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Thursday at 8:00 PM			MIDDLE TENN ST (11-3) AT ARKANSAS ST (8-5)
						Offensive Statistics			Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF/PA	SU	ATS	O/U	FG%	FT%	3PT%	FG%	FT%	3PT%
521: MIDDLE TENN ST 522: ARKANSAS ST	OFF +4.5	69.9 / 59.0 70.8 / 65.8	11-3 8-5	6-5 4-6	1-1 0-0	44.3 41.7	67.6 66.0	36.0 33.1	41.1 43.2	63.2 72.9	27.5 33.1

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
MIDDLE TENN ST	-7
ARKANSAS ST

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

MIDDLE TENN ST - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	6-5	38-30	175-161	1-1	28-29	93-114	11-3	54-26	256-214
in all lined games	6-5	38-30	175-161	1-1	28-29	93-114	8-3	47-24	177-168
as a favorite	5-2	26-20	85-83	1-1	19-21	59-61	7-0	39-10	123-50
as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points	0-0	2-2	5-6	0-0	2-2	5-4	0-0	3-1	9-2
in road games	2-2	16-12	85-69	0-0	14-12	45-49	3-2	18-16	84-122
in road lined games	2-2	16-12	85-69	0-0	14-12	45-49	2-2	16-14	65-94
against conference opponents	3-0	20-16	115-99	1-0	16-20	66-78	3-0	28-10	154-108
in January games	0-0	10-5	60-49	0-0	6-11	25-42	0-0	12-5	78-61
after a conference game	1-1	20-14	107-94	1-0	16-18	64-73	1-1	25-12	151-110
off a win against a conference rival	1-1	14-11	63-58	1-0	12-14	36-50	1-1	19-8	76-55
after allowing 60 points or less	3-3	17-12	54-60	1-1	11-14	29-47	5-2	21-10	79-60
when playing against a team with a winning record	1-5	13-14	88-82	0-1	9-11	38-56	4-3	16-14	80-129

ARKANSAS ST - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	4-6	29-33	187-185	0-0	24-26	104-97	8-5	39-40	234-231
in all lined games	4-6	29-33	187-185	0-0	24-26	104-97	5-5	28-37	171-208
as an underdog	2-2	15-19	96-95	0-0	12-16	56-58	1-3	5-31	44-151
as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points	0-0	1-2	3-6	0-0	0-3	1-4	0-0	0-3	1-9
in all home games	2-2	13-11	78-70	0-0	10-10	43-38	5-1	28-6	150-58
in home lined games	2-2	13-11	78-70	0-0	10-10	43-38	3-1	18-6	101-50
against conference opponents	2-2	19-20	128-127	0-0	19-15	78-63	2-2	21-19	129-132
in January games	0-0	5-11	58-59	0-0	8-7	31-27	0-0	8-10	67-59
after a conference game	2-2	18-17	117-121	0-0	17-12	73-55	2-2	19-21	127-133
off a win against a conference rival	1-0	9-8	55-61	0-0	7-7	37-23	1-0	10-10	63-64
after allowing 60 points or less	0-3	12-6	47-40	0-0	11-4	27-20	1-2	11-8	50-53
when playing against a team with a winning record	3-1	14-13	97-93	0-0	10-13	55-49	2-2	9-21	66-137
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game	0-0	6-6	29-26	0-0	3-9	12-19	0-0	5-10	24-40

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

MIDDLE TENN ST - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	11-3	+3.4	6-5	1-1	69.9	33.7	44.3%	37.4	59.0	27.9	41.1%	31.5
Road Games	4-3	+0.4	2-4	0-1	61.7	29.6	40.4%	35.3	62.6	31.1	45.3%	31.1
Last 5 Games	4-1	+1	3-2	1-1	65.2	33.0	42.8%	38.6	54.6	25.2	39.3%	31.6
Conference Games	3-0	+1	3-0	1-0	72.0	34.3	45.4%	41.7	55.7	25.7	37.7%	30.3

