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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 9-11 | 42-43 | 257-231 | 9-10 | 37-47 | 181-220 | 19-4 | 66-28 | 396-146 | | in all lined games | 9-11 | 42-43 | 257-231 | 9-10 | 37-47 | 181-220 | 16-4 | 58-28 | 350-146 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 3-5 | 12-16 | 47-46 | 4-4 | 12-16 | 35-59 | 7-1 | 20-8 | 62-33 | | as a favorite | 6-9 | 29-36 | 196-177 | 6-8 | 28-37 | 140-160 | 14-1 | 49-17 | 307-74 | | as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 17-7 | | in road games | 3-4 | 13-15 | 78-81 | 3-4 | 10-17 | 55-78 | 4-3 | 14-15 | 88-79 | | in road lined games | 3-4 | 13-15 | 78-81 | 3-4 | 10-17 | 55-78 | 4-3 | 13-15 | 82-79 | | in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 14-21 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 14-21 | 3-1 | 7-4 | 17-19 | | against conference opponents | 6-4 | 28-23 | 152-133 | 6-4 | 23-29 | 104-134 | 8-2 | 35-17 | 205-86 | | in February games | 1-0 | 10-5 | 60-47 | 0-1 | 5-11 | 40-56 | 1-0 | 11-5 | 77-34 | | on Saturday games | 2-2 | 9-10 | 77-78 | 2-2 | 8-11 | 51-60 | 6-0 | 18-5 | 129-45 | | after a conference game | 6-3 | 27-23 | 154-129 | 5-4 | 23-28 | 106-134 | 8-1 | 34-17 | 207-83 | | off a win against a conference rival | 5-2 | 21-13 | 114-86 | 3-4 | 11-23 | 72-95 | 6-1 | 23-11 | 146-57 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 3-9 | 20-17 | 106-110 | 6-5 | 15-21 | 86-90 | 9-3 | 27-11 | 168-66 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 7-8 | 34-35 | 195-183 | 8-7 | 33-36 | 151-175 | 12-3 | 46-25 | 256-136 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 5-2 | 20-21 | 123-103 | 3-4 | 20-22 | 98-109 | 6-1 | 26-16 | 153-79 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 5-1 | 15-13 | 77-71 | 2-4 | 12-16 | 57-77 | 5-1 | 16-12 | 99-52 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 6-5 | 22-20 | 109-115 | 5-6 | 18-24 | 84-109 | 9-2 | 26-16 | 144-86 |
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| in all games | 10-12 | 47-37 | 225-240 | 10-9 | 45-36 | 160-171 | 12-11 | 60-32 | 318-198 | | in all lined games | 10-12 | 47-37 | 225-240 | 10-9 | 45-36 | 160-171 | 12-11 | 54-32 | 277-198 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 4-3 | 16-10 | 46-52 | 5-2 | 17-9 | 58-43 | 4-3 | 18-8 | 58-44 | | as an underdog | 2-5 | 13-13 | 66-93 | 6-2 | 16-11 | 58-75 | 2-6 | 10-17 | 42-122 | | as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-4 | | in all home games | 7-6 | 25-14 | 112-102 | 4-6 | 20-16 | 69-76 | 9-4 | 38-8 | 200-55 | | in home lined games | 7-6 | 25-14 | 112-102 | 4-6 | 20-16 | 69-76 | 9-4 | 32-8 | 164-55 | | in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 2-0 | 8-3 | 24-21 | 1-1 | 7-4 | 26-20 | 2-0 | 9-2 | 31-15 | | against conference opponents | 5-4 | 26-21 | 131-147 | 5-5 | 31-18 | 97-109 | 5-5 | 30-19 | 152-133 | | in February games | 1-1 | 12-4 | 55-53 | 1-1 | 10-7 | 37-41 | 1-1 | 12-5 | 63-48 | | on Saturday games | 1-6 | 9-12 | 81-84 | 4-1 | 9-10 | 47-61 | 2-5 | 12-11 | 111-67 | | after a conference game | 5-4 | 27-20 | 136-140 | 6-3 | 30-18 | 100-106 | 5-4 | 29-19 | 158-126 | | revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-0 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4-9 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 0-3 | 4-6 | 39-49 | 2-1 | 8-2 | 30-39 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 47-42 | | off a win against a conference rival | 2-2 | 15-14 | 71-78 | 4-0 | 21-8 | 62-55 | 2-2 | 16-13 | 88-63 