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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 4:00 PM
MICHIGAN ST (22-6) AT MICHIGAN (23-5) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
819: MICHIGAN ST
820: MICHIGAN
134.0
-5.0
69.6 / 59.9
76.0 / 62.1
22-6
23-5
11-13
14-12
12-12
15-12
46.8
49.5
71.1
70.5
34.7
39.3
39.3
41.9
65.6
66.4
31.8
32.7
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MICHIGAN ST 
MICHIGAN-1 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MICHIGAN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games11-1344-45259-23312-1240-49184-22222-669-30399-148
in all lined games11-1344-45259-23312-1240-49184-22219-661-30353-148
when the total is 130 to 139.56-520-1997-825-616-2492-907-423-17129-56
as an underdog4-314-861-523-49-1240-613-410-1243-70
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points1-02-17-130-10-28-101-02-16-14
in road games4-514-1679-825-512-1857-796-416-1690-80
in road lined games4-514-1679-825-512-1857-796-415-1684-80
in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.50-12-413-180-11-511-200-12-416-16
against conference opponents8-630-25154-1359-626-31107-13611-438-19208-88
in March games0-06-757-410-07-640-470-08-570-30
when playing with 5 or 6 days rest1-03-225-290-13-219-272-07-150-18
after a conference game8-529-25156-1318-626-30109-13611-337-19210-85
off a loss against a conference rival1-26-1140-432-112-634-402-111-760-27
after scoring 60 points or less2-09-638-381-111-437-292-19-756-28
when playing against a team with a winning record9-1036-37197-18510-935-38153-17714-548-27258-138
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games7-422-23125-1055-622-24100-1118-328-18155-81
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games7-317-1579-735-615-1860-798-319-14102-54
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game8-724-22111-1178-821-2687-11112-429-18147-88

MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games14-1253-34225-22215-1247-39156-17023-568-29284-226
in all lined games14-1253-34225-22215-1247-39156-17022-559-29232-222
when the total is 130 to 139.56-818-1669-658-718-1757-7812-322-1367-70
as a favorite13-1029-22112-10513-1129-2174-7721-344-8165-57
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points1-05-223-131-04-212-141-06-126-10
in all home games8-626-15115-997-821-1975-8216-045-6197-71
in home lined games8-626-15115-997-821-1975-8215-036-6149-69
in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.53-35-726-184-27-517-276-012-031-13
against conference opponents6-832-22149-1388-729-26100-11710-534-21134-157
in March games0-07-338-270-06-426-280-06-432-34
after a conference game5-830-23146-1347-725-2993-1229-533-22138-152
revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more0-11-112-160-11-18-130-11-19-20
revenging a road loss vs opponent1-311-854-572-29-1038-503-110-946-67
off a loss against a conference rival1-313-780-673-111-950-633-114-672-77
after allowing 80 points or more0-12-224-341-04-013-151-04-136-31
when playing against a team with a winning record13-945-27177-15412-1137-34125-13019-447-27169-182
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games4-625-17105-924-719-2474-927-424-1984-119
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games2-614-967-564-511-1349-575-412-1248-76
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game8-626-14110-898-720-2077-8111-424-1898-112
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MICHIGAN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games22-6+5.511-1312-1269.632.146.8%37.559.928.139.3%30.5
Road Games7-5+0.65-66-665.731.444.7%35.264.730.644.1%30.3
Last 5 Games3-2+0.92-23-270.831.847.3%36.664.226.441.9%28.4
Conference Games11-4+6.68-69-668.630.545.9%35.163.229.442.7%31.0
MICHIGAN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)69.632.125-5346.8%5-1434.7%15-2171.1%371014168134
vs opponents surrendering6529.223-5541.1%6-1832.4%13-1970.1%35912186133
Team Stats (Road Games)65.731.424-5444.7%5-1336.3%12-1771.0%351012188134
Stats Against (All Games)59.928.121-5439.3%6-1831.8%12-1865.6%31811187133
vs opponents averaging68.531.924-5643.3%6-1833.9%14-2068.8%361013177134
Stats Against (Road Games)64.730.623-5244.1%5-1634.4%13-2068.4%30811157124

MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games23-5-4.814-1215-1276.035.849.5%35.662.129.041.9%30.5
Home Games16-0+38-67-879.237.550.3%36.757.827.140.2%29.6
Last 5 Games2-3-121-43-268.430.445.4%32.870.633.045.1%34.6
Conference Games10-5-9.86-88-772.533.148.0%34.065.230.843.4%31.9
MICHIGAN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)76.035.828-5749.5%8-2039.3%11-1670.5%36915136103
vs opponents surrendering65.63023-5442.6%6-1834.4%13-1968.6%34912186133
Team Stats (Home Games)79.237.529-5850.3%9-2142.1%12-1671.2%3791610583
Stats Against (All Games)62.129.023-5641.9%7-2032.7%8-1366.4%30812155123
vs opponents averaging66.931.224-5542.7%6-1833.1%13-2068.8%351013177124
Stats Against (Home Games)57.827.123-5640.2%6-2130.4%6-1063.9%30811154123
Average power rating of opponents played: MICHIGAN ST 76.1,  MICHIGAN 75.7
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 14-13 against the spread versus MICHIGAN since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 20-7 straight up against MICHIGAN since 1997
15 of 21 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 3-2 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 3-2 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MICHIGAN since 1997
MICHIGAN is 7-6 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 7-6 straight up against MICHIGAN since 1997
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/12/2013MICHIGAN52-1 Under2421-5339.6%6-1931.6%4-666.7%30616
 MICHIGAN ST75133SU ATS3830-6248.4%7-2035.0%8-1747.1%41148
2/5/2012MICHIGAN54124.5 Under2219-4839.6%7-2231.8%9-1275.0%16310
 MICHIGAN ST64-7SU ATS3024-4652.2%2-1020.0%14-2070.0%401215
1/17/2012MICHIGAN ST59-1 Under2924-5048.0%7-1546.7%4-580.0%31914
 MICHIGAN60130.5SU ATS3623-4551.1%6-2128.6%8-1361.5%1818
3/5/2011MICHIGAN ST63126.5 Over2520-6132.8%8-2236.4%15-2075.0%461510
 MICHIGAN70-1SU ATS3321-5042.0%5-1926.3%23-3174.2%3046
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MICHIGAN in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.2% of the time since 1997. (185-215)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 45.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-41)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (172-176)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 44.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-37)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54.6% of the time since 1997. (195-162)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (45-38)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 44.3% of the time since 1997. (124-156)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-37)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MICHIGAN ST
[G] 12/28/2012 - Brandan Kearney expected to transfer ( Personal )
[F] 11/19/2012 - Kenny Kaminski out for season ( Shoulder )
MICHIGAN
No significant injuries.
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