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Matchup Reports

Wednesday at 6:30 PM
MICHIGAN (23-4) AT PENN ST (8-18) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
721: MICHIGAN
722: PENN ST
132.5
+12.5
76.0 / 61.3
61.2 / 67.7
23-4
8-18
14-11
10-11
14-12
9-9
49.4
38.9
70.7
69.8
39.9
28.4
41.7
42.3
65.8
71.2
32.1
34.9
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MICHIGAN-13 
PENN ST  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games14-1153-33225-22114-1246-39155-17023-468-28284-225
in all lined games14-1153-33225-22114-1246-39155-17022-459-28232-221
when the total is 130 to 139.56-718-1569-647-717-1756-7812-222-1267-69
as a favorite13-929-21112-10412-1128-2173-7721-244-7165-56
as a road favorite of 12.5 to 15 points0-10-10-11-01-01-01-01-01-0
as a road favorite of 12.5 or more points0-10-10-11-01-01-01-01-01-0
in road games3-516-1374-915-316-1355-624-414-1554-117
in road lined games3-516-1374-915-316-1355-624-414-1552-116
in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.50-12-211-160-11-311-150-10-44-23
against conference opponents6-732-21149-1377-728-2699-11710-434-20134-156
in February games1-513-852-614-211-1039-473-313-851-65
on Wednesday games2-19-347-441-24-825-303-08-455-45
after a conference game5-730-22146-1336-724-2992-1229-433-21138-151
off a win against a conference rival4-417-1565-653-613-2041-596-318-1560-73
after allowing 60 points or less7-420-1273-656-516-1555-609-225-1096-62
when playing against a team with a losing record0-25-535-481-18-222-252-013-079-27
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games0-13-220-261-05-012-171-05-029-17
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-21-218-181-12-111-132-03-025-11
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game1-33-428-292-24-318-204-07-155-17

PENN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-1136-38209-2049-936-37125-1358-1839-53220-273
in all lined games10-1136-38209-2049-936-37125-1354-1828-51157-267
when the total is 130 to 139.55-213-1454-593-410-1853-570-79-1932-83
as an underdog7-823-29137-1486-827-2891-990-1511-4565-228
as a home underdog of 12.5 to 15 points0-10-13-20-10-11-30-10-11-4
as a home underdog of 12.5 to 18 points0-20-23-40-20-21-40-20-21-6
in all home games5-619-1696-895-417-1656-607-830-20157-102
in home lined games5-619-1696-895-417-1656-603-819-1895-98
in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.51-05-216-141-04-314-140-16-114-16
against conference opponents7-728-25138-1456-726-2889-990-1416-3984-205
in February games3-210-852-572-211-730-370-55-1435-78
on Wednesday games2-26-958-653-110-535-280-45-1257-82
when playing with 5 or 6 days rest1-14-218-230-12-48-142-14-422-29
after a conference game6-726-24134-1416-627-2587-991-1317-3891-197
revenging a road loss vs opponent4-414-1060-592-510-1544-421-711-1541-86
off a loss against a conference rival6-716-1990-986-619-1761-670-138-2956-138
after scoring 60 points or less3-812-1858-697-318-1448-433-1112-2551-97
after 3 or more consecutive losses6-59-948-515-58-927-360-114-1526-81
when playing against a team with a winning record8-529-27144-1526-629-29102-974-1223-41107-215
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games6-122-1397-954-321-1771-660-711-2757-141
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games5-614-1355-676-418-1052-440-114-2529-98
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game7-720-1992-1016-723-1773-643-1311-3265-144
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games23-4+5.814-1114-1276.035.749.4%35.561.328.741.7%30.5
Road Games7-4+2.86-57-471.333.148.0%33.866.331.144.0%31.9
Last 5 Games3-2-0.41-43-268.028.644.3%31.868.632.046.0%34.6
Conference Games10-4+0.86-77-772.132.747.7%33.863.930.443.1%32.1
MICHIGAN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)76.035.728-5749.4%8-2039.9%11-1670.7%3691512693
vs opponents surrendering65.63023-5542.5%6-1834.4%13-1968.5%34912186133
Team Stats (Road Games)71.333.127-5648.0%7-1836.1%11-1570.0%34812167113
Stats Against (All Games)61.328.723-5641.7%7-2032.1%8-1265.8%31812155123
vs opponents averaging67.231.524-5642.9%6-1833.3%13-2068.8%351013177124
Stats Against (Road Games)66.331.124-5544.0%7-2034.7%11-1667.4%32914157123

PENN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games8-18-10.210-119-961.226.938.9%35.467.729.442.3%33.4
Home Games7-8-5.25-65-464.728.540.1%36.166.028.341.4%32.7
Last 5 Games0-5-33-22-260.827.438.4%34.868.431.241.1%35.2
Conference Games0-14-107-76-757.524.137.2%33.769.132.143.5%35.1
PENN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)61.226.921-5438.9%5-1828.4%14-2069.8%35910225133
vs opponents surrendering64.129.523-5641.2%6-1832.4%13-1869.5%34912186133
Team Stats (Home Games)64.728.522-5440.1%5-1929.3%16-2369.3%36911215114
Stats Against (All Games)67.729.421-4942.3%7-1934.9%19-2771.2%33712196124
vs opponents averaging68.531.924-5543.7%6-1834.3%14-2069.5%361013176124
Stats Against (Home Games)66.028.321-5041.4%6-2032.8%18-2473.7%33612205124
Average power rating of opponents played: MICHIGAN 75.8,  PENN ST 76
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MICHIGAN is 18-10 against the spread versus PENN ST since 1997
MICHIGAN is 21-8 straight up against PENN ST since 1997
10 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 4-1 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 5-0 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at PENN ST since 1997
MICHIGAN is 7-5 against the spread versus PENN ST since 1997
MICHIGAN is 9-4 straight up against PENN ST since 1997
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at PENN ST over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/17/2013PENN ST71130.5 ATS3225-5743.9%6-1833.3%15-1788.2%35913
 MICHIGAN79-22SU Over3223-4946.9%6-1833.3%27-3577.1%2976
3/4/2012MICHIGAN71-5.5SU ATS3925-4259.5%10-1855.6%11-1573.3%23414
 PENN ST65122.5 Over2822-5540.0%6-1442.9%15-1883.3%311512
12/29/2011PENN ST53125 Under2221-5339.6%4-1526.7%7-1258.3%32813
 MICHIGAN71-10.5SU ATS3625-5347.2%8-2532.0%13-1586.7%3289
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring PENN ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (171-176)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 43.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-37)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 49.9% of the time since 1997. (169-170)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 46% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-34)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 44.4% of the time since 1997. (124-155)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 50.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-36)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 47.5% of the time since 1997. (105-116)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 50.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-32)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MICHIGAN
No significant injuries.
PENN ST
[F] 02/21/2013 - Donovon Jack out for season ( Foot )
[G] 11/18/2012 - Tim Frazier out for season ( Achilles )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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