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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 6:00 PM
NC STATE (12-5) AT VIRGINIA (15-1) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
819: NC STATE
820: VIRGINIA
135.0
-14.5
83.1 / 72.8
70.7 / 53.0
12-5
15-1
5-5
9-4
7-3
4-9
46.6
47.0
70.1
75.9
34.1
39.2
44.4
36.1
71.2
72.3
32.5
30.2
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
NC STATE  
VIRGINIA-18 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
NC STATE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games5-529-38290-2877-340-28252-22112-543-39395-286
in all lined games5-529-38290-2877-340-28252-2215-530-39313-285
when the total is 130 to 139.50-01-592-800-04-395-780-04-3109-69
as an underdog4-315-21143-1395-220-16133-1124-39-2883-206
as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points0-00-35-90-01-24-100-00-31-13
as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points0-02-312-170-02-312-140-01-43-26
in road games0-29-1399-1041-19-1483-810-25-1869-141
in road lined games0-29-1399-1041-19-1483-810-25-1869-141
in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.50-00-015-70-00-013-90-00-012-11
against conference opponents2-215-26187-1803-124-18168-1392-212-31166-213
in January games2-19-1074-813-013-775-552-17-1379-89
after a conference game3-116-25188-1734-027-15166-1383-114-29177-201
off a win against a conference rival1-03-884-761-06-574-601-01-1064-101
when playing against a team with a winning record4-522-32232-2286-333-22205-1825-524-36233-261
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games1-010-19145-1441-017-12136-1231-07-23119-177
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-01-447-391-03-346-351-02-439-52
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game1-32-974-782-26-676-621-33-974-95

VIRGINIA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games9-446-34275-2774-930-49195-23215-167-20394-256
in all lined games9-446-34275-2774-930-49195-23212-160-20311-251
when the total is 130 to 139.54-220-1249-431-59-2338-525-124-849-43
as a favorite9-340-29162-1554-830-38118-12312-056-13246-77
as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points1-02-112-81-01-26-71-03-020-1
as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points3-28-629-322-34-1016-225-014-061-1
in all home games5-321-14138-1223-513-2293-10211-038-4264-77
in home lined games5-321-14138-1223-513-2293-1028-031-4191-73
in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.52-09-120-60-22-86-192-010-020-6
against conference opponents2-225-21174-1821-316-29127-1594-031-15178-187
in January games2-110-986-731-29-1058-553-014-591-73
after a conference game2-125-20167-1781-215-29125-1523-030-15188-176
off a win against a conference rival2-117-1387-791-29-2058-833-020-10104-73
when playing against a team with a winning record6-337-30225-2193-625-41163-1959-148-20248-222
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games0-119-18131-1371-014-22104-1261-024-13129-146
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games1-013-1164-610-18-1550-541-013-1143-84
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game4-222-2097-961-514-2776-878-129-1687-115
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
NC STATE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games12-5+6.75-57-383.140.646.6%37.872.834.944.4%35.6
Road Games1-4+1.81-42-365.631.038.2%38.676.236.643.7%38.8
Last 5 Games3-2+5.62-23-182.040.844.7%36.878.437.648.0%37.0
Conference Games2-2+5.62-23-173.536.041.2%35.282.040.049.6%39.0
NC STATE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)83.140.629-6346.6%7-2034.1%17-2570.1%381116198124
vs opponents surrendering7133.625-5843.4%8-2234.9%13-1870.8%35913186143
Team Stats (Road Games)65.631.023-6038.2%6-2128.3%14-2068.0%391211216153
Stats Against (All Games)72.834.926-5844.4%6-2032.5%15-2071.2%361013206164
vs opponents averaging74.835.326-5944.7%8-2235.7%14-2071.4%36914187134
Stats Against (Road Games)76.236.626-5943.7%7-1934.0%18-2573.6%391214177116

VIRGINIA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games15-1+79-44-970.735.647.0%33.653.024.436.1%31.8
Home Games11-0+45-33-570.735.946.9%34.551.323.635.0%31.8
Last 5 Games5-0+32-21-369.634.243.6%34.253.625.834.5%36.4
Conference Games4-0+32-21-366.532.743.1%31.255.026.036.6%37.5
VIRGINIA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)70.735.626-5547.0%8-2039.2%11-1575.9%3471414794
vs opponents surrendering71.73425-5843.5%8-2234.7%14-2069.6%35813186143
Team Stats (Home Games)70.735.926-5546.9%7-2036.7%12-1675.6%3491414895
Stats Against (All Games)53.024.418-5136.1%6-2130.2%10-1372.3%3288164142
vs opponents averaging76.236.427-6044.7%8-2334.8%14-2071.5%371014187133
Stats Against (Home Games)51.323.618-5135.0%7-2329.4%9-1273.1%3297174162
Average power rating of opponents played: NC STATE 72.8,  VIRGINIA 79.7
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
NC STATE is 20-15 against the spread versus VIRGINIA since 1997
VIRGINIA is 19-17 straight up against NC STATE since 1997
17 of 28 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at VIRGINIA since 1997
NC STATE is 8-7 against the spread versus VIRGINIA since 1997
VIRGINIA is 12-3 straight up against NC STATE since 1997
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 1-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 1-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/25/2017VIRGINIA70-7SU ATS3523-4748.9%11-1668.7%13-2259.1%33511
 NC STATE55133.5 Under2118-5632.1%7-2725.9%12-1675.0%381014
2/15/2016NC STATE53129 Under3119-4740.4%3-1618.7%12-1866.7%27812
 VIRGINIA73-12SU ATS3129-5453.7%10-1855.6%5-683.3%27510
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring NC STATE in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 48.7% of the time since 1997. (222-234)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 48.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (25-27)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 52.9% of the time since 1997. (250-223)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 53.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-32)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (204-200)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 62.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (40-24)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 51.8% of the time since 1997. (199-185)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 57.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (43-32)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
NC STATE
[G] 01/13/2018 - Markell Johnson is upgraded to probable Sunday vs Virginia ( Suspension Served )
[F] 11/30/2017 - Darius Hicks is out for season ( ACL )
VIRGINIA
No significant injuries.
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