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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 7:00 PM
MICHIGAN ST (19-4) AT PURDUE (12-11) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
607: MICHIGAN ST
608: PURDUE
127.5
+3.5
69.3 / 59.0
65.2 / 63.1
19-4
12-11
9-11
10-12
9-10
10-9
46.7
41.4
70.8
63.0
35.7
30.4
38.7
39.2
63.9
70.1
31.5
32.2
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MICHIGAN ST-5 
PURDUE  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MICHIGAN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games9-1142-43257-2319-1037-47181-22019-466-28396-146
in all lined games9-1142-43257-2319-1037-47181-22016-458-28350-146
when the total is 120 to 129.53-512-1647-464-412-1635-597-120-862-33
as a favorite6-929-36196-1776-828-37140-16014-149-17307-74
as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points0-01-411-120-02-310-140-02-317-7
in road games3-413-1578-813-410-1755-784-314-1588-79
in road lined games3-413-1578-813-410-1755-784-313-1582-79
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.51-34-714-212-25-614-213-17-417-19
against conference opponents6-428-23152-1336-423-29104-1348-235-17205-86
in February games1-010-560-470-15-1140-561-011-577-34
on Saturday games2-29-1077-782-28-1151-606-018-5129-45
after a conference game6-327-23154-1295-423-28106-1348-134-17207-83
off a win against a conference rival5-221-13114-863-411-2372-956-123-11146-57
after allowing 60 points or less3-920-17106-1106-515-2186-909-327-11168-66
when playing against a team with a winning record7-834-35195-1838-733-36151-17512-346-25256-136
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games5-220-21123-1033-420-2298-1096-126-16153-79
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games5-115-1377-712-412-1657-775-116-1299-52
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game6-522-20109-1155-618-2484-1099-226-16144-86

PURDUE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-1247-37225-24010-945-36160-17112-1160-32318-198
in all lined games10-1247-37225-24010-945-36160-17112-1154-32277-198
when the total is 120 to 129.54-316-1046-525-217-958-434-318-858-44
as an underdog2-513-1366-936-216-1158-752-610-1742-122
as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points0-00-11-40-01-01-30-00-11-4
in all home games7-625-14112-1024-620-1669-769-438-8200-55
in home lined games7-625-14112-1024-620-1669-769-432-8164-55
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.52-08-324-211-17-426-202-09-231-15
against conference opponents5-426-21131-1475-531-1897-1095-530-19152-133
in February games1-112-455-531-110-737-411-112-563-48
on Saturday games1-69-1281-844-19-1047-612-512-11111-67
after a conference game5-427-20136-1406-330-18100-1065-429-19158-126
revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more0-02-25-80-04-08-20-02-24-9
revenging a road loss vs opponent0-34-639-492-18-230-390-35-547-42
off a win against a conference rival2-215-1471-784-021-862-552-216-1388-63
after allowing 60 points or less3-411-1470-735-117-760-514-420-11112-56
after scoring 60 points or less5-210-443-443-45-1029-395-211-456-38
when playing against a team with a winning record5-1131-31160-1858-635-25126-1367-1037-27187-175
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games3-217-1892-1113-321-1580-833-319-17102-107
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games2-210-1058-683-213-855-492-39-1260-69
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game3-720-18101-1067-223-1484-764-719-20106-107
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MICHIGAN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games19-4+4.69-119-1069.332.246.7%37.759.028.538.7%31.0
Road Games5-4-0.44-54-564.131.843.6%35.264.332.844.9%31.9
Last 5 Games4-1+3.84-12-363.828.045.7%32.460.631.040.7%30.6
Conference Games8-2+5.86-46-467.529.945.1%34.362.730.943.1%32.3
MICHIGAN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)69.332.225-5346.7%5-1435.7%14-2070.8%381014168144
vs opponents surrendering65.529.423-5641.3%6-1832.4%14-2069.8%35912187143
Team Stats (Road Games)64.131.825-5643.6%5-1338.8%10-1566.7%351012178133
Stats Against (All Games)59.028.521-5438.7%6-1831.5%12-1863.9%31811188134
