|
|
| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
|---|
|
|
|
| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 16-13 | 44-42 | 223-223 | 10-11 | 42-36 | 177-165 | 23-9 | 62-38 | 307-217 | | in all lined games | 16-13 | 44-42 | 223-223 | 10-11 | 42-36 | 177-165 | 21-9 | 52-38 | 243-217 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 9-11 | 0-1 | 3-2 | 11-9 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 6-14 | | as a favorite | 13-9 | 27-19 | 108-112 | 7-8 | 21-19 | 78-81 | 20-3 | 44-6 | 175-56 | | in all neutral court games | 3-1 | 14-4 | 46-28 | 1-4 | 9-9 | 30-32 | 4-1 | 13-6 | 45-33 | | as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 3-0 | 11-8 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 12-7 | | in a neutral court game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 2-4 | | against conference opponents | 10-9 | 23-29 | 144-140 | 6-7 | 25-23 | 117-104 | 12-7 | 28-27 | 131-161 | | in March games | 3-1 | 10-4 | 50-34 | 0-3 | 4-9 | 32-46 | 3-1 | 8-6 | 42-44 | | on Friday nights | 2-0 | 6-2 | 24-10 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 12-16 | 3-0 | 9-1 | 43-5 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 1-3 | 9-7 | 38-31 | 1-2 | 8-7 | 31-28 | 2-2 | 9-7 | 45-31 | | after a conference game | 10-8 | 23-27 | 145-134 | 5-7 | 23-23 | 114-105 | 11-7 | 27-27 | 139-152 | | when playing on a neutral court | 3-1 | 14-4 | 46-28 | 1-4 | 9-9 | 30-32 | 4-1 | 13-6 | 45-33 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 4-1 | 7-13 | 50-55 | 3-1 | 11-8 | 45-46 | 5-0 | 10-11 | 45-64 | | off a win against a conference rival | 7-4 | 16-11 | 66-61 | 3-5 | 11-12 | 54-46 | 6-5 | 14-13 | 51-79 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 9-8 | 17-12 | 56-61 | 7-8 | 11-14 | 47-42 | 12-6 | 23-9 | 77-60 | | in all tournament games | 3-1 | 12-4 | 51-28 | 1-3 | 8-7 | 34-36 | 3-1 | 10-6 | 50-31 | | in conference tournament games | 1-0 | 4-1 | 24-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 16-15 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 18-15 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 12-11 | 31-33 | 179-176 | 9-9 | 32-27 | 146-136 | 15-9 | 33-36 | 177-198 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 6-7 | 17-21 | 114-113 | 4-6 | 17-19 | 99-96 | 6-7 | 14-26 | 95-136 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 4-4 | 11-13 | 35-28 | 2-4 | 11-10 | 29-25 | 4-4 | 9-15 | 27-37 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 6-7 | 16-22 | 56-58 | 5-6 | 20-15 | 53-44 | 8-6 | 16-24 | 55-68 |
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 17-11 | 48-32 | 192-214 | 5-6 | 21-40 | 136-151 | 21-10 | 59-35 | 266-223 | | in all lined games | 17-11 | 48-32 | 192-214 | 5-6 | 21-40 | 136-151 | 19-10 | 48-34 | 196-218 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 2-3 | 15-11 | 22-18 | 1-4 | 7-19 | 13-28 | 3-2 | 14-12 | 21-20 | | as an underdog | 3-2 | 20-11 | 97-109 | 0-2 | 7-19 | 70-92 | 2-3 | 11-20 | 53-157 | | in all neutral court games | 0-1 | 3-7 | 19-26 | 1-0 | 3-6 | 18-18 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 17-31 | | as a neutral court underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5-6 | | in a neutral court game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 3-5 | | against conference opponents | 10-8 | 29-22 | 124-146 | 4-5 | 18-25 | 95-106 | 11-7 | 27-25 | 111-166 | | in March games | 0-3 | 2-8 | 21-41 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 34-25 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 20-43 | | on Friday nights | 0-1 | 3-5 | 16-11 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 11-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 24-16 | | after a conference game | 9-8 | 27-22 | 119-140 | 4-4 | 18-22 | 93-99 | 10-7 | 27-25 | 121-155 | | when playing on a neutral court | 0-1 | 3-7 | 19-26 | 1-0 | 3-6 | 18-18 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 17-31 | | off a win against a conference rival | 5-5 | 12-12 | 51-50 | 3-1 | 9-10 | 35-42 | 6-4 | 12-14 | 53-57 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 12-9 | 30-22 | 56-52 | 3-4 | 11-27 | 33-46 | 16-7 | 43-20 | 84-49 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 0-0 | 0-1 | 25-31 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 18-21 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 34-28 | | in all tournament games | 2-1 | 5-7 | 18-30 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 20-23 | 3-1 | 6-7 | 20-32 | | in conference tournament games | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4-15 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 12-7 | 36-24 | 157-167 | 3-6 | 17-32 | 113-127 | 14-6 | 35-27 | 156-189 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 7-5 | 20-16 | 90-105 | 3-4 | 15-17 | 75-83 | 8-4 | 18-19 | 76-124 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games | 1-2 | 5-5 | 46-47 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 36-38 | 2-1 | 3-7 | 26-69 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 2-2 | 9-7 | 66-71 | 1-2 | 4-11 | 51-58 | 3-1 | 6-10 | 47-95 |
