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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 6:00 PM
MIAMI (23-4) AT DUKE (24-4) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
603: MIAMI
604: DUKE
137.0
-7.5
69.0 / 59.1
78.5 / 65.1
23-4
24-4
16-6
15-13
5-11
11-12
45.9
47.4
65.9
72.8
35.5
41.1
38.4
41.8
65.6
70.3
30.5
29.5
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MIAMI  
DUKE-6 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIAMI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games16-646-34223-1835-1139-38144-14123-464-32301-200
in all lined games16-646-34223-1835-1139-38144-14121-355-31225-193
when the total is 130 to 139.57-122-1380-523-519-1869-667-123-1473-64
as an underdog3-114-11109-761-314-1578-683-18-2164-130
as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points0-04-112-110-02-38-70-00-55-18
in road games6-317-1296-662-512-1958-5910-218-1979-101
in road lined games6-317-1296-662-512-1958-5910-117-1872-99
in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.52-02-322-81-12-515-172-02-515-17
against conference opponents9-425-21146-1255-522-2499-9314-131-20140-141
in March games0-08-437-290-08-430-290-07-530-37
on Saturday games6-112-769-562-210-747-386-115-788-67
after a conference game8-425-20143-1195-523-2396-9613-134-17145-135
off a win against a conference rival7-413-1371-574-513-1347-4312-119-1172-67
after allowing 60 points or less10-415-1462-532-711-1535-4213-222-1298-55
when playing against a team with a winning record14-533-26173-1474-1131-28126-11419-237-28175-176
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games4-314-1898-994-322-1390-729-020-1792-115
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games3-05-442-273-06-330-293-04-526-44
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game5-110-969-473-211-748-435-18-1153-70

DUKE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games15-1348-50276-24811-1248-44226-22924-483-16478-87
in all lined games15-1348-50276-24811-1248-44226-22924-482-16450-87
when the total is 130 to 139.55-316-1239-445-315-1351-346-224-471-15
as a favorite14-1246-46262-2369-1243-43213-21823-380-12440-70
as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points0-00-03-100-00-06-60-00-011-4
in all home games7-720-26123-1004-721-2295-9514-044-3236-16
in home lined games7-720-26123-1004-721-2295-9514-043-3214-16
in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.51-03-17-101-02-28-91-04-016-2
against conference opponents7-824-28155-1376-622-27129-12811-441-11240-57
in March games0-04-842-670-05-742-590-07-584-29
on Saturday games5-412-1578-686-216-1076-517-220-7135-23
when playing with one or less days rest2-110-556-461-26-945-453-013-294-13
after a conference game7-725-26150-1366-524-24129-12410-439-12240-56
revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more0-10-11-20-10-10-21-01-03-0
revenging a road loss vs opponent2-15-420-191-15-320-163-08-134-6
off a loss against a conference rival3-06-428-282-15-526-253-09-142-14
when playing against a team with a winning record11-1132-39220-20611-837-30200-17818-456-15360-83
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games4-617-24126-1396-221-18134-1086-428-13207-68
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games2-39-1338-375-011-1137-352-315-764-15
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game7-720-2082-699-419-2074-6611-332-8132-26
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games23-4+1116-65-1169.030.445.9%36.059.127.038.4%33.9
Road Games10-4+1.86-52-764.428.543.2%33.661.428.640.5%34.1
Last 5 Games4-1-0.31-32-262.829.446.1%32.659.825.841.4%32.2
Conference Games14-1+9.49-45-568.731.646.3%36.358.426.339.0%32.9
MIAMI Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)69.030.425-5445.9%7-1935.5%12-1965.9%36911147115
vs opponents surrendering67.331.224-5742.3%6-1933.8%13-1868.8%34912187133
Team Stats (Road Games)64.428.524-5543.2%6-1930.5%11-1764.7%34910157114
Stats Against (All Games)59.127.022-5638.4%6-1930.5%10-1665.6%34911176123
vs opponents averaging70.933.225-5644.7%6-1834.8%14-2169.6%361014177134
Stats Against (Road Games)61.428.622-5440.5%6-1832.3%12-1770.3%34911166133

DUKE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games24-4+7.615-1311-1278.536.547.4%34.265.130.041.8%35.0
Home Games14-0+47-74-781.638.448.8%36.961.628.239.2%35.6
Last 5 Games3-2-0.82-32-279.837.047.9%29.669.630.246.4%33.4
Conference Games11-4+0.67-86-677.136.446.6%32.768.130.945.2%34.8
DUKE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)78.536.527-5847.4%8-1941.1%16-2272.8%34915187114
vs opponents surrendering65.530.423-5641.6%6-1833.9%13-1869.2%34912186133
Team Stats (Home Games)81.638.429-5948.8%9-2043.2%15-2366.9%371016177114
Stats Against (All Games)65.130.024-5741.8%4-1529.5%13-1870.3%35109195153
vs opponents averaging70.633.325-5644.8%6-1834.9%14-2069.6%361013177134
Stats Against (Home Games)61.628.223-5839.2%5-1630.5%11-1765.9%36118205162
Average power rating of opponents played: MIAMI 75.8,  DUKE 76.6
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MIAMI is 7-6 against the spread versus DUKE since 1997
DUKE is 11-3 straight up against MIAMI since 1997
12 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 2-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at DUKE since 1997
DUKE is 3-3 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1997
DUKE is 5-1 straight up against MIAMI since 1997
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at DUKE over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 2-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/23/2013DUKE63-2.5 Over1922-7429.7%4-2317.4%15-2365.2%411510
 MIAMI90133SU ATS4233-5856.9%9-1947.4%15-2755.6%49816
2/5/2012MIAMI78149SU ATS4228-6741.8%7-2330.4%15-2560.0%481814
 DUKE74-12 Over2826-6838.2%9-3129.0%13-2259.1%431711
2/13/2011DUKE81-9SU ATS4228-5650.0%8-1942.1%17-2181.0%3399
 MIAMI71144 Over3729-6445.3%8-2236.4%5-683.3%321213
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring DUKE in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 45.5% of the time since 1997. (150-180)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 43.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-40)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 49.1% of the time since 1997. (210-218)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 57.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (52-38)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (123-125)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 45.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-38)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 48.3% of the time since 1997. (198-212)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 47.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-43)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MIAMI
No significant injuries.
DUKE
[F] 03/02/2013 - Ryan Kelly is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Miami Florida ( Foot )
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