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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 12-13 | 53-38 | 251-237 | 7-8 | 35-48 | 159-198 | 20-5 | 75-25 | 357-173 | | in all lined games | 12-13 | 53-38 | 251-237 | 7-8 | 35-48 | 159-198 | 20-5 | 69-25 | 323-172 | | when the total is 119.5 or less | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-1 | | as a favorite | 12-13 | 41-32 | 186-179 | 7-8 | 25-39 | 123-148 | 20-5 | 61-14 | 282-88 | | as a road favorite of 12.5 to 15 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-1 | | as a road favorite of 12.5 or more points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-1 | | in road games | 5-3 | 17-12 | 97-71 | 2-4 | 13-14 | 50-72 | 5-3 | 15-14 | 89-82 | | in road lined games | 5-3 | 17-12 | 97-71 | 2-4 | 13-14 | 50-72 | 5-3 | 15-14 | 87-82 | | in a road game where the total is 119.5 or less | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | | against conference opponents | 5-7 | 31-24 | 155-136 | 2-6 | 21-30 | 96-118 | 8-4 | 36-19 | 186-108 | | in February games | 2-2 | 10-9 | 60-57 | 1-2 | 7-11 | 43-46 | 3-1 | 13-6 | 76-43 | | after a conference game | 5-6 | 31-23 | 152-136 | 2-6 | 20-31 | 99-123 | 7-4 | 34-20 | 184-109 | | off a win against a conference rival | 5-2 | 24-11 | 98-84 | 2-3 | 16-17 | 69-78 | 5-2 | 21-14 | 117-68 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 8-6 | 30-15 | 94-78 | 6-3 | 25-16 | 74-73 | 12-2 | 41-9 | 121-60 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 0-1 | 5-4 | 40-30 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 18-26 | 1-0 | 15-0 | 87-9 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 0-0 | 1-2 | 19-18 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 31-6 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 3-4 | 14-10 | 50-50 | 2-5 | 6-19 | 34-51 | 4-3 | 13-12 | 50-52 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 7-8 | 22-18 | 84-96 | 6-7 | 12-27 | 58-79 | 11-4 | 24-17 | 98-87 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 18-5 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 2-1 | 4-3 | 20-20 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 10-17 | 2-1 | 7-2 | 47-7 |
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| in all games | 8-15 | 42-44 | 207-217 | 3-6 | 28-43 | 113-139 | 10-14 | 42-51 | 223-263 | | in all lined games | 8-15 | 42-44 | 207-217 | 3-6 | 28-43 | 113-139 | 9-14 | 36-51 | 173-258 | | when the total is 119.5 or less | 1-0 | 6-6 | 9-9 | 1-0 | 9-4 | 12-7 | 1-0 | 6-7 | 7-12 | | as an underdog | 4-8 | 29-27 | 115-132 | 1-6 | 18-32 | 77-100 | 2-10 | 14-42 | 49-201 | | as a home underdog of 12.5 to 15 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | | as a home underdog of 12.5 to 18 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-3 | | in all home games | 5-10 | 18-23 | 90-102 | 2-1 | 12-17 | 53-58 | 8-7 | 29-18 | 142-93 | | in home lined games | 5-10 | 18-23 | 90-102 | 2-1 | 12-17 | 53-58 | 8-7 | 24-18 | 105-92 | | in a home game where the total is 119.5 or less | 1-0 | 2-1 | 3-3 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 4-3 | 1-0 | 3-1 | 4-3 | | against conference opponents | 3-9 | 26-26 | 133-143 | 2-4 | 18-28 | 76-96 | 1-11 | 18-34 | 96-187 | | in February games | 1-3 | 12-7 | 57-55 | 1-2 | 4-14 | 23-43 | 0-4 | 7-12 | 40-75 | | after a conference game | 3-8 | 26-24 | 129-142 | 2-4 | 19-26 | 79-90 | 1-10 | 20-31 | 101-181 | | revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more | 1-1 | 3-5 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 9-9 | 1-1 | 2-6 | 5-17 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 1-5 | 8-16 | 51-62 | 0-2 | 8-12 | 35-42 | 1-5 | 8-16 | 52-64 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 3-7 | 17-15 | 76-94 | 2-3 | 14-13 | 51-62 | 1-9 | 12-20 | 55-120 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 2-0 | 6-0 | 27-20 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 13-11 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 21-28 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 3-3 | 9-6 | 45-40 | 2-2 | 9-4 | 30-30 | 1-5 | 3-12 | 23-62 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 7-12 | 32-35 | 142-158 | 2-6 | 23-32 | 90-105 | 7-13 | 23-45 | 106-210 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 3-6 | 19-19 | 81-89 | 2-4 | 13-22 | 56-68 | 1-8 | 12-26 | 50-124 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-5 | 7-12 | 37-33 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 25-25 | 1-5 | 5-14 | 17-55 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 5-10 | 16-26 | 69-72 | 2-4 | 16-17 | 47-48 | 7-8 | 13-29 | 42-104 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 20-5 | -5.1 | 12-13 | 7-8 | 74.6 | 34.0 | 44.4% | 38.4 | 59.1 | 26.6 | 39.6% | 33.5 | | Road Games | 8-4 | -6.4 | 7-5 | 5-5 | 73.4 | 30.8 | 42.9% | 36.9 | 62.3 | 28.7 | 40.5% | 34.4 