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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 10-8 | 51-33 | 249-232 | 6-4 | 34-44 | 158-194 | 16-2 | 71-22 | 353-170 | | in all lined games | 10-8 | 51-33 | 249-232 | 6-4 | 34-44 | 158-194 | 16-2 | 65-22 | 319-169 | | as a favorite | 10-8 | 39-27 | 184-174 | 6-4 | 24-35 | 122-144 | 16-2 | 57-11 | 278-85 | | as a road favorite of 9.5 to 12 points | 2-0 | 2-1 | 8-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 2-0 | 3-0 | 10-2 | | in road games | 4-0 | 16-9 | 96-68 | 1-3 | 12-13 | 49-71 | 4-0 | 14-11 | 88-79 | | in road lined games | 4-0 | 16-9 | 96-68 | 1-3 | 12-13 | 49-71 | 4-0 | 14-11 | 86-79 | | against conference opponents | 3-2 | 29-19 | 153-131 | 1-2 | 20-26 | 95-114 | 4-1 | 32-16 | 182-105 | | in January games | 3-2 | 13-9 | 74-61 | 1-2 | 10-10 | 41-51 | 4-1 | 15-7 | 84-53 | | on Tuesday nights | 1-0 | 5-3 | 18-20 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 9-17 | 1-0 | 6-2 | 26-16 | | after a conference game | 3-1 | 29-18 | 150-131 | 1-2 | 19-27 | 98-119 | 3-1 | 30-17 | 180-106 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-0 | 7-8 | 52-47 | 0-0 | 4-11 | 30-41 | 0-0 | 11-4 | 62-39 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 7-6 | 34-28 | 179-187 | 6-4 | 24-37 | 129-154 | 11-2 | 43-22 | 221-155 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 1-1 | 23-16 | 115-103 | 1-1 | 15-25 | 86-99 | 1-1 | 23-17 | 124-99 |
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| in all games | 10-5 | 29-43 | 231-223 | 5-6 | 37-30 | 166-153 | 11-7 | 45-38 | 319-190 | | in all lined games | 10-5 | 29-43 | 231-223 | 5-6 | 37-30 | 166-153 | 8-7 | 36-38 | 271-189 | | as an underdog | 6-4 | 11-20 | 91-86 | 2-5 | 17-11 | 57-57 | 4-6 | 6-26 | 55-125 | | as a home underdog of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | | in all home games | 4-3 | 14-19 | 99-93 | 3-3 | 16-14 | 67-64 | 6-3 | 28-13 | 183-53 | | in home lined games | 4-3 | 14-19 | 99-93 | 3-3 | 16-14 | 67-64 | 4-3 | 21-13 | 142-53 | | against conference opponents | 3-2 | 16-26 | 137-145 | 1-1 | 24-16 | 109-89 | 2-3 | 17-27 | 152-135 | | in January games | 3-2 | 14-8 | 62-67 | 1-1 | 13-6 | 49-32 | 2-3 | 11-12 | 74-59 | | on Tuesday nights | 1-1 | 3-6 | 26-32 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 12-18 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 48-20 | | after a conference game | 2-2 | 14-26 | 135-143 | 0-1 | 21-17 | 105-95 | 2-3 | 17-26 | 152-134 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-2 | 7-17 | 57-71 | 0-1 | 14-10 | 46-43 | 0-2 | 8-17 | 68-63 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 1-0 | 3-5 | 12-14 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4-9 | 1-0 | 4-4 | 12-14 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 6-5 | 19-35 | 177-165 | 3-4 | 27-22 | 131-122 | 5-7 | 21-36 | 194-167 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 1-2 | 8-20 | 108-104 | 0-1 | 12-14 | 83-86 | 0-3 | 6-23 | 103-113 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-2 | 9-15 | 42-46 | 0-1 | 11-11 | 39-41 | 0-3 | 7-18 | 41-50 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 4-5 | 17-21 | 77-79 | 0-5 | 17-16 | 69-56 | 4-6 | 17-24 | 86-79 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 16-2 | +4.1 | 10-8 | 6-4 | 76.4 | 35.4 | 45.4% | 38.2 | 57.2 | 26.5 | 39.7% | 32.4 | | Road Games | 7-1 | +4.8 | 6-2 | 4-4 | 74.6 | 32.6 | 44.4% | 36.0 | 58.7 | 28.5 | 40.8% | 32.2 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | -0.7 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 71.6 | 35.4 | 44.6% | 37.2 | 57.2 | 30.4 | 39.3% | 31.4 | | Conference Games | 4-1 | -0.7 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 71.6 | 35.4 | 44.6% | 37.2 | 57.2 | 30.4 | 39.3% | 31.