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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 14-11 | 53-33 | 225-221 | 14-12 | 46-39 | 155-170 | 23-4 | 68-28 | 284-225 | | in all lined games | 14-11 | 53-33 | 225-221 | 14-12 | 46-39 | 155-170 | 22-4 | 59-28 | 232-221 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 6-7 | 18-15 | 69-64 | 7-7 | 17-17 | 56-78 | 12-2 | 22-12 | 67-69 | | as a favorite | 13-9 | 29-21 | 112-104 | 12-11 | 28-21 | 73-77 | 21-2 | 44-7 | 165-56 | | as a road favorite of 12.5 to 15 points | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | | as a road favorite of 12.5 or more points | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | | in road games | 3-5 | 16-13 | 74-91 | 5-3 | 16-13 | 55-62 | 4-4 | 14-15 | 54-117 | | in road lined games | 3-5 | 16-13 | 74-91 | 5-3 | 16-13 | 55-62 | 4-4 | 14-15 | 52-116 | | in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11-16 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 11-15 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 4-23 | | against conference opponents | 6-7 | 32-21 | 149-137 | 7-7 | 28-26 | 99-117 | 10-4 | 34-20 | 134-156 | | in February games | 1-5 | 13-8 | 52-61 | 4-2 | 11-10 | 39-47 | 3-3 | 13-8 | 51-65 | | on Wednesday games | 2-1 | 9-3 | 47-44 | 1-2 | 4-8 | 25-30 | 3-0 | 8-4 | 55-45 | | after a conference game | 5-7 | 30-22 | 146-133 | 6-7 | 24-29 | 92-122 | 9-4 | 33-21 | 138-151 | | off a win against a conference rival | 4-4 | 17-15 | 65-65 | 3-6 | 13-20 | 41-59 | 6-3 | 18-15 | 60-73 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 7-4 | 20-12 | 73-65 | 6-5 | 16-15 | 55-60 | 9-2 | 25-10 | 96-62 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 0-2 | 5-5 | 35-48 | 1-1 | 8-2 | 22-25 | 2-0 | 13-0 | 79-27 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 0-1 | 3-2 | 20-26 | 1-0 | 5-0 | 12-17 | 1-0 | 5-0 | 29-17 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-2 | 1-2 | 18-18 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 11-13 | 2-0 | 3-0 | 25-11 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 1-3 | 3-4 | 28-29 | 2-2 | 4-3 | 18-20 | 4-0 | 7-1 | 55-17 |
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| in all games | 10-11 | 36-38 | 209-204 | 9-9 | 36-37 | 125-135 | 8-18 | 39-53 | 220-273 | | in all lined games | 10-11 | 36-38 | 209-204 | 9-9 | 36-37 | 125-135 | 4-18 | 28-51 | 157-267 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 5-2 | 13-14 | 54-59 | 3-4 | 10-18 | 53-57 | 0-7 | 9-19 | 32-83 | | as an underdog | 7-8 | 23-29 | 137-148 | 6-8 | 27-28 | 91-99 | 0-15 | 11-45 | 65-228 | | as a home underdog of 12.5 to 15 points | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-4 | | as a home underdog of 12.5 to 18 points | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-6 | | in all home games | 5-6 | 19-16 | 96-89 | 5-4 | 17-16 | 56-60 | 7-8 | 30-20 | 157-102 | | in home lined games | 5-6 | 19-16 | 96-89 | 5-4 | 17-16 | 56-60 | 3-8 | 19-18 | 95-98 | | in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 | 1-0 | 5-2 | 16-14 | 1-0 | 4-3 | 14-14 | 0-1 | 6-1 | 14-16 | | against conference opponents | 7-7 | 28-25 | 138-145 | 6-7 | 26-28 | 89-99 | 0-14 | 16-39 | 84-205 | | in February games | 3-2 | 10-8 | 52-57 | 2-2 | 11-7 | 30-37 | 0-5 | 5-14 | 35-78 | | on Wednesday games | 2-2 | 6-9 | 58-65 | 3-1 | 10-5 | 35-28 | 0-4 | 5-12 | 57-82 | | when playing with 5 or 6 days rest | 1-1 | 4-2 | 18-23 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8-14 | 2-1 | 4-4 | 22-29 | | after a conference game | 6-7 | 26-24 | 134-141 | 6-6 | 27-25 | 87-99 | 1-13 | 17-38 | 91-197 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 4-4 | 14-10 | 60-59 | 2-5 | 10-15 | 44-42 | 1-7 | 11-15 | 41-86 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 6-7 | 16-19 | 90-98 | 6-6 | 19-17 | 61-67 | 0-13 | 8-29 | 56-138 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 3-8 | 12-18 | 58-69 | 7-3 | 18-14 | 48-43 | 3-11 | 12-25 | 51-97 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 6-5 | 9-9 | 48-51 | 5-5 | 8-9 | 27-36 | 0-11 | 4-15 | 26-81 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 8-5 | 29-27 | 144-152 | 6-6 | 29-29 | 102-97 | 4-12 | 23-41 | 107-215 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 6-1 | 22-13 | 97-95 | 4-3 | 21-17 | 71-66 | 0-7 | 11-27 | 57-141 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 5-6 | 14-13 | 55-67 | 6-4 | 18-10 | 52-44 | 0-11 | 4-25 | 29-98 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 7-7 | 20-19 | 92-101 | 6-7 | 23-17 | 73-64 | 3-13 | 11-32 | 65-144 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 23-4 | +5.8 | 14-11 | 14-12 | 76.0 | 35.7 | 49.4% | 35.5 | 61.3 | 28.7 | 41.7% | 30.5 | | Road Games | 7-4 | +2.8 | 