MIDDLE TENN ST Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	69.9	33.7	25-56	44.3%	5-14	36.0%	15-22	67.6%	37	12	14	21	8	14	3
vs opponents surrendering	66	31	23-56	41.6%	6-18	33.1%	14-20	68.8%	35	10	13	17	7	15	3
Team Stats (Road Games)	61.7	29.6	21-53	40.4%	4-12	34.9%	15-22	66.9%	35	11	11	21	8	16	3
Stats Against (All Games)	59.0	27.9	21-50	41.1%	5-17	27.5%	13-21	63.2%	31	8	10	19	7	17	4
vs opponents averaging	68.5	31.4	25-57	43.2%	7-20	33.2%	13-19	66.7%	36	10	13	18	8	14	4
Stats Against (Road Games)	62.6	31.1	23-50	45.3%	5-17	27.5%	12-20	62.6%	31	8	12	19	8	16	4

ARKANSAS ST - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	8-5	-3.6	4-6	0-0	70.8	32.0	41.7%	36.8	65.8	28.7	43.2%	36.2
Home Games	5-1	+1	2-2	0-0	75.3	34.2	44.5%	38.5	59.7	26.0	41.5%	32.0
Last 5 Games	3-2	+0.4	3-2	0-0	68.4	30.2	40.2%	37.0	63.0	29.6	42.0%	37.4
Conference Games	2-2	-2.6	2-2	0-0	69.0	31.2	39.6%	39.0	69.0	29.0	43.9%	36.2

ARKANSAS ST Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	70.8	32.0	25-59	41.7%	6-19	33.1%	15-23	66.0%	37	12	11	16	10	14	3
vs opponents surrendering	71.5	34	26-58	44.4%	6-19	34.8%	14-20	67.4%	37	11	14	18	8	16	4
Team Stats (Home Games)	75.3	34.2	26-59	44.5%	6-18	34.5%	16-24	67.1%	38	12	11	16	12	13	3
Stats Against (All Games)	65.8	28.7	24-56	43.2%	6-18	33.1%	12-16	72.9%	36	9	12	19	7	18	3
vs opponents averaging	68.6	31.7	25-57	42.8%	6-19	33.9%	13-19	68.6%	35	10	12	18	8	16	3
Stats Against (Home Games)	59.7	26.0	22-54	41.5%	5-17	28.2%	10-14	68.6%	32	8	9	19	7	18	2

Average power rating of opponents played: MIDDLE TENN ST 73.1, ARKANSAS ST 67.1

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1997

MIDDLE TENN ST is 11-9 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1997

MIDDLE TENN ST is 12-8 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1997

5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games over the last 3 seasons

ARKANSAS ST is 2-1 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons

ARKANSAS ST is 2-1 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons

3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at ARKANSAS ST since 1997

MIDDLE TENN ST is 6-3 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1997

ARKANSAS ST is 5-4 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST since 1997

3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games played at ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons.

MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons

ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

						Shooting		3pt shots		Free Throws		Rebounds
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	Pct	FTM-A	Pct	Tot.	OFF	TO
3/4/2012	ARKANSAS ST	64	127	SU ATS	31	21-48	43.7%	6-12	50.0%	16-21	76.2%	39	9	14
N	MIDDLE TENN ST	61	-10.5	Under	28	22-51	43.1%	6-13	46.2%	11-22	50.0%	28	9	8
1/19/2012	ARKANSAS ST	46	123.5	ATS	28	15-46	32.6%	3-12	25.0%	13-22	59.1%	29	7	12
	MIDDLE TENN ST	59	-14.5	SU Under	31	24-53	45.3%	5-12	41.7%	6-9	66.7%	35	9	12
1/15/2011	MIDDLE TENN ST	65	136	ATS	28	24-54	44.4%	3-13	23.1%	14-19	73.7%	31	10	14
	ARKANSAS ST	69	-6	SU Under	41	20-44	45.5%	4-13	30.8%	25-37	67.6%	34	9	16

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ARKANSAS ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 50.7% of the time since 1997. (141-137)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 59.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-26)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 52.2% of the time since 1997. (157-144)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 51.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-26)
No Edge.

No total has been posted for this game.

Key Player Injuries

MIDDLE TENN ST

No significant injuries.

ARKANSAS ST

[F] 12/19/2012 - Seth Kisler expected to redshirt ( Concussion )

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BASEBALL	3/31/2013 - 6/2/2013
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05/18/2013
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05/19/2013
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05/20/2013
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05/25/2013
UEFA Champions League	BAYERN MUNCHEN VS BORUSSIA DORTMUND	11:45 AM PST

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