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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| MIAMI | -10 |  | | FLORIDA ST | | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 15-3 | 45-31 | 222-180 | 3-9 | 37-36 | 142-139 | 19-3 | 60-31 | 297-199 | | in all lined games | 15-3 | 45-31 | 222-180 | 3-9 | 37-36 | 142-139 | 17-2 | 51-30 | 221-192 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 13-17 | 0-2 | 7-4 | 17-13 | 1-1 | 6-5 | 14-16 | | as a favorite | 11-2 | 29-20 | 105-100 | 1-6 | 21-21 | 59-67 | 13-1 | 41-9 | 149-58 | | as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points | 1-1 | 1-2 | 8-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 9-1 | | in road games | 6-1 | 17-10 | 96-64 | 1-4 | 11-18 | 57-58 | 8-1 | 16-18 | 77-100 | | in road lined games | 6-1 | 17-10 | 96-64 | 1-4 | 11-18 | 57-58 | 8-0 | 15-17 | 70-98 | | in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2-5 | | against conference opponents | 8-1 | 24-18 | 145-122 | 3-3 | 20-22 | 97-91 | 10-0 | 27-19 | 136-140 | | in February games | 3-0 | 10-8 | 63-44 | 2-0 | 10-9 | 41-38 | 3-0 | 13-7 | 58-53 | | on Wednesday games | 3-1 | 7-9 | 39-37 | 1-1 | 10-5 | 29-24 | 5-0 | 14-5 | 54-37 | | after a conference game | 7-1 | 24-17 | 142-116 | 3-3 | 21-21 | 94-94 | 9-0 | 30-16 | 141-134 | | off a win against a conference rival | 7-1 | 13-10 | 71-54 | 3-3 | 12-11 | 46-41 | 9-0 | 16-10 | 69-66 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 1-0 | 9-5 | 43-34 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 23-27 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 68-35 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 14-3 | 33-24 | 173-145 | 3-9 | 30-26 | 125-112 | 16-2 | 34-28 | 172-176 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 4-1 | 14-16 | 98-97 | 3-1 | 21-11 | 89-70 | 6-0 | 17-17 | 89-115 |
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| in all games | 9-12 | 43-38 | 211-206 | 6-5 | 34-37 | 122-157 | 13-10 | 61-31 | 277-223 | | in all lined games | 9-12 | 43-38 | 211-206 | 6-5 | 34-37 | 122-157 | 12-9 | 53-30 | 209-217 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 17-17 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 18-17 | 0-1 | 9-9 | 20-15 | | as an underdog | 6-4 | 19-13 | 119-104 | 2-3 | 13-14 | 62-76 | 6-4 | 17-15 | 68-159 | | as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4-11 | | in all home games | 2-8 | 16-17 | 90-96 | 2-3 | 13-17 | 51-73 | 6-6 | 33-11 | 175-78 | | in home lined games | 2-8 | 16-17 | 90-96 | 2-3 | 13-17 | 51-73 | 5-5 | 25-10 | 118-73 | | in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 6-0 | 9-0 | | against conference opponents | 3-7 | 25-19 | 139-128 | 0-4 | 20-20 | 78-103 | 5-5 | 31-15 | 121-154 | | in February games | 1-2 | 6-11 | 54-57 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 24-48 | 1-2 | 11-7 | 47-68 | | on Wednesday games | 1-3 | 7-7 | 42-36 | 1-1 | 4-8 | 20-32 | 3-2 | 11-6 | 50-42 | | after a conference game | 2-7 | 25-18 | 133-125 | 0-4 | 17-22 | 70-102 | 4-5 | 32-13 | 128-146 | | revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more | 0-0 | 2-0 | 19-18 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 10-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12-25 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 0-1 | 7-4 | 58-45 | 0-1 | 6-5 | 32-39 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 47-58 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-3 | 8-5 | 74-63 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 32-49 | 3-1 | 12-2 | 74-72 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 2-5 | 10-10 | 49-38 | 1-3 | 7-11 | 21-38 | 4-3 | 15-7 | 56-45 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 7-8 | 35-29 | 168-162 | 4-4 | 27-31 | 99-128 | 9-6 | 44-24 | 164-191 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 1-6 | 21-17 | 103-96 | 0-3 | 14-21 | 59-85 | 3-4 | 26-13 | 86-119 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-5 | 8-9 | 22-34 | 0-2 | 2-11 | 16-24 | 3-3 | 11-6 | 28-30 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 5-7 | 15-20 | 55-70 | 3-3 | 12-18 | 40-49 | 7-6 | 21-17 | 67-69 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 19-3 | +11.2 | 15-3 | 3-9 | 70.4 | 30.7 | 45.8% | 36.8 | 59.0 | 27.3 | 37.8% | 34.2 | | Road Games | 8-3 | +3 | 6-3 | 1-6 | 65.3 | 28.5 | 42.8% | 33.7 | 60.7 | 28.4 | 39.8% | 34.5 | | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +4 | 4-0 | 2-1 | 76.4 | 35.4 | 48.3% | 37.0 | 60.0 | 30.0 | 40.9% | 30.2 | | Conference Games | 10-0 | +9.8 | 8-1 | 3-3 | 71.6 | 32.7 | 46.3% | 38.2 | 57.7 | 26.6 | 37.9% | 33.3 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 70.4 | 30.7 | 25-55 | 45.8% | 7-19 | 36.4% | 13-19 | 66.2% | 37 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.1 | 31.1 | 24-58 | 41.8% | 6-19 | 33.2% | 12-18 | 68.4% | 34 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 65.3 | 28.5 | 24-56 | 42.8% | 6-20 | 30.8% | 11-18 | 65.3% | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 59.0 | 27.3 | 22-57 | 37.8% | 6-20 | 30.5% | 10-15 | 65.7% | 34 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 72 | 34.1 | 26-57 | 45.0% | 6-19 | 34.7% | 14-21 | 69.1% | 36 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 60.7 | 28.4 | 22-54 | 39.8% | 6-19 | 31.9% | 11-16 | 72.4% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 3 |