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +0.5 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 75.0 | 30.8 | 43.2% | 41.6 | 64.4 | 25.2 | 38.5% | 37.0 | | Conference Games | 8-4 | -9.9 | 5-7 | 2-6 | 70.7 | 32.3 | 42.9% | 38.1 | 61.2 | 28.4 | 39.4% | 34.2 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 74.6 | 34.0 | 26-60 | 44.4% | 6-18 | 32.2% | 16-22 | 70.1% | 38 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.4 | 29.7 | 23-55 | 41.5% | 6-18 | 32.9% | 13-19 | 69.3% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 73.4 | 30.8 | 25-59 | 42.9% | 5-16 | 32.1% | 17-24 | 72.2% | 37 | 12 | 13 | 20 | 10 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 59.1 | 26.6 | 21-52 | 39.6% | 6-18 | 31.5% | 12-19 | 64.3% | 33 | 10 | 10 | 19 | 6 | 19 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.6 | 32.2 | 24-55 | 44.5% | 6-18 | 34.4% | 14-20 | 69.1% | 35 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 62.3 | 28.7 | 21-52 | 40.5% | 5-17 | 30.1% | 15-22 | 67.3% | 34 | 10 | 11 | 20 | 6 | 19 | 4 |
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| All Games | 10-14 | -9.8 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 60.0 | 27.2 | 39.5% | 32.4 | 62.7 | 28.7 | 42.0% | 36.5 | | Home Games | 8-7 | -6.4 | 5-10 | 2-1 | 63.8 | 29.6 | 42.2% | 33.2 | 63.0 | 29.0 | 41.2% | 35.9 | | Last 5 Games | 0-5 | -5.1 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 53.4 | 23.8 | 33.1% | 33.4 | 69.2 | 29.2 | 46.0% | 34.6 | | Conference Games | 1-11 | -9.2 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 53.5 | 23.9 | 36.6% | 28.2 | 65.2 | 30.2 | 45.3% | 36.8 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 60.0 | 27.2 | 21-53 | 39.5% | 6-19 | 31.2% | 12-17 | 70.6% | 32 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.2 | 28.8 | 23-55 | 41.2% | 6-19 | 32.7% | 13-18 | 68.3% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 63.8 | 29.6 | 22-53 | 42.2% | 7-19 | 34.8% | 12-17 | 70.5% | 33 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 62.7 | 28.7 | 23-54 | 42.0% | 6-18 | 30.8% | 11-16 | 71.1% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 68 | 31.7 | 24-54 | 43.8% | 6-17 | 33.6% | 14-21 | 69.8% | 36 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 63.0 | 29.0 | 23-56 | 41.2% | 6-18 | 32.0% | 11-15 | 71.5% | 36 | 11 | 13 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 4 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: LOUISVILLE 77.3, S FLORIDA 75 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| LOUISVILLE is 14-4 against the spread versus S FLORIDA since 1997 | | LOUISVILLE is 15-3 straight up against S FLORIDA since 1997 | | 8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| LOUISVILLE is 2-1 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons | | LOUISVILLE is 2-1 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| LOUISVILLE is 7-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA since 1997 | | LOUISVILLE is 6-1 straight up against S FLORIDA since 1997 | | 5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| LOUISVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons | | LOUISVILLE is 1-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/12/2013 | S FLORIDA | 38 | | | 15 | 12-45 | 26.7% | 3-17 | 17.6% | 11-21 | 52.4% | 24 | 4 | 17 | | | LOUISVILLE | 64 | -18.5 | SU ATS | 38 | 23-60 | 38.3% | 3-18 | 16.7% | 15-17 | 88.2% | 49 | 19 | 15 | 2/29/2012 | S FLORIDA | 58 | 119.5 | SU ATS | 22 | 22-49 | 44.9% | 4-10 | 40.0% | 10-16 | 62.5% | 40 | 10 | 18 | | | LOUISVILLE | 51 | -8.5 | Under | 17 | 18-53 | 34.0% | 5-22 | 22.7% | 10-14 | 71.4% | 29 | 8 | 14 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 51.1% of the time since 1997. (207-198) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 53.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-36) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S FLORIDA games 53.3% of the time since 1997. (184-161) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S FLORIDA games 47.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-38) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 45.1% of the time since 1997. (138-168) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 49.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-38) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in S FLORIDA games 47.3% of the time since 1997. (106-118) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in S FLORIDA games 41.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-40) | |
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| [F] 12/29/2012 - Angel Nunez has transferred ( Undisclosed ) | | [C] 11/09/2012 - Mangok Mathiang out for season ( Eligibility ) | | [G] 11/02/2012 - Mike Marra out for season ( Knee ) | |
| [G] 01/21/2013 - Shaun Noriega out indefinitely ( Foot ) |
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