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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| MISSOURI ST | | | | ILLINOIS ST | -13 | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 14-10 | 41-43 | 93-113 | 1-0 | 33-24 | 99-79 | 9-20 | 51-45 | 125-104 | | in all lined games | 14-10 | 41-43 | 93-113 | 1-0 | 33-24 | 99-79 | 7-17 | 45-41 | 111-100 | | as an underdog | 13-10 | 23-19 | 36-47 | 1-0 | 11-7 | 38-22 | 6-17 | 12-30 | 19-65 | | as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-4 | | as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points | 3-3 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 0-6 | | in road games | 7-5 | 20-19 | 40-49 | 1-0 | 15-10 | 47-28 | 2-11 | 17-24 | 33-59 | | in road lined games | 7-5 | 20-19 | 40-49 | 1-0 | 15-10 | 47-28 | 2-10 | 17-22 | 32-57 | | against conference opponents | 12-4 | 28-26 | 57-74 | 1-0 | 19-21 | 66-54 | 6-10 | 32-24 | 67-69 | | in February games | 4-3 | 8-15 | 22-31 | 0-0 | 9-7 | 27-21 | 3-4 | 12-11 | 27-28 | | on Wednesday games | 4-1 | 10-12 | 21-27 | 1-0 | 9-8 | 24-19 | 1-5 | 9-16 | 27-26 | | after a non-conference game | 2-6 | 15-16 | 39-36 | 0-0 | 12-6 | 31-28 | 2-10 | 20-20 | 59-34 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 1-4 | 10-17 | 22-41 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 26-31 | 0-6 | 19-15 | 42-33 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 6-6 | 11-18 | 24-33 | 0-0 | 11-6 | 24-21 | 5-10 | 14-19 | 33-32 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 11-7 | 27-28 | 64-77 | 1-0 | 21-17 | 65-60 | 4-14 | 22-36 | 69-80 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 8-3 | 15-17 | 33-46 | 1-0 | 12-11 | 41-31 | 3-8 | 11-22 | 34-48 |
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| in all games | 12-14 | 38-47 | 205-224 | 2-3 | 29-34 | 112-121 | 16-13 | 50-45 | 269-228 | | in all lined games | 12-14 | 38-47 | 205-224 | 2-3 | 29-34 | 112-121 | 13-13 | 42-45 | 223-223 | | as a favorite | 8-12 | 18-29 | 100-119 | 1-2 | 7-23 | 49-70 | 10-10 | 31-17 | 165-62 | | as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points | 1-0 | 1-2 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5-1 | 1-0 | 3-0 | 14-1 | | as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points | 2-0 | 3-3 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8-4 | 2-0 | 6-0 | 23-1 | | in all home games | 5-7 | 16-26 | 91-110 | 0-1 | 7-23 | 45-65 | 10-5 | 34-16 | 173-69 | | in home lined games | 5-7 | 16-26 | 91-110 | 0-1 | 7-23 | 45-65 | 7-5 | 26-16 | 138-67 | | against conference opponents | 5-11 | 22-33 | 143-161 | 0-3 | 21-21 | 79-83 | 7-9 | 22-34 | 149-166 | | in February games | 4-3 | 8-14 | 62-64 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 30-36 | 4-3 | 9-14 | 64-66 | | on Wednesday games | 3-4 | 13-12 | 45-58 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 26-27 | 4-3 | 14-12 | 56-55 | | after a non-conference game | 7-3 | 15-15 | 61-69 | 2-0 | 7-15 | 37-37 | 9-4 | 28-11 | 113-68 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 1-5 | 10-15 | 52-68 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 30-38 | 3-3 | 11-14 | 58-64 | | after allowing 80 points or more | 3-1 | 7-5 | 18-22 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6-5 | 4-1 | 9-4 | 24-22 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 2-3 | 5-8 | 25-28 | 0-1 | 2-7 | 9-18 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 30-34 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 2-3 | 7-9 | 26-29 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 10-15 | 2-3 | 5-11 | 24-37 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 4-2 | 10-13 | 56-75 | 1-1 | 8-11 | 31-32 | 5-2 | 20-7 | 110-48 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 2-2 | 4-7 | 35-44 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 13-18 | 2-2 | 7-4 | 51-30 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-1 | 4-5 | 24-23 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 16-16 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 30-18 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 0-1 | 4-10 | 37-37 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 26-26 | 0-1 | 8-7 | 56-26 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 9-20 | +2.3 | 14-10 | 1-0 | 59.7 | 26.2 | 40.5% | 30.0 | 64.6 | 29.2 | 44.7% | 34.2 | | Road Games | 2-13 | -3.2 | 8-6 | 1-0 | 56.5 | 24.2 | 39.7% | 28.4 | 65.8 | 30.0 | 47.3% | 33.9 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | +0.7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 58.2 | 25.2 | 40.0% | 27.0 | 65.8 | 32.0 | 45.8% | 33.6 | | Conference Games | 6-10 | +6.3 | 12-4 | 1-0 | 61.6 | 26.8 | 43.0% | 29.2 | 66.3 | 29.4 | 45.1% | 32.1 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 