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Saturday at 2:00 PM			N CAROLINA (16-6) AT MIAMI (18-3)
						Offensive Statistics			Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF/PA	SU	ATS	O/U	FG%	FT%	3PT%	FG%	FT%	3PT%
537: N CAROLINA 538: MIAMI	141.5 -8.0	79.1 / 68.5 69.6 / 58.9	16-6 18-3	11-8 14-3	9-9 2-9	44.8 45.4	64.6 65.7	37.0 35.0	40.4 37.8	68.7 65.4	33.9 30.5

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
N CAROLINA
MIAMI	-6

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

N CAROLINA - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	11-8	47-42	265-239	9-9	42-46	220-198	16-6	77-20	406-145
in all lined games	11-8	47-42	265-239	9-9	42-46	220-198	13-6	70-20	370-142
when the total is 140 to 149.5	7-4	24-20	82-75	6-5	22-22	86-74	8-3	33-11	109-52
as an underdog	1-3	5-7	46-56	1-3	3-9	44-48	1-3	3-9	32-72
as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points	0-0	1-0	8-2	0-0	0-1	5-3	0-0	0-1	5-5
in road games	3-4	14-13	82-81	3-4	12-15	65-71	4-4	19-9	106-66
in road lined games	3-4	14-13	82-81	3-4	12-15	65-71	3-4	18-9	99-65
in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5	0-1	3-1	13-11	1-0	2-2	12-12	0-1	3-1	14-10
against conference opponents	5-4	25-21	134-140	4-4	21-25	122-111	6-3	38-9	187-95
in February games	1-1	12-6	58-55	1-0	7-10	50-42	2-0	16-2	76-39
on Saturday games	5-3	13-15	76-77	4-3	15-13	59-65	8-1	25-5	117-48
after a conference game	5-3	26-19	134-137	4-3	22-23	121-111	6-2	38-8	192-89
revenging a home loss vs opponent	2-0	6-2	20-25	0-2	3-5	14-26	2-0	6-2	24-23
off a win against a conference rival	3-2	19-17	79-99	3-1	18-18	80-74	4-1	30-7	129-57
after scoring 80 points or more	3-4	20-24	140-119	3-3	19-24	115-107	5-3	36-10	224-54
when playing against a team with a winning record	6-8	34-31	218-191	7-6	28-36	178-172	8-6	49-18	296-133
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games	3-2	25-16	131-116	2-2	19-21	116-102	4-1	35-7	171-82
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games	2-0	10-9	47-39	1-1	10-10	35-38	2-0	16-4	59-28
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game	3-6	17-20	93-74	4-5	18-20	68-75	5-5	26-13	122-52

MIAMI - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	14-3	44-31	221-180	2-9	36-36	141-139	18-3	59-31	296-199
in all lined games	14-3	44-31	221-180	2-9	36-36	141-139	16-2	50-30	220-192
when the total is 140 to 149.5	2-0	12-9	49-46	0-2	11-12	48-50	2-0	14-9	50-50
as a favorite	10-2	28-20	104-100	0-6	20-21	58-67	12-1	40-9	148-58
as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points	2-0	3-1	13-14	0-0	2-0	8-5	2-0	4-0	21-6
in all home games	8-0	22-15	91-87	1-3	20-12	62-55	10-0	37-8	183-68
in home lined games	8-0	22-15	91-87	1-3	20-12	62-55	8-0	29-8	116-65
in a home game where the total is 140 to 144.5	0-0	3-5	12-18	0-0	6-2	19-11	0-0	5-3	17-13
against conference opponents	7-1	23-18	144-122	2-3	19-22	96-91	9-0	26-19	135-140
in February games	2-0	9-8	62-44	1-0	9-9	40-38	2-0	12-7	57-53
on Saturday games	5-0	11-6	68-55	1-2	9-7	46-38	5-0	14-6	87-66
after a conference game	6-1	23-17	141-116	2-3	20-21	93-94	8-0	29-16	140-134
off a win against a conference rival	6-1	12-10	70-54	2-3	11-11	45-41	8-0	15-10	68-66
after allowing 60 points or less	9-2	14-12	61-51	1-6	10-14	34-41	11-1	20-11	96-54
when playing against a team with a winning record	13-3	32-24	172-145	2-9	29-26	124-112	15-2	33-28	171-176
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games	3-1	13-16	97-97	2-1	20-11	88-70	5-0	16-17	88-115
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games	2-0	4-4	41-27	2-0	5-3	29-29	2-0	3-5	25-44
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game	4-1	9-9	68-47	2-2	10-7	47-43	4-1	7-11	52-70

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

N CAROLINA - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	16-6	-4.5	11-8	9-9	79.1	37.9	44.8%	42.2	68.5	29.7	40.4%	36.9
Road Games	5-5	-5.8	4-5	4-5	77.6	36.4	44.4%	40.6	72.6	34.2	42.0%	36.7
Last 5 Games	4-1	+1	3-2	4-0	80.6	37.4	45.3%	39.8	69.2	33.8	42.2%	37.0
Conference Games	6-3	+0.6	5-4	4-4	72.6	35.4	43.2%	38.6	66.6	30.4	43.2%	34.6

N CAROLINA Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	79.1	37.9	30-67	44.8%	7-19	37.0%	12-19	64.6%	42	13	18	15	8	14	4
vs opponents surrendering	67.3	31.7	24-58	42.0%	6-19	32.9%	13-19	68.0%	35	10	13	18	7	14	4
Team Stats (Road Games)	77.6	36.4	29-66	44.4%	8-21	37.4%	11-16	67.3%	41	12	16	16	8	13	4
Stats Against (All Games)	68.5	29.7	25-62	40.4%	7-21	33.9%	11-17	68.7%	37	10	13	17	7	16	4
vs opponents averaging	69.7	32.3	25-56	43.9%	6-18	34.4%	14-20	69.1%	36	10	13	17	7	14	4
Stats Against (Road Games)	72.6	34.2	26-61	42.0%	8-21	38.2%	13-18	73.2%	37	9	14	16	7	14	4

