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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 6:30 PM
MIDDLE TENN ST (26-4) AT W KENTUCKY (16-14) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
613: MIDDLE TENN ST
614: W KENTUCKY
OFF
+7.0
71.4 / 57.3
67.7 / 66.4
26-4
16-14
14-13
14-15
1-2
1-4
46.5
42.8
68.5
67.2
38.3
31.5
39.4
42.6
62.6
68.3
28.8
33.2
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MIDDLE TENN ST-12
W KENTUCKY  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIDDLE TENN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games14-1346-38183-1691-228-3093-11526-469-27271-215
in all lined games14-1346-38183-1691-228-3093-11523-462-25192-169
as a favorite13-1034-2893-911-219-2259-6222-154-11138-51
as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points1-42-53-60-01-12-15-06-18-2
in road games3-917-1986-760-014-1245-4910-325-1791-123
in road lined games3-917-1986-760-014-1245-499-323-1572-95
against conference opponents11-828-24123-1071-116-2166-7918-143-11169-109
in March games0-03-314-150-03-310-100-03-315-16
on Saturday games6-422-969-610-112-1036-3711-028-698-74
when playing with one or less days rest7-221-1067-601-111-1230-429-022-1092-75
after a conference game9-928-22115-1021-116-1964-7416-240-13166-111
off a win against a conference rival9-822-1871-651-112-1536-5115-233-990-56
after allowing 60 points or less8-1022-1959-671-111-1429-4716-332-1190-61
when playing against a team with a winning record5-917-1892-860-29-1238-5711-423-1587-130
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games4-29-750-470-15-624-336-010-648-61

W KENTUCKY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games14-1545-48231-2291-433-33132-12816-1448-49316-192
in all lined games14-1545-48231-2291-433-33132-12815-1444-49282-187
as an underdog4-720-2479-811-417-2042-412-912-3246-116
as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points0-01-22-20-02-12-10-01-21-3
in all home games8-518-2096-970-013-1254-5111-326-16174-50
in home lined games8-518-2096-970-013-1254-5110-322-16146-50
against conference opponents8-1131-27140-1440-124-1684-7910-931-27196-96
in March games0-07-234-160-05-423-190-07-236-16
on Saturday games5-816-2183-941-113-1354-456-818-21116-75
when playing with one or less days rest3-715-1873-720-312-1344-454-616-18101-55
after a conference game6-1228-29133-1410-122-1779-819-931-27194-97
revenging a road loss vs opponent2-512-1145-421-011-628-223-412-1155-34
off a win against a conference rival4-516-1387-950-011-954-606-318-12136-57
when playing against a team with a winning record3-1114-25116-1221-314-1469-703-1114-27131-119
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games1-69-1166-610-18-639-391-68-1277-53
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-24-222-110-14-112-100-22-419-14
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game0-66-1047-341-38-630-241-55-1243-41
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIDDLE TENN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games26-4+9.414-131-271.433.446.5%36.957.325.139.4%30.7
Road Games11-4+4.43-110-164.128.743.0%35.961.227.842.4%31.7
Last 5 Games5-0+23-20-079.437.651.0%37.450.820.234.7%29.0
Conference Games18-1+711-81-172.733.348.0%37.355.723.237.9%30.0
MIDDLE TENN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)71.433.425-5446.5%6-1438.3%15-2268.5%371114207144
vs opponents surrendering66.731.123-5542.4%6-1833.2%14-2068.7%351012187154
Team Stats (Road Games)64.128.723-5343.0%4-1234.9%15-2267.3%361112207154
Stats Against (All Games)57.325.120-5039.4%5-1628.8%13-2162.6%3189197163
vs opponents averaging67.731.224-5642.8%6-1933.8%14-2067.9%351012187144
Stats Against (Road Games)61.227.822-5142.4%5-1630.6%13-2160.8%32911198154

W KENTUCKY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games16-14-2.214-151-467.731.142.8%37.066.430.842.6%32.8
Home Games11-3+2.28-50-069.732.544.3%37.760.927.839.7%31.7
Last 5 Games3-2+0.63-20-080.439.647.0%36.875.634.246.4%28.6
Conference Games10-9-4.58-110-168.332.043.1%35.467.230.744.1%31.6
W KENTUCKY Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)67.731.123-5542.8%6-2031.5%14-2267.2%371111196153
vs opponents surrendering68.231.724-5543.3%6-1833.2%14-2168.7%361012187154
Team Stats (Home Games)69.732.523-5344.3%6-2033.0%16-2468.6%381112177144
Stats Against (All Games)66.430.823-5542.6%6-1833.2%14-2168.3%33910196144
vs opponents averaging67.531.324-5642.4%6-1833.3%14-2068.5%351012187143
Stats Against (Home Games)60.927.822-5439.7%6-1832.4%12-1767.1%3298195143
Average power rating of opponents played: MIDDLE TENN ST 69.6,  W KENTUCKY 68.9
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MIDDLE TENN ST is 17-11 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY since 1997
W KENTUCKY is 19-10 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST since 1997
14 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 3-2 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 4-1 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at W KENTUCKY since 1997
MIDDLE TENN ST is 8-5 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY since 1997
W KENTUCKY is 10-3 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST since 1997
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons.
W KENTUCKY is 1-1 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 1-1 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/26/2013W KENTUCKY53127 Under2316-4139.0%4-1526.7%17-2763.0%271018
 MIDDLE TENN ST72-13SU ATS3025-5248.1%6-1637.5%16-2661.5%331013
2/25/2012MIDDLE TENN ST67-8.5 Over3327-5054.0%4-1136.4%9-1850.0%29719
 W KENTUCKY73134SU ATS3023-5244.2%6-1931.6%21-2487.5%311015
2/9/2012W KENTUCKY64130.5 ATS2622-6533.8%6-2128.6%14-14100.0%441114
 MIDDLE TENN ST72-13.5SU Over2826-6738.8%3-1127.3%17-3745.9%511811
2/26/2011W KENTUCKY39137 Under1914-4630.4%3-1520.0%8-2040.0%36916
 MIDDLE TENN ST57-3.5SU ATS2922-5440.7%3-1127.3%10-1855.6%401112
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 50.9% of the time since 1997. (148-143)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 58.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (45-32)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W KENTUCKY games 51.9% of the time since 1997. (187-173)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W KENTUCKY games 64.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (46-25)
No Edge.
 
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
MIDDLE TENN ST
[F] 01/15/2013 - Jacquez Rozier out for season ( Hand )
W KENTUCKY
[F] 02/26/2013 - Teeng Akol out for season ( Academics )
[F] 12/05/2012 - Nigel Snipes out for season ( Knee )
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