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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| N ILLINOIS | | | | E MICHIGAN | -13 |  |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 13-15 | 41-40 | 201-209 | 0-1 | 24-30 | 104-107 | 5-24 | 19-71 | 153-308 | | in all lined games | 13-15 | 41-40 | 201-209 | 0-1 | 24-30 | 104-107 | 4-24 | 14-69 | 126-290 | | when the total is 119.5 or less | 0-0 | 4-2 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3-4 | | as an underdog | 12-11 | 37-31 | 146-134 | 0-1 | 21-25 | 74-74 | 3-20 | 9-61 | 47-239 | | as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points | 2-0 | 6-3 | 29-20 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 15-15 | 2-0 | 3-6 | 9-42 | | in road games | 10-5 | 28-15 | 111-93 | 0-1 | 12-16 | 49-54 | 2-13 | 6-40 | 45-178 | | in road lined games | 10-5 | 28-15 | 111-93 | 0-1 | 12-16 | 49-54 | 2-13 | 5-39 | 39-169 | | in a road game where the total is 119.5 or less | 0-0 | 2-0 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2-1 | | against conference opponents | 7-9 | 25-24 | 138-146 | 0-0 | 18-17 | 71-71 | 3-13 | 12-39 | 94-196 | | in March games | 1-2 | 5-4 | 22-18 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 13-13 | 0-3 | 2-7 | 10-31 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 1-0 | 3-1 | 22-31 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 9-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 20-43 | | after a conference game | 6-10 | 24-26 | 132-144 | 0-0 | 18-16 | 71-68 | 2-14 | 11-40 | 94-195 | | revenging a home loss vs opponent | 6-4 | 16-8 | 47-36 | 0-1 | 8-7 | 22-19 | 0-10 | 1-24 | 15-74 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 6-6 | 19-16 | 88-87 | 0-0 | 16-8 | 49-36 | 2-10 | 9-27 | 52-130 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 6-5 | 9-10 | 35-47 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 21-16 | 2-9 | 4-19 | 29-63 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 11-6 | 22-18 | 62-57 | 0-0 | 12-12 | 33-32 | 5-13 | 9-36 | 43-98 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 7-5 | 15-15 | 53-54 | 0-0 | 6-13 | 28-29 | 3-9 | 8-27 | 35-90 | | in all tournament games | 0-0 | 2-2 | 16-16 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7-26 | | in first round tournament games | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2-10 | | in conference tournament games | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3-13 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 4-8 | 17-19 | 73-92 | 0-0 | 12-13 | 41-46 | 2-10 | 12-29 | 78-108 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 1-7 | 8-15 | 41-53 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 27-26 | 0-8 | 3-21 | 36-59 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 2-3 | 8-4 | 26-21 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 20-12 | 0-5 | 1-11 | 11-38 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 3-6 | 12-10 | 50-39 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 32-26 | 0-9 | 1-23 | 24-75 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-5 | 6-8 | 22-27 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 17-18 | 0-5 | 4-11 | 21-30 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 1-6 | 8-11 | 37-41 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 24-30 | 0-7 | 5-15 | 39-47 |
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| in all games | 16-10 | 42-39 | 195-209 | 3-0 | 26-29 | 97-113 | 14-17 | 37-57 | 184-293 | | in all lined games | 16-10 | 42-39 | 195-209 | 3-0 | 26-29 | 97-113 | 10-17 | 28-55 | 142-271 | | when the total is 119.5 or less | 0-1 | 11-9 | 15-18 | 1-0 | 10-11 | 15-19 | 0-1 | 8-13 | 12-22 | | as a favorite | 4-3 | 11-11 | 63-46 | 0-0 | 3-10 | 25-33 | 5-2 | 15-8 | 80-30 | | as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9-1 | | in all home games | 9-4 | 21-14 | 85-90 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 40-49 | 12-5 | 28-15 | 124-97 | | in home lined games | 9-4 | 21-14 | 85-90 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 40-49 | 8-5 | 21-15 | 89-91 | | in a home game where the total is 119.5 or less | 0-0 | 