vs opponents averaging68.231.724-5742.7%6-1933.3%14-2068.2%361013187134
Stats Against (Road Games)64.332.823-5244.9%6-1635.9%12-1965.3%32812147135

PURDUE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games12-11-9.410-1210-965.230.541.4%40.663.128.939.2%34.7
Home Games9-4-1.67-64-667.531.443.3%40.059.727.438.1%32.8
Last 5 Games2-3-0.12-22-359.226.438.1%38.270.232.642.2%36.6
Conference Games5-5+1.35-45-561.428.039.9%39.266.831.240.6%36.9
PURDUE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)65.230.524-5941.4%4-1430.4%12-1963.0%411213185125
vs opponents surrendering64.329.123-5541.4%6-1932.7%13-1868.5%33912187133
Team Stats (Home Games)67.531.426-5943.3%4-1231.0%13-2065.0%401214175125
Stats Against (All Games)63.128.922-5739.2%5-1632.2%13-1970.1%35912176125
vs opponents averaging66.831.324-5443.5%6-1733.7%14-2068.9%361013176134
Stats Against (Home Games)59.727.421-5638.1%5-1532.3%12-1770.8%33912176135
Average power rating of opponents played: MICHIGAN ST 74.4,  PURDUE 76.3
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 17-13 against the spread versus PURDUE since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 20-10 straight up against PURDUE since 1997
18 of 27 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 4-2 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 4-2 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at PURDUE since 1997
PURDUE is 7-6 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST since 1997
PURDUE is 7-6 straight up against MICHIGAN ST since 1997
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at PURDUE over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 1-1 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/5/2013PURDUE61125.5 Over3024-6139.3%4-1428.6%9-2045.0%351010
 MICHIGAN ST84-11.5SU ATS3629-6445.3%8-1553.3%18-2281.8%441112
2/19/2012MICHIGAN ST76-4.5SU ATS3530-5950.8%5-1338.5%11-1764.7%44109
 PURDUE62129.5 Over3822-6533.8%6-2227.3%12-1866.7%3296
1/21/2012PURDUE58134 Over2418-6229.0%3-2015.0%19-2479.2%341611
 MICHIGAN ST83-8SU ATS3130-5060.0%7-1353.8%16-2272.7%33511
3/11/2011MICHIGAN ST74130.5SU ATS3721-4942.9%7-1353.8%25-3180.6%4189
NPURDUE56-7 Under2319-5137.3%3-1618.7%15-2560.0%2824
2/27/2011PURDUE67133SU ATS3325-5743.9%7-1936.8%10-1566.7%38810
 MICHIGAN ST47-1 Under2419-5733.3%1-119.1%8-1172.7%36812
1/22/2011MICHIGAN ST76131 Over3128-6344.4%10-2050.0%10-1376.9%321411
 PURDUE86-6.5SU ATS4129-5058.0%6-1250.0%22-3073.3%2959
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring PURDUE in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.5% of the time since 1997. (184-212)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-38)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (188-184)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 47.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-33)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54.8% of the time since 1997. (193-159)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 55.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (43-35)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 49% of the time since 1997. (144-150)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 44.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-41)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MICHIGAN ST
[G] 02/09/2013 - Gary Harris probable Saturday vs. Purdue ( Back )
[G] 02/08/2013 - Keith Appling injured last game, probable Saturday vs Purdue ( Shoulder )
[G] 02/08/2013 - Branden Dawson injured last game, probable Saturday vs. Purdue ( Ankle )
[G] 02/08/2013 - Travis Trice doubtful Saturday vs. Purdue ( Concussion )
[C] 02/07/2013 - Adreian Payne probable Saturday vs. Purdue ( Nose )
[G] 12/28/2012 - Brandan Kearney expected to transfer ( Personal )
[F] 11/19/2012 - Kenny Kaminski out for season ( Shoulder )
PURDUE
[G] 02/08/2013 - Dru Anthrop expected to miss 2-4 weeks ( Hand )
[F] 02/05/2013 - Jay Simpson out for season ( Foot )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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04/21/2014
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