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Page last updated on Wed Jun 19 03:47:29 EDT 2013

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Thursday at 9:00 PM			NC STATE (16-6) AT DUKE (19-2)
						Offensive Statistics			Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF/PA	SU	ATS	O/U	FG%	FT%	3PT%	FG%	FT%	3PT%
537: NC STATE 538: DUKE	OFF -11.0	78.5 / 70.0 78.0 / 63.3	16-6 19-2	11-8 12-9	8-7 9-9	50.4 47.3	68.3 70.2	40.1 41.1	41.2 40.1	72.1 70.3	28.7 30.4

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
NC STATE
DUKE	-9

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

NC STATE - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	11-8	39-37	218-218	8-7	40-32	175-161	16-6	55-35	300-214
in all lined games	11-8	39-37	218-218	8-7	40-32	175-161	14-6	45-35	236-214
as an underdog	3-1	16-20	108-105	2-2	20-15	95-79	1-3	7-29	61-155
as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points	0-0	4-2	15-9	0-0	5-1	14-5	0-0	0-6	3-22
in road games	2-3	12-12	77-80	2-2	11-12	63-53	1-4	7-17	51-109
in road lined games	2-3	12-12	77-80	2-2	11-12	63-53	1-4	7-17	51-109
against conference opponents	5-4	18-24	139-135	4-3	23-19	115-100	5-4	21-24	124-158
in February games	0-1	6-8	54-57	1-0	10-5	45-39	0-1	7-9	52-64
after a conference game	5-3	18-22	140-129	3-3	21-19	112-101	4-4	20-24	132-149
off a loss against a conference rival	1-2	5-14	75-70	2-1	12-10	60-56	2-1	9-13	81-72
when playing against a team with a winning record	10-7	29-29	177-172	8-6	31-24	145-133	12-6	30-33	174-195
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games	4-3	15-17	112-109	3-3	16-16	98-93	3-4	11-23	92-133
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games	3-2	10-11	34-26	2-3	11-9	29-24	2-3	7-14	25-36
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game	5-5	15-20	55-56	5-5	20-14	53-43	6-5	14-23	53-67
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games	2-0	5-6	55-55	2-0	6-5	55-42	2-0	2-9	36-76
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game	2-2	6-11	79-80	3-1	10-7	72-61	3-1	6-13	61-105

DUKE - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	12-9	45-46	273-244	9-9	46-41	224-226	19-2	78-14	473-85
in all lined games	12-9	45-46	273-244	9-9	46-41	224-226	19-2	77-14	445-85
as a favorite	11-9	43-43	259-233	8-9	42-40	212-215	18-2	75-11	435-69
as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points	0-0	0-7	13-14	0-0	5-2	18-9	0-0	5-2	22-6
in all home games	5-6	18-25	121-99	4-6	21-21	95-94	11-0	41-3	233-16
in home lined games	5-6	18-25	121-99	4-6	21-21	95-94	11-0	40-3	211-16
against conference opponents	4-4	21-24	152-133	4-3	20-24	127-125	6-2	36-9	235-55
in February games	1-0	12-6	65-58	0-1	6-12	55-53	1-0	16-2	99-27
after a conference game	4-3	22-22	147-132	4-2	22-21	127-121	5-2	34-10	235-54
revenging a road loss vs opponent	1-1	4-4	19-19	1-1	5-3	20-16	2-0	7-1	33-6
off a win against a conference rival	2-3	17-18	120-104	2-2	17-17	101-97	3-2	26-9	194-40
after allowing 60 points or less	3-5	11-16	86-80	6-2	16-10	74-66	6-2	22-6	152-25
when playing against a team with a winning record	10-8	31-36	219-203	9-7	35-29	198-177	16-2	54-13	358-81
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games	3-3	16-21	125-136	4-1	19-17	132-107	4-2	26-11	205-66
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games	0-1	2-4	51-57	1-0	3-3	55-43	0-1	3-3	69-40
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game	0-3	2-12	88-84	2-1	9-5	83-74	2-1	10-4	130-45

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

NC STATE - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	16-6	-3.2	11-8	8-7	78.5	37.8	50.4%	36.9	70.0	31.9	41.2%	34.6
Road Games	4-5	-8.1	4-4	3-5	70.0	33.6	45.7%	37.1	68.8	31.0	41.0%	36.2
Last 5 Games	2-3	-3.7	2-3	2-2	74.8	39.4	47.1%	38.2	73.6	29.0	45.4%	33.2
Conference Games	5-4	-1.7	5-4	4-3	74.3	35.6	46.1%	37.9	70.9	30.2	42.7%	34.9

