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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 10-10 | 38-35 | 198-204 | 0-1 | 24-30 | 104-107 | 5-16 | 19-63 | 153-300 | | in all lined games | 10-10 | 38-35 | 198-204 | 0-1 | 24-30 | 104-107 | 4-16 | 14-61 | 126-282 | | as an underdog | 9-10 | 34-30 | 143-133 | 0-1 | 21-25 | 74-74 | 3-16 | 9-57 | 47-235 | | as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points | 1-0 | 4-1 | 16-9 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-6 | 5-21 | | in road games | 7-4 | 25-14 | 108-92 | 0-1 | 12-16 | 49-54 | 2-9 | 6-36 | 45-174 | | in road lined games | 7-4 | 25-14 | 108-92 | 0-1 | 12-16 | 49-54 | 2-9 | 5-35 | 39-165 | | against conference opponents | 4-5 | 22-20 | 135-142 | 0-0 | 18-17 | 71-71 | 3-6 | 12-32 | 94-189 | | in February games | 0-2 | 7-11 | 56-57 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 34-26 | 0-2 | 3-16 | 35-81 | | on Saturday games | 3-5 | 15-13 | 79-80 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 39-38 | 0-8 | 3-27 | 61-117 | | after a conference game | 3-6 | 21-22 | 129-140 | 0-0 | 18-16 | 71-68 | 2-7 | 11-33 | 94-188 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 3-2 | 16-12 | 85-83 | 0-0 | 16-8 | 49-36 | 2-3 | 9-20 | 52-123 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 4-2 | 7-7 | 33-44 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 21-16 | 2-4 | 4-14 | 29-58 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 8-1 | 19-13 | 59-52 | 0-0 | 12-12 | 33-32 | 5-5 | 9-28 | 43-90 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 3-4 | 16-15 | 72-88 | 0-0 | 12-13 | 41-46 | 2-5 | 12-24 | 78-103 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 0-3 | 7-11 | 40-49 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 27-26 | 0-3 | 3-16 | 36-54 |
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| in all games | 7-14 | 37-44 | 194-206 | 0-0 | 35-24 | 133-99 | 8-15 | 46-40 | 212-263 | | in all lined games | 7-14 | 37-44 | 194-206 | 0-0 | 35-24 | 133-99 | 6-15 | 42-40 | 170-234 | | as a favorite | 2-6 | 20-26 | 76-75 | 0-0 | 21-15 | 68-49 | 3-5 | 31-15 | 108-44 | | as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 13-3 | | in all home games | 2-5 | 16-18 | 90-85 | 0-0 | 15-11 | 56-44 | 5-4 | 28-9 | 126-85 | | in home lined games | 2-5 | 16-18 | 90-85 | 0-0 | 15-11 | 56-44 | 3-4 | 25-9 | 101-75 | | against conference opponents | 3-6 | 19-25 | 123-145 | 0-0 | 18-18 | 89-61 | 3-6 | 25-20 | 113-175 | | in February games | 0-2 | 6-12 | 46-64 | 0-0 | 12-5 | 38-24 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 46-73 | | on Saturday games | 3-5 | 12-22 | 71-80 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 43-41 | 3-6 | 18-18 | 77-97 | | after a conference game | 3-5 | 21-22 | 120-141 | 0-0 | 19-17 | 93-57 | 3-5 | 27-18 | 116-171 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-4 | 8-11 | 64-86 | 0-0 | 9-5 | 48-22 | 2-3 | 11-8 | 51-105 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 1-7 | 7-10 | 35-53 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 20-19 | 1-8 | 7-13 | 35-68 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 5-5 | 17-17 | 75-73 | 0-0 | 13-11 | 49-38 | 7-4 | 22-13 | 108-72 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 2-2 | 8-8 | 42-43 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 30-20 | 3-1 | 12-4 | 50-39 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-2 | 6-6 | 22-34 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 28-12 | 2-1 | 8-4 | 26-31 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 1-4 | 6-10 | 35-46 | 0-0 | 7-4 | 39-18 | 2-3 | 8-8 | 46-45 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 5-16 | -2.4 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 56.0 | 23.6 | 35.9% | 34.1 | 64.5 | 30.7 | 43.6% | 33.4 | | Road Games | 2-9 | +1.8 | 7-4 | 0-1 | 57.2 | 22.5 | 35.8% | 34.6 | 67.5 | 32.5 | 43.4% | 34.8 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | +1.8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 54.2 | 21.8 | 33.5% | 34.8 | 58.8 | 26.8 | 39.5% | 33.4 | | Conference Games | 3-6 | +2.6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 54.8 | 22.1 | 33.4% | 33.2 | 63.9 | 30.4 | 44.1% | 33.7 