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The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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in all games | 7-11 | 36-31 | 187-188 | 1-0 | 27-22 | 94-98 | 8-15 | 48-40 | 217-248 | in all lined games | 7-11 | 36-31 | 187-188 | 1-0 | 27-22 | 94-98 | 5-13 | 32-36 | 150-233 | as an underdog | 3-7 | 18-15 | 122-118 | 1-0 | 11-12 | 44-44 | 1-9 | 10-23 | 58-188 | as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-1 | 1-2 | 12-13 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6-20 | in road games | 2-7 | 15-16 | 99-94 | 1-0 | 12-10 | 41-47 | 1-8 | 11-24 | 62-158 | in road lined games | 2-7 | 15-16 | 99-94 | 1-0 | 12-10 | 41-47 | 1-8 | 9-22 | 49-149 | against conference opponents | 4-8 | 27-23 | 135-118 | 1-0 | 26-14 | 80-73 | 3-9 | 25-26 | 123-143 | in February games | 0-0 | 6-7 | 56-51 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 29-27 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 48-67 | on Saturday games | 2-4 | 12-10 | 64-77 | 0-0 | 11-5 | 38-32 | 3-4 | 15-12 | 73-96 | when playing with one or less days rest | 3-4 | 16-13 | 64-66 | 1-0 | 13-10 | 36-37 | 3-4 | 16-16 | 67-81 | after a conference game | 5-7 | 27-21 | 122-115 | 1-0 | 24-14 | 69-70 | 3-9 | 25-25 | 124-140 | off a loss against a conference rival | 4-4 | 12-10 | 60-52 | 1-0 | 10-6 | 30-25 | 3-5 | 14-9 | 58-68 | after allowing 80 points or more | 1-3 | 4-10 | 63-77 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 18-20 | 0-4 | 6-10 | 64-105 | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 2-0 | 4-2 | 33-36 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7-4 | 2-1 | 4-3 | 20-60 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 4-6 | 14-16 | 96-103 | 1-0 | 7-13 | 42-47 | 2-9 | 14-21 | 66-157 | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 3-2 | 6-8 | 58-46 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 25-27 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 34-77 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-0 | 4-2 | 21-12 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 8-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 11-24 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 2-3 | 7-9 | 30-33 | 1-0 | 5-7 | 12-20 | 0-5 | 8-10 | 22-52 |
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in all games | 9-9 | 34-36 | 192-188 | 0-0 | 24-26 | 104-97 | 13-8 | 44-43 | 239-234 | in all lined games | 9-9 | 34-36 | 192-188 | 0-0 | 24-26 | 104-97 | 10-8 | 33-40 | 176-211 | as a favorite | 6-7 | 18-17 | 88-87 | 0-0 | 12-10 | 46-32 | 8-5 | 27-9 | 124-54 | as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points | 1-1 | 2-4 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 5-1 | 19-5 | in all home games | 7-3 | 18-12 | 83-71 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 43-38 | 10-2 | 33-7 | 155-59 | in home lined games | 7-3 | 18-12 | 83-71 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 43-38 | 8-2 | 23-7 | 106-51 | against conference opponents | 7-5 | 24-23 | 133-130 | 0-0 | 19-15 | 78-63 | 7-5 | 26-22 | 134-135 | in February games | 0-0 | 9-4 | 50-56 | 0-0 | 8-5 | 32-26 | 0-0 | 8-7 | 49-63 | on Saturday games | 6-3 | 17-9 | 84-62 | 0-0 | 12-8 | 44-31 | 5-4 | 19-13 | 98-79 | when playing with one or less days rest | 3-2 | 16-12 | 81-58 | 0-0 | 12-11 | 41-40 | 3-2 | 19-14 | 88-82 | after a conference game | 7-5 | 23-20 | 122-124 | 0-0 | 17-12 | 73-55 | 7-5 | 24-24 | 132-136 | off a win against a conference rival | 4-2 | 12-10 | 58-63 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 37-23 | 4-2 | 13-12 | 66-66 | when playing against a team with a losing record | 3-6 | 12-17 | 73-75 | 0-0 | 10-9 | 41-40 | 6-4 | 23-14 | 128-69 | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 1-2 | 7-9 | 38-53 | 0-0 | 7-6 | 26-28 | 1-2 | 9-8 | 55-42 |
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Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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All Games | 8-15 | -22.2 | 7-11 | 1-0 | 66.4 | 31.0 | 40.9% | 37.0 | 69.3 | 32.8 | 42.4% | 36.3 | Road Games | 3-9 | -3.8 | 4-7 | 1-0 | 65.0 | 30.2 | 41.0% | 35.3 | 72.2 | 35.1 | 44.8% | 35.8 | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | -3.4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 64.0 | 26.4 | 43.1% | 33.4 | 73.6 | 32.6 | 45.5% | 33.0 | Conference Games | 3-9 | -18 | 4-8 | 1-0 | 65.0 | 29.8 | 42.5% | 33.3 | 71.3 | 32.0 | 44.5% | 35.0 |
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Team Stats (All Games) | 66.4 | 31.0 | 23-57 | 40.9% | 3-13 | 26.3% | 16-23 | 71.4% | 37 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 5 | vs opponents surrendering | 67.5 | 32 | 24-56 | 42.8% | 6-18 | 32.8% | 13-20 | 67.2% | 36 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | Team Stats (Road Games) | 65.0 | 30.2 | 23-57 | 41.0% | 4-12 | 30.9% | 15-21 | 72.2% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 4 | Stats Against (All Games) | 69.3 | 32.8 | 24-57 | 42.4% | 7-18 | 38.5% | 14-20 | 68.5% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 3 | vs opponents averaging | 65.6 | 30.6 | 23-56 | 41.8% | 6-18 | 34.8% | 13-19 | 68.0% | 35 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | Stats Against (Road Games) | 72.2 | 35.1 | 26-58 | 44.8% | 7-17 | 39.6% | 14-20 | 69.9% | 36 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
