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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 7:00 PM
MIAMI (10-3) AT N CAROLINA (10-4) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
517: MIAMI
518: N CAROLINA
143.5
-4.0
68.8 / 59.2
81.4 / 69.3
10-3
10-4
8-2
6-5
0-6
5-6
45.1
45.3
67.9
63.6
34.6
36.6
37.4
39.0
66.7
65.2
30.8
34.6
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MIAMI  
N CAROLINA-6 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIAMI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games8-238-30215-1790-634-33139-13610-351-31288-199
in all lined games8-238-30215-1790-634-33139-1368-242-30212-192
when the total is 140 to 149.51-011-948-460-111-1148-491-013-949-50
as an underdog1-112-11107-760-213-1477-671-16-2162-130
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points0-01-220-140-03-214-150-01-411-26
in road games4-015-994-630-310-1756-574-112-1873-100
in road lined games4-015-994-630-310-1756-574-011-1766-98
in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.50-02-110-120-02-314-120-02-37-19
against conference opponents1-017-17138-1210-017-1994-881-018-19127-140
in January games2-07-856-560-06-840-312-07-959-61
after a conference game0-017-16135-1150-018-1891-910-021-16132-134
off a win against a conference rival0-06-964-530-09-843-380-07-1060-66
after allowing 60 points or less6-111-1158-500-49-1233-396-115-1191-54
when playing against a team with a winning record8-227-23167-1440-627-23122-1098-226-28164-176
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game1-16-965-470-18-645-421-14-1149-70

N CAROLINA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games6-542-39260-2365-638-43216-19510-471-18400-143
in all lined games6-542-39260-2365-638-43216-1957-464-18364-140
when the total is 140 to 149.54-321-1979-744-320-2084-725-230-10106-51
as a favorite6-338-33213-1785-436-35172-1457-262-10331-66
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points0-01-210-70-02-19-60-02-111-6
in all home games4-121-14114-1013-218-17102-737-039-2204-43
in home lined games4-121-14114-1013-218-17102-735-033-2176-41
in a home game where the total is 140 to 144.50-01-210-90-01-210-90-03-014-5
against conference opponents0-120-18129-1370-117-22118-1080-132-7181-93
in January games0-16-960-570-17-850-490-113-383-39
after a conference game0-021-16129-1340-018-20117-1080-032-6186-87
off a loss against a conference rival0-05-152-360-03-340-340-06-060-30
after scoring 60 points or less1-06-120-101-04-315-121-06-125-11
when playing against a team with a winning record3-531-28215-1885-326-33176-1694-445-16292-131
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game1-515-1991-733-317-1867-733-424-12120-51
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games10-3+2.58-20-668.829.345.1%35.959.227.537.4%34.5
Road Games4-3-1.54-20-562.627.940.7%35.158.325.736.7%36.4
Last 5 Games3-2-2.53-20-363.226.641.2%35.658.427.636.6%37.6
Conference Games1-0+11-00-062.033.041.5%40.049.023.032.7%29.0
MIAMI Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)68.829.324-5445.1%6-1834.6%14-2167.9%36911137115
vs opponents surrendering66.130.624-5741.3%6-1932.5%13-1867.9%341012187143
Team Stats (Road Games)62.627.923-5640.7%6-1930.3%11-1863.0%351010158114
Stats Against (All Games)59.227.521-5737.4%7-2130.8%10-1566.7%351011185132
vs opponents averaging71.434.125-5744.7%6-1933.6%14-2169.4%371014177144
Stats Against (Road Games)58.325.720-5536.7%6-2127.2%12-1774.1%361012165133

N CAROLINA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games10-4-6.16-55-681.438.545.3%44.169.328.839.0%38.1
Home Games7-0+14-13-286.440.347.6%45.968.124.338.2%36.1
Last 5 Games3-2-2.12-33-277.638.643.6%42.473.829.841.3%37.8
Conference Games0-1-10-10-152.025.037.3%35.061.024.044.9%32.0
N CAROLINA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)81.438.531-6845.3%7-2036.6%12-1963.6%441419169144
vs opponents surrendering66.731.524-5841.4%6-1932.6%13-1967.7%361013187153
Team Stats (Home Games)86.440.333-6947.6%7-1937.6%14-2263.4%461522169153
Stats Against (All Games)69.328.825-6439.0%8-2234.6%11-1865.2%381013178163
vs opponents averaging69.932.625-5742.9%6-1933.4%14-2069.8%371014187154
Stats Against (Home Games)68.124.325-6538.2%8-2333.7%11-1860.8%361113199173
Average power rating of opponents played: MIAMI 73.2,  N CAROLINA 73.4
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
N CAROLINA is 10-6 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1997
N CAROLINA is 14-2 straight up against MIAMI since 1997
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 4-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at N CAROLINA since 1997
N CAROLINA is 5-3 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1997
N CAROLINA is 7-1 straight up against MIAMI since 1997
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/15/2012N CAROLINA73-5SU ATS3026-6838.2%5-1827.8%16-2369.6%46208
 MIAMI64146.5 Under3525-6439.1%8-2334.8%6-875.0%401514
1/10/2012MIAMI56154.5 Under2523-5541.8%3-1618.7%7-1070.0%29517
 N CAROLINA73-16.5SU ATS4031-6944.9%2-1612.5%9-1464.3%451512
3/11/2011MIAMI59141.5 ATS3122-6036.7%9-2634.6%6-966.7%311013
NN CAROLINA61-9.5SU Under2222-5044.0%10-2147.6%7-1070.0%391120
1/26/2011N CAROLINA74-2SU ATS3928-5848.3%6-1637.5%12-1485.7%341211
 MIAMI71144.5 Over3926-5745.6%13-2846.4%6-1060.0%301212
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring N CAROLINA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 45.5% of the time since 1997. (146-175)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 43.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-35)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 47.9% of the time since 1997. (198-215)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 48.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-36)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (119-121)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 45.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-34)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 47.5% of the time since 1997. (168-186)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 45.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-39)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MIAMI
No significant injuries.
N CAROLINA
[G] 01/09/2013 - Leslie McDonald "?" Thursday vs. Miami Florida ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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