59.7 | 26.2 | 21-52 | 40.5% | 6-18 | 30.8% | 12-17 | 67.0% | 30 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 1 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.5 | 30.9 | 23-55 | 42.9% | 6-18 | 33.9% | 13-19 | 69.8% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 56.5 | 24.2 | 20-51 | 39.7% | 5-18 | 29.1% | 11-16 | 64.9% | 28 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 1 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 64.6 | 29.2 | 22-50 | 44.7% | 6-18 | 32.8% | 14-20 | 71.4% | 34 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.6 | 31.7 | 24-54 | 43.5% | 6-18 | 34.1% | 14-20 | 71.0% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 65.8 | 30.0 | 23-48 | 47.3% | 6-17 | 33.7% | 15-21 | 71.1% | 34 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
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| All Games | 16-13 | -19.4 | 12-14 | 2-3 | 75.1 | 36.0 | 45.5% | 35.6 | 69.1 | 31.4 | 42.7% | 35.8 | | Home Games | 10-5 | -13.4 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 77.7 | 38.5 | 47.7% | 36.1 | 64.8 | 28.9 | 41.4% | 32.9 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | +0.1 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 70.8 | 32.0 | 41.3% | 34.8 | 71.6 | 33.6 | 41.7% | 40.0 | | Conference Games | 7-9 | -17.1 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 70.9 | 32.9 | 42.0% | 35.4 | 69.6 | 31.8 | 42.9% | 37.2 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 75.1 | 36.0 | 27-59 | 45.5% | 7-21 | 34.3% | 14-20 | 72.0% | 36 | 10 | 15 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.7 | 30.3 | 23-54 | 42.9% | 6-18 | 34.0% | 13-19 | 70.3% | 33 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 77.7 | 38.5 | 28-59 | 47.7% | 7-20 | 33.7% | 15-21 | 72.5% | 36 | 9 | 16 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 69.1 | 31.4 | 24-57 | 42.7% | 7-20 | 33.7% | 14-19 | 70.5% | 36 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 15 | 2 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.6 | 31 | 24-54 | 44.1% | 6-18 | 34.9% | 13-19 | 69.8% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 64.8 | 28.9 | 23-55 | 41.4% | 7-21 | 34.8% | 12-17 | 71.4% | 33 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: MISSOURI ST 71.1, ILLINOIS ST 72.5 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| ILLINOIS ST is 17-14 against the spread versus MISSOURI ST since 1997 | | MISSOURI ST is 17-16 straight up against ILLINOIS ST since 1997 | | 8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ILLINOIS ST is 3-2 against the spread versus MISSOURI ST over the last 3 seasons | | MISSOURI ST is 3-2 straight up against ILLINOIS ST over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| MISSOURI ST is 8-6 against the spread versus ILLINOIS ST since 1997 | | ILLINOIS ST is 10-5 straight up against MISSOURI ST since 1997 | | 5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ILLINOIS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSOURI ST over the last 3 seasons | | ILLINOIS ST is 1-1 straight up against MISSOURI ST over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/8/2013 | ILLINOIS ST | 55 | -10 | | 25 | 22-55 | 40.0% | 4-17 | 23.5% | 7-12 | 58.3% | 33 | 8 | 13 | | | MISSOURI ST | 62 | | SU ATS | 32 | 22-47 | 46.8% | 7-16 | 43.7% | 11-18 | 61.1% | 33 | 4 | 11 | 1/25/2012 | MISSOURI ST | 69 | 129.5 | Over | 34 | 29-72 | 40.3% | 6-19 | 31.6% | 5-14 | 35.7% | 40 | 14 | 6 | | | ILLINOIS ST | 76 | -1.5 | SU ATS | 25 | 23-52 | 44.2% | 6-19 | 31.6% | 24-33 | 72.7% | 41 | 6 | 7 | 1/4/2012 | ILLINOIS ST | 68 | 128 | SU ATS | 30 | 20-57 | 35.1% | 10-28 | 35.7% | 18-23 | 78.3% | 44 | 14 | 13 | | | MISSOURI ST | 60 | -7.5 | | 25 | 21-57 | 36.8% | 5-18 | 27.8% | 13-17 | 76.5% | 33 | 6 | 10 | 2/12/2011 | MISSOURI ST | 68 | -6 | SU ATS | 27 | 20-44 | 45.5% | 7-16 | 43.7% | 21-28 | 75.0% | 28 | 5 | 9 | | | ILLINOIS ST | 59 | 125.5 | Over | 25 | 22-53 | 41.5% | 3-14 | 21.4% | 12-19 | 63.2% | 36 | 12 | 14 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MISSOURI ST games 44.3% of the time since 1997. (166-209) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MISSOURI ST games 44.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-38) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS ST games 43.4% of the time since 1997. (144-188) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS ST games 39.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-43) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [G/F] 11/02/2012 - Jarmar Gulley out for season ( Knee ) | |
| [G] 02/16/2013 - Nick Zeisloft out indefinitely ( Knee ) | | [G] 12/13/2012 - Geoffrey Allen dismissed from team ( Legal problems ) |
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