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Monday at 6:00 PM			MISSISSIPPI ST (1-1) AT N CAROLINA (3-0)
						Offensive Statistics			Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF/PA	SU	ATS	O/U	FG%	FT%	3PT%	FG%	FT%	3PT%
531: MISSISSIPPI ST 532: N CAROLINA	148.5 -19.0	65.5 / 57.0 78.0 / 59.3	1-1 3-0	1-1 2-0	0-0 0-2	47.1 43.3	54.3 50.9	30.8 32.1	34.7 34.6	63.6 63.8	30.2 26.3

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
MISSISSIPPI ST
N CAROLINA	-15

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

MISSISSIPPI ST - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	1-1	25-34	217-191	0-0	31-25	141-135	1-1	39-27	310-182
in all lined games	1-1	25-34	217-191	0-0	31-25	141-135	1-1	35-26	248-174
when the total is 140 to 149.5	0-0	11-6	55-40	0-0	9-9	49-48	0-0	10-8	51-47
as an underdog	0-0	13-9	88-71	0-0	11-12	49-61	0-0	9-14	54-111
in all neutral court games	0-1	5-5	39-38	0-0	4-5	25-37	0-1	3-7	45-40
as a neutral court underdog of 15.5 or more points	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0
as a neutral court underdog of 18.5 to 24 points	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0
in a neutral court game where the total is 145 to 149.5	0-0	1-0	2-3	0-0	1-0	2-3	0-0	0-1	1-4
against ACC opponents	0-0	0-1	4-5	0-0	1-0	5-4	0-0	0-1	3-7
in November games	1-1	6-9	22-29	0-0	5-5	13-21	1-1	12-3	64-20
when playing with 5 or 6 days rest	0-0	4-4	33-18	0-0	6-1	22-12	0-0	4-4	44-16
after a non-conference game	1-1	11-16	83-68	0-0	13-10	51-51	1-1	21-11	166-56
when playing on a neutral court	0-1	5-5	39-38	0-0	4-5	25-37	0-1	3-7	45-40
in non-conference games	1-1	11-16	76-72	0-0	13-9	54-51	1-1	22-10	168-55
after allowing 60 points or less	1-0	7-9	66-49	0-0	9-6	42-38	1-0	10-8	97-47
in all tournament games	0-0	4-6	34-39	0-0	4-5	31-34	0-0	4-6	39-35
when playing against a team with a winning record	0-0	17-18	171-141	0-0	18-17	107-108	0-0	20-19	190-153
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game	0-0	6-15	62-56	0-0	13-8	44-41	0-0	7-15	70-61
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game	0-0	5-3	61-47	0-0	5-4	30-33	0-0	3-6	55-63

N CAROLINA - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	2-0	38-34	256-231	0-2	33-39	211-191	3-0	64-14	393-139
in all lined games	2-0	38-34	256-231	0-2	33-39	211-191	2-0	59-14	359-136
when the total is 140 to 149.5	2-0	19-16	77-71	0-2	16-19	80-71	2-0	27-8	103-49
as a favorite	2-0	34-30	209-175	0-2	31-33	167-143	2-0	57-8	326-64
in all neutral court games	0-0	8-12	65-54	0-0	9-11	50-51	0-0	14-7	91-34
as a neutral court favorite of 12.5 or more points	0-0	4-1	21-13	0-0	4-1	15-7	0-0	5-0	31-3
as a neutral court favorite of 18.5 to 24 points	0-0	1-1	2-2	0-0	2-0	2-0	0-0	2-0	4-0
in a neutral court game where the total is 145 to 149.5	0-0	0-3	7-8	0-0	0-3	8-8	0-0	1-2	11-5
against SEC opponents	0-0	3-2	16-7	0-0	2-3	12-11	0-0	2-3	15-9
in November games	2-0	6-7	40-28	0-2	5-8	24-28	3-0	13-4	71-12
after a non-conference game	2-0	17-18	127-96	0-2	15-19	94-83	3-0	32-8	206-52
when playing on a neutral court	0-0	8-12	65-54	0-0	9-11	50-51	0-0	14-7	91-34
in non-conference games	2-0	18-17	127-95	0-2	16-18	93-84	3-0	32-8	212-47
in all tournament games	0-0	6-12	60-48	0-0	9-9	51-47	0-0	13-7	85-30

