11/09/2012 - Mangok Mathiang out for season ( Eligibility ) | | [G] 11/02/2012 - Mike Marra out for season ( Knee ) | |
| [F] 10/26/2012 - Marshall Plumlee expected to miss 6-8 weeks ( Foot ) |
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