|
|
| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
|---|
|
|
|
| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 8-4 | 47-26 | 219-214 | 7-5 | 39-32 | 148-163 | 13-0 | 58-24 | 274-221 | | in all lined games | 8-4 | 47-26 | 219-214 | 7-5 | 39-32 | 148-163 | 12-0 | 49-24 | 222-217 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 4-0 | 27-12 | 63-50 | 2-2 | 21-17 | 63-49 | 4-0 | 27-12 | 66-47 | | as a favorite | 8-4 | 24-16 | 107-99 | 7-5 | 23-15 | 68-71 | 12-0 | 35-5 | 156-54 | | as a road favorite of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | | in road games | 0-1 | 13-9 | 71-87 | 1-0 | 12-10 | 51-59 | 1-0 | 11-11 | 51-113 | | in road lined games | 0-1 | 13-9 | 71-87 | 1-0 | 12-10 | 51-59 | 1-0 | 11-11 | 49-112 | | in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 0-0 | 10-3 | 23-17 | 0-0 | 8-5 | 22-18 | 0-0 | 10-3 | 19-21 | | against conference opponents | 0-0 | 26-14 | 143-130 | 0-0 | 21-19 | 92-110 | 0-0 | 24-16 | 124-152 | | in January games | 0-0 | 9-9 | 69-53 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 36-50 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 60-64 | | after a non-conference game | 8-4 | 22-11 | 78-86 | 7-5 | 21-10 | 62-48 | 13-0 | 34-7 | 145-72 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 3-2 | 6-4 | 34-35 | 3-2 | 6-4 | 19-17 | 5-0 | 8-3 | 53-33 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 7-3 | 39-21 | 171-148 | 6-4 | 31-27 | 119-123 | 10-0 | 38-23 | 160-178 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 4-0 | 22-8 | 106-83 | 2-2 | 14-15 | 71-76 | 4-0 | 17-14 | 91-108 |
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 6-4 | 34-31 | 194-198 | 5-0 | 38-23 | 132-114 | 9-4 | 48-32 | 217-251 | | in all lined games | 6-4 | 34-31 | 194-198 | 5-0 | 38-23 | 132-114 | 6-4 | 34-32 | 148-247 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 47-54 | 2-0 | 8-1 | 55-46 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 38-65 | | as an underdog | 3-0 | 16-15 | 130-136 | 3-0 | 18-13 | 77-78 | 2-1 | 8-23 | 57-211 | | as a home underdog of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-0 | 1-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-6 | | in all home games | 3-4 | 15-16 | 87-95 | 3-0 | 14-13 | 59-51 | 6-4 | 31-13 | 158-95 | | in home lined games | 3-4 | 15-16 | 87-95 | 3-0 | 14-13 | 59-51 | 3-4 | 18-13 | 92-91 | | in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 25-22 | 2-0 | 3-1 | 25-21 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 23-24 | | against conference opponents | 0-0 | 19-19 | 132-136 | 0-0 | 21-18 | 92-82 | 0-0 | 16-23 | 81-190 | | in January games | 0-0 | 8-8 | 52-62 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 37-30 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 39-85 | | when playing with 7 or more days rest | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 8-3 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 17-10 | | after a non-conference game | 6-4 | 15-13 | 68-68 | 5-0 | 18-5 | 46-36 | 9-4 | 29-12 | 121-75 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 3-0 | 9-6 | 81-72 | 2-0 | 9-5 | 49-43 | 5-0 | 15-5 | 99-92 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 4-3 | 26-28 | 134-136 | 5-0 | 30-22 | 92-88 | 4-4 | 26-32 | 90-196 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 2-2 | 13-14 | 81-81 | 2-0 | 14-11 | 63-56 | 1-3 | 9-19 | 47-121 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 2-0 | 5-3 | 29-32 | 2-0 | 4-4 | 18-15 | 2-0 | 4-6 | 19-48 |
|
|
|
| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 13-0 | +5 | 8-4 | 7-5 | 80.1 | 38.9 | 51.1% | 37.4 | 58.5 | 26.9 | 40.2% | 28.8 | | Road Games | 4-0 | +4 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 73.2 | 33.7 | 50.7% | 35.7 | 62.7 | 29.7 | 42.8% | 27.2 | | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +1 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 81.8 | 41.0 | 49.7% | 37.2 | 59.8 | 26.2 | 40.2% | 30.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 80.1 | 38.9 | 30-59 | 51.1% | 9-21 | 40.7% | 12-16 | 72.9% | 37 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 68.6 | 32 | 25-56 | 43.8% | 7-19 | 35.3% | 12-18 | 68.4% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 73.2 | 33.7 | 26-52 | 50.7% | 5-16 | 32.3% | 15-21 | 72.3% | 36 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 58.5 | 26.9 | 23-56 | 40.2% | 6-20 | 30.7% | 7-11 | 65.3% | 29 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 69.2 | 32.8 | 25-57 | 43.4% | 6-18 | 32.4% | 14-20 | 68.2% | 35 | 11 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 62.7 | 29.7 | 23-54 | 42.8% | 6-19 | 32.0% | 11-15 | 69.4% | 27 | 8 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 9-4 | -4.8 | 6-4 | 5-0 | 67.8 | 32.3 | 43.0% | 35.3 | 59.3 | 26.1 | 39.8% | 34.7 | | Home Games | 6-4 | -10.7 | 3-4 | 3-0 | 68.0 | 33.8 | 43.6% | 34.7 | 60.1 | 26.7 | 40.3% | 35.0 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | +1.5 | 3-2 | 3-0 | 68.8 | 32.4 | 43.5% | 32.0 | 64.8 | 31.6 | 42.6% | 34.