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Matchup Reports

Wednesday at 9:00 PM
N CAROLINA (16-7) AT DUKE (21-2) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
799: N CAROLINA
800: DUKE
153.0
-11.0
78.3 / 69.3
78.2 / 64.2
16-7
21-2
11-9
13-10
10-9
9-10
44.5
47.3
64.8
71.1
36.7
40.9
41.0
40.9
69.1
70.5
35.2
30.4
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
N CAROLINA  
DUKE-9 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
N CAROLINA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games11-947-43265-24010-943-46221-19816-777-21406-146
in all lined games11-947-43265-24010-943-46221-19813-770-21370-143
when the total is 150 to 159.52-215-1577-692-213-1776-702-222-899-49
as an underdog1-45-846-572-34-945-481-43-1032-73
as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points0-11-12-30-10-22-30-10-21-4
in road games3-514-1482-824-413-1566-714-519-10106-67
in road lined games3-514-1482-824-413-1566-713-518-1099-66
in a road game where the total is 150 to 154.51-12-412-120-23-314-91-15-113-11
against conference opponents5-525-22134-1415-422-25123-1116-438-10187-96
in February games1-212-758-562-08-1051-422-116-376-40
on Wednesday games1-18-449-502-05-744-412-110-372-31
after a conference game5-426-20134-1385-323-23122-1116-338-9192-90
off a loss against a conference rival2-17-254-371-24-541-362-18-162-31
after allowing 80 points or more3-18-659-514-07-751-425-113-386-37
when playing against a team with a winning record6-934-32218-1928-629-36179-1728-749-19296-134
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games3-325-17131-1173-220-21117-1024-235-8171-83
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games0-15-452-411-05-342-380-16-350-44
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game1-39-1089-752-29-972-662-211-9100-72

DUKE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games13-1046-47274-2459-1046-42224-22721-280-14475-85
in all lined games13-1046-47274-2459-1046-42224-22721-279-14447-85
when the total is 150 to 159.50-15-1459-681-011-761-650-116-3107-22
as a favorite12-1044-44260-2348-1042-41212-21620-277-11437-69
as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points1-01-714-140-05-218-91-06-223-6
in all home games6-619-25122-994-621-2195-9412-042-3234-16
in home lined games6-619-25122-994-621-2195-9412-041-3212-16
in a home game where the total is 150 to 154.50-01-913-170-06-418-120-09-128-2
against conference opponents5-522-25153-1344-420-25127-1268-238-9237-55
in February games2-113-766-590-26-1355-543-018-2101-27
on Wednesday games2-313-855-511-37-1240-544-118-390-21
after a conference game5-423-23148-1334-322-22127-1227-236-10237-54
off a win against a conference rival3-418-19121-1052-317-18101-985-228-9196-40
when playing against a team with a winning record11-832-36220-2039-735-29198-17717-255-13359-81
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games4-317-21126-1364-119-17132-1075-227-11206-66
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games1-13-452-571-03-355-431-14-370-40
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game1-33-1289-842-19-583-743-111-4131-45
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
N CAROLINA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games16-7-5.511-910-978.337.444.5%41.769.330.341.0%37.0
Road Games5-6-6.84-65-576.135.543.8%39.573.935.143.0%36.8
Last 5 Games3-2-12-34-077.034.844.4%36.674.036.246.1%34.6
Conference Games6-4-0.45-55-471.434.642.7%37.668.631.844.3%34.9
N CAROLINA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)78.337.430-6744.5%7-1936.7%12-1864.8%421318158134
vs opponents surrendering66.931.524-5741.8%6-1932.9%13-1967.9%351013187133
Team Stats (Road Games)76.135.529-6643.8%8-2136.7%10-1567.9%401216168134
Stats Against (All Games)69.330.325-6241.0%7-2135.2%11-1669.1%371013177164
vs opponents averaging69.632.125-5643.9%6-1934.6%14-2068.9%361013177144
Stats Against (Road Games)73.935.126-6143.0%9-2140.3%13-1773.8%37914156144

DUKE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games21-2+8.413-109-1078.236.447.3%35.264.229.940.9%35.3
Home Games12-0+36-64-681.738.148.8%37.360.527.938.6%36.0
Last 5 Games5-0+43-21-279.642.051.8%30.068.032.246.1%31.0
Conference Games8-2+1.45-54-475.836.146.1%34.367.331.244.7%35.5
DUKE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)78.236.427-5847.3%8-1940.9%16-2271.1%35916177114
vs opponents surrendering6530.323-5641.4%6-1833.6%13-1868.6%34912186143
Team Stats (Home Games)81.738.129-6048.8%9-2143.3%14-2264.1%37917167114
Stats Against (All Games)64.229.924-5840.9%5-1530.4%12-1770.5%35109195153
vs opponents averaging70.933.625-5644.9%6-1834.8%14-2069.5%361013177134
Stats Against (Home Games)60.527.923-5838.6%5-1630.3%10-1567.2%36108205162
Average power rating of opponents played: N CAROLINA 74.1,  DUKE 76.4
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
N CAROLINA is 20-16 against the spread versus DUKE since 1997
DUKE is 23-13 straight up against N CAROLINA since 1997
16 of 32 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 3-2 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 3-2 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at DUKE since 1997
N CAROLINA is 12-3 against the spread versus DUKE since 1997
DUKE is 9-6 straight up against N CAROLINA since 1997
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at DUKE over the last 3 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 1-1 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
3/3/2012N CAROLINA88-2SU ATS4836-6654.5%4-1330.8%12-1580.0%451312
 DUKE70154.5 Over2426-6341.3%6-2128.6%12-2157.1%2876
2/8/2012DUKE85155SU ATS4027-6243.5%14-3638.9%17-2665.4%351010
 N CAROLINA84-6 Over4331-6349.2%1-616.7%21-3070.0%42149
3/13/2011DUKE75-4SU ATS4229-5850.0%9-2045.0%8-1553.3%36712
NN CAROLINA58147.5 Under2821-6233.9%2-825.0%14-2166.7%441516
3/5/2011DUKE67149 Under3922-6235.5%6-2722.2%17-2277.3%35109
 N CAROLINA81-1.5SU ATS5133-6352.4%4-944.4%11-2152.4%421010
2/9/2011N CAROLINA73156.5 ATS4329-6842.6%2-1414.3%13-2259.1%471414
 DUKE79-10SU Under2928-6841.2%8-2630.8%15-2365.2%411512
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring N CAROLINA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 48.1% of the time since 1997. (203-219)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 49.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-40)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 48.9% of the time since 1997. (207-216)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 57.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (49-36)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 47.6% of the time since 1997. (172-189)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 46.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-42)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 47.8% of the time since 1997. (194-212)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 44.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-43)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
N CAROLINA
[F] 02/12/2013 - Joel James expected to miss Wednesday vs. Duke ( Concussion )
DUKE
[F] 01/11/2013 - Ryan Kelly out indefinitely ( Foot )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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