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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| MISSISSIPPI ST | | | | KENTUCKY | -25 |  |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 8-14 | 32-47 | 224-204 | 5-2 | 36-27 | 146-137 | 7-19 | 45-45 | 316-200 | | in all lined games | 8-14 | 32-47 | 224-204 | 5-2 | 36-27 | 146-137 | 4-18 | 38-43 | 251-191 | | as an underdog | 6-12 | 19-21 | 94-83 | 5-2 | 16-14 | 54-63 | 1-17 | 10-31 | 55-128 | | as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points | 2-2 | 3-3 | 10-8 | 1-0 | 3-0 | 5-2 | 0-4 | 0-6 | 2-16 | | as a road underdog of 18.5 to 24 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | | in road games | 5-4 | 11-15 | 84-72 | 3-0 | 15-6 | 50-48 | 1-8 | 8-19 | 70-98 | | in road lined games | 5-4 | 11-15 | 84-72 | 3-0 | 15-6 | 50-48 | 1-8 | 8-19 | 65-97 | | against conference opponents | 4-10 | 18-28 | 145-129 | 3-0 | 21-16 | 90-84 | 2-12 | 19-29 | 144-139 | | in February games | 3-4 | 9-13 | 61-56 | 2-0 | 10-8 | 41-28 | 0-7 | 7-16 | 59-62 | | on Wednesday games | 1-7 | 4-15 | 58-52 | 0-1 | 8-4 | 36-22 | 1-7 | 5-14 | 65-57 | | after a conference game | 4-9 | 18-27 | 138-132 | 3-0 | 21-15 | 93-84 | 1-12 | 19-28 | 144-138 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 3-8 | 10-15 | 67-63 | 3-0 | 11-8 | 36-38 | 0-11 | 9-18 | 69-65 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 5-7 | 11-13 | 37-42 | 3-0 | 10-5 | 28-22 | 5-10 | 12-16 | 47-43 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 3-6 | 5-8 | 17-14 | 3-0 | 4-3 | 8-6 | 1-9 | 3-11 | 13-20 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 5-11 | 22-29 | 176-152 | 5-1 | 23-18 | 112-109 | 1-15 | 21-34 | 191-168 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 3-7 | 15-17 | 113-101 | 3-0 | 15-11 | 79-69 | 0-10 | 11-22 | 102-118 |
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| in all games | 9-15 | 43-51 | 259-244 | 10-9 | 36-51 | 196-215 | 19-8 | 86-19 | 423-132 | | in all lined games | 9-15 | 43-51 | 259-244 | 10-9 | 36-51 | 196-215 | 16-8 | 77-19 | 383-131 | | as a favorite | 7-12 | 38-48 | 212-202 | 7-7 | 33-46 | 159-169 | 15-4 | 73-15 | 349-75 | | as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points | 5-5 | 14-14 | 49-56 | 3-3 | 13-10 | 37-30 | 9-1 | 27-1 | 97-10 | | as a home favorite of 18.5 to 24 points | 1-1 | 5-5 | 13-13 | 0-1 | 5-4 | 13-6 | 2-0 | 10-0 | 26-0 | | in all home games | 6-7 | 17-22 | 98-105 | 4-4 | 17-17 | 73-83 | 14-2 | 47-2 | 216-31 | | in home lined games | 6-7 | 17-22 | 98-105 | 4-4 | 17-17 | 73-83 | 11-2 | 38-2 | 179-30 | | against conference opponents | 4-10 | 21-30 | 146-139 | 5-5 | 19-28 | 106-120 | 10-4 | 41-11 | 219-72 | | in February games | 2-5 | 7-13 | 58-62 | 3-2 | 12-7 | 47-45 | 5-2 | 15-6 | 89-35 | | on Wednesday games | 1-2 | 2-6 | 35-41 | 1-0 | 4-2 | 25-21 | 3-0 | 8-2 | 73-12 | | after a conference game | 4-9 | 21-29 | 148-135 | 5-4 | 18-28 | 110-120 | 9-4 | 41-10 | 219-71 | | off a win against a conference rival | 4-5 | 19-21 | 114-99 | 3-4 | 12-25 | 81-94 | 6-3 | 32-8 | 165-52 | | after allowing 80 points or more | 1-2 | 2-3 | 23-21 | 2-0 | 4-0 | 10-23 | 3-0 | 6-0 | 39-13 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 3-4 | 13-16 | 73-93 | 2-4 | 13-15 | 61-67 | 6-2 | 28-6 | 138-46 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 2-2 | 4-8 | 32-31 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 26-18 | 5-0 | 16-0 | 77-5 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 0-2 | 2-4 | 17-13 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12-8 | 2-0 | 6-0 | 28-2 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-3 | 2-3 | 6-5 | 2-0 | 2-2 | 5-4 | 2-1 | 4-1 | 10-1 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 3-4 | 6-5 | 13-12 | 4-2 | 5-5 | 12-9 | 6-1 | 13-1 | 34-2 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 7-19 | -6.7 | 8-14 | 5-2 | 59.3 | 26.8 | 39.9% | 32.9 | 69.0 | 32.7 | 44.0% | 37.1 | | Road Games | 2-12 | -4.7 | 5-8 | 4-2 | 62.0 | 25.4 | 40.2% | 34.4 | 75.9 | 38.2 | 45.8% | 37.1 | | Last 5 Games | 0-5 | -3 | 2-3 | 2-0 | 49.8 | 20.2 | 35.7% | 26.0 | 75.4 | 37.0 | 49.5% | 40.0 | | Conference Games | 2-12 | -3.5 | 4-10 | 3-0 | 56.1 | 25.6 | 38.8% | 29.0 | 73.9 | 34.4 | 47.3% | 38.