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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 0-4 | 28-29 | 188-198 | 0-1 | 24-30 | 104-107 | 1-4 | 15-51 | 149-288 | | in all lined games | 0-4 | 28-29 | 188-198 | 0-1 | 24-30 | 104-107 | 0-4 | 10-49 | 122-270 | | as an underdog | 0-4 | 25-24 | 134-127 | 0-1 | 21-25 | 74-74 | 0-4 | 6-45 | 44-223 | | as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points | 0-1 | 7-7 | 36-27 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 18-14 | 0-1 | 0-14 | 4-60 | | as a road underdog of 18.5 to 24 points | 0-1 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6-4 | 0-1 | 0-7 | 0-14 | | in road games | 0-2 | 18-12 | 101-90 | 0-1 | 12-16 | 49-54 | 0-2 | 4-29 | 43-167 | | in road lined games | 0-2 | 18-12 | 101-90 | 0-1 | 12-16 | 49-54 | 0-2 | 3-28 | 37-158 | | in December games | 0-0 | 5-4 | 36-32 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 18-21 | 0-0 | 2-9 | 31-59 | | on Saturday games | 0-1 | 12-9 | 76-76 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 39-38 | 0-1 | 3-20 | 61-110 | | after a non-conference game | 0-3 | 10-12 | 62-62 | 0-1 | 6-14 | 33-39 | 1-3 | 6-24 | 56-106 | | in non-conference games | 0-4 | 10-14 | 57-61 | 0-1 | 6-13 | 33-36 | 1-4 | 6-25 | 58-105 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 0-2 | 3-7 | 29-44 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 21-16 | 0-2 | 2-12 | 27-56 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 0-1 | 11-13 | 51-52 | 0-0 | 12-12 | 33-32 | 1-1 | 5-24 | 39-86 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 0-1 | 1-3 | 22-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 15-13 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 13-28 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 0-3 | 13-12 | 100-88 | 0-1 | 10-13 | 53-45 | 0-3 | 2-24 | 47-153 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 0-2 | 9-6 | 47-35 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 32-26 | 0-2 | 1-16 | 24-68 |
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| in all games | 3-3 | 37-30 | 218-215 | 1-0 | 30-30 | 143-132 | 4-2 | 46-29 | 316-177 | | in all lined games | 3-3 | 37-30 | 218-215 | 1-0 | 30-30 | 143-132 | 4-2 | 39-28 | 270-175 | | as a favorite | 3-2 | 19-17 | 142-132 | 1-0 | 14-16 | 75-84 | 4-1 | 27-9 | 220-62 | | as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points | 0-1 | 3-3 | 26-25 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 46-5 | | as a home favorite of 18.5 to 24 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14-0 | | in all home games | 1-2 | 18-14 | 110-102 | 0-0 | 13-15 | 60-71 | 2-1 | 30-10 | 213-52 | | in home lined games | 1-2 | 18-14 | 110-102 | 0-0 | 13-15 | 60-71 | 2-1 | 23-9 | 168-50 | | against MAC opponents | 0-0 | 1-3 | 16-15 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 24-8 | | in December games | 0-0 | 8-3 | 38-42 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 19-23 | 0-0 | 11-4 | 82-29 | | on Saturday games | 1-1 | 20-6 | 90-67 | 0-0 | 14-10 | 59-39 | 2-0 | 20-8 | 126-57 | | after a non-conference game | 3-3 | 18-11 | 86-87 | 1-0 | 13-10 | 51-48 | 4-2 | 28-9 | 160-59 | | in non-conference games | 3-3 | 16-13 | 87-84 | 1-0 | 14-9 | 55-48 | 4-2 | 26-11 | 158-62 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 0-2 | 10-8 | 66-65 | 0-0 | 5-11 | 28-39 | 1-1 | 16-3 | 125-31 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 1-1 | 12-10 | 60-62 | 0-0 | 11-9 | 43-45 | 1-1 | 12-12 | 77-59 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 1-1 | 6-4 | 39-33 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 23-28 | 2-0 | 11-1 | 69-18 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 1-4 | -3 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 54.8 | 24.4 | 36.7% | 35.2 | 62.2 | 26.2 | 44.8% | 30.0 | | Road Games | 0-2 | -1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 55.0 | 24.5 | 34.8% | 35.5 | 73.0 | 28.0 | 49.5% | 31.5 | | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | -3 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 54.8 | 24.4 | 36.7% | 35.2 | 62.2 | 26.2 | 44.8% | 30.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 54.8 | 24.4 | 21-56 | 36.7% | 4-16 | 24.1% | 10-16 | 60.5% | 35 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 14 | 2 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.8 | 31.3 | 25-56 | 44.1% | 6-17 | 33.6% | 12-17 | 70.5% | 35 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 55.0 | 24.5 | 20-57 | 34.8% | 4-17 | 26.5% | 10-18 | 56.8% | 35 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 18 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 62.2 | 26.2 | 20-45 | 44.8% | 9-21 | 40.6% | 14-19 | 72.3% | 30 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 16 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 60.9 | 29 | 21-51 | 41.2% | 7-21 | 33.8% | 12-17 | 73.8% | 30 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 2 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 73.0 | 28.0 | 24-49 | 49.5% | 9-20 | 46.3% | 14-20 | 72.5% | 31 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 3 |
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| All Games | 4-2 | -6.5 | 3-3 | 1-0 | 69.7 | 31.8 | 46.5% | 31.8 | 63.7 | 24.8 | 44.0% | 29.8 | | Home Games | 2-1 | -7.5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 67.0 | 30.7 | 46.7% | 30.3 | 60.3 | 25.0 | 42.8% | 30.3 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -7.5 | 2-3 | 1-0 | 68.8 | 31.4 | 45.2% | 31.6 | 64.2 | 24.4 | 45.1% | 29.8 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 69.7 | 31.8 | 24-53 | 46.5% | 5-14 | 39.0% | 15-22 | 70.8% | 32 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.1 | 30.1 | 23-56 | 41.6% | 7-19 | 34.6% | 13-19 | 68.4% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 20 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 67.0 | 30.7 | 24-51 | 46.7% | 5-11 | 44.1% | 15-22 | 66.7% | 30 | 8 | 14 | 18 | 6 | 15 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 63.7 | 24.8 | 22-50 | 44.0% | 7-18 | 38.0% | 13-18 | 70.0% | 30 | 7 | 14 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.3 | 30.3 | 23-54 | 43.5% | 6-18 | 36.4% | 15-22 | 67.5% | 37 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 16 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 60.3 | 25.0 | 21-48 | 42.8% | 7-18 | 38.9% | 12-16 | 75.0% | 30 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 3 | 19 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: N ILLINOIS 60.8, DAYTON 71.7 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N ILLINOIS games 54.2% of the time since 1997. (161-136) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N ILLINOIS games 62% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-19) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DAYTON games 54.5% of the time since 1997. (186-155) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DAYTON games 51.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-25) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [G/F] 11/13/2012 - Abdel Nader out indefinitely ( Suspension ) | |
| [F/C] 10/26/2012 - Matt Kavanaugh out for season ( Suspension ) |
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