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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 8:00 PM
MIDDLE TENN ST (11-3) AT ARKANSAS ST (8-5) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
521: MIDDLE TENN ST
522: ARKANSAS ST
OFF
+4.5
69.9 / 59.0
70.8 / 65.8
11-3
8-5
6-5
4-6
1-1
0-0
44.3
41.7
67.6
66.0
36.0
33.1
41.1
43.2
63.2
72.9
27.5
33.1
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MIDDLE TENN ST-7 
ARKANSAS ST  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIDDLE TENN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games6-538-30175-1611-128-2993-11411-354-26256-214
in all lined games6-538-30175-1611-128-2993-1148-347-24177-168
as a favorite5-226-2085-831-119-2159-617-039-10123-50
as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points0-02-25-60-02-25-40-03-19-2
in road games2-216-1285-690-014-1245-493-218-1684-122
in road lined games2-216-1285-690-014-1245-492-216-1465-94
against conference opponents3-020-16115-991-016-2066-783-028-10154-108
in January games0-010-560-490-06-1125-420-012-578-61
after a conference game1-120-14107-941-016-1864-731-125-12151-110
off a win against a conference rival1-114-1163-581-012-1436-501-119-876-55
after allowing 60 points or less3-317-1254-601-111-1429-475-221-1079-60
when playing against a team with a winning record1-513-1488-820-19-1138-564-316-1480-129

ARKANSAS ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games4-629-33187-1850-024-26104-978-539-40234-231
in all lined games4-629-33187-1850-024-26104-975-528-37171-208
as an underdog2-215-1996-950-012-1656-581-35-3144-151
as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points0-01-23-60-00-31-40-00-31-9
in all home games2-213-1178-700-010-1043-385-128-6150-58
in home lined games2-213-1178-700-010-1043-383-118-6101-50
against conference opponents2-219-20128-1270-019-1578-632-221-19129-132
in January games0-05-1158-590-08-731-270-08-1067-59
after a conference game2-218-17117-1210-017-1273-552-219-21127-133
off a win against a conference rival1-09-855-610-07-737-231-010-1063-64
after allowing 60 points or less0-312-647-400-011-427-201-211-850-53
when playing against a team with a winning record3-114-1397-930-010-1355-492-29-2166-137
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game0-06-629-260-03-912-190-05-1024-40
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIDDLE TENN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games11-3+3.46-51-169.933.744.3%37.459.027.941.1%31.5
Road Games4-3+0.42-40-161.729.640.4%35.362.631.145.3%31.1
Last 5 Games4-1+13-21-165.233.042.8%38.654.625.239.3%31.6
Conference Games3-0+13-01-072.034.345.4%41.755.725.737.7%30.3
MIDDLE TENN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)69.933.725-5644.3%5-1436.0%15-2267.6%371214218143
vs opponents surrendering663123-5641.6%6-1833.1%14-2068.8%351013177153
Team Stats (Road Games)61.729.621-5340.4%4-1234.9%15-2266.9%351111218163
Stats Against (All Games)59.027.921-5041.1%5-1727.5%13-2163.2%31810197174
vs opponents averaging68.531.425-5743.2%7-2033.2%13-1966.7%361013188144
Stats Against (Road Games)62.631.123-5045.3%5-1727.5%12-2062.6%31812198164

ARKANSAS ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games8-5-3.64-60-070.832.041.7%36.865.828.743.2%36.2
Home Games5-1+12-20-075.334.244.5%38.559.726.041.5%32.0
Last 5 Games3-2+0.43-20-068.430.240.2%37.063.029.642.0%37.4
Conference Games2-2-2.62-20-069.031.239.6%39.069.029.043.9%36.2
ARKANSAS ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)70.832.025-5941.7%6-1933.1%15-2366.0%3712111610143
vs opponents surrendering71.53426-5844.4%6-1934.8%14-2067.4%371114188164
Team Stats (Home Games)75.334.226-5944.5%6-1834.5%16-2467.1%3812111612133
Stats Against (All Games)65.828.724-5643.2%6-1833.1%12-1672.9%36912197183
vs opponents averaging68.631.725-5742.8%6-1933.9%13-1968.6%351012188163
Stats Against (Home Games)59.726.022-5441.5%5-1728.2%10-1468.6%3289197182
Average power rating of opponents played: MIDDLE TENN ST 73.1,  ARKANSAS ST 67.1
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MIDDLE TENN ST is 11-9 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1997
MIDDLE TENN ST is 12-8 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1997
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 2-1 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 2-1 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at ARKANSAS ST since 1997
MIDDLE TENN ST is 6-3 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1997
ARKANSAS ST is 5-4 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST since 1997
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
3/4/2012ARKANSAS ST64127SU ATS3121-4843.7%6-1250.0%16-2176.2%39914
NMIDDLE TENN ST61-10.5 Under2822-5143.1%6-1346.2%11-2250.0%2898
1/19/2012ARKANSAS ST46123.5 ATS2815-4632.6%3-1225.0%13-2259.1%29712
 MIDDLE TENN ST59-14.5SU Under3124-5345.3%5-1241.7%6-966.7%35912
1/15/2011MIDDLE TENN ST65136 ATS2824-5444.4%3-1323.1%14-1973.7%311014
 ARKANSAS ST69-6SU Under4120-4445.5%4-1330.8%25-3767.6%34916
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ARKANSAS ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 50.7% of the time since 1997. (141-137)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 59.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-26)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 52.2% of the time since 1997. (157-144)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 51.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-26)
No Edge.
 
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
MIDDLE TENN ST
No significant injuries.
ARKANSAS ST
[F] 12/19/2012 - Seth Kisler expected to redshirt ( Concussion )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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