|
|
|
| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 23-9 | -0.8 | 16-13 | 10-11 | 77.8 | 36.8 | 49.5% | 37.1 | 70.2 | 32.5 | 41.7% | 33.9 | | Road Games | 7-8 | -8.6 | 6-8 | 3-9 | 70.3 | 33.5 | 45.9% | 36.5 | 69.4 | 33.5 | 41.7% | 35.5 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +2.4 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 76.0 | 36.2 | 49.5% | 36.2 | 64.2 | 30.0 | 41.3% | 30.8 | | Conference Games | 12-7 | +0.7 | 10-9 | 6-7 | 75.3 | 35.1 | 46.8% | 37.7 | 70.6 | 32.2 | 42.8% | 33.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 77.8 | 36.8 | 28-57 | 49.5% | 5-13 | 38.7% | 16-24 | 68.4% | 37 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.6 | 30.9 | 24-56 | 42.3% | 6-18 | 33.9% | 13-19 | 69.2% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 70.3 | 33.5 | 26-58 | 45.9% | 5-13 | 34.7% | 13-21 | 62.4% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 70.2 | 32.5 | 26-62 | 41.7% | 6-20 | 30.1% | 12-17 | 73.3% | 34 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 69.2 | 32.1 | 24-56 | 43.9% | 6-18 | 34.6% | 14-20 | 69.9% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 69.4 | 33.5 | 24-58 | 41.7% | 6-19 | 31.4% | 15-20 | 72.8% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 21-10 | +5.3 | 17-11 | 5-6 | 64.3 | 29.7 | 45.9% | 32.4 | 54.5 | 24.4 | 38.8% | 30.0 | | Road Games | 3-9 | -5.2 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 60.3 | 27.7 | 43.3% | 30.5 | 61.7 | 26.7 | 45.8% | 29.3 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -0.4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 63.8 | 27.2 | 43.7% | 32.6 | 57.2 | 26.8 | 41.4% | 29.2 | | Conference Games | 11-7 | +0.1 | 10-8 | 4-5 | 63.9 | 29.2 | 45.6% | 30.9 | 57.2 | 25.7 | 41.4% | 30.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 64.3 | 29.7 | 24-52 | 45.9% | 6-16 | 39.0% | 11-15 | 71.7% | 32 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.3 | 30.8 | 24-56 | 42.0% | 6-18 | 33.8% | 13-19 | 68.7% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 60.3 | 27.7 | 22-51 | 43.3% | 7-18 | 40.8% | 9-12 | 70.3% | 30 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 54.5 | 24.4 | 19-50 | 38.8% | 5-17 | 30.5% | 11-16 | 68.4% | 30 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.4 | 31.2 | 24-56 | 43.3% | 6-17 | 33.3% | 14-20 | 68.5% | 36 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 61.7 | 26.7 | 22-47 | 45.8% | 6-16 | 37.8% | 12-19 | 66.8% | 29 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
|
|
| Average power rating of opponents played: NC STATE 76.4, VIRGINIA 74.1 |
|
|
| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
|---|
|
|
| NC STATE is 17-12 against the spread versus VIRGINIA since 1997 | | NC STATE is 16-14 straight up against VIRGINIA since 1997 | | 12 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| VIRGINIA is 2-2 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons | | VIRGINIA is 3-1 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1/29/2013 | NC STATE | 55 | 125.5 | ATS | 31 | 20-53 | 37.7% | 6-15 | 40.0% | 9-13 | 69.2% | 38 | 7 | 14 | | | VIRGINIA | 58 | -3.5 | SU Under | 24 | 22-54 | 40.7% | 4-16 | 25.0% | 10-15 | 66.7% | 33 | 5 | 8 | 3/9/2012 | NC STATE | 67 | 120.5 | SU ATS | 36 | 27-50 | 54.0% | 5-15 | 33.3% | 8-18 | 44.4% | 28 | 6 | 11 | | N | VIRGINIA | 64 | -3.5 | Over | 33 | 23-53 | 43.4% | 2-12 | 16.7% | 16-20 | 80.0% | 35 | 9 | 11 | 1/28/2012 | VIRGINIA | 61 | 123 | SU ATS | 38 | 19-43 | 44.2% | 7-15 | 46.7% | 16-23 | 69.6% | 25 | 4 | 11 | | | NC STATE | 60 | -1.5 | Under | 31 | 23-57 | 40.4% | 2-15 | 13.3% | 12-21 | 57.1% | 42 | 16 | 11 | 3/1/2011 | NC STATE | 58 | 124 | Over | 28 | 20-49 | 40.8% | 6-16 | 37.5% | 12-16 | 75.0% | 34 | 9 | 15 | | | VIRGINIA | 69 | -1.5 | SU ATS | 32 | 21-53 | 39.6% | 10-21 | 47.6% | 17-20 | 85.0% | 32 | 8 | 9 |
|
|
|
| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
|---|
|
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 49.2% of the time since 1997. (175-181) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 47.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-36) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 51.5% of the time since 1997. (177-167) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 54.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-30) | |
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 48.8% of the time since 1997. (143-150) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 47.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-34) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 51% of the time since 1997. (131-126) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 49.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-30) | |
|
|
|
|
| No significant injuries. | |
| [F] 03/14/2013 - Darion Atkins "?" Friday vs. NC State ( Shin ) | | [G] 11/08/2012 - Malcolm Brogdon out for season ( Foot ) |
|
|