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All Games | 13-8 | -9.6 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 69.0 | 30.9 | 40.9% | 37.0 | 62.7 | 28.2 | 42.0% | 36.0 | Home Games | 10-2 | -0.3 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 71.4 | 31.7 | 42.6% | 37.7 | 57.0 | 26.3 | 40.1% | 33.2 | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -2.7 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 64.6 | 30.2 | 38.9% | 36.0 | 54.8 | 26.2 | 39.1% | 37.0 | Conference Games | 7-5 | -8.6 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 67.0 | 29.8 | 39.5% | 37.7 | 61.4 | 27.9 | 41.3% | 35.7 |
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Team Stats (All Games) | 69.0 | 30.9 | 23-57 | 40.9% | 6-20 | 30.8% | 16-24 | 65.9% | 37 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 14 | 3 | vs opponents surrendering | 69.8 | 32.9 | 25-56 | 43.8% | 6-18 | 33.9% | 14-21 | 67.8% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 4 | Team Stats (Home Games) | 71.4 | 31.7 | 25-58 | 42.6% | 6-20 | 29.9% | 16-24 | 66.0% | 38 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 3 | Stats Against (All Games) | 62.7 | 28.2 | 22-54 | 42.0% | 6-17 | 32.5% | 12-18 | 67.7% | 36 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 7 | 17 | 3 | vs opponents averaging | 67.1 | 30.9 | 24-56 | 42.3% | 6-18 | 33.8% | 13-20 | 67.8% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 3 | Stats Against (Home Games) | 57.0 | 26.3 | 21-51 | 40.1% | 4-16 | 28.6% | 11-17 | 64.8% | 33 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 7 | 18 | 3 |
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Average power rating of opponents played: N TEXAS 68.6, ARKANSAS ST 67.2 |
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Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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ARKANSAS ST is 11-11 against the spread versus N TEXAS since 1997 | N TEXAS is 12-10 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1997 | 12 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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N TEXAS is 4-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons | N TEXAS is 3-2 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons | 4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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N TEXAS is 6-3 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1997 | N TEXAS is 5-4 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1997 | 4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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ARKANSAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus N TEXAS over the last 3 seasons | ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against N TEXAS over the last 3 seasons | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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3/5/2012 | ARKANSAS ST | 72 | 129.5 | Over | 34 | 28-60 | 46.7% | 9-23 | 39.1% | 7-9 | 77.8% | 32 | 11 | 12 | N | N TEXAS | 76 | -1.5 | SU ATS | 38 | 27-46 | 58.7% | 8-13 | 61.5% | 14-16 | 87.5% | 23 | 5 | 11 | 1/28/2012 | ARKANSAS ST | 64 | 129.5 | Over | 30 | 23-61 | 37.7% | 6-16 | 37.5% | 12-16 | 75.0% | 34 | 12 | 12 | | N TEXAS | 76 | -5.5 | SU ATS | 36 | 27-54 | 50.0% | 7-13 | 53.8% | 15-17 | 88.2% | 35 | 5 | 12 | 1/7/2012 | N TEXAS | 72 | 126.5 | ATS | 37 | 28-58 | 48.3% | 9-21 | 42.9% | 7-9 | 77.8% | 28 | 6 | 17 | | ARKANSAS ST | 75 | -3.5 | SU Over | 30 | 27-49 | 55.1% | 4-8 | 50.0% | 17-26 | 65.4% | 29 | 5 | 16 | 2/24/2011 | N TEXAS | 47 | 145.5 | Under | 26 | 15-50 | 30.0% | 3-15 | 20.0% | 14-17 | 82.4% | 42 | 11 | 20 | | ARKANSAS ST | 63 | -5.5 | SU ATS | 25 | 19-53 | 35.8% | 0-8 | 0.0% | 25-34 | 73.5% | 37 | 11 | 8 | 1/22/2011 | ARKANSAS ST | 64 | 143 | Over | 24 | 25-69 | 36.2% | 2-20 | 10.0% | 12-14 | 85.7% | 34 | 11 | 9 | | N TEXAS | 83 | -7.5 | SU ATS | 46 | 27-49 | 55.1% | 7-12 | 58.3% | 22-27 | 81.5% | 37 | 4 | 15 |
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Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N TEXAS games 53.1% of the time since 1997. (164-145) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N TEXAS games 61.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-22) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 52.6% of the time since 1997. (162-146) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 54.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-28) | |
No total has been posted for this game. |
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[F] 02/01/2013 - Tony Mitchell probable Saturday vs. Arkansas State ( Foot ) | [F] 01/16/2013 - Jacob Holmen out indefinitely ( Concussion ) | [G] 01/03/2013 - Chris Jones out for season ( Foot ) | [G] 11/15/2012 - Brandan Walton out for season ( Foot ) | [G] 11/01/2012 - T.J. Taylor out for season ( Shoulder ) | |
[G] 02/02/2013 - Raeford Worsham is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. North Texas ( Concussion ) | [F] 12/19/2012 - Seth Kisler expected to redshirt ( Concussion ) |
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