NC STATE Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	78.5	37.8	29-57	50.4%	5-13	40.1%	16-24	68.3%	37	9	15	15	6	12	4
vs opponents surrendering	65.1	30.1	23-55	41.5%	6-18	33.4%	13-19	68.9%	34	9	12	18	6	14	3
Team Stats (Road Games)	70.0	33.6	26-58	45.7%	5-13	37.3%	12-20	61.1%	37	10	13	17	6	12	3
Stats Against (All Games)	70.0	31.9	26-63	41.2%	6-20	28.7%	12-17	72.1%	35	11	11	18	6	11	3
vs opponents averaging	69.4	32.3	25-56	43.9%	6-18	34.3%	14-20	69.5%	36	10	13	17	7	13	4
Stats Against (Road Games)	68.8	31.0	24-59	41.0%	6-20	30.9%	14-20	71.0%	36	10	11	17	6	11	4

DUKE - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	19-2	+6.4	12-9	9-9	78.0	35.8	47.3%	35.7	63.3	29.7	40.1%	35.9
Home Games	11-0	+2	5-6	4-6	80.2	36.3	48.4%	37.8	58.3	27.1	37.1%	36.5
Last 5 Games	4-1	+0.6	3-2	3-1	74.8	34.2	45.6%	34.2	68.2	33.4	45.2%	37.6
Conference Games	6-2	-0.6	4-4	4-3	74.7	34.5	45.8%	35.4	65.9	31.0	43.5%	37.0

DUKE Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	78.0	35.8	28-59	47.3%	8-19	41.1%	15-21	70.2%	36	9	16	17	7	11	4
vs opponents surrendering	64.5	30.1	23-56	41.2%	6-18	33.5%	13-18	68.5%	34	9	12	18	6	14	3
Team Stats (Home Games)	80.2	36.3	29-60	48.4%	9-20	43.5%	13-21	61.6%	38	10	17	16	8	11	4
Stats Against (All Games)	63.3	29.7	23-59	40.1%	5-16	30.4%	12-17	70.3%	36	11	9	19	5	15	3
vs opponents averaging	70.9	33.7	25-56	44.8%	6-18	34.8%	14-20	69.7%	36	10	13	17	7	13	4
Stats Against (Home Games)	58.3	27.1	21-58	37.1%	5-17	29.6%	10-15	68.3%	36	11	7	19	5	17	3

Average power rating of opponents played: NC STATE 76, DUKE 76.6

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1997

DUKE is 15-15 against the spread versus NC STATE since 1997

DUKE is 26-5 straight up against NC STATE since 1997

18 of 27 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games over the last 3 seasons

DUKE is 2-2 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons

DUKE is 3-1 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons

3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at DUKE since 1997

DUKE is 7-5 against the spread versus NC STATE since 1997

DUKE is 12-0 straight up against NC STATE since 1997

8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games played at DUKE over the last 3 seasons.

DUKE is 1-1 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons

DUKE is 2-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

						Shooting		3pt shots		Free Throws		Rebounds
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	Pct	FTM-A	Pct	Tot.	OFF	TO
1/12/2013	DUKE	76	-1.5	Over	39	30-67	44.8%	6-20	30.0%	10-12	83.3%	35	12	12
	NC STATE	84	150	SU ATS	41	30-59	50.8%	4-8	50.0%	20-23	87.0%	34	9	11
2/16/2012	NC STATE	73	149.5	ATS	46	26-59	44.1%	5-11	45.5%	16-24	66.7%	44	11	15
	DUKE	78	-10	SU Over	30	25-69	36.2%	8-29	27.6%	20-28	71.4%	39	9	5
2/5/2011	NC STATE	52	149.5	Under	24	21-53	39.6%	1-10	10.0%	9-18	50.0%	36	6	16
	DUKE	76	-19	SU ATS	53	26-62	41.9%	7-14	50.0%	17-32	53.1%	45	17	9
1/19/2011	DUKE	92	-10.5	SU ATS	42	34-67	50.7%	7-23	30.4%	17-22	77.3%	44	16	11
	NC STATE	78	148.5	Over	28	25-68	36.8%	5-11	45.5%	23-30	76.7%	34	17	9

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring DUKE in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 49.1% of the time since 1997. (170-176)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 47.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-31)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 48.7% of the time since 1997. (205-216)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 56.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (47-36)
No Edge.

No total has been posted for this game.

Key Player Injuries

NC STATE

No significant injuries.

DUKE

[F] 02/06/2013 - Josh Hairston doubtful Thursday vs. NC State ( Arm )

[F] 01/11/2013 - Ryan Kelly out indefinitely ( Foot )

Now you can download and print schedules for each sport so you can plan ahead and track your results.

UPDATED:

BASEBALL	3/31/2013 - 6/2/2013
	6/3/2013 - 8/7/2013
BASKETBALL	2/26/2013 - 4/17/2013
HOCKEY	2/26/2013 - 4/27/2013

PROPS FUTURES
RK	Team
1	Boston Bruins
2	Chicago Blackhawks
3	Chicago Blackhawks
4	Boston Bruins
5	Boston Bruins
SEE MORE BETS...

06/18/2013
MLB	Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels	7:05 PM PST

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