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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 7:00 PM
MICHIGAN (16-1) AT MINNESOTA (15-2) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
517: MICHIGAN
518: MINNESOTA
137.5
-2.0
79.1 / 58.6
76.3 / 61.4
16-1
15-2
10-6
11-4
9-7
5-4
50.8
47.0
71.7
70.6
40.4
35.4
40.3
38.7
63.4
68.4
30.9
30.4
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MICHIGAN  
MINNESOTA-3 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-649-28221-2169-741-34150-16516-161-25277-222
in all lined games10-649-28221-2169-741-34150-16515-152-25225-218
when the total is 130 to 139.53-415-1266-614-314-1353-746-116-1161-68
as an underdog0-121-11107-1150-115-1778-920-112-2061-163
as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick0-13-37-150-13-35-80-13-37-15
in road games1-214-1072-882-113-1152-602-112-1252-114
in road lined games1-214-1072-882-113-1152-602-112-1250-113
in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.50-21-45-121-12-36-121-11-43-16
against conference opponents2-228-16145-1322-223-2194-1123-127-17127-153
in January games2-211-1171-552-210-1238-523-111-1163-65
after a conference game1-226-17142-1281-219-2487-1172-126-18131-148
off a loss against a conference rival0-012-479-640-08-847-620-011-569-76
after allowing 60 points or less4-317-1170-644-314-1353-586-122-993-61
after scoring 60 points or less0-014-662-630-09-1145-550-013-762-70
when playing against a team with a winning record9-541-23173-1508-633-29121-12513-141-24163-179
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games0-221-13101-880-215-1970-871-118-1678-116
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-212-565-520-27-1045-541-18-944-73
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game6-224-10108-854-416-1773-787-120-1594-109

MINNESOTA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games11-441-39210-2235-436-37145-15015-255-31280-219
in all lined games11-441-39210-2235-436-37145-15013-250-31224-217
when the total is 130 to 139.54-115-2369-732-314-2561-845-021-1873-72
as a favorite9-323-26103-1033-418-2569-6812-038-12159-51
as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick0-00-413-170-01-311-130-00-416-16
in all home games6-218-23109-1051-415-2268-7710-034-12200-73
in home lined games6-218-23109-1051-415-2268-778-029-12147-71
in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.50-12-818-170-11-911-241-07-324-11
against conference opponents4-020-23131-1473-123-2094-1023-116-27116-167
in January games3-012-657-622-19-938-372-111-757-67
after a conference game3-020-21132-1402-120-2189-1042-117-25122-160
off a loss against a conference rival0-010-1575-830-011-1455-620-08-1768-93
after allowing 80 points or more1-02-325-311-02-416-151-04-234-34
after scoring 80 points or more4-17-645-401-06-428-154-110-464-39
when playing against a team with a winning record8-328-31157-1715-329-27109-1179-234-27161-189
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games2-017-1698-1002-018-1567-781-112-2173-128
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-011-959-691-014-650-480-16-1444-85
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game4-317-1883-1022-319-1571-685-217-1980-114
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games1-03-315-161-03-35-150-11-58-23
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game3-17-538-372-17-417-302-26-635-49
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games16-1+510-69-779.138.250.8%37.958.627.640.3%28.6
Road Games5-1+44-24-273.334.750.5%35.762.230.542.6%27.3
Last 5 Games4-102-33-278.438.050.0%37.661.829.642.0%29.8
Conference Games3-102-22-276.036.049.5%39.759.029.740.5%27.7
MICHIGAN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)79.138.229-5850.8%8-2140.4%12-1771.7%38916125103
vs opponents surrendering66.530.524-5643.1%6-1934.4%12-1868.1%35913176143
Team Stats (Road Games)73.334.726-5250.5%7-1837.4%14-1971.8%36812155123
Stats Against (All Games)58.627.623-5640.3%6-2130.9%7-1163.4%29812155123
vs opponents averaging67.83224-5743.0%6-1833.1%13-1967.9%351014177134
Stats Against (Road Games)62.230.523-5442.6%6-2033.1%10-1466.7%27814167112

MINNESOTA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games15-2+5.411-45-476.336.947.0%40.661.428.538.7%30.7
Home Games10-0+26-21-476.337.647.9%44.053.623.735.6%28.8
Last 5 Games4-1+14-13-277.031.248.1%40.663.831.242.5%29.2
Conference Games3-1+14-03-177.529.750.0%39.267.233.542.1%30.2
MINNESOTA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)76.336.926-5647.0%6-1635.4%18-2570.6%4114161710156
vs opponents surrendering64.83023-5541.4%6-1833.7%13-1869.3%34912187143
Team Stats (Home Games)76.337.628-5847.9%5-1533.8%16-2466.0%4415181511147
Stats Against (All Games)61.428.522-5638.7%5-1830.4%12-1868.4%311012209154
vs opponents averaging70.433.125-5544.8%7-1935.9%14-2071.4%35914177134
Stats Against (Home Games)53.623.720-5535.6%6-2029.1%9-1464.0%29912199163
Average power rating of opponents played: MICHIGAN 72,  MINNESOTA 76.8
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MINNESOTA is 15-14 against the spread versus MICHIGAN since 1997
MICHIGAN is 17-12 straight up against MINNESOTA since 1997
12 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MINNESOTA since 1997
MINNESOTA is 6-6 against the spread versus MICHIGAN since 1997
MINNESOTA is 7-5 straight up against MICHIGAN since 1997
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
3/9/2012MINNESOTA69123 ATS2324-5345.3%9-2339.1%12-1580.0%371116
NMICHIGAN73-6SU Over2024-4949.0%8-1747.1%17-2568.0%2579
1/1/2012MINNESOTA56130 ATS1921-4942.9%8-1942.1%6-875.0%28613
 MICHIGAN61-6SU Under2320-5238.5%6-2030.0%15-2365.2%361410
2/26/2011MICHIGAN70126.5SU ATS3525-5545.5%12-2842.9%8-988.9%2865
 MINNESOTA63-6 Over3325-5843.1%6-1637.5%7-887.5%36109
1/22/2011MINNESOTA69129SU ATS3126-4163.4%4-850.0%13-2356.5%381117
 MICHIGAN64-1.5 Over2923-5343.4%12-3534.3%6-966.7%1337
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (168-171)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 44.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-32)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 51.5% of the time since 1997. (172-162)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 46.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-36)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 44.5% of the time since 1997. (121-151)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 51.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-32)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 51% of the time since 1997. (129-124)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 49.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-32)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MICHIGAN
[G] 12/03/2012 - Josh Bartelstein expected to miss at least 6 weeks ( Ankle )
MINNESOTA
No significant injuries.
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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