|
|
| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
|---|
|
|
|
| N CAROLINA | -8 |  | | BOSTON COLLEGE | | |
|
|
|
| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 9-7 | 45-41 | 263-238 | 7-9 | 40-46 | 218-198 | 13-6 | 74-20 | 403-145 | | in all lined games | 9-7 | 45-41 | 263-238 | 7-9 | 40-46 | 218-198 | 10-6 | 67-20 | 367-142 | | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 5-4 | 22-20 | 80-75 | 4-5 | 20-22 | 84-74 | 6-3 | 31-11 | 107-52 | | as a favorite | 8-4 | 40-34 | 215-179 | 6-6 | 37-37 | 173-147 | 9-3 | 64-11 | 333-67 | | as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-1 | 2-4 | 14-13 | 1-0 | 2-4 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 18-9 | | in road games | 2-4 | 13-13 | 81-81 | 2-4 | 11-15 | 64-71 | 3-4 | 18-9 | 105-66 | | in road lined games | 2-4 | 13-13 | 81-81 | 2-4 | 11-15 | 64-71 | 2-4 | 17-9 | 98-65 | | in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 | 1-0 | 6-3 | 16-15 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 15-17 | 1-0 | 6-3 | 18-14 | | against conference opponents | 3-3 | 23-20 | 132-139 | 2-4 | 19-25 | 120-111 | 3-3 | 35-9 | 184-95 | | in January games | 3-3 | 9-11 | 63-59 | 2-4 | 9-11 | 52-52 | 3-3 | 16-5 | 86-41 | | on Tuesday nights | 0-2 | 8-5 | 32-26 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 26-20 | 0-2 | 11-3 | 48-17 | | after a conference game | 3-2 | 24-18 | 132-136 | 2-3 | 20-23 | 119-111 | 3-2 | 35-8 | 189-89 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-1 | 6-2 | 53-37 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 40-36 | 1-1 | 7-1 | 61-31 | | after allowing 80 points or more | 2-1 | 7-6 | 58-51 | 3-0 | 6-7 | 50-42 | 4-1 | 12-3 | 85-37 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 2-3 | 19-23 | 139-118 | 2-3 | 18-24 | 114-107 | 3-3 | 34-10 | 222-54 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 0-0 | 2-7 | 21-29 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 25-10 | 1-0 | 11-1 | 59-8 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 0-0 | 0-3 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 21-6 |
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 9-6 | 40-30 | 220-187 | 4-1 | 31-28 | 140-133 | 9-10 | 39-45 | 286-210 | | in all lined games | 9-6 | 40-30 | 220-187 | 4-1 | 31-28 | 140-133 | 6-9 | 28-42 | 220-199 | | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 2-0 | 13-7 | 71-48 | 2-0 | 13-7 | 67-54 | 0-2 | 9-11 | 76-46 | | as an underdog | 7-4 | 31-19 | 121-89 | 4-1 | 20-24 | 65-71 | 3-8 | 15-35 | 66-151 | | as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points | 1-0 | 2-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4-2 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4-7 | | in all home games | 5-2 | 16-16 | 88-98 | 1-0 | 12-13 | 59-60 | 7-4 | 27-18 | 179-80 | | in home lined games | 5-2 | 16-16 | 88-98 | 1-0 | 12-13 | 59-60 | 4-3 | 16-16 | 118-72 | | in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 | 1-0 | 4-2 | 13-12 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 18-8 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 17-9 | | against conference opponents | 4-2 | 27-14 | 149-119 | 1-1 | 18-19 | 85-96 | 1-5 | 15-26 | 132-144 | | in January games | 4-2 | 14-8 | 63-52 | 1-1 | 8-10 | 36-37 | 1-5 | 7-15 | 60-67 | | on Tuesday nights | 1-1 | 5-2 | 31-19 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 26-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 43-23 | | after a conference game | 4-2 | 25-14 | 140-115 | 0-1 | 16-18 | 86-89 | 2-4 | 17-24 | 136-139 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 3-1 | 14-10 | 71-57 | 0-1 | 10-11 | 42-38 | 1-3 | 9-15 | 59-78 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 2-1 | 15-8 | 45-30 | 1-1 | 11-11 | 30-24 | 1-3 | 9-17 | 44-49 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 0-2 | 8-4 | 28-21 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 12-14 | 1-1 | 7-6 | 20-35 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 7-2 | 32-23 | 176-143 | 3-1 | 24-26 | 111-120 | 4-6 | 21-35 | 171-175 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 2-1 | 18-13 | 106-83 | 0-1 | 13-16 | 67-83 | 0-3 | 9-22 | 83-112 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 4-2 | 30-21 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 23-22 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 13-40 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 1-0 | 8-4 | 53-40 | 1-0 | 7-5 | 40-36 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 39-63 |
|
|
|
| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 13-6 | -5.5 | 9-7 | 7-9 | 78.9 | 37.5 | 44.6% | 42.5 | 69.3 | 29.5 | 40.2% | 37.8 | | Road Games | 4-5 | -6.8 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 77.1 | 35.1 | 43.9% | 41.0 | 72.9 | 34.3 | 41.7% | 37.9 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | +0.6 | 3-2 | 2-3 | 72.0 | 34.6 | 42.6% | 38.0 | 69.2 | 31.6 | 43.6% | 37.2 | | Conference Games | 3-3 | -0.4 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 68.7 | 33.0 | 41.9% | 37.5 | 67.8 | 30.3 | 43.8% | 36.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 78.9 | 37.5 | 30-67 | 44.6% | 7-20 | 36.5% | 12-18 | 64.1% | 42 | 13 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.4 | 31.2 | 24-58 | 41.2% | 6-19 | 32.5% | 12-18 | 67.9% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 77.1 | 35.1 | 29-67 | 43.9% | 8-21 | 36.3% | 10-16 | 66.2% | 41 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 69.3 | 29.5 | 25-63 | 40.2% | 7-21 | 35.0% | 11-17 | 67.8% | 38 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 8 | 16 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 70.1 | 32.6 | 25-57 | 43.9% | 6-18 | 34.5% | 14-20 | 69.0% | 37 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 72.9 | 34.3 | 26-62 | 41.7% | 8-21 | 38.5% | 13-18 | 72.8% | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 9-10 | -4.2 | 9-6 | 4-1 | 67.8 | 32.0 | 43.1% | 33.5 | 67.5 | 30.7 | 44.7% | 32.6 | | Home Games | 7-4 | -0.6 | 5-2 | 1-0 | 66.9 | 31.9 | 43.3% | 35.6 | 63.7 | 30.5 | 41.2% | 32.3 | | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | -2.6 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 65.4 | 30.2 | 41.2% | 30.6 | 67.8 | 28.6 | 48.4% | 33.0 | | Conference Games | 1-5 | -3.6 | 4-2 | 1-1 | 66.7 | 29.8 | 41.2% | 30.7 | 69.5 | 28.7 | 48.3% | 32.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 67.8 | 32.0 | 23-52 | 43.1% | 7-22 | 33.7% | 15-22 | 71.0% | 33 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.1 | 30.1 | 23-56 | 41.6% | 6-19 | 31.7% | 13-19 | 68.7% | 34 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 66.9 | 31.9 | 23-52 | 43.3% | 6-21 | 31.4% | 15-21 | 71.4% | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 67.5 | 30.7 | 25-56 | 44.7% | 6-18 | 36.0% | 11-17 | 68.6% | 33 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.4 | 31.7 | 24-55 | 43.8% | 6-18 | 34.5% | 14-20 | 68.7% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 63.7 | 30.5 | 23-56 | 41.2% | 6-18 | 32.5% | 12-17 | 69.0% | 32 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 2 |
|
|
| Average power rating of opponents played: N CAROLINA 74.6, BOSTON COLLEGE 71.6 |
|
|
| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
|---|
|
|
| BOSTON COLLEGE is 8-3 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1997 | | N CAROLINA is 7-4 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE since 1997 | | 7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-1 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons | | N CAROLINA is 3-0 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
| BOSTON COLLEGE is 3-1 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1997 | | N CAROLINA is 3-1 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE since 1997 | | 2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| N CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons | | N CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1/7/2012 | BOSTON COLLEGE | 60 | 148.5 | ATS | 27 | 24-57 | 42.1% | 9-27 | 33.3% | 3-9 | 33.3% | 31 | 4 | 20 | | | N CAROLINA | 83 | -31 | SU Under | 40 | 31-66 | 47.0% | 5-14 | 35.7% | 16-21 | 76.2% | 42 | 11 | 11 | 2/19/2011 | BOSTON COLLEGE | 46 | 150 | ATS | 20 | 14-52 | 26.9% | 7-27 | 25.9% | 11-14 | 78.6% | 30 | 8 | 9 | | | N CAROLINA | 48 | -12.5 | SU Under | 21 | 21-57 | 36.8% | 2-11 | 18.2% | 4-8 | 50.0% | 44 | 14 | 13 | 2/1/2011 | N CAROLINA | 106 | -2.5 | SU ATS | 49 | 39-68 | 57.4% | 11-21 | 52.4% | 17-20 | 85.0% | 40 | 10 | 9 | | | BOSTON COLLEGE | 74 | 149 | Over | 35 | 24-68 | 35.3% | 13-33 | 39.4% | 13-21 | 61.9% | 40 | 14 | 16 |
|
|
|
| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
|---|
|
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 48.1% of the time since 1997. (201-217) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 49.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-38) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON COLLEGE games 52.7% of the time since 1997. (166-149) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON COLLEGE games 49% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (25-26) | |
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 47.5% of the time since 1997. (170-188) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 46.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-41) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON COLLEGE games 45.5% of the time since 1997. (106-127) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON COLLEGE games 49.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-27) | |
|
|
|
|
| [G] 01/26/2013 - Leslie McDonald eligible to return Febuary 2nd vs. Virginia Tech ( Academics ) | |
| [G] 11/11/2012 - Jordan Daniels has left team ( Personal ) |
|
|