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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| NORTHWESTERN | | | | MICHIGAN ST | -25 |  |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 13-14 | 41-41 | 201-208 | 10-10 | 43-33 | 137-124 | 13-17 | 52-45 | 221-264 | | in all lined games | 13-14 | 41-41 | 201-208 | 10-10 | 43-33 | 137-124 | 10-17 | 38-45 | 152-260 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 5-6 | 7-10 | 51-59 | 7-3 | 13-4 | 60-49 | 2-9 | 6-12 | 40-72 | | as an underdog | 9-8 | 22-23 | 136-144 | 6-9 | 21-22 | 80-87 | 5-12 | 11-34 | 60-222 | | as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points | 1-2 | 1-3 | 33-31 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 16-16 | 0-3 | 0-4 | 1-63 | | as a road underdog of 18.5 to 24 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-13 | | in road games | 4-5 | 15-18 | 84-88 | 3-4 | 19-13 | 57-52 | 3-6 | 12-23 | 38-138 | | in road lined games | 4-5 | 15-18 | 84-88 | 3-4 | 19-13 | 57-52 | 3-6 | 11-23 | 35-138 | | in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 21-26 | 2-1 | 5-1 | 26-21 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 12-36 | | against conference opponents | 7-10 | 26-29 | 139-146 | 5-10 | 26-28 | 97-92 | 4-13 | 20-36 | 85-203 | | in March games | 0-1 | 6-5 | 20-30 | 1-0 | 5-6 | 20-23 | 0-1 | 6-5 | 16-36 | | after a conference game | 7-9 | 26-27 | 133-138 | 4-10 | 24-28 | 90-88 | 4-12 | 23-32 | 100-187 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 6-6 | 17-17 | 94-90 | 4-7 | 15-19 | 60-58 | 4-8 | 17-18 | 71-121 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 8-7 | 11-14 | 92-92 | 6-7 | 13-11 | 53-54 | 6-9 | 13-14 | 96-118 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 1-3 | 3-4 | 34-37 | 1-2 | 4-2 | 18-19 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 25-51 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 11-10 | 33-35 | 141-143 | 9-9 | 34-31 | 96-97 | 8-14 | 30-42 | 94-206 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 6-5 | 20-21 | 85-78 | 2-8 | 15-25 | 54-63 | 3-8 | 13-28 | 41-127 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 5-4 | 11-13 | 57-56 | 2-7 | 8-16 | 41-49 | 2-7 | 4-20 | 19-95 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 7-8 | 18-20 | 86-87 | 5-8 | 17-19 | 66-64 | 3-12 | 11-28 | 49-130 |
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| in all games | 13-13 | 46-45 | 261-233 | 12-14 | 40-51 | 184-224 | 23-7 | 70-31 | 400-149 | | in all lined games | 13-13 | 46-45 | 261-233 | 12-14 | 40-51 | 184-224 | 20-7 | 62-31 | 354-149 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 5-6 | 14-17 | 49-47 | 6-6 | 14-18 | 37-61 | 10-2 | 23-9 | 65-34 | | as a favorite | 8-9 | 31-36 | 198-177 | 8-9 | 30-38 | 142-161 | 17-1 | 52-17 | 310-74 | | as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points | 2-4 | 9-9 | 49-56 | 3-2 | 10-7 | 36-34 | 6-0 | 18-0 | 103-2 | | as a home favorite of 18.5 to 24 points | 0-1 | 1-2 | 13-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7-10 | 1-0 | 3-0 | 27-0 | | in all home games | 7-7 | 23-19 | 117-99 | 6-7 | 21-21 | 82-86 | 16-1 | 45-5 | 233-25 | | in home lined games | 7-7 | 23-19 | 117-99 | 6-7 | 21-21 | 82-86 | 13-1 | 38-5 | 195-25 | | in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 3-2 | 9-6 | 22-14 | 2-3 | 6-9 | 13-24 | 5-0 | 13-2 | 32-5 | | against conference opponents | 10-6 | 32-25 | 156-135 | 9-8 | 26-33 | 107-138 | 12-5 | 39-20 | 209-89 | | in March games | 2-0 | 8-7 | 59-41 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 40-49 | 1-1 | 9-6 | 71-31 | | after a conference game | 10-5 | 31-25 | 158-131 | 8-8 | 26-32 | 109-138 | 12-4 | 38-20 | 211-86 | | off a win against a conference rival | 7-3 | 23-14 | 116-87 | 6-5 | 14-24 | 75-96 | 9-2 | 26-12 | 149-58 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 5-9 | 22-17 | 108-110 | 8-6 | 17-22 | 88-91 | 12-3 | 30-11 | 171-66 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 4-0 | 11-6 | 40-38 | 1-3 | 11-6 | 37-31 | 3-2 | 10-8 | 57-29 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 2-1 | 5-4 | 41-27 | 1-2 | 2-7 | 16-34 | 6-0 | 13-1 | 89-3 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 0-0 | 2-2 | 27-19 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 10-24 | 1-0 | 4-1 | 46-2 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 9-3 | 19-15 | 81-73 | 5-8 | 15-20 | 60-81 | 9-4 | 20-15 | 103-55 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 10-7 | 26-22 | 113-117 | 8-10 | 21-28 | 87-113 | 13-5 | 30-19 | 148-89 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-2 | 1-3 | 22-19 | 3-0 | 3-2 | 11-20 | 3-0 | 4-1 | 39-4 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 1-3 | 4-5 | 32-25 | 3-2 | 3-7 | 17-26 | 6-0 | 10-1 | 59-6 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 13-17 | -7.4 | 13-14 | 10-10 | 60.8 | 27.8 | 40.1% | 30.8 | 63.1 | 27.9 | 42.5% | 