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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 7:00 PM
MICHIGAN (13-0) AT NORTHWESTERN (9-4) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
515: MICHIGAN
516: NORTHWESTERN
128.5
+11.0
80.1 / 58.5
67.8 / 59.3
13-0
9-4
8-4
6-4
7-5
5-0
51.1
43.0
72.9
67.8
40.7
38.6
40.2
39.8
65.3
62.4
30.7
33.5
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MICHIGAN-8 
NORTHWESTERN  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games8-447-26219-2147-539-32148-16313-058-24274-221
in all lined games8-447-26219-2147-539-32148-16312-049-24222-217
when the total is 120 to 129.54-027-1263-502-221-1763-494-027-1266-47
as a favorite8-424-16107-997-523-1568-7112-035-5156-54
as a road favorite of 9.5 to 12 points0-00-01-00-00-00-00-00-01-0
in road games0-113-971-871-012-1051-591-011-1151-113
in road lined games0-113-971-871-012-1051-591-011-1149-112
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.50-010-323-170-08-522-180-010-319-21
against conference opponents0-026-14143-1300-021-1992-1100-024-16124-152
in January games0-09-969-530-08-1036-500-08-1060-64
after a non-conference game8-422-1178-867-521-1062-4813-034-7145-72
after scoring 80 points or more3-26-434-353-26-419-175-08-353-33
when playing against a team with a winning record7-339-21171-1486-431-27119-12310-038-23160-178
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game4-022-8106-832-214-1571-764-017-1491-108

NORTHWESTERN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games6-434-31194-1985-038-23132-1149-448-32217-251
in all lined games6-434-31194-1985-038-23132-1146-434-32148-247
when the total is 120 to 129.51-13-547-542-08-155-460-24-538-65
as an underdog3-016-15130-1363-018-1377-782-18-2357-211
as a home underdog of 9.5 to 12 points0-01-07-10-00-12-30-00-12-6
in all home games3-415-1687-953-014-1359-516-431-13158-95
in home lined games3-415-1687-953-014-1359-513-418-1392-91
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.51-12-225-222-03-125-210-21-323-24
against conference opponents0-019-19132-1360-021-1892-820-016-2381-190
in January games0-08-852-620-07-937-300-06-1139-85
when playing with 7 or more days rest0-12-28-110-02-18-31-05-117-10
after a non-conference game6-415-1368-685-018-546-369-429-12121-75
after allowing 60 points or less3-09-681-722-09-549-435-015-599-92
when playing against a team with a winning record4-326-28134-1365-030-2292-884-426-3290-196
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game2-213-1481-812-014-1163-561-39-1947-121
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game2-05-329-322-04-418-152-04-619-48
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games13-0+58-47-580.138.951.1%37.458.526.940.2%28.8
Road Games4-0+43-13-173.233.750.7%35.762.729.742.8%27.2
Last 5 Games5-0+12-33-281.841.049.7%37.259.826.240.2%30.2
MICHIGAN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)80.138.930-5951.1%9-2140.7%12-1672.9%371016125103
vs opponents surrendering68.63225-5643.8%7-1935.3%12-1868.4%351013186143
Team Stats (Road Games)73.233.726-5250.7%5-1632.3%15-2172.3%36912165113
Stats Against (All Games)58.526.923-5640.2%6-2030.7%7-1165.3%29812155133
vs opponents averaging69.232.825-5743.4%6-1832.4%14-2068.2%351113177134
Stats Against (Road Games)62.729.723-5442.8%6-1932.0%11-1569.4%27813187112

NORTHWESTERN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games9-4-4.86-45-067.832.343.0%35.359.326.139.8%34.7
Home Games6-4-10.73-43-068.033.843.6%34.760.126.740.3%35.0
Last 5 Games3-2+1.53-23-068.832.443.5%32.064.831.642.6%34.0
NORTHWESTERN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)67.832.323-5443.0%8-2238.6%13-2067.8%35817166114
vs opponents surrendering67.73224-5743.1%6-1833.5%13-1968.8%351013177143
Team Stats (Home Games)68.033.824-5443.6%9-2239.4%12-1864.3%35818155114
Stats Against (All Games)59.326.121-5439.8%6-1733.5%11-1862.4%35912196134
vs opponents averaging67.731.524-5643.1%6-2033.0%13-1967.4%351013177144
Stats Against (Home Games)60.126.722-5440.3%6-1734.3%11-1764.9%35913186133
Average power rating of opponents played: MICHIGAN 69.5,  NORTHWESTERN 70.2
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MICHIGAN is 16-10 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1997
MICHIGAN is 17-9 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997
9 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 2-2 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 3-1 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NORTHWESTERN since 1997
MICHIGAN is 8-4 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1997
MICHIGAN is 8-4 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/21/2012MICHIGAN67126.5SU ATS2421-5637.5%14-3836.8%11-1861.1%3597
 NORTHWESTERN55-2.5 Under3121-5141.2%3-1618.7%10-1471.4%391114
1/11/2012NORTHWESTERN64132.5 ATS3424-4850.0%6-1346.2%10-1566.7%32316
 MICHIGAN66-7SU Under2722-6633.3%7-3023.3%15-1693.7%36147
2/9/2011NORTHWESTERN66135.5 Over1926-5646.4%11-2544.0%3-742.9%25711
 MICHIGAN75-2SU ATS3427-5251.9%6-1540.0%15-2171.4%38913
1/18/2011MICHIGAN60132.5 Over3123-5839.7%6-2128.6%8-1553.3%38117
 NORTHWESTERN74-7SU ATS4427-5648.2%10-2441.7%10-1471.4%3575
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MICHIGAN in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (166-169)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 44.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (24-30)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 53.9% of the time since 1997. (167-143)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 58.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-20)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 44.2% of the time since 1997. (119-150)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 50.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-31)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 49.1% of the time since 1997. (106-110)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 54.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-27)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MICHIGAN
[G] 01/02/2013 - Tim Hardaway Jr. is upgraded to probable Thursday vs. Northwestern ( Ankle )
[F] 12/19/2012 - Jon Horford out indefinitely ( Knee )
[G] 12/03/2012 - Josh Bartelstein expected to miss at least 6 weeks ( Ankle )
NORTHWESTERN
[G] 01/03/2013 - Alex Marcotullio "?" Thursday vs. Michigan ( Back )
[G] 01/02/2013 - Reggie Hearn is downgraded to expected to miss Thursday vs. Michigan ( Ankle )
[G/F] 12/31/2012 - Sanjay Lumpkin expected to redshirt ( Wrist )
[G/F] 12/14/2012 - Drew Crawford out for season ( Shoulder )
[F] 11/23/2012 - Nikola Cerina out indefinitely ( Ankle )
[G] 10/26/2012 - JerShon Cobb out for season ( Academics )
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