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Wednesday at 7:00 PM			N DAKOTA ST (24-9) AT W MICHIGAN (20-12)
						Offensive Statistics			Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF/PA	SU	ATS	O/U	FG%	FT%	3PT%	FG%	FT%	3PT%
653: N DAKOTA ST 654: W MICHIGAN	125.5 +1.0	67.0 / 55.6 67.1 / 63.7	24-9 20-12	17-13 14-14	1-2 3-2	47.0 43.4	71.7 69.6	35.9 32.4	38.6 40.6	69.9 68.6	31.8 35.7

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
N DAKOTA ST	-1
W MICHIGAN

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

N DAKOTA ST - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	17-13	42-39	54-48	1-2	23-20	30-34	24-9	55-38	141-93
in all lined games	17-13	42-39	54-48	1-2	23-20	30-34	21-9	45-36	56-47
when the total is 120 to 129.5	0-2	1-2	1-2	1-1	2-1	2-1	0-2	0-3	0-3
as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick	1-2	1-3	1-4	0-0	1-0	2-0	1-2	1-3	1-4
as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick	1-0	2-0	4-0	0-0	0-0	1-1	1-0	2-0	4-0
in road games	8-7	20-20	27-22	0-2	8-11	13-15	8-7	15-27	42-67
in road lined games	8-7	20-20	27-22	0-2	8-11	13-15	8-7	15-25	19-31
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5	0-1	1-1	1-1	0-1	1-1	1-1	0-1	0-2	0-2
against MAC opponents	0-1	1-1	2-1	0-1	1-1	1-2	0-1	1-1	3-2
in March games	2-2	3-4	4-7	1-0	2-2	3-5	3-1	3-4	10-6
on Wednesday games	2-0	4-2	4-2	0-0	3-1	3-1	2-0	4-3	11-6
when playing with 7 or more days rest	0-2	1-5	5-6	0-0	1-2	3-5	2-0	2-4	7-7
after a conference game	8-10	25-29	30-38	1-1	17-13	22-21	12-6	30-27	80-52
in non-conference games	8-3	19-6	26-7	0-2	5-7	9-11	10-4	24-12	59-41
off a loss against a conference rival	2-2	12-11	14-13	0-0	7-6	8-9	3-1	12-11	16-14
in all tournament games	4-3	11-5	16-8	1-0	2-4	5-10	5-2	10-6	18-10
in first round tournament games	0-0	1-0	1-1	0-0	1-0	2-0	0-0	0-1	0-2
when playing against a team with a winning record	3-7	13-20	21-26	1-2	12-10	17-19	3-7	11-22	35-52
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games	1-5	5-15	9-21	1-1	7-7	11-13	1-5	4-16	18-25
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games	1-4	3-8	3-8	0-1	3-3	3-3	2-3	3-8	7-10
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game	4-4	8-8	11-8	0-2	4-5	4-8	4-4	7-10	18-18

W MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	14-14	44-46	219-229	3-2	43-23	136-110	20-12	55-45	264-231
in all lined games	14-14	44-46	219-229	3-2	43-23	136-110	16-12	48-44	237-220
when the total is 120 to 129.5	0-0	9-3	35-27	0-0	10-2	34-27	0-0	11-2	39-24
as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick	0-0	2-3	11-14	0-0	4-1	8-7	0-0	2-3	10-15
as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick	1-0	4-4	16-12	0-0	6-1	11-5	1-0	6-3	19-10
in all home games	5-5	18-18	100-87	0-0	16-11	48-50	11-2	34-10	161-55
in home lined games	5-5	18-18	100-87	0-0	16-11	48-50	8-2	28-10	139-52
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5	0-0	6-1	18-13	0-0	6-2	15-16	0-0	8-0	26-6
in March games	1-4	8-7	30-32	2-0	9-3	26-20	2-3	8-7	35-27
on Wednesday games	4-4	11-15	54-56	0-1	10-8	29-25	5-3	14-14	72-47
after a conference game	8-10	28-27	135-158	2-0	25-12	87-66	11-7	31-25	163-141
in non-conference games	5-5	15-19	70-77	1-2	17-10	48-43	9-5	24-20	98-92
off a loss against a conference rival	2-4	11-11	54-67	0-0	9-7	33-29	3-3	14-8	75-52
in all tournament games	4-1	10-8	28-39	2-0	10-5	30-23	4-1	9-9	31-38
in first round tournament games	0-0	2-0	6-8	0-0	1-1	2-8	0-0	2-0	9-5
when playing against a team with a winning record	6-6	18-21	102-115	2-2	21-10	71-48	6-7	16-25	92-136
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games	2-2	9-8	46-64	1-0	10-4	41-23	3-1	7-10	41-69
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games	2-4	7-6	22-25	1-0	5-2	21-10	3-3	7-6	21-26
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game	3-5	9-11	41-46	1-1	9-4	35-21	4-4	9-11	36-54

