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Page last updated on Sun Mar 29 08:05:55 EDT 2015
Matchup Reports

Thursday at 9:00 PM
NC STATE (16-6) AT DUKE (19-2) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
537: NC STATE
538: DUKE
OFF
-11.0
78.5 / 70.0
78.0 / 63.3
16-6
19-2
11-8
12-9
8-7
9-9
50.4
47.3
68.3
70.2
40.1
41.1
41.2
40.1
72.1
70.3
28.7
30.4
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
NC STATE  
DUKE-9 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
NC STATE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games11-839-37218-2188-740-32175-16116-655-35300-214
in all lined games11-839-37218-2188-740-32175-16114-645-35236-214
as an underdog3-116-20108-1052-220-1595-791-37-2961-155
as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points0-04-215-90-05-114-50-00-63-22
in road games2-312-1277-802-211-1263-531-47-1751-109
in road lined games2-312-1277-802-211-1263-531-47-1751-109
against conference opponents5-418-24139-1354-323-19115-1005-421-24124-158
in February games0-16-854-571-010-545-390-17-952-64
after a conference game5-318-22140-1293-321-19112-1014-420-24132-149
off a loss against a conference rival1-25-1475-702-112-1060-562-19-1381-72
when playing against a team with a winning record10-729-29177-1728-631-24145-13312-630-33174-195
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games4-315-17112-1093-316-1698-933-411-2392-133
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games3-210-1134-262-311-929-242-37-1425-36
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game5-515-2055-565-520-1453-436-514-2353-67
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games2-05-655-552-06-555-422-02-936-76
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game2-26-1179-803-110-772-613-16-1361-105

DUKE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games12-945-46273-2449-946-41224-22619-278-14473-85
in all lined games12-945-46273-2449-946-41224-22619-277-14445-85
as a favorite11-943-43259-2338-942-40212-21518-275-11435-69
as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points0-00-713-140-05-218-90-05-222-6
in all home games5-618-25121-994-621-2195-9411-041-3233-16
in home lined games5-618-25121-994-621-2195-9411-040-3211-16
against conference opponents4-421-24152-1334-320-24127-1256-236-9235-55
in February games1-012-665-580-16-1255-531-016-299-27
after a conference game4-322-22147-1324-222-21127-1215-234-10235-54
revenging a road loss vs opponent1-14-419-191-15-320-162-07-133-6
off a win against a conference rival2-317-18120-1042-217-17101-973-226-9194-40
after allowing 60 points or less3-511-1686-806-216-1074-666-222-6152-25
when playing against a team with a winning record10-831-36219-2039-735-29198-17716-254-13358-81
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games3-316-21125-1364-119-17132-1074-226-11205-66
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games0-12-451-571-03-355-430-13-369-40
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game0-32-1288-842-19-583-742-110-4130-45
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
NC STATE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games16-6-3.211-88-778.537.850.4%36.970.031.941.2%34.6
Road Games4-5-8.14-43-570.033.645.7%37.168.831.041.0%36.2
Last 5 Games2-3-3.72-32-274.839.447.1%38.273.629.045.4%33.2
Conference Games5-4-1.75-44-374.335.646.1%37.970.930.242.7%34.9
NC STATE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)78.537.829-5750.4%5-1340.1%16-2468.3%37915156124
vs opponents surrendering65.130.123-5541.5%6-1833.4%13-1968.9%34912186143
Team Stats (Road Games)70.033.626-5845.7%5-1337.3%12-2061.1%371013176123
Stats Against (All Games)70.031.926-6341.2%6-2028.7%12-1772.1%351111186113
vs opponents averaging69.432.325-5643.9%6-1834.3%14-2069.5%361013177134
Stats Against (Road Games)68.831.024-5941.0%6-2030.9%14-2071.0%361011176114

DUKE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games19-2+6.412-99-978.035.847.3%35.763.329.740.1%35.9
Home Games11-0+25-64-680.236.348.4%37.858.327.137.1%36.5
Last 5 Games4-1+0.63-23-174.834.245.6%34.268.233.445.2%37.6
Conference Games6-2-0.64-44-374.734.545.8%35.465.931.043.5%37.0
DUKE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)78.035.828-5947.3%8-1941.1%15-2170.2%36916177114
vs opponents surrendering64.530.123-5641.2%6-1833.5%13-1868.5%34912186143
Team Stats (Home Games)80.236.329-6048.4%9-2043.5%13-2161.6%381017168114
Stats Against (All Games)63.329.723-5940.1%5-1630.4%12-1770.3%36119195153
vs opponents averaging70.933.725-5644.8%6-1834.8%14-2069.7%361013177134
Stats Against (Home Games)58.327.121-5837.1%5-1729.6%10-1568.3%36117195173
Average power rating of opponents played: NC STATE 76,  DUKE 76.6
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
DUKE is 15-15 against the spread versus NC STATE since 1997
DUKE is 26-5 straight up against NC STATE since 1997
18 of 27 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 2-2 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 3-1 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at DUKE since 1997
DUKE is 7-5 against the spread versus NC STATE since 1997
DUKE is 12-0 straight up against NC STATE since 1997
8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at DUKE over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 1-1 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 2-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/12/2013DUKE76-1.5 Over3930-6744.8%6-2030.0%10-1283.3%351212
 NC STATE84150SU ATS4130-5950.8%4-850.0%20-2387.0%34911
2/16/2012NC STATE73149.5 ATS4626-5944.1%5-1145.5%16-2466.7%441115
 DUKE78-10SU Over3025-6936.2%8-2927.6%20-2871.4%3995
2/5/2011NC STATE52149.5 Under2421-5339.6%1-1010.0%9-1850.0%36616
 DUKE76-19SU ATS5326-6241.9%7-1450.0%17-3253.1%45179
1/19/2011DUKE92-10.5SU ATS4234-6750.7%7-2330.4%17-2277.3%441611
 NC STATE78148.5 Over2825-6836.8%5-1145.5%23-3076.7%34179
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring DUKE in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 49.1% of the time since 1997. (170-176)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 47.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-31)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 48.7% of the time since 1997. (205-216)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 56.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (47-36)
No Edge.
 
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
NC STATE
No significant injuries.
DUKE
[F] 02/06/2013 - Josh Hairston doubtful Thursday vs. NC State ( Arm )
[F] 01/11/2013 - Ryan Kelly out indefinitely ( Foot )
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