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 76.4 | 35.4 | 27-60 | 45.4% | 6-19 | 32.7% | 15-22 | 71.0% | 38 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 11 | 12 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.9 | 30.1 | 23-55 | 41.7% | 6-18 | 33.1% | 13-18 | 69.2% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 74.6 | 32.6 | 26-59 | 44.4% | 5-15 | 33.1% | 17-22 | 77.2% | 36 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 57.2 | 26.5 | 20-51 | 39.7% | 5-18 | 30.7% | 12-18 | 64.0% | 32 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 6 | 20 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 69.3 | 32.3 | 25-55 | 44.6% | 7-19 | 34.6% | 14-20 | 68.2% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 58.7 | 28.5 | 21-50 | 40.8% | 5-17 | 28.6% | 12-19 | 66.2% | 32 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 6 | 20 | 4 |
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| All Games | 11-7 | -1.8 | 10-5 | 5-6 | 69.2 | 33.1 | 40.6% | 37.6 | 66.5 | 28.3 | 39.8% | 34.0 | | Home Games | 6-3 | -3 | 4-3 | 3-3 | 69.7 | 33.0 | 40.4% | 38.4 | 67.4 | 29.9 | 40.8% | 33.2 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | +0.2 | 3-2 | 1-1 | 65.8 | 32.0 | 38.9% | 38.2 | 67.6 | 26.6 | 39.2% | 36.0 | | Conference Games | 2-3 | +0.2 | 3-2 | 1-1 | 65.8 | 32.0 | 38.9% | 38.2 | 67.6 | 26.6 | 39.2% | 36.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 69.2 | 33.1 | 22-53 | 40.6% | 7-20 | 33.4% | 20-27 | 71.7% | 38 | 10 | 12 | 20 | 7 | 16 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.8 | 30.2 | 23-56 | 41.4% | 6-18 | 31.7% | 13-18 | 69.2% | 36 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 69.7 | 33.0 | 22-55 | 40.4% | 7-21 | 31.6% | 18-26 | 70.2% | 38 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 9 | 16 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 66.5 | 28.3 | 21-54 | 39.8% | 7-21 | 34.6% | 16-24 | 68.0% | 34 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.1 | 31.2 | 24-57 | 42.2% | 6-18 | 33.2% | 13-20 | 67.7% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 67.4 | 29.9 | 22-54 | 40.8% | 8-22 | 37.1% | 15-22 | 69.4% | 33 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 9 | 16 | 4 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: LOUISVILLE 76.7, VILLANOVA 74.2 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| LOUISVILLE is 6-3 against the spread versus VILLANOVA since 1997 | | VILLANOVA is 5-4 straight up against LOUISVILLE since 1997 | | 5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| VILLANOVA is 1-1 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons | | VILLANOVA is 1-1 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| LOUISVILLE is 3-1 against the spread versus VILLANOVA since 1997 | | VILLANOVA is 3-1 straight up against LOUISVILLE since 1997 | | 2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| VILLANOVA is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons | | VILLANOVA is 1-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/25/2012 | VILLANOVA | 74 | 141.5 | Over | 44 | 26-66 | 39.4% | 5-19 | 26.3% | 17-23 | 73.9% | 43 | 17 | 13 | | | LOUISVILLE | 84 | -9.5 | SU ATS | 39 | 26-61 | 42.6% | 8-23 | 34.8% | 24-34 | 70.6% | 41 | 13 | 9 | 1/12/2011 | LOUISVILLE | 74 | 150.5 | Over | 41 | 28-60 | 46.7% | 12-25 | 48.0% | 6-7 | 85.7% | 23 | 4 | 16 | | | VILLANOVA | 88 | -4 | SU ATS | 42 | 31-58 | 53.4% | 8-13 | 61.5% | 18-23 | 78.3% | 41 | 11 | 18 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 51% of the time since 1997. (205-197) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 52.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-35) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VILLANOVA games 52.7% of the time since 1997. (192-172) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VILLANOVA games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-29) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [F] 12/29/2012 - Angel Nunez has transferred ( Undisclosed ) | | [C] 11/09/2012 - Mangok Mathiang out for season ( Eligibility ) | | [G] 11/02/2012 - Mike Marra out for season ( Knee ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
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