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 67.8 | 32.3 | 23-54 | 43.0% | 8-22 | 38.6% | 13-20 | 67.8% | 35 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.7 | 32 | 24-57 | 43.1% | 6-18 | 33.5% | 13-19 | 68.8% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 68.0 | 33.8 | 24-54 | 43.6% | 9-22 | 39.4% | 12-18 | 64.3% | 35 | 8 | 18 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 59.3 | 26.1 | 21-54 | 39.8% | 6-17 | 33.5% | 11-18 | 62.4% | 35 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.7 | 31.5 | 24-56 | 43.1% | 6-20 | 33.0% | 13-19 | 67.4% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 60.1 | 26.7 | 22-54 | 40.3% | 6-17 | 34.3% | 11-17 | 64.9% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 |
|
|
| Average power rating of opponents played: MICHIGAN 69.5, NORTHWESTERN 70.2 |
|
|
| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
|---|
|
|
| MICHIGAN is 16-10 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1997 | | MICHIGAN is 17-9 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997 | | 9 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| NORTHWESTERN is 2-2 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons | | MICHIGAN is 3-1 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
| MICHIGAN is 8-4 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1997 | | MICHIGAN is 8-4 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997 | | 4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons | | NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2/21/2012 | MICHIGAN | 67 | 126.5 | SU ATS | 24 | 21-56 | 37.5% | 14-38 | 36.8% | 11-18 | 61.1% | 35 | 9 | 7 | | | NORTHWESTERN | 55 | -2.5 | Under | 31 | 21-51 | 41.2% | 3-16 | 18.7% | 10-14 | 71.4% | 39 | 11 | 14 | 1/11/2012 | NORTHWESTERN | 64 | 132.5 | ATS | 34 | 24-48 | 50.0% | 6-13 | 46.2% | 10-15 | 66.7% | 32 | 3 | 16 | | | MICHIGAN | 66 | -7 | SU Under | 27 | 22-66 | 33.3% | 7-30 | 23.3% | 15-16 | 93.7% | 36 | 14 | 7 | 2/9/2011 | NORTHWESTERN | 66 | 135.5 | Over | 19 | 26-56 | 46.4% | 11-25 | 44.0% | 3-7 | 42.9% | 25 | 7 | 11 | | | MICHIGAN | 75 | -2 | SU ATS | 34 | 27-52 | 51.9% | 6-15 | 40.0% | 15-21 | 71.4% | 38 | 9 | 13 | 1/18/2011 | MICHIGAN | 60 | 132.5 | Over | 31 | 23-58 | 39.7% | 6-21 | 28.6% | 8-15 | 53.3% | 38 | 11 | 7 | | | NORTHWESTERN | 74 | -7 | SU ATS | 44 | 27-56 | 48.2% | 10-24 | 41.7% | 10-14 | 71.4% | 35 | 7 | 5 |
|
|
|
| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
|---|
|
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (166-169) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 44.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (24-30) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 53.9% of the time since 1997. (167-143) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 58.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-20) | |
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 44.2% of the time since 1997. (119-150) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 50.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-31) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 49.1% of the time since 1997. (106-110) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 54.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-27) | |
|
|
|
|
| [G] 01/02/2013 - Tim Hardaway Jr. is upgraded to probable Thursday vs. Northwestern ( Ankle ) | | [F] 12/19/2012 - Jon Horford out indefinitely ( Knee ) | | [G] 12/03/2012 - Josh Bartelstein expected to miss at least 6 weeks ( Ankle ) | |
| [G] 01/03/2013 - Alex Marcotullio "?" Thursday vs. Michigan ( Back ) | | [G] 01/02/2013 - Reggie Hearn is downgraded to expected to miss Thursday vs. Michigan ( Ankle ) | | [G/F] 12/31/2012 - Sanjay Lumpkin expected to redshirt ( Wrist ) | | [G/F] 12/14/2012 - Drew Crawford out for season ( Shoulder ) | | [F] 11/23/2012 - Nikola Cerina out indefinitely ( Ankle ) | | [G] 10/26/2012 - JerShon Cobb out for season ( Academics ) |
|
|