|
|
| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
|---|
|
|
|
| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 3-2 | 31-31 | 210-212 | 2-2 | 34-27 | 169-156 | 4-2 | 43-31 | 288-210 | | in all lined games | 3-2 | 31-31 | 210-212 | 2-2 | 34-27 | 169-156 | 3-2 | 34-31 | 225-210 | | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 0-1 | 15-16 | 56-63 | 0-1 | 17-16 | 62-63 | 0-1 | 15-18 | 59-66 | | as a favorite | 3-1 | 17-11 | 98-104 | 1-2 | 15-13 | 72-75 | 3-1 | 27-4 | 158-54 | | in all neutral court games | 2-1 | 13-4 | 45-28 | 1-2 | 9-7 | 30-30 | 2-1 | 11-6 | 43-33 | | as a neutral court favorite of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | | in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 144.5 | 0-1 | 3-2 | 7-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6-8 | | against Big East conference opponents | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11-15 | | in December games | 0-0 | 6-3 | 32-33 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 25-23 | 0-0 | 9-5 | 74-26 | | on Tuesday nights | 0-1 | 1-5 | 18-29 | 1-0 | 3-3 | 12-20 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 33-25 | | when playing with 5 or 6 days rest | 1-0 | 4-1 | 20-19 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 12-17 | 1-0 | 8-2 | 44-17 | | after a non-conference game | 3-2 | 18-12 | 74-86 | 2-2 | 16-11 | 60-58 | 4-2 | 27-11 | 159-65 | | when playing on a neutral court | 2-1 | 13-4 | 45-28 | 1-2 | 9-7 | 30-30 | 2-1 | 11-6 | 43-33 | | in non-conference games | 3-2 | 18-11 | 76-81 | 2-2 | 15-11 | 58-59 | 4-2 | 27-11 | 169-56 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-2 | 21-24 | 169-167 | 2-2 | 25-20 | 139-129 | 2-2 | 20-29 | 164-191 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 0-2 | 10-17 | 50-53 | 1-1 | 16-10 | 49-39 | 0-2 | 8-20 | 47-64 |
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 1-3 | 36-31 | 224-228 | 2-2 | 31-37 | 172-189 | 6-1 | 58-24 | 395-132 | | in all lined games | 1-3 | 36-31 | 224-228 | 2-2 | 31-37 | 172-189 | 3-1 | 45-24 | 328-132 | | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 0-0 | 11-6 | 71-70 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 67-74 | 0-0 | 13-4 | 102-39 | | as an underdog | 1-1 | 14-7 | 47-38 | 0-2 | 10-11 | 33-47 | 1-1 | 11-10 | 36-52 | | in all neutral court games | 1-3 | 18-7 | 60-53 | 2-2 | 13-12 | 53-47 | 3-1 | 21-4 | 89-30 | | as a neutral court underdog of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-1 | 4-1 | 5-2 | 0-1 | 3-2 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 5-3 | | in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 144.5 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 14-4 | | against ACC opponents | 0-1 | 1-1 | 11-11 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 8-10 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 11-12 | | in December games | 0-0 | 3-4 | 24-29 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 18-18 | 0-0 | 11-1 | 82-9 | | on Tuesday nights | 0-0 | 6-2 | 29-20 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 15-19 | 1-0 | 7-3 | 49-9 | | after a non-conference game | 1-3 | 13-11 | 82-86 | 2-2 | 7-17 | 60-65 | 6-1 | 33-4 | 197-41 | | when playing on a neutral court | 1-3 | 18-7 | 60-53 | 2-2 | 13-12 | 53-47 | 3-1 | 21-4 | 89-30 | | in non-conference games | 1-3 | 14-10 | 83-86 | 2-2 | 9-15 | 62-71 | 6-1 | 33-4 | 202-37 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 0-1 | 8-11 | 65-81 | 1-0 | 11-9 | 63-51 | 1-0 | 17-9 | 135-45 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 0-0 | 4-3 | 27-24 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 21-26 | 2-0 | 6-3 | 47-13 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 0-3 | 30-24 | 180-180 | 2-1 | 25-29 | 144-159 | 4-1 | 41-21 | 258-122 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 0-0 | 7-6 | 51-54 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 43-47 | 0-0 | 8-5 | 77-37 |
|
|
|
| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 4-2 | -4.5 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 78.8 | 37.0 | 52.5% | 37.0 | 70.8 | 33.0 | 40.2% | 33.8 | | Road Games | 2-2 | -4.5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 73.5 | 36.7 | 49.6% | 35.5 | 71.5 | 34.7 | 40.8% | 36.0 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -4.5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 75.2 | 36.2 | 50.7% | 35.6 | 73.2 | 35.2 | 42.7% | 33.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 78.8 | 37.0 | 30-57 | 52.5% | 5-14 | 39.3% | 14-22 | 61.7% | 37 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.9 | 29.8 | 23-54 | 43.2% | 6-18 | 35.4% | 14-21 | 66.7% | 35 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 6 | 15 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 73.5 | 36.7 | 29-58 | 49.6% | 5-14 | 39.3% | 10-18 | 56.8% | 35 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 70.8 | 33.0 | 25-62 | 40.2% | 7-22 | 32.8% | 14-18 | 77.6% | 34 | 11 | 11 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.7 | 31.3 | 24-57 | 42.3% | 6-19 | 31.2% | 15-20 | 72.7% | 36 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 71.5 | 34.7 | 24-59 | 40.8% | 7-22 | 32.6% | 16-20 | 79.7% | 36 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 6-1 | +3.8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 70.4 | 30.3 | 42.9% | 32.3 | 63.7 | 27.6 | 37.6% | 38.4 | | Road Games | 3-1 | +3.8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 73.0 | 32.2 | 43.4% | 29.0 | 70.5 | 30.2 | 41.1% | 38.0 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +1 | 0-3 | 2-1 | 72.0 | 28.0 | 41.9% | 33.0 | 67.0 | 27.4 | 39.0% | 37.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 70.4 | 30.3 | 24-55 | 42.9% | 5-16 | 30.1% | 18-23 | 78.4% | 32 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 6 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.7 | 29.3 | 22-56 | 39.8% | 6-19 | 32.9% | 14-20 | 70.5% | 33 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 73.0 | 32.2 | 24-55 | 43.4% | 5-16 | 30.8% | 20-24 | 82.5% | 29 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 63.7 | 27.6 | 22-58 | 37.6% | 6-19 | 30.8% | 15-20 | 72.3% | 38 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.5 | 31.6 | 23-53 | 43.1% | 5-16 | 32.0% | 18-25 | 71.5% | 37 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 70.5 | 30.2 | 24-58 | 41.1% | 6-17 | 35.7% | 17-23 | 73.6% | 38 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 5 | 16 | 2 |
|
|
| Average power rating of opponents played: NC STATE 76.3, CONNECTICUT 74.3 |
|
|
| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
|---|
|
|
| CONNECTICUT is 1-1 against the spread versus NC STATE since 1997 | | CONNECTICUT is 1-1 straight up against NC STATE since 1997 | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
|---|
|
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 49.2% of the time since 1997. (164-169) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 47.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-24) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CONNECTICUT games 45.3% of the time since 1997. (168-203) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CONNECTICUT games 42.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (21-28) | |
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 48.7% of the time since 1997. (136-143) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 47.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (24-27) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CONNECTICUT games 48.6% of the time since 1997. (155-164) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CONNECTICUT games 42.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-36) | |
|
|
|
|
| No significant injuries. | |
| [G] 12/03/2012 - R.J. Evans "?" Tuesday vs. NC State ( Collarbone ) | | [F] 12/03/2012 - Leon Tolksdorf "?" Tuesday vs. NC State ( Knee ) |
|
|