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 56.0 | 23.6 | 20-54 | 35.9% | 5-16 | 27.7% | 12-19 | 66.1% | 34 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 8 | 15 | 2 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.4 | 31.3 | 24-55 | 43.4% | 6-18 | 33.4% | 13-19 | 69.4% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 57.2 | 22.5 | 20-55 | 35.8% | 5-17 | 29.0% | 13-19 | 65.6% | 35 | 11 | 9 | 21 | 9 | 17 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 64.5 | 30.7 | 20-47 | 43.6% | 7-20 | 35.7% | 17-23 | 72.0% | 33 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 66 | 30.8 | 23-55 | 42.5% | 6-19 | 33.0% | 13-19 | 70.5% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 67.5 | 32.5 | 21-49 | 43.4% | 8-22 | 36.2% | 17-23 | 72.4% | 35 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 5 |
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| All Games | 8-15 | -9.5 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 64.5 | 32.7 | 43.5% | 35.9 | 66.8 | 32.7 | 41.7% | 31.7 | | Home Games | 5-4 | -3.5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 68.1 | 33.1 | 44.0% | 36.2 | 63.9 | 29.6 | 39.1% | 30.9 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -0.4 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 65.4 | 34.6 | 45.9% | 31.8 | 68.0 | 32.0 | 43.2% | 31.6 | | Conference Games | 3-6 | -3.6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 65.3 | 32.2 | 42.9% | 34.0 | 69.9 | 35.2 | 43.7% | 32.1 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 64.5 | 32.7 | 23-52 | 43.5% | 6-18 | 33.4% | 13-20 | 69.0% | 36 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 5 | 16 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.3 | 31.3 | 24-54 | 43.8% | 6-18 | 34.1% | 13-19 | 68.2% | 34 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 68.1 | 33.1 | 23-52 | 44.0% | 6-20 | 31.2% | 17-22 | 75.8% | 36 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 6 | 16 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 66.8 | 32.7 | 23-55 | 41.7% | 6-17 | 34.6% | 15-22 | 70.5% | 32 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.4 | 30.9 | 23-54 | 43.0% | 6-19 | 34.2% | 14-20 | 70.7% | 33 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 63.9 | 29.6 | 21-53 | 39.1% | 6-19 | 32.9% | 16-21 | 78.5% | 31 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 8 | 14 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: N ILLINOIS 69, BUFFALO 69.7 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| BUFFALO is 10-9 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS since 1997 | | BUFFALO is 12-7 straight up against N ILLINOIS since 1997 | | 6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| BUFFALO is 1-1 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | BUFFALO is 2-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| N ILLINOIS is 6-4 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1997 | | BUFFALO is 8-2 straight up against N ILLINOIS since 1997 | | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| N ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons | | BUFFALO is 1-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/28/2012 | BUFFALO | 74 | -13.5 | SU ATS | 37 | 21-53 | 39.6% | 11-29 | 37.9% | 21-26 | 80.8% | 42 | 11 | 17 | | | N ILLINOIS | 59 | 127 | Over | 28 | 16-57 | 28.1% | 6-23 | 26.1% | 21-29 | 72.4% | 37 | 13 | 15 | 1/29/2011 | N ILLINOIS | 52 | 146 | ATS | 24 | 15-42 | 35.7% | 2-12 | 16.7% | 20-25 | 80.0% | 28 | 7 | 17 | | | BUFFALO | 63 | -13 | SU Under | 27 | 20-49 | 40.8% | 6-16 | 37.5% | 17-24 | 70.8% | 34 | 8 | 10 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N ILLINOIS games 54.3% of the time since 1997. (169-142) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N ILLINOIS games 60.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-25) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 52% of the time since 1997. (168-155) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-34) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [G] 02/06/2013 - Akeem Springs out indefinitely ( Personal ) | |
| [G] 12/19/2012 - Jarod Oldham out indefinitely ( Wrist ) | | [G] 11/02/2012 - Stan Wier out indefinitely ( Knee ) |
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