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Matchup Reports

Friday at 2:25 PM
MICHIGAN (26-6) AT WISCONSIN (21-10) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
831: MICHIGAN
832: WISCONSIN
124.5
+2.0
75.7 / 62.8
66.1 / 56.0
26-6
21-10
15-15
11-17
17-14
12-13
48.6
42.5
71.1
63.0
38.6
33.6
42.0
39.4
67.3
69.5
32.9
30.3
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MICHIGAN  
WISCONSIN0 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games15-1554-37226-22517-1449-41158-17226-671-30287-227
in all lined games15-1554-37226-22517-1449-41158-17225-662-30235-223
when the total is 120 to 129.56-229-1465-524-423-1965-517-130-1369-48
as a favorite14-1330-25113-10815-1331-2376-7924-447-9168-58
in all neutral court games4-012-537-313-110-726-264-010-734-37
as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick1-02-16-31-01-23-31-02-16-3
in a neutral court game where the total is 120 to 129.53-07-410-92-15-69-103-07-410-9
against conference opponents7-1133-25150-14110-931-28102-11913-637-22137-158
in March games1-38-639-302-28-628-303-19-535-35
on Friday nights1-05-213-140-12-510-122-07-222-15
when playing with one or less days rest2-05-327-350-24-424-192-04-533-38
after a conference game6-1131-26147-1379-927-3195-12412-636-23141-153
when playing on a neutral court4-012-537-313-110-726-264-010-734-37
revenging a road loss vs opponent2-512-1055-593-410-1239-525-212-1048-68
off a win against a conference rival4-717-1865-685-715-2143-607-519-1761-75
after scoring 80 points or more5-48-636-375-58-721-209-112-457-34
in all tournament games5-012-539-303-29-829-335-010-739-32
in conference tournament games1-03-216-111-03-212-121-03-213-14
when playing against a team with a winning record13-1145-29177-15612-1337-36125-13220-548-28170-183
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games4-825-19105-944-919-2674-948-525-2085-120
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games2-914-1267-595-712-1550-597-514-1350-77
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game8-926-17110-929-921-2278-8313-526-19100-113

WISCONSIN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games11-1747-44257-22512-1345-41154-18921-1072-29363-165
in all lined games11-1747-44257-22512-1345-41154-18919-1063-29330-163
when the total is 120 to 129.54-1224-2587-8510-629-1880-9110-634-15120-54
as an underdog2-410-1068-633-414-743-462-56-1545-93
in all neutral court games0-29-742-411-07-831-451-110-653-35
as a neutral court underdog of 3 points or less or pick0-13-112-61-03-19-80-12-211-8
in a neutral court game where the total is 120 to 129.50-16-319-191-05-416-220-16-325-13
against conference opponents7-1025-31151-1398-1032-2595-12112-638-19189-109
in March games0-38-745-392-110-531-501-28-754-32
on Friday nights0-14-220-171-02-313-180-14-225-16
after a conference game7-925-30146-1418-933-2398-11911-637-19188-109
when playing on a neutral court0-29-742-411-07-831-451-110-653-35
off a win against a conference rival5-515-2193-915-621-1663-857-423-14122-66
after allowing 60 points or less9-1238-23152-13410-932-26100-10716-650-17214-90
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games3-17-123-182-16-114-113-17-126-24
in all tournament games0-29-742-401-07-832-451-110-650-34
in conference tournament games0-01-213-140-01-27-190-01-215-13
when playing against a team with a winning record6-1335-35182-1728-1138-32120-14911-946-27231-143
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games5-623-22101-1025-727-1976-947-529-17121-92
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games5-613-1757-725-717-1449-657-517-1470-63
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game6-1019-24104-1087-1021-2372-979-825-19129-90
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games26-6-415-1517-1475.735.348.6%35.062.729.442.0%32.0
Road Games9-5-6.87-710-473.233.447.7%33.968.131.844.5%32.5
Last 5 Games3-2-9.81-43-274.033.044.7%32.470.832.843.5%40.2
Conference Games13-6-97-1110-972.632.846.9%33.465.731.143.2%34.2
MICHIGAN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)75.735.328-5848.6%8-2038.6%12-1771.1%3591413693
vs opponents surrendering65.529.923-5442.4%6-1834.3%13-1969.0%34912186133
Team Stats (Road Games)73.233.427-5747.7%6-1835.3%12-1771.9%34913167113
Stats Against (All Games)62.729.424-5742.0%6-2032.9%9-1367.3%32912165123
vs opponents averaging66.931.224-5542.9%6-1833.3%14-2069.1%351013187124
Stats Against (Road Games)68.131.825-5644.5%7-1935.8%11-1669.7%32914167123

WISCONSIN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games21-10-0.111-1712-1366.131.642.5%37.056.024.939.4%32.7
Road Games6-7+1.43-95-760.426.239.0%34.761.628.642.4%34.8
Last 5 Games3-2+12-33-261.630.041.9%35.854.823.237.6%33.0
Conference Games12-6+6.87-108-1060.928.840.4%36.455.824.438.9%34.2
WISCONSIN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)66.131.624-5642.5%8-2233.6%11-1763.0%371113146104
vs opponents surrendering64.129.523-5441.6%6-1833.3%13-1969.1%33912176133
Team Stats (Road Games)60.426.221-5439.0%7-2230.2%12-1962.0%351012164103
Stats Against (All Games)56.024.921-5439.4%4-1330.3%10-1469.5%3379176112
vs opponents averaging67.531.524-5543.9%6-1834.0%13-1970.4%35913176124
Stats Against (Road Games)61.628.623-5342.4%4-1329.9%13-1774.4%3589186102
Average power rating of opponents played: MICHIGAN 76.1,  WISCONSIN 78
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
WISCONSIN is 14-13 against the spread versus MICHIGAN since 1997
WISCONSIN is 18-9 straight up against MICHIGAN since 1997
9 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-2 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 3-1 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/9/2013MICHIGAN62-2 Over2928-7139.4%5-1827.8%1-250.0%3997
 WISCONSIN65123SU ATS2825-5743.9%10-2441.7%5-1050.0%39714
1/8/2012WISCONSIN41-2 Under1916-5131.4%7-2035.0%2-540.0%291112
 MICHIGAN59116.5SU ATS2519-4839.6%4-1526.7%17-2085.0%38129
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 48.9% of the time since 1997. (172-180)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 42.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-41)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (198-194)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 54.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (40-34)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 44% of the time since 1997. (125-159)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 48.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-40)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 47.8% of the time since 1997. (143-156)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 47.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-40)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MICHIGAN
No significant injuries.
WISCONSIN
[F] 12/08/2012 - Duje Dukan redshirt ( None )
[G] 10/28/2012 - Josh Gasser out indefinitely ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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