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

MISSISSIPPI ST - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	1-1	-1.2	1-1	0-0	65.5	32.5	47.1%	36.5	57.0	29.0	34.7%	38.0
Road Games	0-1	-2.2	0-1	0-0	53.0	22.0	44.2%	33.0	56.0	32.0	36.2%	34.0
Last 5 Games	1-1	-1.2	1-1	0-0	65.5	32.5	47.1%	36.5	57.0	29.0	34.7%	38.0

MISSISSIPPI ST Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	65.5	32.5	24-52	47.1%	4-13	30.8%	12-23	54.3%	36	8	11	16	11	16	3
vs opponents surrendering	69.5	30.8	25-58	42.4%	6-18	33.0%	14-22	64.2%	41	12	15	16	8	12	4
Team Stats (Road Games)	53.0	22.0	19-43	44.2%	4-16	25.0%	11-18	61.1%	33	7	6	16	5	16	2
Stats Against (All Games)	57.0	29.0	21-60	34.7%	8-26	30.2%	7-11	63.6%	38	12	11	21	6	19	3
vs opponents averaging	57.5	27.4	20-55	35.3%	8-23	32.6%	11-15	70.8%	35	9	10	19	5	16	3
Stats Against (Road Games)	56.0	32.0	21-58	36.2%	10-29	34.5%	4-7	57.1%	34	11	12	22	4	12	2

N CAROLINA - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	3-0	+1	2-0	0-2	78.0	34.3	43.3%	53.0	59.3	27.3	34.6%	35.7
Road Games	1-0	+1	1-0	0-1	78.0	33.0	40.0%	55.0	63.0	32.0	36.2%	39.0
Last 5 Games	3-0	+1	2-0	0-2	78.0	34.3	43.3%	53.0	59.3	27.3	34.6%	35.7

N CAROLINA Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	78.0	34.3	31-72	43.3%	6-18	32.1%	10-19	50.9%	53	20	18	14	10	16	5
vs opponents surrendering	66.5	27.3	25-62	39.7%	5-18	29.4%	12-20	58.5%	42	14	14	18	10	16	4
Team Stats (Road Games)	78.0	33.0	30-75	40.0%	10-26	38.5%	8-11	72.7%	55	18	17	12	10	13	7
Stats Against (All Games)	59.3	27.3	21-62	34.6%	7-25	26.3%	10-16	63.8%	36	10	11	16	7	18	5
vs opponents averaging	61.6	32	21-57	37.1%	5-20	27.5%	14-20	68.6%	39	11	10	18	8	18	3
Stats Against (Road Games)	63.0	32.0	25-69	36.2%	5-25	20.0%	8-12	66.7%	39	9	10	9	5	14	5

Average power rating of opponents played: MISSISSIPPI ST 64, N CAROLINA 70.7

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1997

N CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST since 1997

N CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST since 1997

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games over the last 3 seasons

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring N CAROLINA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MISSISSIPPI ST games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (160-164)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MISSISSIPPI ST games 54.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-23)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 47.5% of the time since 1997. (192-212)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 45.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-33)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MISSISSIPPI ST games 50.8% of the time since 1997. (125-121)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MISSISSIPPI ST games 51.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-25)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 47.2% of the time since 1997. (163-182)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 44.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-35)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

MISSISSIPPI ST

[F] 11/19/2012 - Roquez Johnson probable Monday vs. North Carolina ( Concussion )

[G] 11/18/2012 - Jalen Steele expected to miss 6 weeks ( Wrist )

[F] 11/15/2012 - Colin Borchert out indefinitely ( Suspension )

[G] 11/06/2012 - Andre Applewhite out for season ( Knee )

[G] 11/02/2012 - Jacoby Davis out for season ( Knee )

N CAROLINA

No significant injuries.

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UPDATED:

BASEBALL	3/31/2013 - 6/2/2013
BASKETBALL	2/26/2013 - 4/17/2013
HOCKEY	2/26/2013 - 4/27/2013

PROPS FUTURES
RK	Team
1	San Antonio Spurs
2	Memphis Grizzlies
3	Memphis Grizzlies
4	Boston Bruins
5	San Antonio Spurs
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05/25/2013
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