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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 5:15 PM
NEBRASKA (13-15) AT ILLINOIS (20-9) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
643: NEBRASKA
644: ILLINOIS
127.5
-14.0
58.5 / 63.3
70.8 / 65.3
13-15
20-9
13-12
12-14
8-10
10-14
40.6
42.7
68.8
71.5
30.1
33.0
42.8
42.4
67.5
68.8
33.3
34.4
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
NEBRASKA  
ILLINOIS-13 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
NEBRASKA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games13-1233-43186-2078-1031-38110-13013-1544-46254-239
in all lined games13-1233-43186-2078-1031-38110-13011-1531-46172-229
when the total is 120 to 129.57-415-2342-575-615-2342-575-716-2343-57
as an underdog10-920-26102-1277-1021-2367-766-1411-3661-173
as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points0-11-14-90-10-23-40-10-20-13
as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points2-54-715-243-43-811-110-70-110-39
in road games4-612-1969-1025-416-1453-522-86-2542-136
in road lined games4-612-1969-1025-416-1453-522-86-2541-133
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.53-26-1114-283-29-821-212-35-1211-31
against conference opponents8-622-28129-1446-722-2780-954-1115-36104-174
in March games0-01-522-330-03-324-190-01-517-40
on Saturday games6-215-1378-843-39-1746-536-417-15101-98
after a conference game8-522-26126-1366-623-2478-915-1016-35111-166
revenging a home loss vs opponent3-36-531-312-35-522-172-43-819-44
revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more2-14-221-151-22-411-130-31-513-23
off a loss against a conference rival8-119-1486-724-416-1655-534-612-2264-101
after scoring 60 points or less8-416-1764-625-418-1244-428-618-1971-75
when playing against a team with a winning record10-927-31146-1716-922-3289-1067-1323-37137-203
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games5-418-1689-1044-517-1766-662-811-2469-128

ILLINOIS - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games12-1439-49242-23710-1443-42174-20320-956-39367-173
in all lined games12-1439-49242-23710-1443-42174-20317-951-39320-172
when the total is 120 to 129.54-210-1256-503-315-853-564-211-1269-40
as a favorite6-825-33173-1654-822-31112-14712-241-17278-70
as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points0-21-315-100-21-36-112-04-025-0
as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points0-44-1041-410-33-720-304-014-081-2
in all home games4-820-23104-994-718-2167-7911-438-10209-43
in home lined games4-820-23104-994-718-2167-798-433-10164-43
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.51-15-421-212-07-223-201-16-332-11
against conference opponents7-822-29148-1424-1126-27105-1307-822-31181-120
in March games0-03-543-430-04-438-430-02-653-35
on Saturday games2-39-1173-793-213-859-543-210-11105-61
when playing with 5 or 6 days rest0-32-724-232-05-319-172-14-531-18
after a conference game7-721-28146-1424-1025-26102-1338-722-30181-119
off a loss against a conference rival4-313-1563-512-513-1643-463-413-1665-51
after scoring 60 points or less3-17-1049-522-210-942-462-210-1060-51
when playing against a team with a losing record0-34-729-371-15-520-273-010-388-7
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games0-12-321-180-12-312-161-03-237-4
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games6-611-1770-714-817-1260-705-710-1977-69
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game9-1220-27107-1158-1228-1996-10012-924-24131-100
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games2-12-417-180-32-48-173-03-333-3
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game3-13-623-291-33-616-234-06-452-9
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
NEBRASKA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games13-15+3.913-128-1058.526.640.6%32.163.229.342.8%35.4
Road Games3-8+3.35-65-457.425.740.8%29.169.532.445.7%36.9
Last 5 Games2-3+1.82-22-157.624.636.8%30.667.833.442.6%38.4
Conference Games4-11+0.48-66-755.724.537.9%31.565.331.242.7%38.8
NEBRASKA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)58.526.622-5340.6%5-1630.1%11-1568.8%32810175113
vs opponents surrendering64.129.423-5441.8%6-1833.2%13-1968.9%33912186133
Team Stats (Road Games)57.425.722-5340.8%5-1630.6%9-1370.0%29610185122
Stats Against (All Games)63.229.322-5142.8%5-1633.3%14-2167.5%35811155114
vs opponents averaging6932.124-5544.2%6-1834.7%14-2169.7%35913177134
Stats Against (Road Games)69.532.425-5445.7%6-1733.5%15-2268.2%37913136104

ILLINOIS - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games20-9+512-1410-1470.833.742.7%34.065.329.842.4%34.6
Home Games11-4-34-84-769.631.842.2%35.563.928.842.7%32.2
Last 5 Games4-1+4.23-21-464.032.641.0%32.456.624.439.2%33.8
Conference Games7-8-3.27-84-1165.030.340.9%32.165.529.743.6%34.1
ILLINOIS Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)70.833.725-5842.7%8-2433.0%13-1871.5%341011187124
vs opponents surrendering64.829.923-5541.8%6-1833.2%13-1968.3%33912186133
Team Stats (Home Games)69.631.825-5942.2%7-2430.7%12-1869.0%351111177134
Stats Against (All Games)65.329.823-5442.4%7-1934.4%13-1968.8%35912176143
vs opponents averaging6932.325-5643.8%6-1934.7%13-1969.1%361013176124
Stats Against (Home Games)63.928.822-5242.7%7-1936.9%13-1869.1%32812176153
Average power rating of opponents played: NEBRASKA 76.1,  ILLINOIS 75.7
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
NEBRASKA is 2-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1997
ILLINOIS is 2-1 straight up against NEBRASKA since 1997
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
NEBRASKA is 2-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 2-1 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at ILLINOIS since 1997
NEBRASKA is 1-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1997
ILLINOIS is 1-0 straight up against NEBRASKA since 1997
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 1-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 1-0 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/22/2013ILLINOIS71-5SU ATS3524-5345.3%7-2231.8%16-2176.2%401314
 NEBRASKA51127.5 Under2314-4431.8%2-1414.3%21-3070.0%28914
2/18/2012ILLINOIS57-3.5 Over2621-5339.6%6-2326.1%9-1656.2%27514
 NEBRASKA80123SU ATS3330-5455.6%10-2050.0%10-1566.7%33310
1/7/2012NEBRASKA54116.5 ATS2518-3650.0%5-1435.7%13-1968.4%24320
 ILLINOIS59-10SU Under2223-4452.3%3-1127.3%10-1952.6%20214
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ILLINOIS in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEBRASKA games 50.8% of the time since 1997. (164-159)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEBRASKA games 46.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-33)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 52.9% of the time since 1997. (208-185)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 57.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-30)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEBRASKA games 50.2% of the time since 1997. (103-102)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEBRASKA games 42.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-35)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.5% of the time since 1997. (156-159)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-35)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
NEBRASKA
[G] 03/02/2013 - David Rivers "?" Saturday vs. Illinois ( Muscle Pull )
[C] 03/02/2013 - Andre Almeida is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Illinois ( Knee )
[G] 01/11/2013 - Mike Peltz out for season ( Knee )
[G] 11/09/2012 - Deverell Biggs expected to redshirt ( None )
ILLINOIS
No significant injuries.
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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