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| All Games | 13-10 | -8 | 9-12 | 6-5 | 67.2 | 30.8 | 43.8% | 31.6 | 67.2 | 32.7 | 42.5% | 34.9 | | Home Games | 6-6 | -11.6 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 69.2 | 30.1 | 43.2% | 30.2 | 67.7 | 32.1 | 44.4% | 33.2 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -1.2 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 56.4 | 27.2 | 39.9% | 26.2 | 69.2 | 34.8 | 47.8% | 35.2 | | Conference Games | 5-5 | +0.7 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 58.6 | 26.8 | 41.0% | 26.7 | 66.4 | 33.0 | 45.1% | 36.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 67.2 | 30.8 | 23-52 | 43.8% | 6-18 | 35.5% | 15-21 | 71.6% | 32 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 63.6 | 29.8 | 23-56 | 40.6% | 6-18 | 32.9% | 12-18 | 67.6% | 34 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 69.2 | 30.1 | 23-53 | 43.2% | 6-17 | 36.0% | 17-23 | 75.9% | 30 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 67.2 | 32.7 | 24-56 | 42.5% | 7-19 | 35.5% | 13-19 | 67.4% | 35 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.4 | 32 | 25-55 | 44.4% | 6-18 | 34.3% | 13-20 | 67.7% | 36 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 67.7 | 32.1 | 24-54 | 44.4% | 7-19 | 35.8% | 12-17 | 72.1% | 33 | 10 | 14 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: MIAMI 75.5, FLORIDA ST 75 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| FLORIDA ST is 10-7 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1997 | | FLORIDA ST is 14-6 straight up against MIAMI since 1997 | | 9 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MIAMI is 3-2 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons | | FLORIDA ST is 4-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons | | 4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| MIAMI is 4-3 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST since 1997 | | FLORIDA ST is 7-2 straight up against MIAMI since 1997 | | 5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons | | FLORIDA ST is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/27/2013 | FLORIDA ST | 47 | 129 | Under | 28 | 16-52 | 30.8% | 3-17 | 17.6% | 12-17 | 70.6% | 32 | 4 | 12 | | | MIAMI | 71 | -9.5 | SU ATS | 37 | 27-63 | 42.9% | 8-22 | 36.4% | 9-14 | 64.3% | 44 | 8 | 8 | 3/9/2012 | MIAMI | 71 | 127.5 | Over | 27 | 26-64 | 40.6% | 10-25 | 40.0% | 9-13 | 69.2% | 38 | 14 | 11 | | N | FLORIDA ST | 82 | -3 | SU ATS | 36 | 24-50 | 48.0% | 9-16 | 56.2% | 25-32 | 78.1% | 31 | 5 | 11 | 2/26/2012 | FLORIDA ST | 62 | 130.5 | Over | 20 | 24-59 | 40.7% | 5-23 | 21.7% | 9-16 | 56.2% | 35 | 12 | 18 | | | MIAMI | 78 | 0 | SU ATS | 24 | 23-47 | 48.9% | 9-20 | 45.0% | 23-34 | 67.6% | 32 | 7 | 13 | 2/11/2012 | MIAMI | 59 | 133.5 | ATS | 26 | 22-56 | 39.3% | 5-22 | 22.7% | 10-13 | 76.9% | 35 | 12 | 15 | | | FLORIDA ST | 64 | -6.5 | SU Under | 28 | 23-50 | 46.0% | 5-16 | 31.2% | 13-19 | 68.4% | 29 | 9 | 15 | 2/26/2011 | MIAMI | 59 | 136 | | 16 | 20-63 | 31.7% | 8-32 | 25.0% | 11-13 | 84.6% | 40 | 17 | 16 | | | FLORIDA ST | 65 | -6 | SU Under | 36 | 22-49 | 44.9% | 8-14 | 57.1% | 13-20 | 65.0% | 31 | 8 | 17 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 45.3% of the time since 1997. (148-179) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 42.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-39) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA ST games 51.4% of the time since 1997. (171-162) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA ST games 47.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-36) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (122-123) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 46.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-36) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA ST games 57.6% of the time since 1997. (140-103) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA ST games 59.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-26) | |
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| No significant injuries. | |
| [F] 01/23/2013 - Terrance Shannon out indefinitely ( Neck ) |
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