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Matchup Reports

Wednesday at 7:00 PM
MICHIGAN ST (14-3) AT PENN ST (8-8) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
735: MICHIGAN ST
736: PENN ST
125.0
+10.5
70.3 / 57.7
61.4 / 65.9
14-3
8-8
5-9
4-7
6-7
4-5
46.9
39.0
70.3
69.8
33.1
28.6
37.7
41.9
64.2
69.4
30.1
36.4
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MICHIGAN ST-10 
PENN ST  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MICHIGAN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games5-938-41253-2296-734-44178-21714-361-27391-145
in all lined games5-938-41253-2296-734-44178-21711-353-27345-145
when the total is 120 to 129.52-411-1546-453-311-1534-585-118-860-33
as a favorite4-727-34194-1754-626-35138-15810-145-17303-74
as a road favorite of 9.5 to 12 points0-10-16-30-10-12-41-01-08-1
in road games1-311-1476-801-38-1653-772-212-1486-78
in road lined games1-311-1476-801-38-1653-772-211-1480-78
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.50-23-613-201-14-513-201-15-415-19
against conference opponents2-224-21148-1313-120-26101-1313-130-16200-85
in January games2-17-1157-602-19-942-483-011-786-34
on Wednesday games1-19-452-270-24-927-341-110-470-16
after a conference game2-123-21150-1272-120-25103-1313-029-16202-82
off a win against a conference rival1-117-12110-851-19-2070-922-019-10142-56
after allowing 60 points or less1-818-16104-1094-413-2084-897-225-10166-65
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-11-222-181-01-29-201-02-137-4
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game1-24-432-241-21-715-264-08-157-6

PENN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games4-730-34203-2004-531-33120-1318-839-43220-263
in all lined games4-730-34203-2004-531-33120-1314-828-41157-257
when the total is 120 to 129.52-514-1842-474-320-1445-461-612-2235-56
as an underdog1-517-26131-1452-423-2487-950-611-3665-219
as a home underdog of 9.5 to 12 points0-00-02-40-00-00-30-00-01-6
in all home games3-317-1394-862-214-1453-587-330-15157-97
in home lined games3-317-1394-862-214-1453-583-319-1395-93
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.51-27-824-222-111-625-231-27-1023-25
against conference opponents1-322-21132-1411-321-2484-950-416-2984-195
in January games1-310-1057-601-38-1336-390-46-1536-86
on Wednesday games0-24-956-652-09-434-270-25-1057-80
after a conference game0-320-20128-1371-222-2182-951-317-2891-187
off a loss against a conference rival0-310-1584-941-214-1356-630-38-1956-128
after allowing 60 points or less1-59-1645-473-214-932-261-513-1665-56
after scoring 60 points or less0-69-1655-674-215-1345-423-612-2051-92
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games1-04-122-150-00-46-131-04-211-27
after 3 or more consecutive losses0-13-542-470-13-522-320-14-526-71
when playing against a team with a winning record2-423-26138-1512-325-2698-944-523-34107-208
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games0-016-1291-940-017-1467-630-011-2057-134
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-29-950-631-113-747-410-24-1629-89
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game2-315-1587-971-418-1468-613-411-2365-135
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MICHIGAN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games14-3-0.25-96-770.333.646.9%39.557.727.937.7%31.2
Road Games3-3-2.22-42-462.832.043.5%36.264.233.046.1%31.8
Last 5 Games4-1+22-33-268.431.644.1%36.861.632.443.3%34.4
Conference Games3-1+12-23-168.732.544.0%37.063.032.244.8%35.0
MICHIGAN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)70.333.626-5546.9%5-1433.1%14-2170.3%391015169154
vs opponents surrendering66.329.823-5641.3%6-1831.9%14-2069.9%371012177144
Team Stats (Road Games)62.832.025-5743.5%4-1234.7%9-1461.9%361112188144
Stats Against (All Games)57.727.920-5437.7%5-1630.1%12-1864.2%31811178144
vs opponents averaging67.231.224-5742.0%6-1832.4%13-1967.7%36913187134
Stats Against (Road Games)64.233.024-5146.1%5-1338.3%12-1768.6%32713138137

PENN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games8-8-2.44-74-561.427.939.0%36.965.928.241.9%32.4
Home Games7-3+0.63-32-266.329.740.4%38.464.427.139.6%31.0
Last 5 Games1-4-1.22-31-356.424.835.3%38.667.632.843.2%33.6
Conference Games0-4-2.21-31-349.521.233.5%35.766.034.044.9%35.0
PENN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)61.427.921-5439.0%5-1828.6%14-2069.8%37109215133
vs opponents surrendering65.530.423-5741.4%6-1832.9%13-1869.1%35912186133
Team Stats (Home Games)66.329.722-5440.4%6-1930.5%17-2471.0%381010225134
Stats Against (All Games)65.928.221-5041.9%7-2136.4%17-2469.4%32711196124
vs opponents averaging69.833.125-5643.9%7-1934.1%14-2068.6%361014176134
Stats Against (Home Games)64.427.120-5039.6%8-2333.6%17-2472.2%31511216133
Average power rating of opponents played: MICHIGAN ST 73.6,  PENN ST 73.4
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 14-11 against the spread versus PENN ST since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 20-5 straight up against PENN ST since 1997
10 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 2-2 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 2-2 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at PENN ST since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 7-4 against the spread versus PENN ST since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 9-2 straight up against PENN ST since 1997
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at PENN ST over the last 3 seasons.
PENN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 1-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/8/2012PENN ST57125 Over1920-5238.5%6-2030.0%11-1668.7%25513
 MICHIGAN ST77-14.5SU ATS3323-5343.4%8-2138.1%23-3467.6%441414
3/12/2011MICHIGAN ST48-3.5 Under2617-5332.1%8-2334.8%6-1250.0%3289
NPENN ST61121SU ATS2621-5042.0%9-2240.9%10-1662.5%3887
2/10/2011PENN ST57128.5 Over2123-5641.1%7-1838.9%4-1136.4%2396
 MICHIGAN ST75-6.5SU ATS4122-4252.4%5-1338.5%26-3574.3%381011
1/8/2011MICHIGAN ST62-6 Under3623-5541.8%6-1931.6%10-2050.0%361011
 PENN ST66132SU ATS3123-5740.4%5-1729.4%15-2365.2%40146
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring PENN ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.3% of the time since 1997. (181-210)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 45.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-36)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (163-167)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 42.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (23-31)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54.6% of the time since 1997. (190-158)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (40-34)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 46.5% of the time since 1997. (100-115)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 47.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-31)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MICHIGAN ST
[G] 01/16/2013 - Gary Harris probable Wednesday vs. Penn State ( Shoulder )
[G] 01/15/2013 - Branden Dawson probable Wednesday vs. Penn State ( Knee )
[G] 12/28/2012 - Brandan Kearney expected to transfer ( Personal )
[F] 11/19/2012 - Kenny Kaminski out for season ( Shoulder )
PENN ST
[G] 11/18/2012 - Tim Frazier out for season ( Achilles )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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