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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 6:00 PM
NORTHWESTERN (13-17) AT MICHIGAN ST (23-7) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
831: NORTHWESTERN
832: MICHIGAN ST
121.5
-17.5
60.8 / 63.1
68.8 / 59.3
13-17
23-7
13-14
13-13
10-10
12-14
40.1
46.0
67.6
71.3
34.5
33.8
42.5
39.1
63.5
65.6
34.1
30.4
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
NORTHWESTERN  
MICHIGAN ST-25
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
NORTHWESTERN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games13-1441-41201-20810-1043-33137-12413-1752-45221-264
in all lined games13-1441-41201-20810-1043-33137-12410-1738-45152-260
when the total is 120 to 129.55-67-1051-597-313-460-492-96-1240-72
as an underdog9-822-23136-1446-921-2280-875-1211-3460-222
as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points1-21-333-311-22-216-160-30-41-63
as a road underdog of 18.5 to 24 points0-00-07-60-00-02-30-00-00-13
in road games4-515-1884-883-419-1357-523-612-2338-138
in road lined games4-515-1884-883-419-1357-523-611-2335-138
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.52-23-321-262-15-126-211-33-412-36
against conference opponents7-1026-29139-1465-1026-2897-924-1320-3685-203
in March games0-16-520-301-05-620-230-16-516-36
after a conference game7-926-27133-1384-1024-2890-884-1223-32100-187
off a loss against a conference rival6-617-1794-904-715-1960-584-817-1871-121
after scoring 60 points or less8-711-1492-926-713-1153-546-913-1496-118
after 3 or more consecutive losses1-33-434-371-24-218-190-43-425-51
when playing against a team with a winning record11-1033-35141-1439-934-3196-978-1430-4294-206
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games6-520-2185-782-815-2554-633-813-2841-127
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games5-411-1357-562-78-1641-492-74-2019-95
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game7-818-2086-875-817-1966-643-1211-2849-130

MICHIGAN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games13-1346-45261-23312-1440-51184-22423-770-31400-149
in all lined games13-1346-45261-23312-1440-51184-22420-762-31354-149
when the total is 120 to 129.55-614-1749-476-614-1837-6110-223-965-34
as a favorite8-931-36198-1778-930-38142-16117-152-17310-74
as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points2-49-949-563-210-736-346-018-0103-2
as a home favorite of 18.5 to 24 points0-11-213-140-01-17-101-03-027-0
in all home games7-723-19117-996-721-2182-8616-145-5233-25
in home lined games7-723-19117-996-721-2182-8613-138-5195-25
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.53-29-622-142-36-913-245-013-232-5
against conference opponents10-632-25156-1359-826-33107-13812-539-20209-89
in March games2-08-759-410-27-840-491-19-671-31
after a conference game10-531-25158-1318-826-32109-13812-438-20211-86
off a win against a conference rival7-323-14116-876-514-2475-969-226-12149-58
after allowing 60 points or less5-922-17108-1108-617-2288-9112-330-11171-66
after scoring 60 points or less4-011-640-381-311-637-313-210-857-29
when playing against a team with a losing record2-15-441-271-22-716-346-013-189-3
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games0-02-227-191-02-310-241-04-146-2
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games9-319-1581-735-815-2060-819-420-15103-55
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game10-726-22113-1178-1021-2887-11313-530-19148-89
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-21-322-193-03-211-203-04-139-4
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game1-34-532-253-23-717-266-010-159-6
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
NORTHWESTERN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games13-17-7.413-1410-1060.827.840.1%30.863.127.942.5%37.6
Road Games5-6+7.66-54-458.526.238.9%29.763.026.143.0%37.5
Last 5 Games0-5-6.11-41-347.420.831.6%26.266.832.046.8%40.4
Conference Games4-13-2.77-105-1055.424.437.8%27.466.029.344.5%39.8
NORTHWESTERN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)60.827.821-5140.1%8-2234.5%12-1867.6%31715166113
vs opponents surrendering64.829.823-5541.6%6-1833.0%13-1969.4%34912186133
Team Stats (Road Games)58.526.220-5138.9%7-2132.2%12-1771.4%30812186112
Stats Against (All Games)63.127.922-5342.5%6-1734.1%12-2063.5%381013186124
vs opponents averaging6831.524-5643.1%6-1933.6%14-2068.8%361013176134
Stats Against (Road Games)63.026.122-5243.0%5-1631.6%14-2163.4%371112186124

MICHIGAN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games23-7+5.513-1312-1468.831.846.0%37.859.327.839.1%30.8
Home Games16-1+5.97-76-771.732.247.6%39.355.525.835.5%31.2
Last 5 Games2-3-1.12-22-363.229.241.7%39.461.026.239.2%30.8
Conference Games12-5+6.610-69-867.330.244.6%36.061.728.641.9%31.4
MICHIGAN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)68.831.825-5446.0%5-1533.8%14-2071.3%381013168144
vs opponents surrendering64.729.123-5541.2%6-1832.3%13-1970.1%35912186133
Team Stats (Home Games)71.732.225-5347.6%5-1532.8%16-2371.3%391015159134
Stats Against (All Games)59.327.821-5439.1%5-1830.4%12-1865.6%31811177133
vs opponents averaging68.631.924-5643.4%6-1834.1%14-2068.7%361013177124
Stats Against (Home Games)55.525.820-5535.5%6-1929.2%11-1763.1%31910198143
Average power rating of opponents played: NORTHWESTERN 75.7,  MICHIGAN ST 76.9
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 14-12 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 23-3 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997
11 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 2-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-1 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MICHIGAN ST since 1997
NORTHWESTERN is 7-4 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 10-1 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 1-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 1-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/14/2012MICHIGAN ST74-4.5 Over3724-5246.2%9-1850.0%17-2763.0%391414
 NORTHWESTERN81136SU ATS3926-5250.0%8-1747.1%21-2972.4%2777
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring NORTHWESTERN in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 53.1% of the time since 1997. (172-152)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 53.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-29)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.3% of the time since 1997. (186-216)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 45.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-42)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 49.1% of the time since 1997. (113-117)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 53.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-34)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54.3% of the time since 1997. (195-164)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 52.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (45-40)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
NORTHWESTERN
[F] 02/12/2013 - Jared Swopshire out for season ( Knee )
[C] 02/04/2013 - Chier Ajou out for season ( Knee )
[G/F] 12/31/2012 - Sanjay Lumpkin expected to redshirt ( Wrist )
[G/F] 12/14/2012 - Drew Crawford out for season ( Shoulder )
[G] 10/26/2012 - JerShon Cobb out for season ( Academics )
MICHIGAN ST
[G] 12/28/2012 - Brandan Kearney expected to transfer ( Personal )
[F] 11/19/2012 - Kenny Kaminski out for season ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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