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 59.3 | 26.8 | 21-52 | 39.9% | 4-16 | 27.1% | 13-20 | 66.0% | 33 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 8 | 17 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.1 | 29.9 | 23-55 | 41.6% | 6-18 | 32.3% | 13-20 | 68.1% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 62.0 | 25.4 | 22-54 | 40.2% | 5-17 | 28.7% | 14-20 | 67.1% | 34 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 6 | 18 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 69.0 | 32.7 | 26-58 | 44.0% | 7-21 | 34.9% | 10-15 | 67.6% | 37 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 9 | 15 | 5 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.9 | 31.4 | 24-56 | 43.1% | 6-18 | 33.5% | 13-20 | 67.6% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 75.9 | 38.2 | 27-60 | 45.8% | 8-21 | 37.8% | 13-18 | 69.5% | 37 | 12 | 17 | 18 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
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| All Games | 19-8 | -1.3 | 9-15 | 10-9 | 74.9 | 36.0 | 48.3% | 38.2 | 64.7 | 30.5 | 39.3% | 33.7 | | Home Games | 14-2 | +0.5 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 81.1 | 38.9 | 50.4% | 40.1 | 61.9 | 28.9 | 38.2% | 31.4 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -0.2 | 1-4 | 2-1 | 69.2 | 32.2 | 45.1% | 32.8 | 74.4 | 37.6 | 47.2% | 32.8 | | Conference Games | 10-4 | +3.2 | 4-10 | 5-5 | 70.9 | 34.1 | 47.5% | 36.6 | 68.4 | 31.6 | 40.9% | 33.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 74.9 | 36.0 | 27-56 | 48.3% | 6-16 | 36.4% | 15-24 | 64.7% | 38 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 7 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.1 | 30.2 | 23-55 | 42.0% | 6-18 | 32.5% | 13-19 | 68.5% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 81.1 | 38.9 | 29-58 | 50.4% | 6-17 | 35.5% | 17-26 | 65.9% | 40 | 11 | 16 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 8 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 64.7 | 30.5 | 24-60 | 39.3% | 5-16 | 32.2% | 12-18 | 70.0% | 34 | 10 | 11 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.3 | 31.3 | 24-55 | 43.9% | 6-18 | 34.3% | 14-20 | 67.9% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 61.9 | 28.9 | 22-58 | 38.2% | 6-17 | 33.2% | 11-17 | 67.4% | 31 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 5 | 14 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: MISSISSIPPI ST 73.7, KENTUCKY 76.1 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| MISSISSIPPI ST is 9-7 against the spread versus KENTUCKY since 1997 | | KENTUCKY is 14-4 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST since 1997 | | 7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-0 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons | | KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| MISSISSIPPI ST is 4-3 against the spread versus KENTUCKY since 1997 | | KENTUCKY is 6-1 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST since 1997 | | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons | | KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/21/2012 | KENTUCKY | 73 | -9.5 | SU Under | 28 | 25-57 | 43.9% | 6-16 | 37.5% | 17-21 | 81.0% | 36 | 9 | 9 | | | MISSISSIPPI ST | 64 | 137.5 | ATS | 41 | 22-54 | 40.7% | 9-20 | 45.0% | 11-15 | 73.3% | 32 | 6 | 12 | 2/15/2011 | MISSISSIPPI ST | 79 | 141 | ATS | 40 | 25-53 | 47.2% | 12-22 | 54.5% | 17-19 | 89.5% | 29 | 5 | 15 | | | KENTUCKY | 85 | -17 | SU Over | 39 | 32-57 | 56.1% | 9-22 | 40.9% | 12-18 | 66.7% | 26 | 3 | 10 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MISSISSIPPI ST games 50% of the time since 1997. (171-171) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MISSISSIPPI ST games 56.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-30) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KENTUCKY games 51.2% of the time since 1997. (209-199) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KENTUCKY games 49.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-42) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [F] 02/19/2013 - Roquez Johnson out indefinitely ( Suspension ) | | [C] 12/14/2012 - Wendell Lewis out for season ( Knee ) | | [G] 11/06/2012 - Andre Applewhite out for season ( Knee ) | | [G] 11/02/2012 - Jacoby Davis out for season ( Knee ) | |
| [F] 02/15/2013 - Nerlens Noel out for season ( Knee ) | | [G] 01/18/2013 - Twany Beckham out indefinitely ( Back ) |
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