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Matchup Reports

Tuesday at 7:00 PM
NC STATE (16-4) AT VIRGINIA (14-5) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
511: NC STATE
512: VIRGINIA
124.5
-3.0
79.8 / 70.2
62.8 / 51.1
16-4
14-5
10-7
11-5
7-6
1-2
50.9
45.9
67.6
70.6
40.0
39.1
40.9
36.8
72.5
68.0
29.6
29.2
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
NC STATE  
VIRGINIA-3 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
NC STATE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-738-36217-2177-639-31174-16016-455-33300-212
in all lined games10-738-36217-2177-639-31174-16014-445-33236-212
when the total is 120 to 129.50-01-38-110-03-111-80-01-36-13
as an underdog2-115-20107-1052-120-1495-781-27-2861-154
as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick1-03-112-100-12-29-40-12-211-11
in road games1-311-1276-802-111-1163-521-37-1651-108
in road lined games1-311-1276-802-111-1163-521-37-1651-108
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.50-00-23-40-02-05-20-00-22-5
against conference opponents4-317-23138-1343-222-18114-995-221-22124-156
in January games4-39-1355-653-211-1054-385-214-1064-66
on Tuesday nights1-22-619-302-14-413-212-24-635-26
after a conference game4-217-21139-1282-220-18111-1004-220-22132-147
off a win against a conference rival3-112-862-581-19-852-422-210-1047-76
after allowing 80 points or more1-18-434-392-07-632-291-17-742-40
after scoring 80 points or more6-514-953-586-410-1046-389-320-674-57
when playing against a team with a winning record9-628-28176-1717-530-23144-13212-430-31174-193
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games3-214-16111-1082-215-1597-923-211-2192-131
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games2-19-1033-251-210-828-232-17-1225-34
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game4-414-1954-554-419-1352-426-314-2153-65
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-02-32-70-03-25-20-04-18-5
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game0-03-35-110-03-38-40-08-129-6

VIRGINIA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games11-542-26186-2081-217-36132-14714-552-30259-218
in all lined games11-542-26186-2081-217-36132-14712-541-29189-213
when the total is 120 to 129.50-013-820-150-06-1512-240-011-1018-18
as a favorite10-324-1587-941-110-1859-5311-331-10133-52
as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick1-02-219-110-11-310-111-02-222-8
in all home games9-123-1199-910-16-1866-6212-136-10188-69
in home lined games9-123-1199-910-16-1866-6210-126-9128-65
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.50-06-38-70-02-75-100-06-38-7
against conference opponents4-223-16118-1400-114-2191-1024-220-20104-161
in January games4-213-863-600-16-1044-354-213-962-66
on Tuesday nights1-15-323-300-04-312-211-111-242-25
after a conference game3-221-16113-1340-014-1889-953-220-20114-150
off a win against a conference rival2-19-848-460-06-932-412-18-1149-54
after allowing 60 points or less9-427-1753-471-19-2431-4311-438-1779-46
when playing against a team with a winning record7-231-19152-1620-214-28110-1238-229-23150-185
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games2-015-1185-1000-012-1372-792-012-1570-120
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games0-04-345-450-02-535-370-01-624-68
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game1-08-565-690-13-1050-571-04-945-94
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
NC STATE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games16-4-1.110-77-679.738.050.9%37.170.232.140.9%35.0
Road Games4-4-7.13-43-471.933.946.6%37.070.131.941.1%36.6
Last 5 Games3-2-1.63-22-275.036.645.1%39.471.629.643.3%37.0
Conference Games5-2+0.44-33-276.635.646.2%38.971.630.642.0%36.1
NC STATE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)79.738.029-5750.9%5-1340.0%16-2467.6%371015156125
vs opponents surrendering65.830.423-5641.6%6-1833.6%13-1968.9%34912186144
Team Stats (Road Games)71.933.927-5846.6%5-1336.9%13-2160.5%371113176123
Stats Against (All Games)70.232.126-6440.9%6-2029.6%12-1772.5%351211196123
vs opponents averaging69.832.625-5743.6%6-1833.7%14-2069.5%361013177134
Stats Against (Road Games)70.131.924-5941.1%6-2031.5%15-2171.4%371111176124

VIRGINIA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games14-5+6.111-51-262.829.145.9%32.851.122.936.8%29.2
Home Games12-1+5.59-10-164.930.948.1%33.647.522.133.8%29.2
Last 5 Games3-2-0.13-20-058.226.645.3%29.251.823.841.4%26.0
Conference Games4-2+0.94-20-158.726.245.3%29.751.824.040.6%27.5
VIRGINIA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)62.829.123-5145.9%6-1539.1%11-1570.6%33815166125
vs opponents surrendering66.731.324-5642.2%6-1834.0%14-2068.8%351012187144
Team Stats (Home Games)64.930.924-5148.1%5-1339.8%11-1670.9%34716157125
Stats Against (All Games)51.122.918-4836.8%5-1729.2%11-1568.0%2978155133
vs opponents averaging66.230.524-5642.3%5-1732.0%14-2067.5%361012187144
Stats Against (Home Games)47.522.117-5033.8%4-1724.7%10-1469.8%2987155143
Average power rating of opponents played: NC STATE 75.7,  VIRGINIA 73.8
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
NC STATE is 16-12 against the spread versus VIRGINIA since 1997
NC STATE is 16-13 straight up against VIRGINIA since 1997
11 of 21 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 2-1 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 2-1 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at VIRGINIA since 1997
VIRGINIA is 6-6 against the spread versus NC STATE since 1997
VIRGINIA is 9-3 straight up against NC STATE since 1997
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 1-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 1-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
3/9/2012NC STATE67120.5SU ATS3627-5054.0%5-1533.3%8-1844.4%28611
NVIRGINIA64-3.5 Over3323-5343.4%2-1216.7%16-2080.0%35911
1/28/2012VIRGINIA61123SU ATS3819-4344.2%7-1546.7%16-2369.6%25411
 NC STATE60-1.5 Under3123-5740.4%2-1513.3%12-2157.1%421611
3/1/2011NC STATE58124 Over2820-4940.8%6-1637.5%12-1675.0%34915
 VIRGINIA69-1.5SU ATS3221-5339.6%10-2147.6%17-2085.0%3289
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring VIRGINIA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (170-175)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 48.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-30)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 51.6% of the time since 1997. (173-162)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 56.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-25)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 48.8% of the time since 1997. (139-146)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 47.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-30)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 50.6% of the time since 1997. (126-123)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 47.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (24-27)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
NC STATE
No significant injuries.
VIRGINIA
[F] 01/15/2013 - Darion Atkins out indefinitely ( Stress Fracture )
[G] 11/08/2012 - Malcolm Brogdon out for season ( Foot )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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