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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 6-6 | 42-40 | 260-237 | 5-7 | 38-44 | 216-196 | 10-5 | 71-19 | 400-144 | | in all lined games | 6-6 | 42-40 | 260-237 | 5-7 | 38-44 | 216-196 | 7-5 | 64-19 | 364-141 | | when the total is 150 to 159.5 | 1-1 | 14-14 | 76-68 | 1-1 | 12-16 | 75-69 | 1-1 | 21-7 | 98-48 | | as an underdog | 0-2 | 4-6 | 45-55 | 0-2 | 2-8 | 43-47 | 0-2 | 2-8 | 31-71 | | as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 0-1 | 1-1 | 9-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8-9 | | in road games | 1-3 | 12-12 | 80-80 | 1-3 | 10-14 | 63-70 | 2-3 | 17-8 | 104-65 | | in road lined games | 1-3 | 12-12 | 80-80 | 1-3 | 10-14 | 63-70 | 1-3 | 16-8 | 97-64 | | in a road game where the total is 150 to 154.5 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 11-12 | 0-1 | 3-2 | 14-8 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 12-11 | | against conference opponents | 0-2 | 20-19 | 129-138 | 0-2 | 17-23 | 118-109 | 0-2 | 32-8 | 181-94 | | in January games | 0-2 | 6-10 | 60-58 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 50-50 | 0-2 | 13-4 | 83-40 | | on Saturday games | 3-1 | 11-13 | 74-75 | 3-1 | 14-11 | 58-63 | 5-0 | 22-4 | 114-47 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 1-1 | 6-13 | 48-46 | 1-1 | 9-10 | 38-39 | 2-1 | 13-9 | 81-27 | | after a conference game | 0-1 | 21-17 | 129-135 | 0-1 | 18-21 | 117-109 | 0-1 | 32-7 | 186-88 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-1 | 5-2 | 52-37 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 40-35 | 0-1 | 6-1 | 60-31 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 1-1 | 6-2 | 20-11 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 15-13 | 1-1 | 6-2 | 25-12 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 3-6 | 31-29 | 215-189 | 5-4 | 26-34 | 176-170 | 4-5 | 45-17 | 292-132 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 0-0 | 22-14 | 128-114 | 0-0 | 17-19 | 114-100 | 0-0 | 31-6 | 167-81 |
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| in all games | 8-5 | 42-31 | 210-199 | 6-1 | 34-33 | 122-153 | 10-5 | 58-26 | 274-218 | | in all lined games | 8-5 | 42-31 | 210-199 | 6-1 | 34-33 | 122-153 | 9-4 | 50-25 | 206-212 | | when the total is 150 to 159.5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8-20 | | as a favorite | 3-4 | 23-20 | 89-96 | 4-0 | 20-20 | 59-77 | 4-3 | 33-12 | 136-54 | | as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7-8 | | in all home games | 2-4 | 16-13 | 90-92 | 2-1 | 13-15 | 51-71 | 4-4 | 31-9 | 173-76 | | in home lined games | 2-4 | 16-13 | 90-92 | 2-1 | 13-15 | 51-71 | 3-3 | 23-8 | 116-71 | | in a home game where the total is 150 to 154.5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | | against conference opponents | 2-0 | 24-12 | 138-121 | 0-0 | 20-16 | 78-99 | 2-0 | 28-10 | 118-149 | | in January games | 2-1 | 12-5 | 55-55 | 1-0 | 8-7 | 40-30 | 2-1 | 12-5 | 55-62 | | on Saturday games | 4-0 | 13-7 | 57-50 | 2-0 | 11-8 | 32-34 | 4-0 | 17-4 | 69-55 | | after a conference game | 1-0 | 24-11 | 132-118 | 0-0 | 17-18 | 70-98 | 1-0 | 29-8 | 125-141 | | off a win against a conference rival | 1-0 | 17-9 | 58-55 | 0-0 | 13-12 | 38-49 | 1-0 | 20-7 | 51-66 | | after playing 3 consecutive road games | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 6-2 | 34-23 | 167-156 | 4-1 | 27-28 | 99-125 | 6-2 | 41-20 | 161-187 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 0-0 | 20-11 | 102-90 | 0-0 | 14-18 | 59-82 | 0-0 | 23-9 | 83-115 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 6-3 | 52-36 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 28-32 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 25-65 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 1-0 | 9-6 | 86-66 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 41-57 | 1-0 | 8-7 | 61-102 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 10-5 | -7.8 | 6-6 | 5-7 | 79.9 | 38.1 | 45.0% | 43.3 | 69.2 | 28.9 | 39.5% | 37.8 | | Road Games | 3-4 | -7.1 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 76.3 | 36.7 | 43.0% | 42.3 | 70.4 | 33.3 | 39.9% | 40.0 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -3.8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 70.8 | 36.6 | 41.4% | 41.0 | 70.0 | 30.6 | 42.2% | 37.4 | | Conference Games | 0-2 | -2.8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 55.5 | 28.5 | 38.7% | 34.0 | 64.5 | 27.0 | 46.1% | 33.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 79.9 | 38.1 | 30-68 | 45.0% | 7-20 | 36.8% | 12-18 | 63.5% | 43 | 13 | 18 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.2 | 31.3 | 24-58 | 41.1% | 6-20 | 32.6% | 12-18 | 67.7% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 76.3 | 36.7 | 29-67 | 43.0% | 8-22 | 35.8% | 11-17 | 63.8% | 42 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 10 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 69.2 | 28.9 | 25-63 | 39.5% | 8-23 | 34.6% | 11-17 | 65.4% | 38 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 8 | 16 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 69.9 | 32.4 | 25-57 | 43.2% | 6-19 | 33.5% | 14-20 | 69.7% | 37 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 70.4 | 33.3 | 25-63 | 39.9% | 8-22 | 35.5% | 12-17 | 69.7% | 40 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 4 |