MIAMI - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	18-3	+10.2	14-3	2-9	69.6	30.0	45.4%	36.7	58.9	27.3	37.8%	34.5
Home Games	10-0	+7.2	8-0	1-3	74.4	31.7	48.4%	40.0	56.9	26.1	35.8%	34.5
Last 5 Games	5-0	+4.2	4-0	2-1	77.0	35.0	48.8%	39.2	60.4	28.4	38.6%	32.6
Conference Games	9-0	+8.8	7-1	2-3	69.9	31.4	45.4%	38.2	57.3	26.6	37.8%	33.8

MIAMI Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	69.6	30.0	25-55	45.4%	7-19	35.0%	13-20	65.7%	37	9	12	14	7	11	5
vs opponents surrendering	67.1	31.2	24-58	41.7%	6-19	32.9%	12-18	68.2%	34	10	12	18	7	14	3
Team Stats (Home Games)	74.4	31.7	26-55	48.4%	7-18	40.2%	14-22	66.1%	40	9	14	14	7	11	6
Stats Against (All Games)	58.9	27.3	21-57	37.8%	6-20	30.5%	10-15	65.4%	34	9	11	18	5	13	3
vs opponents averaging	71.9	34	26-57	45.1%	6-18	34.6%	14-21	69.3%	36	10	14	17	7	14	4
Stats Against (Home Games)	56.9	26.1	21-59	35.8%	6-21	29.0%	8-15	57.1%	34	9	10	19	6	12	2

Average power rating of opponents played: N CAROLINA 74, MIAMI 74.8

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1997

N CAROLINA is 10-7 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1997

N CAROLINA is 14-3 straight up against MIAMI since 1997

10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games over the last 3 seasons

N CAROLINA is 3-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons

N CAROLINA is 4-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons

4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MIAMI since 1997

N CAROLINA is 5-2 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1997

N CAROLINA is 6-1 straight up against MIAMI since 1997

4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games played at MIAMI over the last 3 seasons.

N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons

N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

						Shooting		3pt shots		Free Throws		Rebounds
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	Pct	FTM-A	Pct	Tot.	OFF	TO
1/10/2013	MIAMI	68	141.5	SU ATS	30	25-53	47.2%	9-26	34.6%	9-13	69.2%	34	5	12
	N CAROLINA	59	-4	Under	32	24-60	40.0%	6-15	40.0%	5-8	62.5%	33	10	11
2/15/2012	N CAROLINA	73	-5	SU ATS	30	26-68	38.2%	5-18	27.8%	16-23	69.6%	46	20	8
	MIAMI	64	146.5	Under	35	25-64	39.1%	8-23	34.8%	6-8	75.0%	40	15	14
1/10/2012	MIAMI	56	154.5	Under	25	23-55	41.8%	3-16	18.7%	7-10	70.0%	29	5	17
	N CAROLINA	73	-16.5	SU ATS	40	31-69	44.9%	2-16	12.5%	9-14	64.3%	45	15	12
3/11/2011	MIAMI	59	141.5	ATS	31	22-60	36.7%	9-26	34.6%	6-9	66.7%	31	10	13
N	N CAROLINA	61	-9.5	SU Under	22	22-50	44.0%	10-21	47.6%	7-10	70.0%	39	11	20
1/26/2011	N CAROLINA	74	-2	SU ATS	39	28-58	48.3%	6-16	37.5%	12-14	85.7%	34	12	11
	MIAMI	71	144.5	Over	39	26-57	45.6%	13-28	46.4%	6-10	60.0%	30	12	12

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 48% of the time since 1997. (202-219)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 48.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-40)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 45.1% of the time since 1997. (147-179)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 41.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-39)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 47.5% of the time since 1997. (171-189)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 46.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-42)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (121-123)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 45.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-36)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

N CAROLINA

No significant injuries.

MIAMI

No significant injuries.

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UPDATED:

BASEBALL	3/31/2013 - 6/2/2013
BASKETBALL	2/26/2013 - 4/17/2013
HOCKEY	2/26/2013 - 4/27/2013

PROPS FUTURES
RK	Team
1	Indiana Pacers
2	Pittsburgh Penguins
3	Miami Heat
4	Indiana Pacers
5	Cincinnati Reds
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05/24/2013
MLB	Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals	4:05 PM PST
MLB	Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers	4:05 PM PST
MLB	Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays	4:05 PM PST
MLB	Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets	4:10 PM PST
MLB	Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds	4:10 PM PST
MLB	Cleveland Indians vs Boston Red Sox	4:10 PM PST
MLB	New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays	4:10 PM PST
NHL	Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins (Game 5)	4:35 PM PST
MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers	5:10 PM PST
MLB	Miami Marlins vs Chicago White Sox	5:10 PM PST
MLB	Los Angeles Angels vs Kansas City Royals	5:10 PM PST
MLB	Oakland Athletics vs Houston Astros	5:10 PM PST
NBA	Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat (Game 2)	5:35 PM PST
MLB	San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks	6:40 PM PST
MLB	St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers	7:10 PM PST
MLB	Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners	7:10 PM PST
MLB	Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants	7:15 PM PST

05/25/2013
UEFA Champions League	BAYERN MUNCHEN VS BORUSSIA DORTMUND	11:45 AM PST

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