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

N DAKOTA ST - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	24-9	-1	17-13	1-2	67.0	31.8	47.0%	34.1	55.6	24.9	38.6%	29.0
Road Games	12-8	+0.6	11-9	1-2	64.6	30.2	45.0%	34.4	59.5	26.3	39.0%	31.1
Last 5 Games	4-1	-0.1	2-2	1-0	67.6	28.6	48.6%	34.0	57.4	25.2	39.0%	25.6

N DAKOTA ST Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	67.0	31.8	25-52	47.0%	7-19	35.9%	11-15	71.7%	34	8	12	16	6	11	4
vs opponents surrendering	69.2	32.4	25-55	45.2%	7-18	35.6%	13-18	70.6%	33	9	13	17	7	13	3
Team Stats (Road Games)	64.6	30.2	24-52	45.0%	7-19	36.6%	11-14	74.4%	34	8	12	17	5	12	4
Stats Against (All Games)	55.6	24.9	19-50	38.6%	5-17	31.8%	12-17	69.9%	29	7	10	15	5	11	3
vs opponents averaging	66.8	31	24-54	43.9%	6-18	34.7%	13-19	70.2%	33	8	12	17	6	13	3
Stats Against (Road Games)	59.5	26.3	20-51	39.0%	6-17	32.5%	14-20	68.7%	31	8	11	15	6	10	3

W MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	20-12	+4.7	14-14	3-2	67.1	30.8	43.4%	36.9	63.7	30.5	40.6%	31.0
Home Games	11-2	+1	5-5	0-0	72.7	32.7	46.1%	36.5	63.1	30.2	39.4%	30.7
Last 5 Games	2-3	-5.6	1-4	2-0	67.6	28.0	46.9%	32.2	67.2	34.8	43.4%	31.4

W MICHIGAN Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	67.1	30.8	22-51	43.4%	5-17	32.4%	17-24	69.6%	37	11	12	18	5	14	3
vs opponents surrendering	67.2	30.9	24-54	43.7%	6-19	34.0%	13-20	69.1%	35	9	13	17	7	14	3
Team Stats (Home Games)	72.7	32.7	24-53	46.1%	6-16	35.7%	18-26	69.2%	36	11	14	17	5	13	4
Stats Against (All Games)	63.7	30.5	22-54	40.6%	7-19	35.7%	13-19	68.6%	31	8	12	20	7	12	4
vs opponents averaging	65.7	30.4	23-55	42.5%	6-19	33.4%	13-19	69.5%	33	9	13	18	7	13	3
Stats Against (Home Games)	63.1	30.2	21-54	39.4%	7-20	36.3%	14-19	70.8%	31	8	10	21	6	14	3

Average power rating of opponents played: N DAKOTA ST 67.5, W MICHIGAN 68.5

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1997

N DAKOTA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN since 1997

N DAKOTA ST is 1-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN since 1997

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games over the last 3 seasons

N DAKOTA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

N DAKOTA ST is 1-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at W MICHIGAN since 1997

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Games played at W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons.

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

						Shooting		3pt shots		Free Throws		Rebounds
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	Pct	FTM-A	Pct	Tot.	OFF	TO
2/18/2012	W MICHIGAN	73	141.5	Over	34	25-57	43.9%	8-18	44.4%	15-25	60.0%	32	11	13
	N DAKOTA ST	86	-7	SU ATS	28	28-50	56.0%	6-13	46.2%	24-33	72.7%	32	7	11

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring W MICHIGAN in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N DAKOTA ST games 46.3% of the time since 1997. (38-44)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N DAKOTA ST games 44.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-39)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W MICHIGAN games 49.1% of the time since 1997. (173-179)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W MICHIGAN games 40.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-46)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N DAKOTA ST games 58.1% of the time since 1997. (25-18)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N DAKOTA ST games 58.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (21-15)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in W MICHIGAN games 51.4% of the time since 1997. (110-104)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in W MICHIGAN games 53.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-28)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

N DAKOTA ST

No significant injuries.

W MICHIGAN

[G] 02/05/2013 - Charles Harris out for season ( Shoulder )

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