6-5 | 7-4 | 71.3 | 33.1 | 48.0% | 33.8 | 66.3 | 31.1 | 44.0% | 31.9 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -0.4 | 1-4 | 3-2 | 68.0 | 28.6 | 44.3% | 31.8 | 68.6 | 32.0 | 46.0% | 34.6 | | Conference Games | 10-4 | +0.8 | 6-7 | 7-7 | 72.1 | 32.7 | 47.7% | 33.8 | 63.9 | 30.4 | 43.1% | 32.1 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 76.0 | 35.7 | 28-57 | 49.4% | 8-20 | 39.9% | 11-16 | 70.7% | 36 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.6 | 30 | 23-55 | 42.5% | 6-18 | 34.4% | 13-19 | 68.5% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 71.3 | 33.1 | 27-56 | 48.0% | 7-18 | 36.1% | 11-15 | 70.0% | 34 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 61.3 | 28.7 | 23-56 | 41.7% | 7-20 | 32.1% | 8-12 | 65.8% | 31 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.2 | 31.5 | 24-56 | 42.9% | 6-18 | 33.3% | 13-20 | 68.8% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 66.3 | 31.1 | 24-55 | 44.0% | 7-20 | 34.7% | 11-16 | 67.4% | 32 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
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| All Games | 8-18 | -10.2 | 10-11 | 9-9 | 61.2 | 26.9 | 38.9% | 35.4 | 67.7 | 29.4 | 42.3% | 33.4 | | Home Games | 7-8 | -5.2 | 5-6 | 5-4 | 64.7 | 28.5 | 40.1% | 36.1 | 66.0 | 28.3 | 41.4% | 32.7 | | Last 5 Games | 0-5 | -3 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 60.8 | 27.4 | 38.4% | 34.8 | 68.4 | 31.2 | 41.1% | 35.2 | | Conference Games | 0-14 | -10 | 7-7 | 6-7 | 57.5 | 24.1 | 37.2% | 33.7 | 69.1 | 32.1 | 43.5% | 35.1 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 61.2 | 26.9 | 21-54 | 38.9% | 5-18 | 28.4% | 14-20 | 69.8% | 35 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 5 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.1 | 29.5 | 23-56 | 41.2% | 6-18 | 32.4% | 13-18 | 69.5% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 64.7 | 28.5 | 22-54 | 40.1% | 5-19 | 29.3% | 16-23 | 69.3% | 36 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 67.7 | 29.4 | 21-49 | 42.3% | 7-19 | 34.9% | 19-27 | 71.2% | 33 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.5 | 31.9 | 24-55 | 43.7% | 6-18 | 34.3% | 14-20 | 69.5% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 66.0 | 28.3 | 21-50 | 41.4% | 6-20 | 32.8% | 18-24 | 73.7% | 33 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 4 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: MICHIGAN 75.8, PENN ST 76 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| MICHIGAN is 18-10 against the spread versus PENN ST since 1997 | | MICHIGAN is 21-8 straight up against PENN ST since 1997 | | 10 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MICHIGAN is 4-1 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | MICHIGAN is 5-0 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | 4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| MICHIGAN is 7-5 against the spread versus PENN ST since 1997 | | MICHIGAN is 9-4 straight up against PENN ST since 1997 | | 3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/17/2013 | PENN ST | 71 | 130.5 | ATS | 32 | 25-57 | 43.9% | 6-18 | 33.3% | 15-17 | 88.2% | 35 | 9 | 13 | | | MICHIGAN | 79 | -22 | SU Over | 32 | 23-49 | 46.9% | 6-18 | 33.3% | 27-35 | 77.1% | 29 | 7 | 6 | 3/4/2012 | MICHIGAN | 71 | -5.5 | SU ATS | 39 | 25-42 | 59.5% | 10-18 | 55.6% | 11-15 | 73.3% | 23 | 4 | 14 | | | PENN ST | 65 | 122.5 | Over | 28 | 22-55 | 40.0% | 6-14 | 42.9% | 15-18 | 83.3% | 31 | 15 | 12 | 12/29/2011 | PENN ST | 53 | 125 | Under | 22 | 21-53 | 39.6% | 4-15 | 26.7% | 7-12 | 58.3% | 32 | 8 | 13 | | | MICHIGAN | 71 | -10.5 | SU ATS | 36 | 25-53 | 47.2% | 8-25 | 32.0% | 13-15 | 86.7% | 32 | 8 | 9 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (171-176) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 43.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-37) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 49.9% of the time since 1997. (169-170) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 46% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-34) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 44.4% of the time since 1997. (124-155) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 50.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-36) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 47.5% of the time since 1997. (105-116) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 50.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-32) | |
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| No significant injuries. | |
| [F] 02/21/2013 - Donovon Jack out for season ( Foot ) | | [G] 11/18/2012 - Tim Frazier out for season ( Achilles ) |
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