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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 2:00 PM
N CAROLINA (10-5) AT FLORIDA ST (10-5) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
551: N CAROLINA
552: FLORIDA ST
152.5
-3.0
79.9 / 69.2
73.0 / 67.3
10-5
10-5
6-6
8-5
5-7
6-1
45.0
45.1
63.5
71.1
36.8
38.2
39.5
40.3
65.4
68.0
34.6
32.9
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
N CAROLINA  
FLORIDA ST0 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
N CAROLINA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games6-642-40260-2375-738-44216-19610-571-19400-144
in all lined games6-642-40260-2375-738-44216-1967-564-19364-141
when the total is 150 to 159.51-114-1476-681-112-1675-691-121-798-48
as an underdog0-24-645-550-22-843-470-22-831-71
as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick0-11-19-80-10-25-90-11-18-9
in road games1-312-1280-801-310-1463-702-317-8104-65
in road lined games1-312-1280-801-310-1463-701-316-897-64
in a road game where the total is 150 to 154.50-11-411-120-13-214-80-14-112-11
against conference opponents0-220-19129-1380-217-23118-1090-232-8181-94
in January games0-26-1060-580-27-950-500-213-483-40
on Saturday games3-111-1374-753-114-1158-635-022-4114-47
when playing with one or less days rest1-16-1348-461-19-1038-392-113-981-27
after a conference game0-121-17129-1350-118-21117-1090-132-7186-88
off a loss against a conference rival0-15-252-370-13-440-350-16-160-31
after scoring 60 points or less1-16-220-111-14-415-131-16-225-12
when playing against a team with a winning record3-631-29215-1895-426-34176-1704-545-17292-132
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games0-022-14128-1140-017-19114-1000-031-6167-81

FLORIDA ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games8-542-31210-1996-134-33122-15310-558-26274-218
in all lined games8-542-31210-1996-134-33122-1539-450-25206-212
when the total is 150 to 159.50-00-013-150-00-013-150-00-08-20
as a favorite3-423-2089-964-020-2059-774-333-12136-54
as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick0-10-16-81-01-05-30-10-17-8
in all home games2-416-1390-922-113-1551-714-431-9173-76
in home lined games2-416-1390-922-113-1551-713-323-8116-71
in a home game where the total is 150 to 154.50-00-03-20-00-03-20-00-03-2
against conference opponents2-024-12138-1210-020-1678-992-028-10118-149
in January games2-112-555-551-08-740-302-112-555-62
on Saturday games4-013-757-502-011-832-344-017-469-55
after a conference game1-024-11132-1180-017-1870-981-029-8125-141
off a win against a conference rival1-017-958-550-013-1238-491-020-751-66
after playing 3 consecutive road games0-00-01-10-00-01-00-00-00-2
when playing against a team with a winning record6-234-23167-1564-127-2899-1256-241-20161-187
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games0-020-11102-900-014-1859-820-023-983-115
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games0-06-352-360-06-328-320-05-425-65
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game1-09-686-660-07-741-571-08-761-102
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
N CAROLINA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games10-5-7.86-65-779.938.145.0%43.369.228.939.5%37.8
Road Games3-4-7.12-42-476.336.743.0%42.370.433.339.9%40.0
Last 5 Games2-3-3.82-32-370.836.641.4%41.070.030.642.2%37.4
Conference Games0-2-2.80-20-255.528.538.7%34.064.527.046.1%33.0
N CAROLINA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)79.938.130-6845.0%7-2036.8%12-1863.5%431318169144
vs opponents surrendering66.231.324-5841.1%6-2032.6%12-1867.7%351013187153
Team Stats (Road Games)76.336.729-6743.0%8-2235.8%11-1763.8%4213151610134
Stats Against (All Games)69.228.925-6339.5%8-2334.6%11-1765.4%381013178164
vs opponents averaging69.932.425-5743.2%6-1933.5%14-2069.7%371013177144
Stats Against (Road Games)70.433.325-6339.9%8-2235.5%12-1769.7%401013167154

FLORIDA ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games10-5-5.28-56-173.033.745.1%35.467.332.240.3%34.8
Home Games4-4-112-42-170.731.642.8%34.666.030.941.8%32.5
Last 5 Games4-1+3.74-13-073.634.444.5%36.869.033.839.3%37.4
Conference Games2-0+3.42-00-068.032.541.6%36.064.030.537.7%39.5
FLORIDA ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)73.033.725-5545.1%7-1938.2%16-2371.1%35912198165
vs opponents surrendering63.83023-5640.3%6-1832.3%13-1967.9%341012187143
Team Stats (Home Games)70.731.623-5542.8%6-1735.7%18-2473.6%351010178164
Stats Against (All Games)67.332.223-5740.3%7-2132.9%14-2168.0%351113208163
vs opponents averaging68.932.525-5544.5%6-1833.7%14-2068.5%371014177144
Stats Against (Home Games)66.030.923-5441.8%7-2033.7%14-1972.8%321014207183
Average power rating of opponents played: N CAROLINA 73.7,  FLORIDA ST 73.5
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
FLORIDA ST is 16-13 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1997
N CAROLINA is 22-7 straight up against FLORIDA ST since 1997
14 of 23 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 3-1 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 2-2 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at FLORIDA ST since 1997
FLORIDA ST is 7-6 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1997
N CAROLINA is 10-3 straight up against FLORIDA ST since 1997
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 1-1 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
3/11/2012FLORIDA ST85143.5SU ATS4933-5658.9%11-2250.0%8-1172.7%30615
NN CAROLINA82-6 Over4028-7139.4%5-2025.0%21-2487.5%39177
1/14/2012N CAROLINA57-6 Over2822-5937.3%4-2119.0%9-2045.0%351422
 FLORIDA ST90146.5SU ATS3630-6248.4%12-2744.4%18-2475.0%431417
3/2/2011N CAROLINA72-3SU Over3726-5547.3%6-1250.0%14-1877.8%39815
 FLORIDA ST70137.5 ATS3829-6048.3%5-1241.7%7-1353.8%28710
2/6/2011FLORIDA ST69139.5 Over3428-6046.7%4-2119.0%9-1850.0%31814
 N CAROLINA89-7SU ATS4334-6155.7%8-2040.0%13-2161.9%371011
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring N CAROLINA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 47.8% of the time since 1997. (198-216)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 47.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-37)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA ST games 51.2% of the time since 1997. (168-160)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA ST games 46.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-34)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 47.3% of the time since 1997. (168-187)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 45.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-40)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA ST games 57.7% of the time since 1997. (139-102)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA ST games 59.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-25)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
N CAROLINA
[G] 01/10/2013 - Leslie McDonald "?" Saturday vs. Florida State ( Knee )
FLORIDA ST
[G] 01/12/2013 - Michael Snaer injured last game, probable Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Finger )
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