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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 1:00 PM
NEBRASKA (9-7) AT MICHIGAN ST (13-3) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
817: NEBRASKA
818: MICHIGAN ST
118.0
-17.0
58.4 / 60.6
70.6 / 57.8
9-7
13-3
7-7
5-8
2-6
5-7
41.8
46.9
66.5
70.8
29.9
33.2
42.8
37.5
63.8
64.3
33.3
30.4
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
NEBRASKA  
MICHIGAN ST-17 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
NEBRASKA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games7-727-38180-2022-625-34104-1269-740-38250-231
in all lined games7-727-38180-2022-625-34104-1267-727-38168-221
when the total is 119.5 or less1-04-25-40-12-44-50-12-44-5
as an underdog5-415-2197-1221-615-1961-723-68-2858-165
as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points1-23-414-210-30-78-100-30-70-35
as a road underdog of 15.5 to 18 points0-01-16-50-00-21-30-00-20-11
in road games2-310-1667-991-312-1349-511-45-2141-132
in road lined games2-310-1667-991-312-1349-511-45-2140-129
in a road game where the total is 119.5 or less0-02-02-10-00-21-20-00-20-3
against conference opponents2-116-23123-1390-316-2374-910-311-28100-166
in January games2-111-556-490-36-1023-350-38-1055-64
after a conference game2-016-21120-1310-217-2072-871-212-27107-158
off a loss against a conference rival2-013-1380-710-212-1451-510-28-1860-97
after scoring 60 points or less4-312-1660-611-314-1140-415-315-1668-72
after 3 or more consecutive losses0-04-325-190-04-316-130-03-424-23
when playing against a team with a winning record6-523-27142-1672-518-2885-1025-621-30135-196
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games1-014-1285-1000-113-1362-620-19-1767-121
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-09-728-390-17-927-250-16-1120-49
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game3-411-1448-670-47-1533-442-59-1749-79

MICHIGAN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games5-838-40253-2285-733-44177-21713-360-27390-145
in all lined games5-838-40253-2285-733-44177-21710-352-27344-145
when the total is 119.5 or less0-03-09-70-02-19-70-03-011-5
as a favorite4-627-33194-1743-625-35137-1589-144-17302-74
as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points2-39-849-552-29-735-345-017-0102-2
as a home favorite of 15.5 to 18 points1-22-414-132-14-210-73-06-026-1
in all home games3-419-16113-963-318-1779-8210-039-4227-24
in home lined games3-419-16113-963-318-1779-827-032-4189-24
in a home game where the total is 119.5 or less0-01-02-10-01-02-10-01-03-0
against conference opponents2-124-20148-1302-119-26100-1312-129-16199-85
in January games2-07-1057-591-18-941-482-010-785-34
after a conference game2-023-20150-1261-119-25102-1312-028-16201-82
off a win against a conference rival1-017-11110-840-18-2069-921-018-10141-56
after allowing 60 points or less1-718-15104-1083-412-2083-896-224-10165-65
when playing against a team with a winning record3-630-33191-1815-430-33148-1727-241-24251-135
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games1-016-19119-1010-117-1995-1061-021-15148-78
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-011-1273-700-110-1355-741-012-1195-51
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game2-418-19105-1143-316-2182-1065-122-15140-85
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-01-122-170-00-28-200-01-136-4
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game1-14-332-230-20-714-263-07-156-6
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
NEBRASKA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games9-7+2.67-72-658.427.041.8%32.860.627.142.8%33.6
Road Games2-4+1.83-31-358.223.740.3%31.366.330.244.5%37.5
Last 5 Games1-4-22-20-350.420.636.5%33.261.226.643.0%39.4
Conference Games0-3-12-10-344.018.733.5%32.359.726.742.2%42.7
NEBRASKA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)58.427.022-5241.8%5-1629.9%10-1566.5%33710174113
vs opponents surrendering63.729.423-5542.1%6-1733.1%12-1868.4%33912186143
Team Stats (Road Games)58.223.722-5440.3%5-1828.0%9-1467.1%31610175112
Stats Against (All Games)60.627.122-5142.8%5-1533.3%12-1963.8%34710155113
vs opponents averaging7032.825-5545.1%7-1835.7%14-2069.9%35913177133
Stats Against (Road Games)66.330.224-5444.5%5-1629.3%13-2066.4%37811135114

MICHIGAN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games13-3-0.25-85-770.633.746.9%39.757.827.737.5%31.2
Home Games10-0+23-43-375.234.749.2%41.854.024.532.8%30.8
Last 5 Games4-1+32-32-368.032.044.6%37.261.031.841.8%35.2
Conference Games2-1+12-12-169.732.743.5%37.365.332.346.7%36.3
MICHIGAN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)70.633.726-5546.9%5-1433.2%14-2070.8%401015179154
vs opponents surrendering6730.123-5741.3%6-1931.9%14-2070.5%371013187154
Team Stats (Home Games)75.234.726-5349.2%5-1532.5%18-2473.9%421016179165
Stats Against (All Games)57.827.720-5437.5%5-1630.4%12-1964.3%31811178144
vs opponents averaging67.831.424-5742.1%6-1932.5%14-2068.0%361013188134
Stats Against (Home Games)54.024.518-5632.8%5-1826.8%13-2062.1%31910209152
Average power rating of opponents played: NEBRASKA 71.7,  MICHIGAN ST 71.5
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 straight up against NEBRASKA since 1997
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MICHIGAN ST since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 1-0 straight up against NEBRASKA since 1997
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 1-0 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/25/2012NEBRASKA34127.5 Under1514-4829.2%2-1711.8%4-4100.0%20411
 MICHIGAN ST62-17.5SU ATS2323-3959.0%9-1850.0%7-1070.0%33216
12/31/2011MICHIGAN ST68-8SU ATS2923-5046.0%3-1421.4%19-2190.5%38914
 NEBRASKA55124.5 Under3018-5036.0%7-2528.0%12-1580.0%24612
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring NEBRASKA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEBRASKA games 51% of the time since 1997. (160-154)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEBRASKA games 47.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (25-28)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.2% of the time since 1997. (180-210)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 44.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-36)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEBRASKA games 50.8% of the time since 1997. (99-96)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEBRASKA games 43.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-29)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54.8% of the time since 1997. (190-157)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (40-33)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
NEBRASKA
[F] 01/12/2013 - Brandon Ubel out indefinitely ( Elbow )
[G] 01/11/2013 - Mike Peltz out for season ( Knee )
[G] 11/09/2012 - Deverell Biggs expected to redshirt ( None )
MICHIGAN ST
[G] 01/11/2013 - Gary Harris probable Sunday vs. Nebraska ( Shoulder )
[G] 12/28/2012 - Brandan Kearney expected to transfer ( Undisclosed )
[F] 11/19/2012 - Kenny Kaminski out for season ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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