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 3-4 | 11-14 | 70-73 | 5-1 | 17-7 | 60-51 | 4-4 | 20-11 | 112-56 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 5-2 | 10-4 | 43-44 | 3-4 | 5-10 | 29-39 | 5-2 | 11-4 | 56-38 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 5-11 | 31-31 | 160-185 | 8-6 | 35-25 | 126-136 | 7-10 | 37-27 | 187-175 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 3-2 | 17-18 | 92-111 | 3-3 | 21-15 | 80-83 | 3-3 | 19-17 | 102-107 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 2-2 | 10-10 | 58-68 | 3-2 | 13-8 | 55-49 | 2-3 | 9-12 | 60-69 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 3-7 | 20-18 | 101-106 | 7-2 | 23-14 | 84-76 | 4-7 | 19-20 | 106-107 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 19-4 | +4.6 | 9-11 | 9-10 | 69.3 | 32.2 | 46.7% | 37.7 | 59.0 | 28.5 | 38.7% | 31.0 | | Road Games | 5-4 | -0.4 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 64.1 | 31.8 | 43.6% | 35.2 | 64.3 | 32.8 | 44.9% | 31.9 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +3.8 | 4-1 | 2-3 | 63.8 | 28.0 | 45.7% | 32.4 | 60.6 | 31.0 | 40.7% | 30.6 | | Conference Games | 8-2 | +5.8 | 6-4 | 6-4 | 67.5 | 29.9 | 45.1% | 34.3 | 62.7 | 30.9 | 43.1% | 32.3 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 69.3 | 32.2 | 25-53 | 46.7% | 5-14 | 35.7% | 14-20 | 70.8% | 38 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.5 | 29.4 | 23-56 | 41.3% | 6-18 | 32.4% | 14-20 | 69.8% | 35 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 64.1 | 31.8 | 25-56 | 43.6% | 5-13 | 38.8% | 10-15 | 66.7% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 59.0 | 28.5 | 21-54 | 38.7% | 6-18 | 31.5% | 12-18 | 63.9% | 31 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 8 | 13 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.2 | 31.7 | 24-57 | 42.7% | 6-19 | 33.3% | 14-20 | 68.2% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 64.3 | 32.8 | 23-52 | 44.9% | 6-16 | 35.9% | 12-19 | 65.3% | 32 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
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| All Games | 12-11 | -9.4 | 10-12 | 10-9 | 65.2 | 30.5 | 41.4% | 40.6 | 63.1 | 28.9 | 39.2% | 34.7 | | Home Games | 9-4 | -1.6 | 7-6 | 4-6 | 67.5 | 31.4 | 43.3% | 40.0 | 59.7 | 27.4 | 38.1% | 32.8 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -0.1 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 59.2 | 26.4 | 38.1% | 38.2 | 70.2 | 32.6 | 42.2% | 36.6 | | Conference Games | 5-5 | +1.3 | 5-4 | 5-5 | 61.4 | 28.0 | 39.9% | 39.2 | 66.8 | 31.2 | 40.6% | 36.9 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 65.2 | 30.5 | 24-59 | 41.4% | 4-14 | 30.4% | 12-19 | 63.0% | 41 | 12 | 13 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.3 | 29.1 | 23-55 | 41.4% | 6-19 | 32.7% | 13-18 | 68.5% | 33 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 67.5 | 31.4 | 26-59 | 43.3% | 4-12 | 31.0% | 13-20 | 65.0% | 40 | 12 | 14 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 63.1 | 28.9 | 22-57 | 39.2% | 5-16 | 32.2% | 13-19 | 70.1% | 35 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 5 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.8 | 31.3 | 24-54 | 43.5% | 6-17 | 33.7% | 14-20 | 68.9% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 59.7 | 27.4 | 21-56 | 38.1% | 5-15 | 32.3% | 12-17 | 70.8% | 33 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 5 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: MICHIGAN ST 74.4, PURDUE 76.3 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| MICHIGAN