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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 5:00 PM
MISSISSIPPI ST (7-14) AT FLORIDA (18-3) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
583: MISSISSIPPI ST
584: FLORIDA
128.5
-28.0
61.6 / 67.5
73.8 / 52.4
7-14
18-3
6-11
12-6
3-2
6-6
40.9
49.2
66.6
69.9
28.3
39.0
42.7
36.7
66.9
69.5
33.9
31.0
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MISSISSIPPI ST  
FLORIDA-33
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MISSISSIPPI ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games6-1130-44222-2013-234-27144-1377-1445-40316-195
in all lined games6-1130-44222-2013-234-27144-1374-1338-38251-186
when the total is 120 to 129.51-22-612-162-15-313-170-32-615-15
as an underdog4-917-1892-803-214-1452-631-1210-2655-123
as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points0-21-38-80-02-04-20-20-42-14
as a road underdog of 24.5 to 30 points0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
in road games3-39-1482-711-013-648-481-58-1670-95
in road lined games3-39-1482-711-013-648-481-58-1665-94
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.51-01-13-51-01-13-60-10-24-5
against conference opponents2-716-25143-1261-019-1688-842-719-24144-134
in February games1-17-1059-530-08-839-280-27-1159-57
on Saturday games4-214-15105-802-013-1352-622-516-16139-76
after a conference game2-616-24136-1291-019-1591-841-719-23144-133
revenging a home loss vs opponent1-04-425-180-07-017-131-05-322-24
revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more0-00-15-90-01-06-30-00-15-9
off a loss against a conference rival1-58-1265-601-09-834-380-69-1369-60
after allowing 80 points or more0-45-835-402-15-825-210-46-846-36
after 3 or more consecutive losses1-33-515-111-02-36-61-43-613-15
when playing against a team with a winning record3-920-27174-1503-121-18110-1091-1121-30191-164
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games1-513-15111-991-013-1177-690-611-18102-114
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-44-1138-341-08-428-200-43-1235-39
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game3-79-2265-633-216-1047-431-98-2471-70

FLORIDA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games12-645-37246-2006-645-31174-16718-373-22391-144
in all lined games12-645-37246-2006-645-31174-16715-362-21308-143
when the total is 120 to 129.54-19-512-73-111-213-54-112-216-3
as a favorite12-634-33193-1606-636-24135-13015-354-13273-82
as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points3-26-947-381-15-625-265-015-080-5
as a home favorite of 24.5 to 30 points0-00-15-40-00-03-10-01-09-0
in all home games5-216-17104-832-216-1362-7010-038-5228-35
in home lined games5-216-17104-832-216-1362-707-029-4154-34
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.51-03-04-01-03-04-01-03-04-0
against conference opponents7-224-21148-1303-325-18109-1028-134-12184-98
in February games0-26-1159-562-012-644-421-112-673-44
on Saturday games3-416-1484-773-320-1068-555-220-11117-55
after a conference game6-225-19148-1283-325-18108-1087-134-11183-98
off a loss against a conference rival0-05-648-470-05-634-360-08-360-37
after allowing 80 points or more0-01-126-250-01-115-200-03-142-20
when playing against a team with a losing record4-05-427-202-06-119-75-012-190-8
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games2-02-318-151-03-113-72-04-127-7
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games2-05-36-51-04-34-42-07-111-1
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game3-07-411-81-06-36-45-014-140-1
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MISSISSIPPI ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games7-14-3.76-113-261.628.440.9%34.567.531.742.7%36.4
Road Games2-9-3.73-72-262.425.639.2%35.775.938.345.0%37.8
Last 5 Games0-5-21-41-061.828.841.1%31.079.033.648.3%36.6
Conference Games2-7-0.52-71-059.728.640.5%30.773.032.946.1%37.4
MISSISSIPPI ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)61.628.422-5340.9%4-1628.3%14-2166.6%351010168184
vs opponents surrendering65.630.223-5541.8%6-1832.3%14-2067.9%351012187144
Team Stats (Road Games)62.425.621-5439.2%5-1728.3%15-2268.3%361110186183
Stats Against (All Games)67.531.725-5942.7%7-2133.9%10-1566.9%361114189165
vs opponents averaging67.831.524-5643.0%6-1833.3%13-2067.5%361013187144
Stats Against (Road Games)75.938.328-6145.0%8-2137.6%13-1869.2%381217189147

FLORIDA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games18-3-6.812-66-673.834.549.2%36.152.423.236.7%28.0
Home Games10-0+35-22-277.238.250.2%37.848.520.334.7%27.3
Last 5 Games4-1-63-23-073.632.849.3%36.054.825.238.7%27.8
Conference Games8-1-37-23-374.432.950.3%35.852.122.436.6%28.4
FLORIDA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)73.834.527-5549.2%9-2239.0%11-1669.9%361016148123
vs opponents surrendering6429.523-5441.6%6-1832.7%13-1967.2%34912187144
Team Stats (Home Games)77.238.228-5650.2%9-2339.3%12-1672.7%381017139125
Stats Against (All Games)52.423.218-5036.7%5-1631.0%11-1569.5%28710166152
vs opponents averaging67.831.724-5543.5%6-1833.6%14-2068.2%361013187144
Stats Against (Home Games)48.520.317-5034.7%5-1727.7%9-1369.9%2778156162
Average power rating of opponents played: MISSISSIPPI ST 71.4,  FLORIDA 75.2
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MISSISSIPPI ST is 11-8 against the spread versus FLORIDA since 1997
FLORIDA is 11-8 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST since 1997
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 2-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 2-1 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at FLORIDA since 1997
FLORIDA is 4-4 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST since 1997
FLORIDA is 6-2 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST since 1997
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/26/2013FLORIDA82-20.5SU ATS4131-5655.4%14-3145.2%6-966.7%441014
 MISSISSIPPI ST47127 Over1917-5232.7%3-1520.0%10-1566.7%20510
1/28/2012MISSISSIPPI ST57143.5 Under2721-4843.7%7-1643.7%8-1457.1%34614
 FLORIDA69-8.5SU ATS3027-5648.2%11-2445.8%4-757.1%2655
1/29/2011FLORIDA64-6 Under3825-6339.7%5-2123.8%9-1947.4%43168
 MISSISSIPPI ST71137.5SU ATS4022-5440.7%8-2334.8%19-2382.6%3798
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MISSISSIPPI ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MISSISSIPPI ST games 49.9% of the time since 1997. (169-170)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MISSISSIPPI ST games 56.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-29)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA games 51.4% of the time since 1997. (184-174)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA games 49.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-35)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MISSISSIPPI ST games 50.6% of the time since 1997. (127-124)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MISSISSIPPI ST games 50.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-28)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA games 43.3% of the time since 1997. (130-170)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA games 52.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-32)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MISSISSIPPI ST
[C] 12/14/2012 - Wendell Lewis out indefinitely ( Knee )
[G] 11/06/2012 - Andre Applewhite out for season ( Knee )
[G] 11/02/2012 - Jacoby Davis out for season ( Knee )
FLORIDA
[G] 02/08/2013 - Casey Prather probable Saturday vs. Mississippi St ( Ankle )
[F] 02/07/2013 - Will Yeguete expected to miss 4-6 weeks ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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