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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| MASSACHUSETTS | | | | VA COMMONWEALTH | -10 | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 10-12 | 41-38 | 206-223 | 3-5 | 30-31 | 142-128 | 16-6 | 56-33 | 259-229 | | in all lined games | 10-12 | 41-38 | 206-223 | 3-5 | 30-31 | 142-128 | 16-6 | 48-31 | 215-216 | | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 1-2 | 10-9 | 34-40 | 2-1 | 9-10 | 43-33 | 1-2 | 11-8 | 38-38 | | as an underdog | 4-2 | 17-19 | 104-105 | 2-1 | 16-15 | 76-69 | 2-4 | 12-24 | 60-150 | | as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points | 1-0 | 2-1 | 8-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 4-11 | | in road games | 4-4 | 15-15 | 97-90 | 0-1 | 11-11 | 62-53 | 6-2 | 17-15 | 80-122 | | in road lined games | 4-4 | 15-15 | 97-90 | 0-1 | 11-11 | 62-53 | 6-2 | 16-14 | 71-117 | | in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 7-9 | | against conference opponents | 7-2 | 25-20 | 136-134 | 1-2 | 18-19 | 90-81 | 6-3 | 24-21 | 140-133 | | in February games | 3-0 | 9-9 | 53-63 | 1-0 | 7-8 | 37-38 | 2-1 | 7-11 | 57-59 | | after a conference game | 6-2 | 26-19 | 135-131 | 1-1 | 18-17 | 90-80 | 6-2 | 25-20 | 141-131 | | off a win against a conference rival | 4-1 | 12-11 | 69-66 | 1-1 | 7-13 | 41-49 | 3-2 | 11-12 | 67-70 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 2-1 | 9-8 | 43-41 | 1-0 | 9-6 | 32-28 | 3-0 | 16-5 | 54-41 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 8-6 | 31-22 | 136-141 | 3-3 | 21-23 | 98-88 | 9-5 | 32-24 | 129-167 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 4-0 | 19-10 | 78-76 | 1-0 | 13-12 | 59-55 | 3-1 | 16-13 | 60-94 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-1 | 6-5 | 31-36 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 29-23 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 21-46 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 3-5 | 10-13 | 52-61 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 40-39 | 4-4 | 10-13 | 47-74 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 1-1 | 19-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 16-18 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 1-0 | 4-3 | 43-37 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 21-29 | 1-0 | 4-3 | 34-48 |
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| in all games | 6-11 | 43-46 | 229-216 | 4-6 | 38-43 | 136-129 | 19-5 | 76-24 | 333-173 | | in all lined games | 6-11 | 43-46 | 229-216 | 4-6 | 38-43 | 136-129 | 12-5 | 67-24 | 290-165 | | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 24-24 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 22-26 | 0-1 | 8-6 | 28-21 | | as a favorite | 5-10 | 26-38 | 142-142 | 3-5 | 27-29 | 96-93 | 11-4 | 53-13 | 238-55 | | as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points | 1-2 | 2-3 | 9-13 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8-6 | 2-1 | 4-1 | 20-2 | | in all home games | 4-4 | 15-18 | 91-91 | 1-4 | 11-18 | 53-55 | 11-2 | 35-6 | 185-37 | | in home lined games | 4-4 | 15-18 | 91-91 | 1-4 | 11-18 | 53-55 | 6-2 | 28-6 | 153-36 | | in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-0 | | against conference opponents | 2-7 | 20-29 | 147-149 | 2-1 | 21-24 | 87-83 | 7-2 | 39-12 | 202-102 | | in February games | 0-2 | 6-11 | 60-57 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 37-28 | 2-0 | 12-6 | 76-47 | | after a conference game | 1-7 | 22-25 | 152-138 | 2-1 | 19-25 | 86-81 | 6-2 | 40-10 | 204-99 | | off a win against a conference rival | 1-5 | 17-18 | 96-95 | 2-0 | 18-15 | 65-60 | 5-1 | 32-6 | 137-63 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 0-2 | 4-3 | 26-10 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 11-6 | 2-0 | 6-1 | 29-11 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 5-7 | 31-28 | 130-116 | 3-6 | 23-32 | 82-77 | 8-5 | 39-23 | 143-120 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 0-3 | 19-11 | 73-64 | 1-1 | 12-18 | 49-44 | 1-2 | 21-10 | 77-64 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 16-6 | +8.6 | 10-12 | 3-5 | 72.6 | 35.7 | 42.9% | 36.7 | 69.7 | 32.5 | 41.1% | 37.3 | | Road Games | 8-4 | +5.8 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 69.6 | 33.6 | 41.9% | 38.7 | 70.9 | 32.6 | 40.4% | 40.8 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +4.8 | 5-0 | 1-0 | 71.4 | 35.8 | 49.2% | 33.4 | 61.2 | 29.4 | 38.3% | 30.8 | | Conference Games | 6-3 | +2.8 | 7-2 | 1-2 | 72.3 | 36.4 | 45.9% | 35.2 | 66.0 | 30.9 | 39.9% | 35.2 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 72.6 | 35.7 | 25-59 | 42.9% | 7-22 | 32.2% | 15-21 | 70.3% | 37 | 10 | 14 | 19 | 8 | 14 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.7 | 30.6 | 23-55 | 42.4% | 6-18 | 33.0% | 13-19 | 69.4% | 34 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 69.6 | 33.6 | 25-60 | 41.9% | 7-22 | 30.7% | 12-19 | 65.9% | 39 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 8 | 15 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 69.7 | 32.5 | 24-59 | 41.1% | 6-20 | 31.9% | 15-21 | 69.6% | 37 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.5 | 31.4 | 24-54 | 43.6% | 6-18 | 34.0% | 14-20 | 69.1% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 70.9 | 32.6 | 25-62 | 40.4% | 6-20 | 29.4% | 15-23 | 66.1% | 41 | 13 | 11 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 |
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| All Games | 19-5 | -11 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 77.5 | 37.3 | 45.0% | 36.0 | 62.9 | 27.3 | 43.6% | 34.2 | | Home Games | 11-2 | -8.5 | 4-4 | 1-4 | 77.2 | 37.5 | 43.4% | 36.6 | 60.7 | 26.7 | 43.2% | 35.8 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -10.5 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 70.8 | 31.0 | 41.6% | 33.4 | 69.0 | 31.0 | 46.4% | 36.0 | | Conference Games | 7-2 | -7.5 | 2-7 | 2-1 | 75.8 | 33.9 | 44.6% | 34.4 | 69.0 | 29.6 | 45.9% | 35.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 77.5 | 37.3 | 28-63 | 45.0% | 8-24 | 34.3% | 13-19 | 68.0% | 36 | 14 | 15 | 19 | 12 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.4 | 31.5 | 24-56 | 42.8% | 6-19 | 33.4% | 13-19 | 69.6% | 34 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 77.2 | 37.5 | 28-66 | 43.4% | 8-25 | 30.7% | 13-18 | 69.1% | 37 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 62.9 | 27.3 | 22-51 | 43.6% | 6-17 | 32.8% | 13-19 | 68.4% | 34 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 6 | 20 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.9 | 32.1 | 24-55 | 43.9% | 7-19 | 34.7% | 14-20 | 69.3% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 60.7 | 26.7 | 22-50 | 43.2% | 5-17 | 31.3% | 12-18 | 66.2% | 36 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: MASSACHUSETTS 72, VA COMMONWEALTH 73.4 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MASSACHUSETTS games 57% of the time since 1997. (188-142) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MASSACHUSETTS games 64.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (40-22) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VA COMMONWEALTH games 50% of the time since 1997. (177-177) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VA COMMONWEALTH games 46.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-41) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in MASSACHUSETTS games 46.5% of the time since 1997. (112-129) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MASSACHUSETTS games 37.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (21-35) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in VA COMMONWEALTH games 53.4% of the time since 1997. (124-108) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in VA COMMONWEALTH games 48% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-39) | |
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| [G] 01/17/2013 - Derrick Gordon out for season ( Eligibility ) | | [G] 01/15/2013 - Jesse Morgan out for season ( ACL ) | | [G/F] 10/31/2012 - Javorn Farrell out for season ( Ankle ) | |
| [F] 11/02/2012 - Mo Alie-Cox out for season ( Eligibility ) | | [G] 11/02/2012 - Jordan Burgess out for season ( Eligibility ) |
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