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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 1:00 PM
LOUISVILLE (20-5) AT S FLORIDA (10-14) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
807: LOUISVILLE
808: S FLORIDA
120.0
+13.0
74.6 / 59.1
60.0 / 62.7
20-5
10-14
12-13
8-15
7-8
3-6
44.4
39.5
70.1
70.6
32.2
31.2
39.6
42.0
64.3
71.1
31.5
30.8
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
LOUISVILLE-16 
S FLORIDA  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
LOUISVILLE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games12-1353-38251-2377-835-48159-19820-575-25357-173
in all lined games12-1353-38251-2377-835-48159-19820-569-25323-172
when the total is 119.5 or less0-00-11-10-00-11-10-00-11-1
as a favorite12-1341-32186-1797-825-39123-14820-561-14282-88
as a road favorite of 12.5 to 15 points0-00-02-20-00-01-30-00-03-1
as a road favorite of 12.5 or more points0-00-05-20-00-03-40-00-06-1
in road games5-317-1297-712-413-1450-725-315-1489-82
in road lined games5-317-1297-712-413-1450-725-315-1487-82
in a road game where the total is 119.5 or less0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
against conference opponents5-731-24155-1362-621-3096-1188-436-19186-108
in February games2-210-960-571-27-1143-463-113-676-43
after a conference game5-631-23152-1362-620-3199-1237-434-20184-109
off a win against a conference rival5-224-1198-842-316-1769-785-221-14117-68
after allowing 60 points or less8-630-1594-786-325-1674-7312-241-9121-60
when playing against a team with a losing record0-15-440-300-05-418-261-015-087-9
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games0-01-219-180-01-210-130-03-031-6
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games3-414-1050-502-56-1934-514-313-1250-52
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game7-822-1884-966-712-2758-7911-424-1798-87
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-11-210-130-11-27-90-11-218-5
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game2-14-320-200-22-410-172-17-247-7

S FLORIDA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games8-1542-44207-2173-628-43113-13910-1442-51223-263
in all lined games8-1542-44207-2173-628-43113-1399-1436-51173-258
when the total is 119.5 or less1-06-69-91-09-412-71-06-77-12
as an underdog4-829-27115-1321-618-3277-1002-1014-4249-201
as a home underdog of 12.5 to 15 points0-00-01-10-00-00-20-00-00-2
as a home underdog of 12.5 to 18 points0-00-02-10-00-00-30-00-00-3
in all home games5-1018-2390-1022-112-1753-588-729-18142-93
in home lined games5-1018-2390-1022-112-1753-588-724-18105-92
in a home game where the total is 119.5 or less1-02-13-31-02-24-31-03-14-3
against conference opponents3-926-26133-1432-418-2876-961-1118-3496-187
in February games1-312-757-551-24-1423-430-47-1240-75
after a conference game3-826-24129-1422-419-2679-901-1020-31101-181
revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more1-13-59-130-12-59-91-12-65-17
revenging a road loss vs opponent1-58-1651-620-28-1235-421-58-1652-64
off a loss against a conference rival3-717-1576-942-314-1351-621-912-2055-120
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games2-06-027-201-03-213-110-23-321-28
after 3 or more consecutive losses3-39-645-402-29-430-301-53-1223-62
when playing against a team with a winning record7-1232-35142-1582-623-3290-1057-1323-45106-210
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games3-619-1981-892-413-2256-681-812-2650-124
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-57-1237-331-27-925-251-55-1417-55
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game5-1016-2669-722-416-1747-487-813-2942-104
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
LOUISVILLE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games20-5-5.112-137-874.634.044.4%38.459.126.639.6%33.5
Road Games8-4-6.47-55-573.430.842.9%36.962.328.740.5%34.4
Last 5 Games4-1+0.52-31-375.030.843.2%41.664.425.238.5%37.0
Conference Games8-4-9.95-72-670.732.342.9%38.161.228.439.4%34.2
LOUISVILLE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)74.634.026-6044.4%6-1832.2%16-2270.1%3813151811134
vs opponents surrendering64.429.723-5541.5%6-1832.9%13-1969.3%34912187143
Team Stats (Road Games)73.430.825-5942.9%5-1632.1%17-2472.2%3712132010133
Stats Against (All Games)59.126.621-5239.6%6-1831.5%12-1964.3%331010196193
vs opponents averaging68.632.224-5544.5%6-1834.4%14-2069.1%351014177134
Stats Against (Road Games)62.328.721-5240.5%5-1730.1%15-2267.3%341011206194

S FLORIDA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games10-14-9.88-153-660.027.239.5%32.462.728.742.0%36.5
Home Games8-7-6.45-102-163.829.642.2%33.263.029.041.2%35.9
Last 5 Games0-5-5.11-41-353.423.833.1%33.469.229.246.0%34.6
Conference Games1-11-9.23-92-453.523.936.6%28.265.230.245.3%36.8
S FLORIDA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)60.027.221-5339.5%6-1931.2%12-1770.6%32912156113
vs opponents surrendering64.228.823-5541.2%6-1932.7%13-1868.3%34913187143
Team Stats (Home Games)63.829.622-5342.2%7-1934.8%12-1770.5%331013156114
Stats Against (All Games)62.728.723-5442.0%6-1830.8%11-1671.1%361013165124
vs opponents averaging6831.724-5443.8%6-1733.6%14-2169.8%361014177144
Stats Against (Home Games)63.029.023-5641.2%6-1832.0%11-1571.5%361113175124
Average power rating of opponents played: LOUISVILLE 77.3,  S FLORIDA 75
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
LOUISVILLE is 14-4 against the spread versus S FLORIDA since 1997
LOUISVILLE is 15-3 straight up against S FLORIDA since 1997
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 2-1 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 2-1 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at S FLORIDA since 1997
LOUISVILLE is 7-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA since 1997
LOUISVILLE is 6-1 straight up against S FLORIDA since 1997
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 1-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/12/2013S FLORIDA38  1512-4526.7%3-1717.6%11-2152.4%24417
 LOUISVILLE64-18.5SU ATS3823-6038.3%3-1816.7%15-1788.2%491915
2/29/2012S FLORIDA58119.5SU ATS2222-4944.9%4-1040.0%10-1662.5%401018
 LOUISVILLE51-8.5 Under1718-5334.0%5-2222.7%10-1471.4%29814
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring S FLORIDA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 51.1% of the time since 1997. (207-198)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 53.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-36)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S FLORIDA games 53.3% of the time since 1997. (184-161)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S FLORIDA games 47.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-38)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 45.1% of the time since 1997. (138-168)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 49.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-38)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in S FLORIDA games 47.3% of the time since 1997. (106-118)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in S FLORIDA games 41.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-40)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
LOUISVILLE
[F] 12/29/2012 - Angel Nunez has transferred ( Undisclosed )
[C] 11/09/2012 - Mangok Mathiang out for season ( Eligibility )
[G] 11/02/2012 - Mike Marra out for season ( Knee )
S FLORIDA
[G] 01/21/2013 - Shaun Noriega out indefinitely ( Foot )
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