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| All Games | 10-5 | -5.2 | 8-5 | 6-1 | 73.0 | 33.7 | 45.1% | 35.4 | 67.3 | 32.2 | 40.3% | 34.8 | | Home Games | 4-4 | -11 | 2-4 | 2-1 | 70.7 | 31.6 | 42.8% | 34.6 | 66.0 | 30.9 | 41.8% | 32.5 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +3.7 | 4-1 | 3-0 | 73.6 | 34.4 | 44.5% | 36.8 | 69.0 | 33.8 | 39.3% | 37.4 | | Conference Games | 2-0 | +3.4 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 68.0 | 32.5 | 41.6% | 36.0 | 64.0 | 30.5 | 37.7% | 39.5 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 73.0 | 33.7 | 25-55 | 45.1% | 7-19 | 38.2% | 16-23 | 71.1% | 35 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 8 | 16 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 63.8 | 30 | 23-56 | 40.3% | 6-18 | 32.3% | 13-19 | 67.9% | 34 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 70.7 | 31.6 | 23-55 | 42.8% | 6-17 | 35.7% | 18-24 | 73.6% | 35 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 8 | 16 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 67.3 | 32.2 | 23-57 | 40.3% | 7-21 | 32.9% | 14-21 | 68.0% | 35 | 11 | 13 | 20 | 8 | 16 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.9 | 32.5 | 25-55 | 44.5% | 6-18 | 33.7% | 14-20 | 68.5% | 37 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 66.0 | 30.9 | 23-54 | 41.8% | 7-20 | 33.7% | 14-19 | 72.8% | 32 | 10 | 14 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: N CAROLINA 73.7, FLORIDA ST 73.5 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| FLORIDA ST is 16-13 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1997 | | N CAROLINA is 22-7 straight up against FLORIDA ST since 1997 | | 14 of 23 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| FLORIDA ST is 3-1 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons | | FLORIDA ST is 2-2 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons | | 4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| FLORIDA ST is 7-6 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1997 | | N CAROLINA is 10-3 straight up against FLORIDA ST since 1997 | | 6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| FLORIDA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons | | FLORIDA ST is 1-1 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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3/11/2012 | FLORIDA ST | 85 | 143.5 | SU ATS | 49 | 33-56 | 58.9% | 11-22 | 50.0% | 8-11 | 72.7% | 30 | 6 | 15 | | N | N CAROLINA | 82 | -6 | Over | 40 | 28-71 | 39.4% | 5-20 | 25.0% | 21-24 | 87.5% | 39 | 17 | 7 | 1/14/2012 | N CAROLINA | 57 | -6 | Over | 28 | 22-59 | 37.3% | 4-21 | 19.0% | 9-20 | 45.0% | 35 | 14 | 22 | | | FLORIDA ST | 90 | 146.5 | SU ATS | 36 | 30-62 | 48.4% | 12-27 | 44.4% | 18-24 | 75.0% | 43 | 14 | 17 | 3/2/2011 | N CAROLINA | 72 | -3 | SU Over | 37 | 26-55 | 47.3% | 6-12 | 50.0% | 14-18 | 77.8% | 39 | 8 | 15 | | | FLORIDA ST | 70 | 137.5 | ATS | 38 | 29-60 | 48.3% | 5-12 | 41.7% | 7-13 | 53.8% | 28 | 7 | 10 | 2/6/2011 | FLORIDA ST | 69 | 139.5 | Over | 34 | 28-60 | 46.7% | 4-21 | 19.0% | 9-18 | 50.0% | 31 | 8 | 14 | | | N CAROLINA | 89 | -7 | SU ATS | 43 | 34-61 | 55.7% | 8-20 | 40.0% | 13-21 | 61.9% | 37 | 10 | 11 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 47.8% of the time since 1997. (198-216) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 47.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-37) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA ST games 51.2% of the time since 1997. (168-160) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA ST games 46.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-34) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 47.3% of the time since 1997. (168-187) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 45.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-40) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA ST games 57.7% of the time since 1997. (139-102) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA ST games 59.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-25) | |
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| [G] 01/10/2013 - Leslie McDonald "?" Saturday vs. Florida State ( Knee ) | |
| [G] 01/12/2013 - Michael Snaer injured last game, probable Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Finger ) |
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