4-3 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 6-8 | | against conference opponents | 11-4 | 28-20 | 139-148 | 0-0 | 14-18 | 63-78 | 7-9 | 21-29 | 108-186 | | in March games | 2-1 | 3-5 | 20-25 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 13-14 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 15-30 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 3-0 | 5-6 | 25-36 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11-16 | 2-2 | 4-10 | 28-47 | | after a conference game | 10-4 | 27-20 | 134-141 | 0-0 | 16-16 | 62-73 | 7-9 | 20-30 | 110-183 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 6-2 | 16-9 | 83-79 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 39-41 | 4-4 | 12-14 | 63-107 | | in all tournament games | 0-0 | 3-6 | 17-25 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12-14 | 0-0 | 1-8 | 11-32 | | in first round tournament games | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3-11 | | in conference tournament games | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6-13 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 8-2 | 19-14 | 94-85 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 42-57 | 7-4 | 20-20 | 107-106 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 6-1 | 14-8 | 67-53 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 27-40 | 5-2 | 12-11 | 64-58 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 4-1 | 7-3 | 22-22 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 15-13 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 16-28 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 5-5 | 11-12 | 41-49 | 3-0 | 9-7 | 31-26 | 3-7 | 6-17 | 25-67 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 3-1 | 8-5 | 29-23 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 19-26 | 3-1 | 8-6 | 28-26 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 4-3 | 12-11 | 42-38 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 26-36 | 3-4 | 11-15 | 43-50 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 5-24 | -10.8 | 13-15 | 0-1 | 54.3 | 24.3 | 36.0% | 33.6 | 63.4 | 30.1 | 43.1% | 33.0 | | Road Games | 2-13 | -1.2 | 10-5 | 0-1 | 55.9 | 23.9 | 36.3% | 34.1 | 66.0 | 31.5 | 42.9% | 33.7 | | Last 5 Games | 0-5 | -6.1 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 47.0 | 23.8 | 34.7% | 32.2 | 60.8 | 27.6 | 44.1% | 31.2 | | Conference Games | 3-13 | -4 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 52.8 | 23.9 | 34.6% | 33.0 | 62.6 | 29.7 | 42.8% | 32.6 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 54.3 | 24.3 | 19-52 | 36.0% | 4-16 | 27.3% | 12-18 | 66.2% | 34 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 7 | 15 | 2 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.6 | 31.4 | 24-55 | 43.8% | 6-18 | 34.3% | 13-19 | 69.3% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 55.9 | 23.9 | 19-53 | 36.3% | 5-16 | 29.5% | 13-19 | 67.6% | 34 | 10 | 8 | 21 | 8 | 16 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 63.4 | 30.1 | 20-46 | 43.1% | 7-20 | 34.3% | 17-24 | 70.8% | 33 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 65.8 | 30.5 | 23-54 | 42.9% | 6-19 | 33.4% | 13-19 | 69.8% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 66.0 | 31.5 | 21-49 | 42.9% | 7-21 | 34.5% | 17-24 | 70.1% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 5 |
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| All Games | 14-17 | +1.1 | 16-10 | 3-0 | 57.0 | 26.1 | 40.0% | 33.7 | 59.7 | 26.6 | 39.9% | 35.0 | | Home Games | 12-5 | +5.6 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 60.6 | 29.1 | 43.5% | 33.5 | 53.1 | 24.0 | 37.5% | 33.2 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -0.8 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 56.6 | 28.2 | 42.2% | 32.4 | 57.2 | 25.0 | 40.6% | 30.8 | | Conference Games | 7-9 | -0.8 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 56.4 | 26.6 | 40.6% | 32.6 | 56.8 | 25.4 | 39.8% | 33.2 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 57.0 | 26.1 | 21-52 | 40.0% | 5-15 | 32.8% | 11-16 | 67.8% | 34 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.4 | 31.3 | 24-54 | 43.8% | 6-18 | 34.3% | 14-20 | 69.3% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 60.6 | 29.1 | 21-49 | 43.5% | 5-15 | 34.9% | 13-19 | 67.5% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 6 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 59.7 | 26.6 | 21-52 | 39.9% | 7-23 | 29.9% | 12-18 | 65.4% | 35 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 8 | 15 | 2 | | vs opponents averaging | 65.9 | 30.2 | 23-54 | 42.4% | 6-19 | 33.4% | 14-20 | 68.7% | 34 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 53.1 | 24.0 | 19-50 | 37.5% | 6-23 | 27.9% | 9-16 | 58.9% | 33 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 6 | 15 | 2 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: N ILLINOIS 68.7, E MICHIGAN 68.2 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| N ILLINOIS is 22-11 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN since 1997 | | N ILLINOIS is 18-15 straight up against E MICHIGAN since 1997 | | 11 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| N ILLINOIS is 4-3 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons | | E MICHIGAN is 4-3 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| N ILLINOIS is 11-6 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN since 1997 | | E MICHIGAN is 10-7 straight up against N ILLINOIS since 1997 | | 7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| N ILLINOIS is 3-1 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons | | E MICHIGAN is 2-2 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/27/2013 | E MICHIGAN | 53 | | SU ATS | 30 | 18-47 | 38.3% | 5-14 | 35.7% | 12-19 | 63.2% | 33 | 8 | 12 | | | N ILLINOIS | 41 | -1.5 | | 22 | 10-42 | 23.8% | 5-17 | 29.4% | 16-23 | 69.6% | 35 | 9 | 18 | 1/26/2013 | N ILLINOIS | 25 | | | 4 | 8-61 | 13.1% | 1-33 | 3.0% | 8-15 | 53.3% | 42 | 18 | 8 | | | E MICHIGAN | 42 | -6 | SU ATS | 18 | 13-35 | 37.1% | 4-14 | 28.6% | 12-16 | 75.0% | 42 | 7 | 15 | 3/5/2012 | N ILLINOIS | 55 | 108.5 | SU ATS | 18 | 19-39 | 48.7% | 9-21 | 42.9% | 8-13 | 61.5% | 27 | 3 | 16 | | | E MICHIGAN | 52 | -8 | Under | 11 | 16-47 | 34.0% | 6-23 | 26.1% | 14-20 | 70.0% | 28 | 8 | 11 | 2/22/2012 | N ILLINOIS | 45 | 110 | ATS | 22 | 15-50 | 30.0% | 4-21 | 19.0% | 11-15 | 73.3% | 42 | 14 | 17 | | | E MICHIGAN | 48 | -8.5 | SU Under | 22 | 13-41 | 31.7% | 5-17 | 29.4% | 17-24 | 70.8% | 28 | 7 | 12 | 1/7/2012 | E MICHIGAN | 47 | -2 | SU ATS | 23 | 13-36 | 36.1% | 2-11 | 18.2% | 19-24 | 79.2% | 29 | 4 | 16 | | | N ILLINOIS | 40 | 109 | Under | 26 | 14-48 | 29.2% | 7-30 | 23.3% | 5-7 | 71.4% | 31 | 8 | 18 | 3/2/2011 | E MICHIGAN | 49 | 134.5 | Under | 14 | 14-52 | 26.9% | 5-20 | 25.0% | 16-23 | 69.6% | 25 | 4 | 15 | | | N ILLINOIS | 66 | -1 | SU ATS | 28 | 20-44 | 45.5% | 0-7 | 0.0% | 26-33 | 78.8% | 44 | 4 | 20 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N ILLINOIS games 54.3% of the time since 1997. (172-145) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N ILLINOIS games 60% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (42-28) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E MICHIGAN games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (158-156) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E MICHIGAN games 43.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-40) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in N ILLINOIS games 55.3% of the time since 1997. (99-80) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in N ILLINOIS games 63.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-17) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in E MICHIGAN games 54% of the time since 1997. (95-81) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in E MICHIGAN games 63% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-17) | |
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| [G/F] 03/10/2013 - Abdel Nader doubtful Monday vs. Eastern Michigan ( Personal ) | | [G] 02/06/2013 - Akeem Springs out indefinitely ( Personal ) | |
| [G] 01/09/2013 - Ray Lee out indefinitely ( Foot ) | | [F] 11/16/2012 - James Still has been dismissed ( Dismissed ) |
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