37.6 | | Road Games | 5-6 | +7.6 | 6-5 | 4-4 | 58.5 | 26.2 | 38.9% | 29.7 | 63.0 | 26.1 | 43.0% | 37.5 | | Last 5 Games | 0-5 | -6.1 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 47.4 | 20.8 | 31.6% | 26.2 | 66.8 | 32.0 | 46.8% | 40.4 | | Conference Games | 4-13 | -2.7 | 7-10 | 5-10 | 55.4 | 24.4 | 37.8% | 27.4 | 66.0 | 29.3 | 44.5% | 39.8 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 60.8 | 27.8 | 21-51 | 40.1% | 8-22 | 34.5% | 12-18 | 67.6% | 31 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.8 | 29.8 | 23-55 | 41.6% | 6-18 | 33.0% | 13-19 | 69.4% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 58.5 | 26.2 | 20-51 | 38.9% | 7-21 | 32.2% | 12-17 | 71.4% | 30 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 63.1 | 27.9 | 22-53 | 42.5% | 6-17 | 34.1% | 12-20 | 63.5% | 38 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 68 | 31.5 | 24-56 | 43.1% | 6-19 | 33.6% | 14-20 | 68.8% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 63.0 | 26.1 | 22-52 | 43.0% | 5-16 | 31.6% | 14-21 | 63.4% | 37 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
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| All Games | 23-7 | +5.5 | 13-13 | 12-14 | 68.8 | 31.8 | 46.0% | 37.8 | 59.3 | 27.8 | 39.1% | 30.8 | | Home Games | 16-1 | +5.9 | 7-7 | 6-7 | 71.7 | 32.2 | 47.6% | 39.3 | 55.5 | 25.8 | 35.5% | 31.2 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -1.1 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 63.2 | 29.2 | 41.7% | 39.4 | 61.0 | 26.2 | 39.2% | 30.8 | | Conference Games | 12-5 | +6.6 | 10-6 | 9-8 | 67.3 | 30.2 | 44.6% | 36.0 | 61.7 | 28.6 | 41.9% | 31.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 68.8 | 31.8 | 25-54 | 46.0% | 5-15 | 33.8% | 14-20 | 71.3% | 38 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.7 | 29.1 | 23-55 | 41.2% | 6-18 | 32.3% | 13-19 | 70.1% | 35 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 71.7 | 32.2 | 25-53 | 47.6% | 5-15 | 32.8% | 16-23 | 71.3% | 39 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 59.3 | 27.8 | 21-54 | 39.1% | 5-18 | 30.4% | 12-18 | 65.6% | 31 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.6 | 31.9 | 24-56 | 43.4% | 6-18 | 34.1% | 14-20 | 68.7% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 55.5 | 25.8 | 20-55 | 35.5% | 6-19 | 29.2% | 11-17 | 63.1% | 31 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 8 | 14 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: NORTHWESTERN 75.7, MICHIGAN ST 76.9 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| MICHIGAN ST is 14-12 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1997 | | MICHIGAN ST is 23-3 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997 | | 11 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| NORTHWESTERN is 2-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons | | MICHIGAN ST is 2-1 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| NORTHWESTERN is 7-4 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST since 1997 | | MICHIGAN ST is 10-1 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997 | | 3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| NORTHWESTERN is 1-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons | | MICHIGAN ST is 1-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/14/2012 | MICHIGAN ST | 74 | -4.5 | Over | 37 | 24-52 | 46.2% | 9-18 | 50.0% | 17-27 | 63.0% | 39 | 14 | 14 | | | NORTHWESTERN | 81 | 136 | SU ATS | 39 | 26-52 | 50.0% | 8-17 | 47.1% | 21-29 | 72.4% | 27 | 7 | 7 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 53.1% of the time since 1997. (172-152) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 53.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-29) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.3% of the time since 1997. (186-216) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 45.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-42) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 49.1% of the time since 1997. (113-117) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 53.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-34) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54.3% of the time since 1997. (195-164) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 52.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (45-40) | |
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| [F] 02/12/2013 - Jared Swopshire out for season ( Knee ) | | [C] 02/04/2013 - Chier Ajou out for season ( Knee ) | | [G/F] 12/31/2012 - Sanjay Lumpkin expected to redshirt ( Wrist ) | | [G/F] 12/14/2012 - Drew Crawford out for season ( Shoulder ) | | [G] 10/26/2012 - JerShon Cobb out for season ( Academics ) | |
| [G] 12/28/2012 - Brandan Kearney expected to transfer ( Personal ) | | [F] 11/19/2012 - Kenny Kaminski out for season ( Shoulder ) |
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