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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 1:00 PM
N ILLINOIS (5-16) AT BUFFALO (8-15) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
525: N ILLINOIS
526: BUFFALO
OFF
-10.5
56.0 / 64.5
64.5 / 66.8
5-16
8-15
10-10
7-14
0-1
0-0
35.9
43.5
66.1
69.0
27.7
33.4
43.6
41.7
72.0
70.5
35.7
34.6
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
N ILLINOIS  
BUFFALO-13 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
N ILLINOIS - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-1038-35198-2040-124-30104-1075-1619-63153-300
in all lined games10-1038-35198-2040-124-30104-1074-1614-61126-282
as an underdog9-1034-30143-1330-121-2574-743-169-5747-235
as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points1-04-116-90-03-23-90-10-65-21
in road games7-425-14108-920-112-1649-542-96-3645-174
in road lined games7-425-14108-920-112-1649-542-95-3539-165
against conference opponents4-522-20135-1420-018-1771-713-612-3294-189
in February games0-27-1156-570-08-934-260-23-1635-81
on Saturday games3-515-1379-800-09-1239-380-83-2761-117
after a conference game3-621-22129-1400-018-1671-682-711-3394-188
off a loss against a conference rival3-216-1285-830-016-849-362-39-2052-123
after allowing 60 points or less4-27-733-440-04-521-162-44-1429-58
after scoring 60 points or less8-119-1359-520-012-1233-325-59-2843-90
when playing against a team with a losing record3-416-1572-880-012-1341-462-512-2478-103
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games0-37-1140-490-07-927-260-33-1636-54

BUFFALO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games7-1437-44194-2060-035-24133-998-1546-40212-263
in all lined games7-1437-44194-2060-035-24133-996-1542-40170-234
as a favorite2-620-2676-750-021-1568-493-531-15108-44
as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points0-02-57-90-03-35-70-06-113-3
in all home games2-516-1890-850-015-1156-445-428-9126-85
in home lined games2-516-1890-850-015-1156-443-425-9101-75
against conference opponents3-619-25123-1450-018-1889-613-625-20113-175
in February games0-26-1246-640-012-538-240-29-1046-73
on Saturday games3-512-2271-800-012-1443-413-618-1877-97
after a conference game3-521-22120-1410-019-1793-573-527-18116-171
off a loss against a conference rival1-48-1164-860-09-548-222-311-851-105
after scoring 60 points or less1-77-1035-530-07-320-191-87-1335-68
when playing against a team with a losing record5-517-1775-730-013-1149-387-422-13108-72
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games2-28-842-430-06-630-203-112-450-39
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-26-622-340-06-328-122-18-426-31
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game1-46-1035-460-07-439-182-38-846-45
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
N ILLINOIS - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games5-16-2.410-100-156.023.635.9%34.164.530.743.6%33.4
Road Games2-9+1.87-40-157.222.535.8%34.667.532.543.4%34.8
Last 5 Games2-3+1.82-30-054.221.833.5%34.858.826.839.5%33.4
Conference Games3-6+2.64-50-054.822.133.4%33.263.930.444.1%33.7
N ILLINOIS Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)56.023.620-5435.9%5-1627.7%12-1966.1%34119208152
vs opponents surrendering67.431.324-5543.4%6-1833.4%13-1969.4%35913177143
Team Stats (Road Games)57.222.520-5535.8%5-1729.0%13-1965.6%35119219172
Stats Against (All Games)64.530.720-4743.6%7-2035.7%17-2372.0%33712177164
vs opponents averaging6630.823-5542.5%6-1933.0%13-1970.5%34913187143
Stats Against (Road Games)67.532.521-4943.4%8-2236.2%17-2372.4%35914177165

BUFFALO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games8-15-9.57-140-064.532.743.5%35.966.832.741.7%31.7
Home Games5-4-3.52-50-068.133.144.0%36.263.929.639.1%30.9
Last 5 Games2-3-0.43-20-065.434.645.9%31.868.032.043.2%31.6
Conference Games3-6-3.63-60-065.332.242.9%34.069.935.243.7%32.1
BUFFALO Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)64.532.723-5243.5%6-1833.4%13-2069.0%361114205164
vs opponents surrendering66.331.324-5443.8%6-1834.1%13-1968.2%34914187144
Team Stats (Home Games)68.133.123-5244.0%6-2031.2%17-2275.8%361115186164
Stats Against (All Games)66.832.723-5541.7%6-1734.6%15-2270.5%321013187123
vs opponents averaging66.430.923-5443.0%6-1934.2%14-2070.7%33913177143
Stats Against (Home Games)63.929.621-5339.1%6-1932.9%16-2178.5%31912198143
Average power rating of opponents played: N ILLINOIS 69,  BUFFALO 69.7
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
BUFFALO is 10-9 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS since 1997
BUFFALO is 12-7 straight up against N ILLINOIS since 1997
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-1 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 2-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at BUFFALO since 1997
N ILLINOIS is 6-4 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1997
BUFFALO is 8-2 straight up against N ILLINOIS since 1997
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/28/2012BUFFALO74-13.5SU ATS3721-5339.6%11-2937.9%21-2680.8%421117
 N ILLINOIS59127 Over2816-5728.1%6-2326.1%21-2972.4%371315
1/29/2011N ILLINOIS52146 ATS2415-4235.7%2-1216.7%20-2580.0%28717
 BUFFALO63-13SU Under2720-4940.8%6-1637.5%17-2470.8%34810
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring N ILLINOIS in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N ILLINOIS games 54.3% of the time since 1997. (169-142)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N ILLINOIS games 60.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-25)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 52% of the time since 1997. (168-155)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-34)
No Edge.
 
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
N ILLINOIS
[G] 02/06/2013 - Akeem Springs out indefinitely ( Personal )
BUFFALO
[G] 12/19/2012 - Jarod Oldham out indefinitely ( Wrist )
[G] 11/02/2012 - Stan Wier out indefinitely ( Knee )
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