ST is 17-13 against the spread versus PURDUE since 1997 | | MICHIGAN ST is 20-10 straight up against PURDUE since 1997 | | 18 of 27 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MICHIGAN ST is 4-2 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons | | MICHIGAN ST is 4-2 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons | | 4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| PURDUE is 7-6 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST since 1997 | | PURDUE is 7-6 straight up against MICHIGAN ST since 1997 | | 8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| PURDUE is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons | | PURDUE is 1-1 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/5/2013 | PURDUE | 61 | 125.5 | Over | 30 | 24-61 | 39.3% | 4-14 | 28.6% | 9-20 | 45.0% | 35 | 10 | 10 | | | MICHIGAN ST | 84 | -11.5 | SU ATS | 36 | 29-64 | 45.3% | 8-15 | 53.3% | 18-22 | 81.8% | 44 | 11 | 12 | 2/19/2012 | MICHIGAN ST | 76 | -4.5 | SU ATS | 35 | 30-59 | 50.8% | 5-13 | 38.5% | 11-17 | 64.7% | 44 | 10 | 9 | | | PURDUE | 62 | 129.5 | Over | 38 | 22-65 | 33.8% | 6-22 | 27.3% | 12-18 | 66.7% | 32 | 9 | 6 | 1/21/2012 | PURDUE | 58 | 134 | Over | 24 | 18-62 | 29.0% | 3-20 | 15.0% | 19-24 | 79.2% | 34 | 16 | 11 | | | MICHIGAN ST | 83 | -8 | SU ATS | 31 | 30-50 | 60.0% | 7-13 | 53.8% | 16-22 | 72.7% | 33 | 5 | 11 | 3/11/2011 | MICHIGAN ST | 74 | 130.5 | SU ATS | 37 | 21-49 | 42.9% | 7-13 | 53.8% | 25-31 | 80.6% | 41 | 8 | 9 | | N | PURDUE | 56 | -7 | Under | 23 | 19-51 | 37.3% | 3-16 | 18.7% | 15-25 | 60.0% | 28 | 2 | 4 | 2/27/2011 | PURDUE | 67 | 133 | SU ATS | 33 | 25-57 | 43.9% | 7-19 | 36.8% | 10-15 | 66.7% | 38 | 8 | 10 | | | MICHIGAN ST | 47 | -1 | Under | 24 | 19-57 | 33.3% | 1-11 | 9.1% | 8-11 | 72.7% | 36 | 8 | 12 | 1/22/2011 | MICHIGAN ST | 76 | 131 | Over | 31 | 28-63 | 44.4% | 10-20 | 50.0% | 10-13 | 76.9% | 32 | 14 | 11 | | | PURDUE | 86 | -6.5 | SU ATS | 41 | 29-50 | 58.0% | 6-12 | 50.0% | 22-30 | 73.3% | 29 | 5 | 9 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.5% of the time since 1997. (184-212) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-38) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (188-184) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 47.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-33) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54.8% of the time since 1997. (193-159) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 55.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (43-35) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 49% of the time since 1997. (144-150) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 44.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-41) | |
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| [G] 02/09/2013 - Gary Harris probable Saturday vs. Purdue ( Back ) | | [G] 02/08/2013 - Keith Appling injured last game, probable Saturday vs Purdue ( Shoulder ) | | [G] 02/08/2013 - Branden Dawson injured last game, probable Saturday vs. Purdue ( Ankle ) | | [G] 02/08/2013 - Travis Trice doubtful Saturday vs. Purdue ( Concussion ) | | [C] 02/07/2013 - Adreian Payne probable Saturday vs. Purdue ( Nose ) | | [G] 12/28/2012 - Brandan Kearney expected to transfer ( Personal ) | | [F] 11/19/2012 - Kenny Kaminski out for season ( Shoulder ) | |
| [G] 02/08/2013 - Dru Anthrop expected to miss 2-4 weeks ( Hand ) | | [F] 02/05/2013 - Jay Simpson out for season ( Foot ) |
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